(UkrAgroConsult)
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(Miller Magazine) "The Black Sea region has long anchored global wheat trade with its aggressive pricing and geographic advantage — especially in the MENA region. But as weather volatility rises and competitors regroup, the balance is shifting. In this article, we explore how shifting production dynamics and geopolitical tensions are redrawing the trade map in one of the world’s most import-dependent regions."
(Fastmarkets) "In July, rains were reported across most regions in Australia, which saved crops in some areas that had been dry, like Victoria or South Australia, and boosted potential yields in other regions. That has led to increased optimism in the market about production, with current estimates for the harvest above 30 million tonnes, and the highest estimates around 33-34 million tonnes."
(Reuters) "STAROBILSK DISTRICT, Russian-controlled Ukraine, Aug 6 (Reuters) - Luhansk, one of four regions of Ukraine that Russia has claimed as its own since going to war in 2022, expects to double its wheat harvest this year and send some for export, local officials say. The rapid rise in production reflects the regions' growing role in Russia's agriculture sector and shows how the world's largest wheat exporter is incorporating them into its strategy."
(OleoScope, translated by UkrAgroConsult) "Global sunflower seed production in the MY 2025/26 is projected to reach 59.3 mln tons, a 7.6% or 4.2 mln ton increase from the previous season’s 55.1 mln tons, according to analysts at Germany’s Oil World. The growth is attributed to a low base from last year, when heat and drought led to the lowest sunflower seed harvest in four years."
(Reuters) "KYIV, Aug 4 (Reuters) - The 2025 harvest of Ukraine's key commodities, wheat and corn, may be higher than expected if weather conditions are favourable, while stable export demand will encourage farmers to expand winter wheat sowings for the 2026 crop, a senior official said on Monday."
(Latifundist) "Ukraine’s corn production for the 2025/26 marketing year may reach 34.7 million tons, up 29% from the previous season, according to FAS USDA estimates. However, continued soil moisture deficits could reduce yields."
CIHEAM News's insight:
Include harvest and export forecasts for wheat, corn, barley and rye
(Argus Media) "The recent precipitation has improved soil moisture levels in some of the previously drier areas in the northern part of Argentina's main agricultural area, leaving adequate to optimum levels in 78.7pc of the area planted, Bage said."
(Miller Magazine) "As wheat demand in North Africa climbs to over 46 million tons, Black Sea suppliers are swiftly reshaping regional trade flows, displacing the EU’s historical dominance."
(ZAWYA) "CAIRO: Egypt and Ukraine have agreed to take specific steps to boost trade in key farm commodities including grain and sunflower oil as Kyiv seeks to deepen ties with its largest trading partner in the Middle East and North Africa, the Ukrainian embassy said."
(IRAQI NEWS) "The Iraqi Ministry of Agriculture confirmed that the country’s wheat production dropped drastically in 2025 due to the lack of rain. Iraq’s deputy agriculture minister, Mahdi al-Jubouri, told Rudaw that this year’s wheat production is estimated to be 5.12 million tons, compared to 5.4 million tons produced in 2024."
(Зерно Он-Лайн, translated by UkrAgroConsult) "The European Commission has reduced its grain production forecast for the European Union in the 2025/2026 season from 282.9 million tonnes to 278.4 million tonnes. Last season, the EU countries harvested 255.2 million tonnes of grain."
(El Economista) "Las retenciones a la carne aviar y vacuna se reducen del 6.75% al 5%; las del maíz de 12% a 9.5%; al sorgo, de 12% a 9.5%; las de la soya del 33% al 26 por ciento."
"Withholdings on poultry and beef are reduced from 6.75% to 5%; those on corn from 12% to 9.5%; on sorghum from 12% to 9.5%; and on soybeans from 33% to 26%." |
(Tridge) "According to the Ministry of Agriculture and Food (MZH), the wheat harvest in Bulgaria exceeded last year’s by more than 10%. By the end of July, 97% to 99% of the wheat, rapeseed and barley areas, as well as more than 80% of the rye and triticale areas, had been harvested."
(European Commission - Joint Research Centre) "While some areas, such as most of Germany and northern France, experienced improvements, others, including the southern UK, south-western France, southern Ukraine, and large parts of south-eastern Europe (from Hungary to the Black Sea, including most of Türkiye), continued to face drought conditions with different severity levels. During this period, warm spells affected the Iberian Peninsula, Italy, Greece, and Türkiye."
(Reuters) "PARIS, Aug 8 (Reuters) - World food commodity prices rose in July to their highest in over two years, as a jump for vegetable oils and record levels for meat outweighed falling cereal, dairy and sugar prices, the United Nations' Food and Agriculture Organization said. The FAO Food Price Index, opens new tab, which serves as a global benchmark for food commodity prices, averaged 130.1 points in July, a 1.6% increase from June, FAO said."
(MarineLink) " European traders reported that the lowest price offered by Tunisia’s state grain agency in its international tender on Thursday for about 100,000 metric tonnes of soft wheat is believed to be $262.50 per ton, including freight and cost. "
(S&P Global) "In MY 2024-25 (September-August), Turkey imported a significant volume of corn from the Black Sea region, driven by favorable government policies and the growth of the poultry sector."
(UkrAgroConsult) "Prices for benchmark Thai rice fell in July 2025 to their lowest level since April 2017, reaching $392 per ton, according to World Bank data. This decline is driven by an oversupply in the global market following the removal of export restrictions by several key rice exporters, boosting available supply on international markets."
(Reuters) "Commodity brokerage StoneX on Monday projected U.S. 2025 corn production at 16.323 billion bushels, with an average yield of 188.1 bushels per acre (bpa).StoneX also forecast this year's U.S. soybean harvest at 4.425 billion bushels, with an average yield of 53.6 bpa."
(S&P Global) "The top exporters of phosphate fertilizer to the US face 10%-25% tariffs under US President Donald Trump's latest slate of tariffs announced on July 31, with the duties due to go into effect on Aug. 7. Including Morocco, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Jordan, Israel, Australia, Tunisia and Lebanon."
(Agroberichten Buitenland) "The Agricultural Trade Early-Warning and Remedy Expert Committee of the Ministry of Agricultural and Rural Affairs (MARA) published the Report of Global Agricultural Market and Trade 2025 on July 28th 2025 in Beijing. The report reviews the first half of the year 2025 and looks forward to the second half."
(24.kz, translated by UkrAgroConsult) "Kazakhstan and Türkiye have agreed to establish a joint grain hub based at the Baku Grain Terminal. The initiative, announced during a meeting of the two countries’ agriculture ministers, is aimed at simplifying logistics chains and ensuring their stability. Kazakh Agriculture Minister Aidarbek Saparov and his Turkish counterpart Ibrahim Yumakli discussed prospects for deepening cooperation in the agricultural sector, in particular in the supply of durum wheat, including durum and hi-pro varieties."
(Challengd.ma) "OCP Nutricrops, filiale du groupe OCP, a franchi le cap des 5 millions de tonnes de capacité de production de TSP (Triple Super Phosphate), grâce à la mise en œuvre de son programme stratégique « TSP Hub », lancé sur la plateforme industrielle de Jorf Lasfar."
From
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