The World Trade Organization says global trade is booming - now is not the time to put it at risk.
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![]() The World Trade Organization says global trade is booming - now is not the time to put it at risk.
Graham Watson's insight:
The WTO have joined the IMF in highlighting the adverse consequences of any prospective trade war. Stands to reason, really.
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![]() Lagarde says ‘darker clouds looming’ for global economy amid US-China tensions
Graham Watson's insight:
The IMF with a pessimistic view of the future of trade.
![]() Some believe the president's confrontational approach could reverse decades of trade liberalisation.
Graham Watson's insight:
More on the trade war/dance. What next?
![]() America's international trade hits a monthly record, but its trade deficit also widens.
Graham Watson's insight:
The US trade deficit has widened. Ideal solution? Start a trade war, I'd have thought...
![]() The soya bean market has become an unlikely flashpoint in the global trade wars.
Graham Watson's insight:
A sign of a trade war? Watch for figures relating to Chinese soyabean production. The Chinese are large importers of US soyabeans, and any move to produce more domestically might suggest that the Chinese are serious about initiating a fully-fledged trade war.
![]() Timber producers in Zimbabwe are having to diversify in an increasingly difficult market.
Graham Watson's insight:
A fascinating story of how changing market dynamics affect an industry. A slump in construction means that demand for timber has fallen and this has an obvious effect on the price of timber, but at the same time, production costs have risen, meaning that profit margins in the sector has been squeezed.
![]() From class to politics to business, the middle was linked to stability – now things are less predictable
Graham Watson's insight:
Aha! The squeezed middle - a result of technological change and globalisation creating winner-takes-all markets. An interesting historical perspective - and a phenomenon that historians, in particular, should be fascinated by.
![]() 10,000 miles outside Silicon Valley, start-ups are booming in Nairobi, Kenya. Take a tour of Nairobi Garage – Africa’s largest co-working space – and see for yourself
Graham Watson's insight:
Entrepreneurship is vital to a growing economy, and this International Finance Corporation clip highlights the fact that digital entrepreneurs are playing a growing role in the development of Kenya.
![]() Donald Trump’s “economic madness” will push the US into a sharp recession that risks dragging the rest of the world down with it, one of Britain’s most senior economists has warned.
Graham Watson's insight:
A sober assessment of the impact of Trumponomics from a former Bank of England policymaker. Alas, to people with a degree of sense, this sort of thing comes as no surprise. But are we being fooled by our cognitive biases into favouring this view. It is clear that the President has little to commend him as either human being or President, and we're all desperately keen for him to fail - or be impeached - so whilst I'd like to agree with the story, I confess that I'm also sceptical too.
![]() US President Donald Trump announced plans for tariffs of 25% on up to $60bn in Chinese imports, heightening fears of a trade war between the world’s two largest economies and sending US stocks sharply lower.
Graham Watson's insight:
President Trump outlines the reasons for his introduction of $60bn worth of tariffs on China. Except that it isn't - other than suggesting that China doesn't respect intellectual property rights (IPRs) and that this is a way to correct the US trade deficit, both with China and the rest of the world. He has some sort of point with the first argument. But that second, whilst appealing to his political supporters, just isn't good economics.
![]() China has been flouting intellectual property rules and it does has more to lose
Graham Watson's insight:
Nils Pratley's business briefs are always informative: the first part of this is very good, and gives a rationale for the latest US tariffs on Chinese exports.
![]() US president calls on Brussels to respond in kind to temporary amnesty, while move against Beijing hits stock markets
Graham Watson's insight:
More on the latest round of tariffs imposed by the US, this time against China. I love the fact that the President argues that the "US trade deficit with Beijing was out of control at about $504bn" without accepting any Us responsibility for this. I'm a simple fellow. However, I suspect that this particular trait is a long-standing one as far as the President is concerned.
![]() EU leaders will looking to avoid a full-blown confrontation over trade with the Trump administration today, as efforts continue to broker an EU exemption from looming US steel and aluminium tariffs, EU sources said.
Graham Watson's insight:
More on US tariffs: we're not in on the deal, but we're 'hopeful' of exemptions. This is the world we live in. 'Hopeful'. Are there any more straws that we can clutch at? |
![]() Chinese president’s comments may be enough to tamp down escalating rhetoric
Graham Watson's insight:
The games have commenced - but the Guardian hopes that President Xi's recent comments might serve to damp down fears of an all out trade war.
![]() How American livestock and motorcycles became unlikely weapons in a looming trade war.
Graham Watson's insight:
Hogs and Harleys: the BBC looks at how Chinese tariffs are likely to affect the American economy, focusing on the direct impact of Chinese tariffs on the economy of Iowa and other states, notably their political implications.
![]() The public declarations of potential tariffs are dramatic, but US and Chinese officials are still talking.
Graham Watson's insight:
If it looks like a trade war, sounds like a trade war, and acts like a trade war, then it's probably a trade war. Not a 'trade dance' as some would like to style it.
![]() Responding to US president’s tariffs on steel and aluminium, China targets 120 US products including a 25% tariff on frozen pork
Graham Watson's insight:
The Guardian on the Chinese retaliation - 120 products have been targeted, including frozen pork. Here we go.
![]() US stocks tumbled as China followed through on a threat to retaliate against American tariffs with border taxes of its own.
Graham Watson's insight:
Round 3: the US is likely to introduce a fresh round of tariffs, including tech taxes. When will this nonsense end? And who is gaining?
![]() Markets lurch as Beijing imposes tariffs on 128 US products, including pork, wine and aluminium.
Graham Watson's insight:
The Chinese have responded to US tariffs with a raft of tariffs of their own. Beijing has put duties of up to 25% on 128 American imports. And the Americans don't like it - well, I never. Here comes the possibility of a trade war. But they're apparently easy to win. Watch this space!
![]() The head of the world’s lender of last resort has waded into the row about greater fiscal and banking union among eurozone member states, throwing the institution's backing behind plans for a more economically integrated currency union.
Graham Watson's insight:
The Telegraph highlights the fact that the IMF appears to endorse closer economic integration within the EU. However, whether this is 'news' per se, or part of the Telegraph's attempt to portray remaining in the EU as a fate worse than Brexit.
![]() Trump made a big play of slapping tariffs on Chinese imports, but experts say neither side will risk escalating the current spat
Graham Watson's insight:
The Guardian argues that, although the rhetoric is incendiary, the likelihood of a full-blown trade war between the US and China is unlikely, because it isn't in anyone's interest. Let's hope they are right.
![]() Stock markets dived again on Friday as Donald Trump faced a barrage of criticism for launching a $60bn (£42bn) package of tariffs on Chinese goods, sparking fears of a global trade war.
Graham Watson's insight:
It seems that the EU is bracing itself for a trade war.
![]() Beijing says it firmly opposes new US tariffs and that it is capable of meeting any challenge.
Graham Watson's insight:
Let the games begin!
![]() Experts say US and Chinese consumers will see higher prices – and fear other countries will be dragged in to the dispute
Graham Watson's insight:
Hurrah! A trade war looms: easy to win, apparently.
![]() The US trade representative says the import duties have been "paused" while further talks take place.
Graham Watson's insight:
Good oh! The EU and six other economies have been excused from the recently-introduced steel and aluminium tariffs. That, at least, is a good thing. However, isn't it nice to have our trade policy dictated by the whims of President Trump. I'm looking forward to fiscal and monetary policy being determined on the same basis. |