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This scenarios report is based on the outputs of a cross-stakeholder scenarios exercise exploring the role of the UK food system in meeting global agreements. The four plausible food system scenarios highlight the potential opportunities, challenges and trade-offs that could arise during food system transformation, with the aim of stimulating thought and discussion about the future of the UK food system to inform long-term decision-making. According to the authors, two variables will be decisive: on the one hand, globalization, which could either continue in new forms or experience a deep decline due to geopolitical tensions; on the other hand, the degree to which the SDGs are taken into account, with a focus on strict on the reduction of greenhouse gases (GHG), or a more comprehensive approach including biodiversity, landscapes, health, etc. Four contrasting scenarios result.
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Fao, con pandemia più attenzione. Coldiretti, cibi italiani i più sicuri in Europa
At a series of dialogues convened as part of the UNFSS preparatory process, experts argued that well-managed water systems and cross-sectoral collaboration are critically important measures to transform food systems and protect fragile ecosystems. The dialogues were organized by the CGIAR Research Program on Water, Land and Ecosystems (WLE), with significant input from the International Water Management Institute (IWMI), the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) and many other national, regional and international partners.
La Chambre nationale de l’agriculture (CNA) a lancé jeudi à Alger son portail électronique, dénommé Ghorfati, afin de faciliter l’élaboration d’une cartographie nationale de la production agricole et lutter contre la bureaucratie administrative. « Les statistiques étant la base pour la conception des politiques publiques et des stratégies économiques, il est impossible de continuer à travailler […]
Grâce à la contribution du réseau, et la collaboration bénéfique du CCR, nous sommes en mesure de partager précocément un aperçu général de l'évolution des cultures céréalières dans la région méditerranéenne. Le présent bulletin fournit des prévisions qualitatives de récolte pour la campagne 2020-2021, avec mettant l'accent sur le blé tendre, le blé dur et l'orge. La période de suivi s'étend des semis à fin avril 2021, avec une mise à jour sur les conditions de culture au cours de ces deux derniers mois. Une évaluation finale sera réalisée en juin, pour continuer à suivre les conditions des cultures dans la région méditerranéenne jusqu'à la récolte.
Measures adopted around the world to contain the COVID-19 outbreak helped curb the spread of the virus and lowered the pressure on health systems. However, they also affected the global trading system, and the supply and demand of agricultural and food products. In response to concerns over food security and food safety worldwide, many countries reacted immediately to apply policy measures aiming to limit potentially adverse impacts on domestic markets. Covering the first half of 2020, the report provides an overview of short-term changes in trade patterns and policy measures related to agricultural trade that countries adopted in response to the pandemic. Despite the shocks caused by the COVID-19 pandemic and containment measures, the efforts of governments and agricultural sector stakeholders to keep agricultural markets open and trade flowing smoothly contributed to remarkably resilient value chains. Effects on global trade in food and agriculture remained limited to short-term disruptions at the very beginning of the pandemic.
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Global food prices rose in May at their fastest monthly rate in more than a decade, even as world cereal production is on course to reach a new record high, the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) reported today. The FAO Food Price Index averaged 127.1 points in May, 4.8 percent higher than in April and 39.7 percent higher than in May 2020. A surge in the international prices of vegetable oils, sugar and cereals led the increase in the index, which tracks monthly changes in the international prices of commonly-traded food commodities, to its highest value since September 2011 and only 7.6 percent below its all-time peak in nominal terms. The FAO Cereal Price Index increased 6.0 percent from April, led by international maize prices, which averaged 89.9 percent above their year-earlier value. However, maize prices started to retreat at the end of May, mostly on improved production prospects in the United States of America. International wheat prices also showed a late-month decline but averaged 6.8 percent higher in May than in April, while international rice quotations held steady.
In the Middle East and North Africa, conditions for wheat crops are mixed as dry conditions impacted parts of the region, and below-average production is likely in some areas. Harvesting of winter wheat crops is underway in some countries, and overall conditions are mixed as dry conditions are impacting crop development across the region. Parts of Algeria, northeastern Morocco, northwestern Iraq, and northeastern Syria are unlikely to recover from persistent dryness. There is also continued concern in Syria and Libya due to ongoing conflict and socio-economic challenges.
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May 2021 CropWatch Bulletin is based mainly on current remote sensing inputs in addition to detailed and spatially accurate reference data about crops and their management. Focusing on the months of January to April 2021, chapters cover global, national, and regional level agroclimatic conditions and the condition of crops that were growing during this time. For China, the bulletin presents crop conditions for each of seven key agro-ecological zones, an updated estimate of trade prospects (import/export) of major crops. The focus section reports on the estimate by CropWatch for maize, rice, wheat and soybeans production in 2021, recent disaster events with an impact on agriculture, and the possibility of an El Niño event.
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Due to a severe drought, Brazil’s second corn crop is expected to reach a five-year low, according to AgRural, Reuters reported. Brazilian farmers in the center south are expected to produce 60 million tonnes of second corn, a drop of 5 Mt from the May forecast and a 17 Mt drop from the consultancy’s first projection. Expected yields of 77.5 60-kg bags per hectare is the lowest for the region since 2016, Reuters said.
Faire face à la grosse facture d’importation de blé en cette période de crise financière passe par la hausse de la production nationale, notamment en blé dur. D’ailleurs, cela a été l’une des demandes du chef de l’Etat au ministre de l’Agriculture lors du dernier Conseil des ministres.Le président de la République, Abdelmadjid Tebboune, a …
Lebanese bakers build projects to ensure food security as crisis-hit Lebanon increases food imports. As the deepening economic crisis continues, the soaring prices of basic necessities like bread have pushed many Lebanese below the poverty line. With Lebanon’s bakers relying on imported wheat to produce their goods, the cost of even the heavily subsidised traditional flatbread – eaten by rich and poor alike with most meals – has tripled since 2019. |
Hard red spring (HRS) futures rose $0.85 week-over-week to close at $8.10 per bushel on Friday, June 4, a level nearly $3.00 more per bushel than they were a year ago. Some recent rain in western Canada took some pressure off HRS prices, but severe drought in North Dakota, the top producing HRS state, remains the crucial market factor. AgriCensus on June 8 said the USDA is likely to slash its spring wheat forecast in its June 10 WASDE report, following the prolonged period of drought. An unusually dry winter with very little snow cover meant that soil moisture was far below average for the state when spring wheat planting started. Dryness persisted through planting, and following very cool conditions, the HRS production region had been in one of the hottest and driest periods in over 30 years. The dry soil makes it hard for rain to absorb into the hard ground when it has come in localized areas, leading to water runoff. The unusual heat causes the moisture to evaporate quickly. Farmers in the Canadian Prairie Provinces are also experiencing unseasonably hot weather but recently received what was dubbed the “billion-dollar rainfall” for their spring wheat crops.
Organic agriculture is widely accepted as a strategy to reduce the environmental impacts of food production and help achieve global climate and biodiversity targets. However, studies concluding that organic farming could satisfy global food demand have overlooked the key role that nitrogen plays in sustaining crop yields. Using a spatially explicit biophysical optimization model that accounts for crop growth nitrogen requirements, we show that, in the absence of synthetic nitrogen fertilizers, the production gap between organic and conventional agriculture increases as organic agriculture expands globally (with organic producing 36% less food for human consumption than conventional in a fully organic world). Yet, by targeting both food supply (via a redesign of the livestock sector) and demand (by reducing average per capita caloric intake), public policies could support a transition towards organic agriculture in 40–60% of the global agricultural area even under current nitrogen limitations thus helping to achieve important environmental and health benefits. The ability of organic agriculture to feed the world population remains contentious. A biophysical optimization model indicates the extent to which nitrogen availability could limit the expansion of organic production systems and what measures could alleviate this limitation.
CIHEAM News's insight:
Barbieri, P., Pellerin, S., Seufert, V. et al. Global option space for organic agriculture is delimited by nitrogen availability. Nat Food 2, 363–372 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1038/s43016-021-00276-y
The MED-Amin Secretariat participated in the Pulses Session during the IGC Conference 2021. Ms. Elen Lemaître-Currin deputy director of CIHEAM Montpellier introduced the pulses market in the Mediterranean region and associated challenges, with a specific focus on Egypt (the major importer of lentils and broadbeans). Context:
Etant un grand importateur de blé tendre dans le monde, avec des quantités dépassant les 5,5 millions de tonnes par an, l’Algérie devrait voir sa facture en hausse de 17% durant la campagne de commercialisation de 2021/2022.
We are pleased to release the Newsletter #35 Mar./Apr. 2021.
Despite an overall favourable production outlook, global supplies of AMIS crops could still prove vulnerable in 2021/22, in particular because of uncertainties relating to demand from the feed and industrial sectors. The month of May registered yet another increase in international prices of most food commodities, underpinned by brisk trade and a weaker dollar. The coming months will be critical for how food markets evolve. Global grain and soybean inventories could prove barely sufficient in case of a major production shortfall, while a speedier recovery in global economic activity could spur demand for these crops at a much faster rate than currently anticipated.
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Current prospects for world cereal production point to a third successive year of moderate growth, with FAO’s first forecast for the world cereal output in 2021 now pegged at nearly 2 821 million tonnes (including rice in milled equivalent), a new record and 1.9 percent above the outturn in 2020. The bulk of this year’s foreseen growth relates to maize, with output anticipated up 3.7 percent from 2020. Global wheat production is also expected to increase, up 1.4 percent year on year, while rice production is set to go up by 1.0 percent. World cereal utilization in 2021/22 is expected to expand by 1.7 percent, to a new peak of 2 826 million tonnes. Total cereal food consumption is forecast to rise in tandem with world population, resulting in a stable annual per capita level of 150 kg. As for animal feed use of cereals, similar to 2020/21, a notable feature is an anticipated continued growth in the use of wheat for feed, which is seen to rise to 156 million tonnes, still well below the ...
As of the end of May, conditions are generally favourable for wheat, maize, rice, and soybeans with only some areas of concern. For wheat in the northern hemisphere, winter wheat is entering the critical reproductive stage while spring wheat sowing is beginning. For maize, harvesting is continuing in the southern hemisphere while sowing is proceeding in the northern hemisphere. Rice conditions are generally favourable in southeast Asia while harvesting is wrapping up in India and sowing begins in China. Soybean harvesting is ongoing in the southern hemisphere while sowing begins in the northern hemisphere.
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It has been challenging to simultaneously improve photosynthesis and stress tolerance in plants. Crassulacean acid metabolism (CAM) is a CO2-concentrating mechanism that facilitates plant adaptation to water-limited environments. We hypothesized that the ectopic expression of a CAM-specific phosphoenolpyruvate carboxylase (PEPC), an enzyme that catalyzes primary CO2 fixation in CAM plants, would enhance both photosynthesis and abiotic stress tolerance. To test this hypothesis, we engineered a CAM-specific PEPC gene (named AaPEPC1) from Agave americana into tobacco. In comparison with wild-type and empty vector controls, transgenic tobacco plants constitutively expressing AaPEPC1 showed a higher photosynthetic rate and biomass production under normal conditions, along with significant carbon metabolism changes in malate accumulation, the carbon isotope ratio δ13C, and the expression of multiple orthologs of CAM-related genes. Furthermore, AaPEPC1 overexpression enhanced proline biosynthesis, and improved salt and drought tolerance in the transgenic plants. Under salt and drought stress conditions, the dry weight of transgenic tobacco plants overexpressing AaPEPC1 was increased by up to 81.8% and 37.2%, respectively, in comparison with wild-type plants. Our findings open a new door to the simultaneous improvement of photosynthesis and stress tolerance in plants.
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China will be almost entirely self-sufficient in staple grains such as rice and wheat by 2025, according to the China Agricultural Sector Development Report released on May 25. The report, jointly released by the Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences and International Food Policy Research Institute, forecasts the country’s total grain production at 692 million tonnes by that year. China’s overall grain output in 2020 was 669 million tonnes, the report said. “The grain production will keep increasing and China’s food security will be absolutely guaranteed during the 14th Five-Year Plan period,” said Mei Xurong, vice president of the Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences. China, the world’s biggest wheat and rice producer, will continue to dominate global production in those two food grains. The US Department of Agriculture’s Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) projects China’s wheat production to reach an all-time high of 136 million tonnes in 2021-22. It also forecasts wheat imports at 10 million tonnes, the second highest on record.
Global grain stockpiles could grow even slimmer next season, exacerbating a supply crunch across crop markets already pushing up food prices.The International Grains Council cut its inventory estimate for the 2021-22 season to 595 million tons, the lowest in seven years, according to a report published Thursday. Rising animal-feed demand and a drought-stricken Brazilian maize crop are outweighing bumper harvests elsewhere, shrinking the world’s grain supply cushion for a fifth straight season.That’s raised the prospect of further gains for global grocery bills, with a United Nations food-price index at its highest since 2014. Chicago grain futures have recently cooled from a rampant rally, but prices remain near multiyear highs. Good growing conditions are needed across the U.S. and Europe in coming months to replenish silos.“We have low supplies in grain and oilseed exporters and a lot of weather risk to go before good yields materialize,” Rabobank analysts said in a report this week.
La semaine passée, la Banque mondiale (BM) a approuvé une nouvelle allocation de 10 millions de dollars sous le projet intitulé « Routes et emploi » afin d’aider 26 700 petites et moyennes entreprises (PME) agricoles libanaises à obtenir des intrants (fertilisants, graines…) et du fourrage pour leur bétail en leur distribuant des coupons d’une valeur de 300 dollars pour chacune des deux catégories. |
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