MED-Amin network

Russian President Vladimir Putin has disclosed that the country, the third-largest exporter of wheat, is keen to increase the volume of its grainexports to the Egyptian market further.

President Putin has made this statement on last Wednesday subsequent to meeting with his Egyptian counterpart Abdel-Fattah El-Sisi held in the Russian capital city of Moscow.

At present, Egypt is the No.1 importer of wheat. It has imported 4 million tonnes of the cereal from Russia in 2014, and the figure represents 40% of the overall consumption of the North African country.

Interacting with media early this month, the Russian Premier Dmitry Medvedev has stated that the volume of exports of grains, including several crops exclusive of wheat, will grow to the levels of up to 7 million tonnes per annum.

Putin has also revealed that he has talked on the prospects of Russia s involvement in the development of grain infrastructure in Egypt with the Egyptian President as well.

The Russia President has disclosed that the Egyptian producers are reaping benefits from Russia s retaliatory ban on select food imports from the EU and the USA, and added that their shipping of food products to Russia has increased by over 8% in H1, 2015 from the exports figures in H1, 2014, due to this prohibition.

Le Conseil international des céréales (CIC) estime, dans un rapport du 27 août, la production mondiale de grains à 1.988 Mt en 2015-16 (contre 1.970 Mt le mois dernier), conduisant à un niveau de disponibilités jamais atteint.
 
Cette nouvelle estimation de récolte est notamment reliée à une production de blé et d'orge plus importante que prévue en mer Noire et en Europe. Il en est de même pour le maïs et le sorgho en Europe. La sécheresse a cependant touché le maïs dans l'UE et l'Ukraine et le blé de printemps au Canada.
 
Ainsi, « avec un large stock de report issu de la campagne précédente (445 Mt), les disponibilités totales sont attendues en hausse d'environ 10 Mt à un nouveau record » de 2.432 Mt de grains, d'après le rapport.
 
La consommation mondiale est, quant à elle, évaluée à 1.985 Mt de grains (contre 1.978 Mt le mois précédent), avec des utilisations pour l'alimentation humaine, animale et la transformation industrielle. Mais, « contrairement aux dernières années, l'augmentation de la demande en 2015-16 devrait surtout être influencée par la croissance des besoins en alimentation humaine », d'après le rapport du CIC.

PRINTABLE VERSION   EMAIL TO A FRIEND   RSS FEEDS 13:14 UK, 14th Aug 2015, by Agrimoney.com
Russian wheat exports still lagging thanks to tax uncertainty
The agribusiness Black Earth Farming has flagged the slow pace of Russian wheat shipments, as uncertainties over a new export levy and a slow start to the harvest put the pace of exports 60% behind last year.

"The imposition of export levies increase uncertainty in the company's operating environment," said Black Earth president and chief executive Richard Warburton.

The company also forecast rising global grain prices to come, as demand picks up.

Black Earth Farming expects total Russian grain exports in the region of 28mn tons, down 9.8% from 31m tons in the previous season, in line with other forecasts.

Mixed conditions

"Growing conditions have been mixed across Russia," Black Earth Farming said.

The start of the Russian wheat harvest was delayed by rains, however progress has since been good thanks to warm and dry weather.

Black Earth Farming reports that winter wheat yields "are generally good and only slightly lower than 2014's above-trend yields," while the potential for corn and sunflower yields is also good.

"With approximately 60% harvested, winter wheat yields average 3.8 tonnes per hectare," Black Earth Farming said.

However Black Earth Farming does note that early rains have lowered wheat quality, which will mean that there is less milling-grade wheat available, and more feed wheat, although continued dry weather would improve quality.

Afin d’appuyer la filière française dans sa démarche d’exportation vers les pays de l’Union Européenne, le Pôle Animation Export de FranceAgriMer organise en concertation avec les professionnels du secteur la tenue de 5 conférences :
- Espagne : Vendredi 25 septembre à Madrid

- Portugal : Mardi 29 septembre à Porto

- Italie : Vendredi 2 octobre à Rome – Conférence réalisée en partenariat avec RomaCereali

- Royaume Uni : Vendredi 23 octobre à Londres – Conférence réalisée en partenariat avec le Gafta

- Grèce et Chypre : Vendredi 30 octobre à Athènes

 

Inscription réservée aux opérateurs de la filière, à effectuer auprès du Pôle Animation Export : veronique.looten@franceagrimer.fr et pierre.silvera@franceagrimer.fr

WFP added remote mobile data collection to its toolbox because it is a reliable, cheap, quick and a safe way to collect operational data. Analytical bulletins are published in a matter of days, providing near real-time information for strategic decision-making, programme planning and appeals processes, both by WFP and by other humanitarian actors.

The approach has been tested in 11 countries, including during high profile emergencies such as the Ebola outbreak (September 2014) and the Iraq crisis (January 2015). The data collected is being used to inform decision-making in the humanitarian community. WFP VAM is gearing up for the scale-up of the project to all of WFP’s six regions of operation.

For further details, please see the The Assessor Issue 40 (Continued Food Security Monitoring in the Ebola-Affected Countries and Expansion of Remote Data Collection sections)

 

Aug 31 Chicago soybean futures fell
on Monday with the market on track for a second month of losses,
on the prospect for near-record U.S. production adding to
all-time high supplies from South America earlier this year.
Wheat and corn were also set to drop for a second month as
rising global supplies drag down grain prices.
Wheat has given up more than 20 percent of its value
since the beginning of July, while corn has lost 11
percent during the period and soybeans have fallen 15
percent in two months.
"It is the supply story in grain markets," said Phin
Ziebell, agribusiness economist with National Australia Bank.
"U.S. weather is looking largely favourable, Black Sea
supply is good and we have ample soybean supplies coming from
Brazil."
Chicago Board of Trade actively traded November soybeans
slid 0.6 percent to $8.80-1/4 a bushel by 0243 GMT,
December corn eased 0.1 percent to $3.47-3/4 a bushel and
wheat fell 0.2 percent to $4.83 a bushel.
Soybeans drew some support on Friday from forecasts of dry
weather in parts of the U.S. Midwest but the market could not
retain those gains with plentiful supplies flooding the market.
Egypt's state grain buyer booked 55,000 tonnes of Ukrainian
wheat in an international tender at around $177 per tonne
free-on-board (FOB), one day after buying Russian wheat for
roughly $180 a tonne FOB.
No U.S. wheat was offered at either tender because prices
were seen as uncompetitive.
In other news, Canada was storing 43 percent less canola and
about one-third less wheat and oats at mid-summer than a year
ago, as brisk exports ate away at supplies, according to a
Reuters survey.
Reuters surveyed 13 traders and analysts ahead of Statistics
Canada's Sept. 3 report on crop stocks as of July 31, 2015,
which marks the end of the 2014/15 marketing year. The report
gauges how much crop was in the system ahead of the harvest in
the world's No. 6 wheat producer and biggest canola grower.
Large speculators raised their net long position in CBOT
corn futures in the week to Aug. 25, regulatory data released on
Friday showed.
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission's weekly
commitments of traders report also showed that noncommercial
traders, a category that includes hedge funds, increased their
net short position in CBOT wheat and switched to a net short
position in soybeans.

ranceAgriMer et ARVALIS-Institut du végétal réalisent chaque année une enquête sur la qualité de la récolte française de blé, véritable référence pour tous les acteurs de la filière, utilisateurs et acheteurs, en France comme à l'étranger. Les résultats définitifs seront présentés au prochain Conseil spécialisé céréales du 9 septembre 2015.
Pour la première fois, FranceAgriMer publie en amont trois bulletins hebdomadaires, pour communiquer aux opérateurs les résultats partiels sur la qualité technologique des blés 2015 (protéines, poids spécifiques, temps de chute de hagberg, force boulangère…)  au fil des analyses effectuées par son laboratoire.  Des indicateurs précieux pour mieux cerner la réalité du terrain d'ici septembre !

D’après les résultats partiels analysés au 27 août :

Les teneurs moyennes en protéines sont principalement comprises entre 10,5 et 11,5 %.
Les poids spécifiques sont bons à très bons : 91 % des échantillons analysés sont supérieurs à 78 kg/hl.
Les indices de chute de Hagberg sont d’un niveau élevé : 96 % des échantillons analysés sont supérieurs à 240 secondes
Les forces boulangères sont supérieures à 170 dans près de la moitié des cas.
Ces résultats sont basés sur les analyses d’environ 90 % du nombre final d’échantillons attendu, pour le taux de protéines, le poids spécifique et l’indice de chute de Hagberg, et 76 % du nombre final d’échantillons attendu pour la force boulangère.

Consulter les résultats partiels au 27 août 2015 via le site open data de FranceAgriMer VISIONet ( lien d'accès ), ou télécharger directement le PDF en cliquant sur le fichier ci-dessous.

Egypt will accept higher moisture levels in government tenders to buy wheat for one year after an initial exemption expires at the end of August, its supply minister said on Thursday.

The decision was taken to ensure Egypt had a variety of origins from which to import wheat, Khaled Hanafi said.

Egypt, one of the world's largest wheat importers, had been accepting French wheat with a moisture level of up to 13.5 percent in its tenders with a penalty paid by traders.

Egypt's state grain buyer, the General Authority for Supply Commodities (GASC), began accepting wheat with more moisture a year ago, having previously set a 13 percent limit.

France is one of Egypt's most important wheat suppliers but had struggled to meet the more stringent moisture limits imposed by GASC before the exemption.

Egypt snaps up Russian wheat at a bargain price
The low price of Russian wheat was underlined at an Egyptian wheat tender, as Vladimir Putin, the Russian president, vows to corner the world's biggest wheat market.

The Egyptian state grain buyer, Gasc, purchased Russian wheat at $190.07 a tonne, including freight, the lowest price the authority has paid for wheat in years.

Gasc accepted the offered cargo of 60,000 tonnes of Russian wheat from Olam at $180.47 a tonne, plush $9.60 a tonne freight between the Black Sea and Egypt

French wheat was offered to Gasc at $187.74 a tonne excluding freight, cheap by historical standards, but undercut also by Ukrainian wheat, which was tendered at $182.99 a tonne.

Russian hopes

On Wednesday, Russia's president, Vladimir Putin, announced his intention to claim a larger share of Egyptian wheat supply.

Speaking after a meeting with Egyptian president Abdel Fattah, Mr Putin said that Russia exported 4m tonnes of wheat to Egypt last year.

This made up 40% of total demand from Egypt, the world's largest wheat importer.

Gasc has purchased 1.005m tonnes of wheat since the start of the fiscal year, in July, with wheat from Black Sea origins proving especially competitive.

Quality controls

But Egypt on Thursday extended the exemption to wheat quality import controls for government purchases, which could open up selling opportunities from other destinations.

World grain stocks to hit 29-year high, says IGC
World grain stocks are to end the new season at their highest in nearly 30 years, the International Grains Council said, ditching expectations of a fall in inventories as it upgraded to a record its wheat output estimate.

Global inventories of wheat and coarse grains combined will rise by 2m tonnes to 447m tonnes in 2015-16, "a 29-year peak", the IGC said, reversing expectations that production would fall behind consumption for the first time in three years.

The revision reflected a hike of 18m tonne to 1.99m tonnes in the forecast for world grains production, "tied to larger-than-expected wheat and barley crops in the [former Soviet Union] and the European Union", the council said.

The world wheat crop was upgraded by 10m tonnes to 720m tonnes, putting it in line with last season's record high.

Russia plans to increase grain export supplying to Egypt, declared Vladimir Putin, President of the Russian Federation, on August 26.
At the same time, V.Putin reminded that in 2014 Russia exported nearly 4 mln tonnes of grains to Egypt, and covered 40% of the demand in such commodities in Egypt.
According to the Russian President, in future Russia will increase grain supplies to the country. Therefore, to date the Presidents of both countries discussed the prospects of Russian direct participation in construction of the certain facilities of grain infrastructure at the Egyptian territory.

Yield forecasts for spring and summer crops at the EU-28

level have been revised downwards for the second
consecutive bulletin due to continued hot and mostly dry
conditions in large parts of Europe. Maize and sunflower
crops were particularly affected. The yield outlook for
winter cereals is slightly improved thanks to favourable
weather conditions in northern parts of Europe. Overall,
the yield forecast for total cereals dropped to almost 10%
below last year’s level, and to 1% below the five-year
average.

FranceAgriMer et ARVALIS-Institut du végétal réalisent chaque année une enquête sur la qualité de la récolte française de blé, véritable référence pour tous les acteurs de la filière, utilisateurs et acheteurs, en France comme à l'étranger. Les résultats définitifs seront présentés au prochain Conseil spécialisé céréales du 9 septembre 2015.
Pour la première fois, FranceAgriMer publiera en amont trois bulletins hebdomadaires, pour communiquer aux opérateurs les résultats partiels sur la qualité technologique des blés 2015 (protéines, poids spécifiques, temps de chute de hagberg, force boulangère…)  au fil des analyses effectuées par son laboratoire.  Des indicateurs précieux pour mieux cerner la réalité du terrain d'ici septembre !

Consulter les premiers résultats partiels au 20 août 2015 via le site open data de FranceAgriMer VISIONet

en accédant au site ( lien d'accès )
ou télécharger directement le PDF en cliquant ici

Prochains rendez-vous les 28 août et 4 septembre 2015… 

Worldwide, the US Department of Agriculture (USDA) is predicting a record-high wheat crop in 2015/16, though this is unlikely to apply to the EU. Although France is likewise reporting a new record crop of up to 40.4 million tons (8% up year-on-year) coupled with high quality levels, the situation is quite different in other EU countries such as Great Britain, Poland and not least in Germany.

The German Farmers' Association has provisionally reported a crop of 24.6 million tons of wheat, following a figure of 27.4 million tons last year, because the crop proved significantly below average apart from in the far south and far north of Germany. For the EU as a whole, the European Commission estimates that the soft wheat crop is down by 6.3%.

Due to the ample global supply and the competition from the Black Sea region, however, the European wheat price is hardly likely to profit from this, though it could well benefit from the corn market, as corn has suffered considerably from the hot and dry conditions.

Last week, the German Farmers' Cooperative (DRV) predicted a 24% year-on-year slump in the German corn crop, while the USDA and the European Commission forecast a more than 15% slump for the EU.

C’est une bonne année pour la céréaliculture marocaine, avec la production annoncée, à la fin de la campagne 2014-2015 des céréales d’automne (blé dur, blé tendre et orge), de 11,5 millions de tonnes, soit 5% de plus que les prévisions.

La production de blé tendre constitue 49% du volume total, soit 5,6 MT, indique le ministère marocain de l’Agriculture et des Pêches maritimes. La production de blé tendre est, selon le ministère, ‘’une production record‘’ et cette céréale constitue ‘’une composante fondamentale pour la consommation des ménages’’. Le blé dur et l’orge représentent respectivement 21% (2,4 MT) et 30% (3,5 MT) du total.

Les régions du Doukkala, Chaouia et El Haouz concentrent à elles seules plus de 45% de la production céréalière du Maroc. Plus que les itinéraires techniques et le soutien de l’Etat aux producteurs, ce sont les conditions climatiques qui sont à l’origine de cette production record, reconnaît le ministère. Le cumul pluviométrique a été en hausse de 15% par rapport à une année normale et de 26 % par rapport à la campagne précédente (2013/14).

 

Le Maroc, 3e importateur africain de céréales

 

‘’A l’exception des pics de température enregistrés fin octobre (25°C contre 20°C en année normale) et début février (6,7°C contre 12°C en année normale), le régime pluviométrique a été caractérisé par une excellente répartition temporelle et spatiale’’, relève le département de M. Aziz Akhannouche.

Durant la campagne 2012-2013, le Maroc avait réussi également une production céréalière record de 9,1 millions de tonnes, puis a enregistré une légère décroissance en 2014, avec 7 millions de tonnes, soit 29% de moins que la campagne précédente. 

Les céréales d’automne (blé tendre, blé dur et orge) occupent 5 millions d’hectares en moyenne, soit plus de 50 % de la SAU du pays. Le blé tendre et l’orge représentent chacun quelque 40% de cette surface et le blé dur 20 %.

Cependant, cette production ne suffit pas à satisfaire les besoins du marché local, et la facture des importations de céréales est en moyenne de 300 millions de dollars annuellement. En 2013 et 2014, le Maroc a en effet importé la même quantité de céréales, soit 3 millions de tonnes en complément de la production locale, selon le bilan 2014 de la FAO. Il est le troisième plus gros importateur de céréales en Afrique après l’Egypte et l’Algérie.