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CIHEAM News
from CIHEAM Press Review
December 16, 2021 6:53 AM
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Le syndicat régissant les « intérêts » des agriculteurs est mécontent. Il reproche au gouvernement le communiqué qui oblige les agriculteurs à n’écouler leurs productions qu’au sein des marchés officiels, autrement dit les marchés de gros.
Quelle est la raison de cette vive réaction ? Tout simplement qu’elle pourrait mettre un terme, du moins, limiter ces manipulations dont les agriculteurs sont d’ailleurs les premières victimes. En vendant en dehors de ces lieux surveillés et organisés, les spéculateurs contrôlent les produits et ne font parvenir aux circuits de vente que les quantités qu’ils jugent suffisantes pour fixer les prix.
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CIHEAM News
from CIHEAM Press Review
December 16, 2021 6:51 AM
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Le Centre International de Hautes Etudes Agronomiques Méditerranéennes mène actuellement un projet de coopération auprès des ministères de l’Agriculture de plusieurs États membres de l’organisation intergouvernementale. C’est le cas de l’Egypte et du Liban, où le directeur de l’un des quatre instituts du CIHEAM – situé dans le sud de la France, à Montpellier – s’est rendu récemment pour marquer le lancement du projet SupMed. Le projet de coopération, destiné aux agriculteurs libanais et égyptiens, s’appuie sur la proposition de nouveaux systèmes de production. Plus respectueux de l’environnement et des ressources naturelles, en particulier l’eau, mais aussi plus efficaces en termes de productivité. Il s’agit donc, à l’arrivée, de générer des revenus plus intéressants pour les ménages agricoles..
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CIHEAM News
December 14, 2021 3:52 AM
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Total EU grain output is also projected to decline slightly. Wheat production in the European Union (EU) in 2022 is expected to decline by more than 3 million tonnes compared to 2021, according to Coceral, a European association representing the trade in cereals and other agricultural products. In its first forecast for the 2022 EU-27+UK grain crop, Coceral projected wheat output at 139.8 million tonnes, down slightly from the previous year mainly due to a return to average yields in the Balkan region. The French wheat crop is forecast to be down by almost 1 million tonnes year-on-year, while the German crop is seen higher by about 500,000 tonnes. The EU-27+UK 2022 barley production is forecast at 59 million tonnes, marginally down from 59.4 million tonnes this year.
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CIHEAM News
December 14, 2021 3:41 AM
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At the end of November, conditions are generally mixed for wheat while favourable for maize, rice, and soybeans. For wheat in the northern hemisphere, winter wheat is established with areas of concern. In the southern hemisphere, harvesting is ongoing. For maize, harvesting is wrapping up in the northern hemisphere while sowing is progressing in the southern hemisphere. Rice harvesting is wrapping up in China for late-season rice and India for Kharif rice, while wet-season rice remains impacted by heavy rains in October. Soybean sowing is progressing in the southern hemisphere.
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CIHEAM News
December 13, 2021 9:37 AM
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Global agricultural trade, which increased at the end of 2020, has been described as “resilient” to the impacts of the COVID-19 coronavirus pandemic; however, the size and channels of its quantitative impacts are not clear. Using a reduced-form, gravity-based econometric model for monthly trade, we estimate the effects of COVID-19 incidence rates, policy restrictions imposed by governments to curb the outbreak, and the de facto reduction in human mobility/lockdown effect on global agricultural trade through the end of 2020. We find that while agricultural trade remained quite stable through the pandemic, the sector as a whole did not go unscathed. First, we estimate that COVID-19 reduced agricultural trade by the approximate range of 5 to 10 percent at the aggregate sector level; a quantified impact two to three times smaller in magnitude than our estimated impact on trade occurring in the non-agricultural sector. Second, we find sharp differences across individual commodities. In particular, we find that non-food items (hides and skins, ethanol, cotton, and other commodities), meat products including seafood, and higher value agri-food products were most severely impacted by the pandemic; however, the COVID-19 trade effect for the majority of food and bulk agricultural commodity sectors were found to be insignificant, or in a few cases, positive. Finally, we also examine the effects across low vs high income countries, the changing dynamics of the pandemic’s effect on trade flows, and the effects along the extensive product margins of trade.
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CIHEAM News
December 13, 2021 9:23 AM
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Despite generally favourable supply prospects, international prices of most food commodities continue to remain high on robust trade with demand holding firm. Larger imports and soaring freight costs are expected to push up the world food import bill to over USD 1.75 trillion in 2021, a rise of 14 percent (USD 218 billion) from 2020 and 12 percent from the previous report in June. This report provides supply and demand forecasts for basic foodstuffs, fish and fishery products along with price analysis and policy information. TheSpecial Feature examines the pathways and impacts of rapidly rising input prices, especially those of energy derived from fossil fuels, which can have detrimental effects on the global food economy in terms of their influence onfood prices and future price developments, as well as their likely consequences for global food security. Food Outlook is published by the Markets and Trade Division of FAO as part of the Global Information and Early Warning System (GIEWS).
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December 13, 2021 9:07 AM
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Italian pasta makers are fearful of a substantial supply squeeze in the coming months after this summer's durum wheat price shock, as the market runs out of ways to offset a dire harvest in top exporter Canada. Some Italian processors risk being caught short when the local crop runs out and may see production stoppages in the coming months, said Strategie Grains. "In terms of prices and scarcity of durum, the worst is perhaps still to come."
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December 13, 2021 8:57 AM
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Those fretting about the global scarcity of high quality wheat have one more reason to worry: heavy rains at the wrong time in Australia, one of the world’s biggest exporters of the grain.
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December 13, 2021 8:50 AM
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Argentina's 2021-22 export wheat sales have almost doubled on the year, driven by concerns over a tightening global milling wheat supply outlook. Argentinian farmers sold nearly 400,000t of wheat in the week to 17 November, with 346,000t bound for export, agriculture ministry data show. New-crop export wheat sales now stand at 10.31mn t, up from just 5.76mn t at the same point last year, as importers try to secure milling wheat volumes amid uncertainties over Australian crop quality and expectations that Russia will further tighten export restrictions.
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CIHEAM News
December 13, 2021 8:35 AM
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Confirming the fears of many in the wake of historic wildfires in Turkey this summer, a newly released regulation by the Forestry and Agriculture Ministry allows the development of everything from prisons to religious facilities on forested land.
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CIHEAM News
December 13, 2021 8:20 AM
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Imports forecast to increase as government relaxes social distancing measures. Demand for wheat-based food in Indonesia is recovering as the government relaxes social distancing measures with COVID-19 cases declining. As result, the country’s wheat imports are projected to rebound in the 2021-22 marketing year to 10.6 Mt, up 2% from an earlier forecast issued by FAS (USDA). Indonesia depends entirely on wheat imports to supply its large flour milling industry, which consists of 30 mills with installed capacity estimated at 13.1 Mt (wheat equivalent), up from 12.8 Mt in 2020-21, the report said. “However, running capacity is currently only averaging 60% to 70%, a decline from 80% in 2018-19,” the USDA said. “As more mills open and expand capacity, competition in the market is expected to further increase price sensitivities, already a major factor in determining the source of imports.”
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CIHEAM News
from CIHEAM Press Review
December 13, 2021 6:33 AM
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#SFSMED DIALOGUES (PART 3) 9 December 2021 The third independent Food Systems Summit Dialogue for the Mediterranean Region (SFS MED dialogue) organised by the International Centre for Advanced Mediterranean Agronomic Studies (CIHEAM), the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), the Secretariat of the Union for the Mediterranean (UfM), the One Planet Network’s Sustainable Food Systems Programme (OPN-SFSP) and the Partnership for Research and Innovation in the Mediterranean Area (PRIMA) Foundation, took place on 9 December 2021. It was the third one after the independent Dialogues held in April and June 2021.
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CIHEAM News
December 13, 2021 6:24 AM
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Situation as of week 48: 716 thousand tons of maize (+5% vs 2020),173 thds tons of rice (+30% vs 2020). Grains imports increased 33% in volume, 37% in value on 1st semester of 2021 vs same period in 2020! O Gabinete de Planeamento, Políticas e Administração Geral (GPP) tem por missão apoiar a definição das linhas estratégicas, das prioridades e dos objetivos das políticas do "Ministério da Agricultura, Florestas e Desenvolvimento Rural" (MAFDR) e do "Ministério do Mar" (MMar) e coordenar, acompanhar e avaliar a sua aplicação, bem como assegurar a sua representação no âmbito comunitário e internacional e prestar o apoio técnico e administrativo aos gabinetes dos membros do governo e aos demais órgãos e serviços integrados no MAFDR/MMar.
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Rescooped by
CIHEAM News
from CIHEAM Press Review
December 16, 2021 6:53 AM
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Loss in food production increases prices; that, in turn, influences people’s food intake and fuels conflicts.
The year is coming to an end. With the rise of the new Omicron variant, the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic is nowhere near closure. The other existential crisis — climate change — has continued too with record-shattering milestones. In early December, another rude shock was delivered, which impacts us all — FAO reiterated climate change’s role in jacking up food prices. The rise impacts the world’s poor even more because the pandemic has already pushed millions into the poverty trap and every third person in the world is not able to have adequate food. The average food prices (after adjusting for inflation) in the 11 months of 2021 are the highest in 46 years, said FAO.
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CIHEAM News
from CIHEAM Press Review
December 16, 2021 6:50 AM
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The rise in food prices in Turkey has hit a fever pitch: Inflation has now spread to public markets, where Turkish people generally go for better deals. Some people say the prices have forced them to stop buying food by weight.
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December 14, 2021 3:47 AM
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Face à une demande importante en engrais azotés ces dernières semaines, la logistique d'approvisionnement en France peine à suivre. Pénurie ou pas pénurie d'engrais ? C’est l’une des questions qui ont animé le webinaire consacré aux engrais azotés, organisé par Yara France le 8 décembre. « Pas de pénurie réelle, juge le président de la filiale française, Nicolas Broutin, qui explique que ses deux usines françaises dédiées à la production d'engrais agricoles tournent à 100 % et produisent les volumes habituels. » Seulement, cette année, les prix des engrais étaient hauts dès la morte saison et les agriculteurs ont retardé le moment de s’engager. « On peut encore rattraper notre retard sur les fermes, explique-t-il. Il y a, par contre, un problème de transport en France ».
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CIHEAM News
December 13, 2021 10:04 AM
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The year 2021 has not been easy for food markets given an abundance of uncertainties, from production to distribution and consumption. Prices kept climbing and even reached record highs for some crops, turning food inflation into a major concern, even in developed countries. Overall, markets continued to show their resilience, with global supplies remaining adequate and logistical bottlenecks proving short-lived. As pressures on global food security keep mounting, markets will hopefully enter more stable waters in the coming year in order to ensure adequate access to food for the most vulnerable.
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December 13, 2021 9:33 AM
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Cette étude a permis d’analyser dans quelle mesure les contextes socio-économiques, institutionnels et politiques de la production céréalière dans les trois pays peuvent favoriser ou empêcher l’adoption des céréales pérennes pour l'adaptation au changement climatique. Les effets que peut avoir l’un des contextes sont déterminants pour faciliter ou entraver leur adoption par les agriculteurs et les institutions. Les résultats ont montré que les conditions des régions marginales paraissent plus propices à l’introduction des céréales pérennes, et que les politiques, qui ont engendré la structure actuelle de la céréaliculture intensive, constituent un frein à l’adaptation au changement climatique. L’Etat est toujours présent en tant qu’agent économique ...
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December 13, 2021 9:14 AM
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The COVID-19 pandemic exposed the vulnerability of agrifood systems to shocks and stresses and led to increased global food insecurity and malnutrition. Action is needed to make agrifood systems more resilient, efficient, sustainable and inclusive. The State of Food and Agriculture 2021 presents country-level indicators of the resilience of agrifood systems. The indicators measure the robustness of primary production and food availability, as well as physical and economic access to food. They can thus help assess the capacity of national agrifood systems to absorb shocks and stresses, a key aspect of resilience. The report analyses the vulnerabilities of food supply chains and how rural households cope with risks and shocks. It discusses options to minimize trade-offs that building resilience may have with efficiency and inclusivity. The aim is to offer guidance on policies to enhance food supply chain resilience, support livelihoods in the agrifood system and, in the face of disruption, ensure sustainable access to sufficient, safe and nutritious food to all.
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December 13, 2021 9:04 AM
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Export total projected to be the lowest since 2004-05. Canada’s wheat output in marketing year 2021-22 is expected to shrink significantly due to one of the hottest and driest summers on record, according to a Global Agricultural Information Network report from the Foreign Agricultural Service of the US Department of Agriculture (USDA). The USDA projects wheat production at just 21.7 million tonnes, 38% lower than the previous year and the lowest mark since a 20-million-tonne harvest in 2007-08. The average yield for all types of wheat is expected to fall more than 30% below the five-year average of 3.42 tonnes per hectare, the USDA said. “Drought conditions stretched across vast regions of farmland in 2021,” the USDA said. “Typically, moisture levels and temperature vary significantly across the prairies and drought occurs in isolated pockets.
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December 13, 2021 8:54 AM
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The corn basis in key US markets was firm in the month through Nov. 22, even as the current marketing year 2021 22 (September August) harvest is coming to a close, because of strong ethanol production
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December 13, 2021 8:45 AM
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World corn, barley and sorghum trade to China in the year ending 30 September 2021 collectively, at 50.2Mt, doubled the previous record set in 2014/15. Imports of corn and barley each reached new highs, while sorghum reached the second-largest volume on record. Major suppliers for corn were the United States 69pc and Ukraine, 29pc; for sorghum US 77pc, and Argentina 14pc; for barley, Canada 29pc, France 26pc, and Ukraine 26pc.
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December 13, 2021 8:23 AM
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China buys more wheat than any other country, but typically imports less than half what is allowed under a quota system established in 2001. A USDA, Economic Research Service study suggests China’s import volume in 2021 may reach that quota for the first time in two decades.
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December 13, 2021 8:18 AM
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Country trying to tame food inflation. Russia is considering setting a wheat export quota of 9 Mt on wheat that is shipped from mid-February through June 30 in 2022, Bloomberg reported on Dec. 3, citing anonymous sources. Bloomberg also cited sources saying that the total grains export quota during that period would be 14 Mt. If implemented, the quota for that period in 2022 would be lower than the 17.5-Mt quota imposed during the same period in 2021. Food inflation in Russia is at a five-year high and the country already has a formula-based tax on grain exports which was implemented last June. The Russian government on Oct. 28 cut its official grain harvest estimate for the 2021-22 marketing year to 123 Mt, down from its previous projection of 127 Mt. It said the country’s wheat output, which has been hampered by dry weather, is expected to shrink to 75 Mt, down from 85 Mta year ago.
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CIHEAM News
from CIHEAM Press Review
December 13, 2021 6:33 AM
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Le Groupe Interacadémique pour le Développement (GID) et le CIHEAM ont signé ce jeudi 9 décembre 2021, à l'Institut de France, une déclaration commune en prévision du Forum Mondial de l’Eau qui se tiendra en mars 2022 à Dakar et un accord de partenariat.
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