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February 27, 2017 3:58 AM
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Argentine officials hiked their estimate for the newly-finished wheat harvest to a record high, even as they warned over the loss of some soybean crops to floods – although market expectations for the harvest are recovering.
Argentina's farm ministry lifted by 1.89m tonnes to 18.39m tonnes its estimate for wheat production - a rise of more than 7.0m tonnes year on year - citing survey results which showed sowings had reached 6.36m hectares.
That was far higher than the previous estimate of 5.34m hectares, and returned sowings to levels that "were usual until a decade ago", before the imposition of – now removed - export taxes and controls cut farmer returns from wheat and prompted them to switch to alternative crops.
While the ministry flagged that that the latest crop had suffered "significant losses due to climatic reasons", with 800,000 hectares of plantings lost, an elevated average yield of 3.30 tonnes per hectare fuelled the rise in production to 18.39m tonnes.
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February 25, 2017 7:39 AM
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L’agriculture est une grande activité humaine, qui participe directement de l’économie mondiale. À ce titre, elle s’inscrit dans les rapports de force interétatiques et devient un instrument de la puissance dans les mains des dirigeants. On parle de « puissance alimentaire ».
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February 24, 2017 3:33 AM
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Présenté comme un des rapports structurant la réflexion communautaire pour les prochaines évolutions de la PAC, le rapport de la Task Force sur les marchés agricoles mérite d’être analysé en profondeur alors que s’ouvre la consultation publique pour la future Politique Agricole Commune. Lancé en septembre 2015 par le Commissaire Hogan, le groupe de travail (task force) sur les marchés agricoles a en effet rendu son rapport en novembre dernier. Partant du constat que les agriculteurs subissent les conséquences de pouvoirs de négociation réduits au sein de la chaine alimentaire, le mandat donné par la Commission était de trouver des solutions en termes de transparence des marchés, d’une meilleure organisation des producteurs mais également de recours aux marchés à terme. Fruit d’une large consultation, le rapport structure les doléances exprimées par différents acteurs de la chaine de valeur alimentaire.
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February 24, 2017 3:27 AM
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Egypt has finalised its rejection of 18,000 tonnes of Russian wheat that prosecutors seized at an Alexandria port in November, traders with direct knowledge of the matter said on Thursday.
Egyptian prosecutors had seized the wheat from a storage site belonging to a private company in Dekheila port after finding it unsuitable for human consumption.
Cairo-based traders told Reuters in November the shipment was seized after large numbers of insects were found in the storage site.
The shipment will now be re-exported, the traders said on Thursday.
Russia's agriculture safety watchdog had said in January the shipment could be released after fumigation to get rid of pests.
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February 24, 2017 3:25 AM
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The Canadian agriculture ministry cut its outlook for spring wheat plantings, as price expectations ease.
The Department of Agriculture and Agri-Food (AAFC) sees spring wheat plantings growing slower than thought, while winter wheat plantings fall, and yields return to average levels.
The AAFC also unveiled a big trim to canola stocks numbers, as it raised its ideas of consumption in the season just finishing.
Smaller wheat sowings
AAFC forecast spring wheat sowings to rise by 3% year-on-year, compared to the 4% rise forecast last month, with durum sowings also down.
This yields total wheat sowings of 9.15m hectares, compared to the 9.33m forecast a month ago.
And with yields expected to return to average levels, this implies production of 28.60m tonnes.
This would be down 3.12m tonnes year-on-year, and 500,000 tonnes below AAFC's January forecast.
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February 24, 2017 3:24 AM
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Egyptian wheat purchases speed ahead of last season's pace
Egypt made another huge wheat purchase, mainly from Russia - but it is paying more dearly for its Black Sea supplies, some of which is now being undercut by offers of French grain.
Gasc, the state grain buyer for top-ranked wheat importer Egypt, bought 360,000 tonnes of Russian and Ukrainian wheat.
The grain buyer has now bought 720,000 tonnes of wheat in five days, an unusually brisk pace of purchasing even for Gasc, bringing total purchases so far this season to 4.60m tonnes
This means the pace of wheat purchases, which got off to a slow start this year, are now running well ahead of last season.
This time last season, Gasc had bought 3.25m tonnes of wheat.
Gasc wheat purchases at tender, February 22
60,000 tonnes of Russian wheat from Cargill at $196.50 a tonne plus $11.25-a-tonne freight
60,000 tonnes of Russian wheat from Louis Dreyfus at $196.95 a tonne plus $11.25-a-tonne freight
60,000 tonnes of Russian wheat from Olam at $197.00 a tonne plus $11.25-a-tonne freight
60,000 tonnes of Russian wheat from Medgulf at $198.25 a tonne plus $10.85-a-tonne freight
60,000 tonnes of Russian wheat from ADM at $199.30-a-tonne plus $10.85-a-tonne freight.
60,000 tonnes of Ukrainian wheat from Louis Dreyfus at $195.90 a tonne, plus $12.55-a-tonne freight
Prices rise
But the prices that Gasc is paying are on the rise, thanks to increasing prices in Russia.
The grain buyer paid between $196.50 and $199.30 a tonne for five 60,000 tonne cargoes of Russian wheat.
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February 23, 2017 3:24 AM
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In their first joint transaction, the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) and the Industrial Development Bank of Turkey (TSKB) are providing €6 million of working capital financing to Ulusoy Un Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S., a flour miller and grain trader based in Samsun, a city in the Black Sea region of Turkey.
Divided 50:50 between the two lenders, the financing will be used to purchase, store and sell agro-commodities.
Founded in 1989, Ulusoy Un produces and sells flour used for the production of bread, biscuits, chapattis and noodles. The company exports its wheat flour to 86 countries on five continents, from the Far East to the Caribbean islands, as well as Africa and the Middle East.
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February 23, 2017 3:23 AM
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Grain stored in covered outdoor piles can be successfully maintained for medium to longer-term “temporary” storage if variables such as site preparation, layout design, aeration use, and initial grain moisture content have been properly addressed before grain was piled outdoors during the 2016 harvest.
What cannot be controlled but challenges the ability of a manager to maintain grain quality are the prevailing weather conditions during the storage period, the initial quality of the crop, and to some extent the length of storage. Minimizing storage losses in covered outdoor piles requires attention to storage management and frequent monitoring. Maintaining quality is always a greater challenge than in permanent structures such as bins, silos, tanks and buildings. Outdoor piles that are not covered should always be considered short-term “emergency” storage only and should be moved to permanent structures as soon after harvest as possible. This is even more critical if it rained on uncovered piles during any length of the storage period.
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February 23, 2017 3:20 AM
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L’objectif visant à éradiquer la faim d’ici à 2030 ne pourra être atteint sans de nouveaux efforts
Autonomiser les petits exploitants agricoles et leur fournir un meilleur accès à l’information, aux marchés et aux technologies est essentiel afin de garantir l’avenir de leur sécurité alimentaire.
22 février 2017, Rome - Les pressions sur les ressources naturelles, de plus en plus intenses, les inégalités qui continuent de se creuser et les répercussions négatives du changement climatique compromettent la capacité de l'homme à se nourrir par lui-même à l'avenir. Tel est le message alarmant d'un nouveau rapport de la FAO publié aujourd'hui.
Selon L'Avenir de l'alimentation et l'agriculture : Tendances et défis, bien que des progrès majeurs aient été réalisés en matière de réduction des souffrances liées à la faim à travers le monde ces 30 dernières années, «le fait d'augmenter la production alimentaire et la croissance économique a de lourdes répercussions sur l'environnement naturel».
«Presque la moitié des forêts sur cette terre ont maintenant disparu. Les sources en eau souterraines s'amenuisent rapidement et la biodiversité a été particulièrement affectée», révèle le rapport.
«Si cette tendance se poursuit, il se pourrait bien que cela dépasse les frontières planétaires», a déclaré M. José Graziano da Silva, Directeur général de la FAO dans son discours de présentation du rapport.
D'ici à 2050, l'humanité comptera vraisemblablement près de 10 milliards de personnes. Selon les prévisions de l'Avenir de l'alimentation et l'agriculture : Tendances et défis, dans l'hypothèse d'une croissance économique modérée, cette hausse de la population aura pour effet d'augmenter la demande mondiale en produits agricoles de 50 pour cent par rapport au niveau actuel, accentuant ainsi les pressions sur les ressources naturelles déjà limitées.
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February 21, 2017 4:15 AM
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European growers look to be getting through winter without major frost damage, the European Commission said.
Despite some losses in Scandinavia, Germany, Spain, Hungary, and the Black Sea region, the EC said damages from frost-kill "remain limited".
But there are concerns in the Ukraine that a thick layer of snow, which protected the winter wheat crop, could start to cause problems if it lasts for much longer.
'Limited' frost damage
"A cold spell persisted throughout January in central and eastern Europe, with several day with minimum temperatures around -15c, an reaching values below 20c in many areas," the EC said.
But frost kill-damage was said to have been limited, and there are no new weather on the horizon.
"On the basis of the weather forecast, no further frost-kill events are expected before 22 February," the EC said.
Snow threat in Ukraine
But the EC warned that "the situation is delicate in central and north-eastern Ukraine," due to the thick layer of snow.
"In these regions the winter crops are protected by snow but the persistent thick snow cover (in several places sealed by ice crusts) can cause respiration problems for the underly8ing crops and increase the probability of snow mould," the EC said.
"This could cause significant damage if the snow cover lasts until after the end of February."
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February 20, 2017 3:29 AM
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Today, on February 17, GASC will hold a milling wheat tender with shipment during March 16-26, 2017, reports UkrAgroConsult.
At the last tender of January 26, Egypt bought 410 KMT of milling wheat from Russia with shipment during March 01-20, 2017 at a price of USD 203.96/MT C&F. The price at the previous tender equaled USD 201.04/MT C&F.
More detailed information on tenders is available to subscribers for weekly market report "Black Sea Grain & Oil" by UkrAgroConsult.
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February 18, 2017 9:15 AM
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Au sein de l'Union européenne, huit pays seulement produisent du riz. Mais pour combien de temps ?, s'interroge Bertrand Mazel, à la fois président du syndicat des riziculteurs français et de l'union des riziculteurs européens. La situation est tendue, en raison de la hausse des importations de riz ces dernières années. Particulièrement inquiets pour l'avenir, les représentants des producteurs et des industriels de la filière d'Italie, d'Espagne, de France, de Grèce, du Portugal, de Roumanie, de Hongrie et de Bulgarie ont décidé de se réunir ce lundi à Milan.
"Ces importations massives déstabilisent le marché européen, assure Bertrand Mazel. Lundi, ce sera donc un rendez-vous de la riziculture européenne, une plateforme de discussion réunissant des représentants de l'ensemble de la filière riz, et l'après-midi on reçoit les fonctionnaires européens de chaque pays concerné. On va leur mettre les chiffres, les données économiques devant les yeux."
Des chiffres sans appel, selon le président de l'union des riziculteurs européens (voir infographie). "En Europe, on consomme quatre millions de tonnes de riz, et on en produit trois, détaille-t-il. Mais, entre 2009 et 2016, on est passé de 800 000 tonnes de riz importé à 1,364 million de tonnes." Un produit qui arrive principalement des "pays les moins avancés" (PMA), notamment du Cambodge. "Ces pays ne payent pas de droits de douane, ils sont hypercompétitifs, indique Bertrand Mazel. Chaque année, les importations en provenance de ces PMA augmentent de 20 %. Et cela vient caramboler la production européenne. On arrive à un point où on doit stocker notre propre production, et ça plombe les cours du riz. Pour nous, c'est dramatique !"
Autre souci, une nouvelle concurrence pourrait survenir très bientôt pour les riziculteurs européens, l'UE étant en train de négocier des accords de libre-échange avec l'Inde, la Thaïlande, les États-Unis et la zone Mercosur (Brésil, Argentine...). Si les droits de douane d'un pays comme la Thaïlande sont supprimés, "les stocks vont encore augmenter, le cours du riz, déjà catastrophique, va encore baisser, craint le président de l'union des riziculteurs européens. Une étude de la Commission européenne montre d'ailleurs que le riz est un secteur sensible, elle prévoit une baisse des prix de l'ordre de 8 à 12 %, et de la production de 5 %. Finalement, c'est l'Europe elle-même qui tire la sonnette d'alarme. On est déjà à la limite au niveau rentabilité et compétitivité. Si on baisse nos prix de 10 %, on est morts !"
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February 17, 2017 3:42 AM
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Dans un essai, le politologue et maître de conférences à Sciences Po Thomas Guénolé propose la création d’une Union méditerranéenne moins pléthorique et qui retienne les leçons du passé de l’UE et de l’UpM.
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February 27, 2017 3:58 AM
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US wheat production will fall this year at its fastest in 26 years, fuelling a decline in the world harvest, underpinning hopes of a recovery in prices, officials said.
The US Department of Agriculture, at its annual Outlook Forum giving crop prospects for the next marketing year, pegged the US wheat harvest at 1.84bn bushels, equivalent to 50.0m tonnes.
A harvest at that level would be the lowest in 11 years, and represent a 20% fall in output year on year – a pace of decline exceeded only once, in 1991-92, on data going back to the 1960s.
And wheat harvests will fall too in Australia, Canada, Russia and Ukraine, meaning that "after setting record in four consecutive years, world wheat production in 2017-18 is expected to decline", despite some recovery in output expected in the European Union, the top grower.
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February 24, 2017 3:55 AM
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Jadis leader de l’Europe agricole, la France paysanne est aujourd’hui en souffrance (56 % des fermes ont disparu entre 1988 et 2013) et peine à tenir son rang de 5e exportateur planétaire de produits agricoles. Car toute puissance alimentaire (food power) est foncièrement fragile : même la première économie agricole du monde peut l’apprendre, partiellement, à ses dépens.
Pendant la Guerre froide, dans le contexte économiquement perturbant du choc pétrolier de 1973, les États-Unis théorisent la notion de " food power". Pour le Secrétaire à l'Agriculture Earl Butz (1971-1976), l'alimentation est une arme (" food is a weapon") et les États-Unis doivent mettre leur agriculture en ordre de bataille. Or, l'efficacité de cette arme s'est considérablement émoussée : l'avènement d'un nouveau monde agricole et les difficultés intrinsèques du modèle agricole états-unien en sont les deux causes principales
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February 24, 2017 3:30 AM
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Les quantités d’eaux stockées dans les grands barrages du pays ne dépassent pas 650 millions de mètres cubes (m3), contre une moyenne de 1025 m3 par an, a affirmé le secrétaire d’Etat chargé des ressources hydrauliques et de la pêche Abdallah Rabhi.
S’exprimant lors d’une réunion de la commission de l’agriculture, de la sécurité alimentaire, du commerce et des services y afférent, relevant de l’Assemblée des représentants du peuple (ARP), il a indiqué que les niveaux des eaux des barrages Nebhana et Sidi Salem restent en deçà de leurs capacités de stockage.
Les quantités d’eaux stockées dans le barrage Sidi Salem ont atteint 199 millions de m3 (capacité de 392 Millions de m3), alors que les quantités d’eaux du barrage Nebhana ont atteint 13,9 millions de m3 (une capacité de 58 millions de M3).
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February 24, 2017 3:26 AM
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Since the beginning of the current marketing year, Kazakhstan already supplied more than 5.3 mln tonnes of grains and flour on foreign markets, declared the Ministry of Agriculture of the Republic of Kazakhstan on February 23.
In particular, the country exported 3.4 mln tonnes of grains and 1.4 mln tonnes of flour (or 1.9 mln tonnes expressed in grain terms).
As a reminder, in the season-2015/16 Kazakhstan supplied 5.4 mln tonnes of grains and 2.1 mln tonnes of flour on foreign markets.
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February 24, 2017 3:25 AM
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The International Grains Council flagged the threat posed by a "poor outlook for profits" to its wheat price outlook, even as it raised again its estimate for world grain stocks, citing the bumper Australian harvest.
The IGC stood by a forecast that world wheat area will see only a "slight fall" in 2017-18, on a harvested basis, supported in many major growing countries by subsidy incentives.
Factors including "attractive levels of government support will help to underpin sowings in some regions", the council said.
However, it acknowledged too the threat posed by weak prices to plantings, and the weak margins which had already prompted US growers to cut winter wheat sowings to the lowest since 1909.
"A poor outlook for profits could contribute to a switch to other crops in places," the IGC said, while sticking with a forecast that world wheat output next season will fall by 2% to 735m tonnes, with an assumption that yields will retreat from bumper 2016-17 levels also reflected in the estimate.
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February 23, 2017 3:24 AM
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Koninklijke Bunge B.V. (Bunge), a wholly-owned subsidiary of Bunge Ltd., a global agribusiness and food company, and Bahri Dry Bulk Co. (BDB), a subsidiary of the Bahri Group, the national shipping arm of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, have created a joint venture to establish an ocean freight supplier for dry bulk import and export flows in and out of the Middle East region.
The joint venture, which will operate under the name Bunge Bahri Dry Bulk Ltd., will provide freight transportation services to regional and other international customers. The company plans to ship more than 5 million tonnes during its first year of operation, ramping up volume over time to double-digit figures. BDB and Bunge will own 60%/40% of the joint venture respectively, and it will be registered and based in Dubai. Financial terms of the agreements were not disclosed.
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February 23, 2017 3:23 AM
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E.U. compound feed production continued its upward trend in 2015, showing a slight increase to 155 million tonnes from 153.3 million tonnes a year earlier, but up 7.7% from 2009.
The 155 million tonnes accounted for 80% of all purchased feeding stuffs, according to the Feed & Food Statistical Yearbook 2015 released by the European Feed Manufacturers (FEFAC) in December 2016. Cattle feed production decreased slightly while pig feed increased slightly. The largest increase was seen in poultry feed, which was up 3.25%, to 53.7 million tonnes.
Although production was up, the total number of feed production units was down 1.7%, to 3,564. The number of units has continued a mostly downward trend, and is down 12% from 2005, according to the FEFAC yearbook
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February 23, 2017 3:22 AM
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Rapidly expanding global trade in the past three decades has lifted millions out of people out of poverty. Trade has also reduced manufacturing wages in high income countries and made entire industries uncompetitive in some communities, giving rise to nationalist politics that seek to stop or reverse further trade expansion in the United States and Europe. Given complex and uncertain political support for trade, how might changes in trade policy affect the global food system’s ability to adapt to climate change? Here we argue that we can best understand food security in a changing climate as a double exposure: the exposure of people and processes to both economic and climate-related shocks and stressors. Trade can help us adapt to climate change, or not. If trade restrictions proliferate, double exposure to both a rapidly changing climate and volatile markets will likely jeopardize the food security of millions. A changing climate will present both opportunities and challenges for the global food system, and adapting to its many impacts will affect food availability, food access, food utilization and food security stability for the poorest people across the world. Global trade can continue to play a central role in assuring that global food system adapts to a changing climate. This potential will only be realized, however, if trade is managed in ways that maximize the benefits of broadened access to new markets while minimizing the risks of increased exposure to international competition and market volatility. For regions like Africa, for example, enhanced transportation networks combined with greater national reserves of cash and enhanced social safety nets could reduce the impact of ‘double exposure’ on food security.
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February 21, 2017 5:17 AM
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Collective food security has been on the Association of Southeast Asian Nations’ (ASEAN) agenda since its founding, and the 2007-2008 food crisis saw this agenda grow in relevance. The 2015 launch of the ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) is the latest regional integration effort and the most ambitious, seeking to build a single market and production base that promotes equitable development and makes Southeast Asia more globally competitive. In the food space, the AEC is making attempts to harmonize safety standards, improve infrastructure, enable trade and spread modern and sustainable agricultural practices. Where successful, it could be a boon for farmers, consumers and a variety of stakeholders in between.
Yet, headwinds to regional food system integration abound. Countries continue to protect domestic agricultural sectors from competition, retreat from the regional food trade and prioritize domestic production for strategic and political purposes. These policies arise from the trauma of past food price volatility and concerns about future price and supply uncertainty. They also risk impeding regional integration reforms that would do more good than harm.
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February 20, 2017 5:46 AM
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In an attempt to curb costly subsidies and rid the wheat procurement system of fraudulent practices, the Egyptian President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi recently announced a new pricing system for this year’s domestic wheat crop.
Under the system, wheat would be bought from farmers based on prevailing international market prices, derived from a moving average of prices paid by the Ministry of Supply’s General Authority for Supply Commodities (GASC) on its wheat purchases the previous two months, the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s (USDA) Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) said in a Feb. 2 report.
In the past two years, as global wheat prices plummeted, the Egyptian government continued to maintain high procurement prices in an attempt to provide a safety net to over 2.5 million wheat farmers, while aggressively expanding its procurement targets from an average of 3.5 million tonnes to over 5 million tonnes in 2015 and 2016. However, this approach represented a substantial cost to the Egyptian government as high prices increased arbitrage opportunities, prompting many agents to mix cheaper imported wheat into the procurement channels, passing it off as having been domestically produced, the report said. It is estimated that in 2015 and 2016, at least 1 million tonnes of imported wheat were introduced into the procurement program, costing the Egyptian government an excess $110-$115 million on this operation.
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February 20, 2017 3:27 AM
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The US grip on world corn and wheat exports is to ease faster than had been thought, thanks to enhanced South American competition, US officials said – even as market worries mount over Mexico shifting its orders.
The US Department of Agriculture, in a much-watched long-term projections report, trimmed its forecast for US wheat exports as of 2025-26 by 600,000 tonnes to 27.4m tonnes.
For corn, the figure was slashed by 3.2m tonnes to 54.6m tonnes, with reductions for rice and sorghum too.
The revisions mean that the US is foreseeing capturing 33% of world corn exports in nine seasons' time, down from an estimate of 39% made a year ago.
In wheat, the US forecasts its export market share at 14.1%, down 0.9 points from it expectations a year ago.
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February 17, 2017 3:43 AM
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Last week no significant changes were observed in Ukrainian wheat market. At the end of the reporting week prices for wheat with 11.5%, protein increased by USD 1/MT. The continuing bullish trend in the global wheat market and reduction in the world’s high-quality wheat supply still supported the prices.
The demand for the Black Sea milling wheat remained strong as for this period of season, particularly from the major importers such as Egypt and Morocco, reports UkrAgroConsult.
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