MED-Amin network

Total grains production is expected to reach successive records in the next five years, keeping pace with demand, but leaving little room for stock rebuilding, the International Grains Council (IGC) said during its virtual conference session on Jan. 22. World soyabeans production is projected to reach successive highs through 2025-26, mainly on increases in the United States and Brazil. Consumption is seen reaching successive highs as well, but a modest recovery in world inventories is likely, tied to expectations for some stock . . .

Lors du colloque annuel de la fondation Farm, qui s'est tenu le 18 décembre 2020 en visioconférence, analyses scientifiques et témoignages professionnels ont envisagé des pistes pour améliorer la résilience des systèmes alimentaires africains, mise à l'épreuve en 2020 par la Covid-19 : appui aux producteurs agricoles, développement de la transformation locale, assurances, aide alimentaire ou financière, institutionnalisation des secteurs. Comparant les crises de 2008 et de 2020, F. Galtier (Cirad) a rappelé le rôle de la faible disponibilité céréalière dans la hausse des prix en 2008 et l’effet bénéfique de la libération d’un important stock de riz japonais. En 2020, la disponibilité des céréales a limité l’ampleur de la crise alimentaire. Selon F. Galtier, coordonnateur d’un rapport sur ce sujet pour la Commission européenne, rendu en 2018, le développement de réserves publiques, accompagné de mesures de gestion et de coordination, pour fournir une aide ciblée et stabiliser les prix, atténuerait la fréquence et l’intensité des crises à venir.

220-230 €/t pour le blé, 210-215 €/t pour le maïs et 430-435 €/t pour le colza : les cours des céréales et oléagineux s'envolent en ce début d'année 2021 ! Comment expliquer de telles hausses ? Éléments de réponse.

More than 3,000 scientists on Friday called for a far bigger global push to protect people and nature from the effects of a heating planet, even as researchers estimated funding to adapt to climate change has dropped because of the COVID-19 pandemic.

• La Niña conditions began in August-September 2020 and are currently forecast to continue from January to March (~95% chance) and then with a possible transition to neutral conditions from April to June (~55% chance).
• Argentina and Brazil are key producers and exporters of maize and soybean, among other crops, and current conditions are affecting the production prospective.
• Argentina’s early-planted maize has experienced dry conditions while late-planted maize is under generally favourable conditions. Spring and summer-planted soybeans have suffered a similar fate to maize; however, they have slightly better yield expectations than maize.
• We are a few weeks away from the beginning of critical stages for late-planted maize and soybean in Argentina.
• In Brazil, both spring-planted maize and ...
• ...

Abstract : When water scarcity restricts agricultural production, expanding water resources is only one option to increase or maintain output; investments in research to raise productivity can also release constraints on growth. In this paper, we construct a model of optimal resource allocation with both public and private inputs in production—the public sector invests in research and irrigation infrastructure to supply technology and water, respectively, whereas the private sector supplies other inputs. The model is used to derive shadow values for water that suggest “crop per drop” valuations are likely to significantly overstate the marginal value of water in agriculture. We apply our model to analyze sources of growth in Egyptian agriculture, which is almost entirely dependent on publicly supplied irrigation water, over 1961–2016. We construct two indexes of total productivity: total factor productivity treats resources from a producer perspective, where water is free and resource rents accrue to land. Total resource productivity takes a social perspective, where government subsidies for irrigation are included as a cost of production, and resource rents are assigned to water withdrawals for agriculture. Our results find that technological innovations and efficiency gains contributed significantly more to agricultural growth in Egypt than expansion of irrigated area or water use. Productivity growth accelerated in the 1980s following the transition from a socialist to a market‐oriented economy. Including social costs of irrigation provision reduces the implied rate of total productivity growth only marginally. Nonetheless, the rise in total resource productivity significantly increased the value of natural resource rents in Egyptian agriculture.

In June 2019, wholesale wheat grain prices in Syria's local markets were 60 percent higher than prices in the international markets. Localized insecurity and post-conflict economic issues aggravated by the COVID-19 pandemic remain significant drivers of production potential in Syria and are likely to impact the 2020/2021 agricultural season substantially...

A rebours de la « révolution verte » indienne et de ses dégâts, cet Etat du sud tente de rallier 6 millions de paysans à une agriculture économe, sans engrais chimiques ni pesticides, pour nourrir la totalité de ses habitants d’ici à 2027.

France is traditionally an important player on the world’s grains market, supplying a range of markets, particularly in the nearby countries of North Africa, with which it has a close trading relationship. However, in 2020, poor weather conditions led to a spectacularly poor crop, sharply reducing the surplus available to the largest European Union Member State, by area. The International Grains Council (IGC) put France’s total 2020-21 grains production at 57.6 million tonnes in its Oct. 29 Grain Market Report, down from its figure a . . .

BUENOS AIRES, BRAZIL — Truckers in Argentina, independent Teamsters, are protesting and blocking roads over increased fuel prices, taxes and highway tolls, MercoPress reported. The Argentina Cereals Chamber and Commodities Stock Exchange (CIARA-CEC) said the road disruptions could impact the transportation of grains and oilseeds to be exported. A CIARA-CEC spokesman told MercoPress, “Currently everything is operating, but the terminals only have a certain amount of storage capacity ... If the protest extends over time, it will generate problems. There is concern.” CIARA-CEC also expressed . . .

By Claire Hutchins, USW Market Analyst For the first time since 2013/14, total U.S. winter wheat planted area increased on the year as producers took advantage of dry seeding conditions and strong prices through fall 2020. USDA’s 2021/22 Winter Wheat Seedings report, released Jan. 12, reported U.S. farmers planted 32.0 million acres (12.9 million hectares) […]

India and the US are negotiating on a wide range of trade concerns, including greater access to the Indian market for American agricultural products, potentially in exchange for America restoring New Delhi's status under the Generalised System of Preferences (GSP), according to a Congressional report.

President Donald Trump in 2019 terminated India's designation as a beneficiary developing nation under the key GSP trade programme after determining that it has not assured the US that it will provide equitable and reasonable access to its markets.

While India is among the world's largest producers and consumers of a range of crop and livestock commodities, United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) projects that India will continue to be an important importer of dairy products, vegetable oils, pulses, tree nuts, and fruit and that it will continue to be a major exporter of rice, cotton, and buffalo meat.