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par Terre-net Media, 03/10/2018 Compte-tenu des conditions climatiques sèches de l'année, la majorité des agriculteurs comptent démarrer leurs semis de blé vers la mi-octobre, selon un sondage réalisé sur Terre-net entre le 25 septembre et le 1er octobre 2018, auprès de plus de 1 300 votants. 
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by SeeNews, 16/09/2018 Albania's improved institutional quality, increased prospects for the start of EU membership talks and solid economic growth prospects support the country's credit profile (B1 stable), Moody's said. "Albania has made notable progress in strengthening the quality of its institutions, while judicial reforms are positive for potential future EU accession talks," Daniela Re Fraschini, Moody's assistant vice president - analyst and co-author, said in a rating agency’s report on Albania issued on Tuesday. “Real GDP growth is forecast at around 4% over 2018-19, supported by healthy private consumption and robust investment on the back of major infrastructure projects.” Over the longer term, Moody's expects Albania's real GDP growth of around 4.0% and for it to remain broad-based, assuming that the reform momentum continues to support major economic sectors like energy, agriculture and tourism. ress in strengthening the quality of its institutions, while judicial reforms are positive for potential future EU accession talks," Daniela Re Fraschini, Moody's assistant vice president - analyst and co-author, said in a rating agency’s report on Albania issued on Tuesday. “Real GDP growth is forecast at around 4% over 2018-19, supported by healthy private consumption and robust investment on the back of major infrastructure projects.” Over the longer term, Moody's expects Albania's real GDP growth of around 4.0% and for it to remain broad-based, assuming that the reform momentum continues to support major economic sectors like energy, agriculture and tourism. - See more at: https://seenews.com/news/stronger-institutions-solid-growth-prospects-support-albanias-credit-profile-moodys-627915?_scpsug=bookmarked,1612172#_scpsug=bookmarked,1612172
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Renforcer l'action auprès des pays émergents, des pays de la rive Sud de la Méditerranée et de l'Afrique subsaharienne : tel est un des grandes axes d'actions de la nouvelle Stratégie Europe et International 2018-2022 du ministère de l'agriculture et de l'alimentation français. A ce titre, le CIHEAM sera un des partenaires privilégiés pour mener à bien ces actions, espace de dialogue politique sur les questions agricoles méditerranéennes. L'initiative régionale multilatérale MED-Amin (voir page 40 de la stratégie), qui vise à favoriser la coopération et le partage d'expériences entre les systèmes d'information nationaux sur les marchés céréaliers, est un des outils à renforcer pour atteindre ces objectifs ambitieux.
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Le Matin Maroc, 13/09/2018 Le Maroc continue de représenter un marché stratégique pour les céréales françaises. Le 9 octobre prochain, les professionnels de l’Hexagone organisent à Casablanca un grand séminaire de présentation de l’offre céréalière française pour la campagne 2018-2019. Initié par France Export Céréales, l’association de promotion internationale des céréales françaises, cet événement s’inscrit dans le cadre des «Rencontres franco-marocaines des céréales», pour l’année 2018. Conduite par le président de France Export Céréales, Philippe Heusele, la délégation française comprendra des représentants de sociétés d’exportations des céréales et d’équipement pour le stockage, la conservation, l’analyse et la transformation de ces denrées.
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Prendre en compte conjointement les enjeux d’alimentation durable des Européens, de préservation de la biodiversité et des ressources naturelles et de lutte contre le changement climatique suppose une transition profonde de notre système agricole et alimentaire. Un projet agroécologique fondé sur l’abandon des pesticides et des engrais de synthèse, et le redéploiement de prairies extensives et d’infrastructures paysagères permettrait une prise en charge cohérente de ces enjeux. Le projet TYFA explore la possibilité de généraliser une telle agroécologie à l’échelle européenne en analysant les usages et besoins de la production agricole, actuelle et future. Un modèle quantitatif original (TYFAm), mettant en relation systémique la production agricole, les modes de production et l’usage des terres, permet d’analyser rétrospectivement le fonctionnement du système alimentaire européen et de quantifier un scénario agroécologique à 2050 en testant les implications de différentes hypothèses.
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Par Médias24, le 18/09/2018 Réchauffement climatique et stress hydrique touchent particulièrement le Maroc – à l’instar de l’ensemble de la région Mena, avec des répercussions certaines en termes d’accessibilité aux ressources et de sécurité alimentaire. L’évaluation de la vulnérabilité du royaume à la sècheresse était au cœur des débats lors d’un atelier scientifique organisé conjointement, le 17 septembre, par le ministère de l’Agriculture et l’ICBA (International Center for Biosaline Agriculture). Les chiffres sont en eux-mêmes éloquents. Alors qu’un pays est considéré en stress hydrique lorsque la disponibilité en eau est inférieure à 1.000 m3/habitant/an, les ressources marocaines en eau sont aujourd’hui évaluées à 650 m3/habitant/an et vont descendre en deçà de 500 m3 à l’horizon 2030! Sommes-nous outillés pour faire face à cette pénurie? Le Maroc travaille actuellement sur un Plan national de l’Eau à l’horizon 2050, destiné à couvrir les besoins en eau potable et en irrigation. Cette situation est d’autant plus problématique que le stress hydrique menace la sécurité alimentaire au Maroc et dans l’ensemble de la région Mena. Dans le rapport 2018 de la FAO sur la situation des marchés des produits agricoles, publié le 17 septembre, on relève notamment que les pays d’Afrique du Nord seront contraints, dans les années qui viennent, d’accroître leurs importations de 2,6% - avec un renchérissement des prix estimé au minimum à 1,2%.
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Après quatre années de récoltes mondiales plus élevées que la demande solvable, un recul de 5,5% de la production mondiale en 2018 a fait monter les prix du blé tendre de 25% en moins de deux mois. Cette hausse est bienvenue pour les céréaliers après deux années très difficiles. Mais elle a été pilotée par les traders depuis les salles de marché. Qu’en sera-t-il dans les prochaines années, si les Etats laissent les spéculateurs décider du prix de notre nourriture quotidienne ?
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The Daily Sabah, 17/09/2018 One of the world's largest and most comprehensive sustainable development projects, the Southeastern Anatolia Development Project (GAP) has so far boosted Turkey's agricultural production and significantly contributed to exports. The $32 billion GAP, launched in 1977, is one of the world's largest and most comprehensive sustainable development projects, including efficient irrigation methods and a water infrastructure development scheme, has seen the gradual increase of investments each year, the project's President Sadrettin Karahocagil said. Pointing out that there are serious differences in the region compared to 15 years ago, Karahocagil recalled that the share of the region in Turkey's exports increased from 2 percent to 6 percent, while exports rose from $600 million to over $10 billion.
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GEOGLAM Crop Monitor of September 2018 released on September 5, based on information as of 28 August 2018. As of the end of August, soybean conditions are favourable while wheat, maize, and rice conditions are mixed. Winter wheat in the northern hemisphere has wrapped up with further reduced yield prospects in the EU and Ukraine. While spring wheat conditions are favourable with the exception of Canada. For maize in the southern hemisphere, the summer-planted crop in Brazil finishes up with a good national production despite lower yields. In the northern hemisphere, conditions are mixed in Europe and exceptional in the US. Rice in China and India are favourable while in Southeast Asia conditions are mixed. Soybean conditions are exceptional in US Midwest and mostly favourable throughout the rest of the northern hemisphere.
CIHEAM News's insight:
To download the full report, click here https://cropmonitor.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/AMIS_CropMonitor_201809.pdf
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Cultivar, le 29/08/2018. Au Maroc, on savoure la production céréalière de 2018. Le pays a récolté 10,3 millions de tonnes de céréales grâce à un rendement historique moyen de 22,9 q/ha (+27%) par rapport à 2017. Dans le détail, la production de blé tendre atteint les 4,9 millions de tonnes (Mt), 2,4 Mt de blé dur et 2,9 Mt d'orge. Malgré des conditions de semis rendues difficiles par l'arrivée tardive des pluies, le reste de la campagne s'est déroulée parfaitement à la faveur de conditions climatiques très satisfaisantes, températures clémentes et régularité et bonne répartition des précipitations. (Source Afrique Agriculture)
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The U.S. Wheat Associates (USW) launched its new website in July, with a new section that includes expanded information about its 16 office locations and the countries they serve. On these individual pages, viewers will find:
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By Stephanie Bryant-Erdmann, USW Market AnalystUSDA expects global wheat production to fall to the lowest level in 5 years at 733 million metric tons (MMT), down 3 percent from the record high of 758 MMT in 2017/18. If realized, it would be slightly below the 5-year average. This downturn is, unfortunately, led by decreasing supplies in historic wheat exporters. At the same time, USDA raised its forecast for global wheat consumption to a record high 746 MMT, up 1 percent from 2017/18. This article gives a round-up of crop conditions and forecast for Argentina, Canada and Australia.
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by FAO, 13/08/2018 Improving the health of the world's soils is essential to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals, including Zero Hunger and combating climate change and its impacts, FAO Director-General José Graziano da Silva, today told participants of the World Congress of Soil Science. In a video message to the event, which is being attended by more than 2,000 scientists from around the world, Graziano da Silva noted that approximately one third of the Earth's soil is degraded. "Soil degradation affects food production, causing hunger and malnutrition, amplifying food-price volatility, forcing land abandonment and involuntary migration-leading millions into poverty," he said. The FAO The Status of the World's Soil Resources report has identified 10 major threats to soil functions including soil erosion, soil nutrient imbalance, soil carbon and biodiversity losses, soil acidification, contamination, soil salinization, and soil compaction. Graziano da Silva stressed the importance of sustainable soil management as an "essential part of the Zero Hunger equation" in a world where more than 815 million people are suffering from hunger and malnutrition.
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The World Bank, 01/10/2018 Wheat and other rainfedcrops are critical to food security and livestock survival and are the crops most affected by climate variability. Climate change’s adverse impacts on agriculture are a contingent liability for the Tunisian economy, including for the country’s GDP, trade balance, and balance of payments. As agricultural and agro-industrial outputs fall, food and fodder imports must rise to meet domestic demand. Therefore, this report suggests additional action on implementing integrated drought management (IDM) on top of what the government is already doing. Food and agriculture value chains are affected by climate events. This report includes detailed analyses of two key value chains, namely wheat and dairy.
CIHEAM News's insight:
To download the full report, click here http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/318211538415630621/pdf/130406-WP-P159856-Tunisia-WEB2.pdf
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by Luis Vieira (Agriculture.com), 05/09/2018 Argentina’s rising debt level is pushing up export taxes. Argentina has suffered a currency crisis since the beginning of the year, and the Argentinian peso devalued over 100% against the U.S. dollar since then. This is sparking increased export taxes for Argentina’s agricultural commodities. President Mauricio Macri announced US$ 12.9 billion in cuts and the return of export taxes to reach the full agreement of the IMF. On farm exports, the tax rate would be four pesos for every dollar in exports with a roof of 10% with some exceptions like soybean, oilseeds. In the view of Gustavo López, president of Agritrend, based in Buenos Aires, the new tax will reduce the corn surface in Argentina. “Wheat was already planted. Corn is yet to be planted in Argentina after the wheat harvest. And corn was punished again.
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by World Grain, 25/09/2018 Spain, with a structural deficit in grains, is Europe’s biggest grain importer, with purchases mainly driven by a large livestock sector. A Member State of the European Union, the country is unique in the E.U. for large-scale adoption of genetically modified crops, with Bt maize grown on a relatively large scale. The International Grains Council (IGC) now forecasts Spain’s total 2018-19 grains production at 21.7 million tonnes, up from 15.8 million in 2017-18. Wheat production is forecast at 7.2 million tonnes, up from 4.9 million the year before. Maize production is expected to rise to 4.4 million tonnes from 3.7 million in 2017-18. Barley output is seen unchanged at 1.6 million tonnes. In 2017-18, regular rainfall sustained high productivity in Spain, in contrast with France, which had lost yield because of excessive rainfall.
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By UkrAgroConsult, 25/09/2018 The drought has heavily affected grain, rapeseed, and forage production in Germany. As a result, Germany is expected to strongly increase imports of soybeans/soybean meal and to become a net grain importer. The US is set to become top source of soybeans to Germany. The drought was officially declared, “a weather incident of national extent,” enabling the Government to award financial support for over 10,000 farms in Germany.
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TIRANA (Albania), September 25 (SeeNews) – Germany will offer 5.0 million euro ($5.9 million) through its development bank KfW to increase the capital of Albania’s Rural Credit Guarantee Fund (RCGF) in order to improve financing of projects of local farmers, the German embassy in Tirana said. The fund has already supported around 1200 farmers to secure loans and finance their projects over the past three years. RCGF was established in 2015 with the aim to facilitate access to funding for farmers and entrepreneurs in rural areas with little or no collateral. The fund supports its partner financial institutions through a risk-sharing mechanism. Low expenditures and structural problems such as the small size of local farms and crop fields are some of the main challenges Albania faces in the area of agriculture.
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Le conseil spécialisé pour la filière céréalière, réuni le 12 septembre 2018 sous la présidence de Rémi Haquin, Après une campagne commerciale 2017/18 marquée par la prédominance russe sur l’échiquier mondial, la filière céréalière française compte bien reconquérir les parts de marché perdues. Relativement épargnée par la sécheresse en comparaison de ses voisins d’Europe du Nord et d’Europe centrale, la France devrait s’affirmer comme fournisseur majeur de blé et d’orge sur la scène internationale en 2018/19.
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Mensuel de septembre 2018 de l'Académie d'Agriculture de France. La hausse et la volatilité des prix du riz induites par une tension croissante sur l’offre marquent un changement structurel dans l’organisation des échanges mondiaux de riz ayant contribué aux émeutes de la faim de 2008. Cette réorganisation des marchés mondiaux intervient dans un contexte de changement climatique qui selon l’Institut international de recherche sur les politiques alimentaires (IFPRI) induira d’ici 2050 une augmentation des prix du riz d’environ 35%, alors que les rendements diminueront de 15 % (2), que le stock mondial n’est que de 3 mois, et qu’il conviendrait selon la FAO de produire 700 millions de tonnes de plus d’ici 2030, c’est-à-dire ni plus ni moins que de doubler la production actuelle !
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7 September 2018, World Grain The Turkish government said on Sept. 6 that due to recent fluctuations in domestic flour prices it has introduced a regulation limiting exports of flour produced from grain grown domestically, outside of the Inward Processing Regime duty exemption mechanism, to 1% of total exports, according to S&P Global Platts. The Ministry of Trade told S&P Global Platts the action was taken to stabilize domestic flour prices, protect consumers and prevent speculation, but noted that the export limit was temporary and would be removed when domestic price stability returned. Turkey has been the world’s top flour exporter over the last five years, accounting for one-third of all flour exports. In 2017, Turkey exported 3.6 million tonnes of flour worth $1.1 billion.
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Published online on 5 September 2018. One of the challenges of eco-efficient agriculture is the development of operational farming practices to increase the level of agricultural production, maximize the efficiency of resource use and reduce environmental impacts. Based on the efficiency frontier concept and the decomposition of resource use efficiency, we used a three-quadrant framework allowing to carry a functional analysis of the cropping system. Using a data envelope approach, we established boundary curves which represent the maximum achievable performances (yield, N uptake) when N is the only limiting factor. This framework has been first implemented and tested using published data from 112 agronomic situations of rainfed durum wheat (Triticum durum Desf.) in experimental fields in northern Syria and then further applied on a data set of 245 agronomic situations of durum wheat in farmers’ fields in two grain-producing regions of Tunisia. The results demonstrated the impact of preceding crops: durum wheat following legumes or vegetable showed a higher potential for N uptake but with only a minor effect on its conversion into grains. This positive effect of diversified rotation on potential N uptake by durum wheat is partly of-set by increased N uptake gaps in farmer’s fields indicating a higher effect of other limiting factors.
CIHEAM News's insight:
To download the publication, click here https://doi.org/10.1080/03650340.2018.1514111
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CNBC, 23 August 2018 The International Grains Council on Thursday raised its forecast for world corn/maize production in the 2018/ 19 season, largely driven by an improved crop outlook in the United States. The inter-governmental body, in a monthly update, put world corn production in 2018/19 at 1.064 billion tonnes, up 12 million from its previous projection, partly due to more optimistic forecasts for the US corn.The annual Pro Farmer Midwest Crop Tour has just projected above average corn yields in several states including Illinois, Nebraska, South Dakota, Indiana and Ohio.
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FAO, 17 September 2018. Open, predictable and fair global food markets can help strengthen climate change response efforts and contribute to fighting hunger, says the new FAO report released on 17 September 2018. International trade rules established under the auspices of the WTO and newer mechanisms created under the Paris Agreement aimed at responding to climate change can be mutually supportive, argues The State of Agricultural Commodity Markets, 2018. To achieve this, national agricultural and trade policies may need to be readjusted to help transform the global marketplace into a pillar of food security and a tool for climate change adaptation, FAO's report says. This is because climate change will affect global agriculture unevenly, improving production conditions in some places while negatively affecting others - creating sets of "winners" and "losers" along the way. Food production in countries in low latitudes -- many already suffering from poverty, food insecurity and malnutrition -- will be hardest hit, the report notes. Regions with temperate climates, on the other hand, could see positive impacts as warmer weather lifts agricultural output.
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By Melody Walker, 13/08/2018 It takes a lot of water to grow rice... Farmers in Missouri’s bootheel have plenty from underground aquifers, replenished by the Mississippi River. But in Egypt, the government has slashed rice planting in half to conserve water. A new dam near the Nile River’s source in Ethiopia is threatening to stem the flow to Egypt’s rice paddies. That could be an opportunity for Missouri, a leading rice-producing state. Half of the U.S. crop is exported. The current trade war and tariffs with China have led American producers to explore other markets. When Greg Yielding from Missouri, heard about the situation in Egypt he had an idea. The director of emerging markets for the U.S. Rice Producers organization, instantly started thinking about making a trade deal. He proposed that Missouri export “rough” or unmilled rice to Egypt. “It could help them economically as well as be a sustainable food supply for their people,” Yielding said. Egyptian traders have been receptive. To which extent?
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