AI News

Questions remain about the Commerce Department's authority to implement the rule.

People increasingly use language models to support life decisions. Many such decisions involve a probabilistic forecast: How likely is a major life event, a natural disaster, or an economic outcome? Users of language models may implicitly trust that these forecasts fall out of a coherent world model. In this paper, we evaluate the coherence of language model probabilistic forecasts through a procedure that builds on a theorem due to de Finetti. We elicit forecasts from language models across events generated from stock returns data. We then use linear programs to compute the largest Dutch-book profit - the profit an arbitrageur could guarantee by betting against model-generated probabilities - which we use as a measure of incoherence. Our procedure does not require outcome labels, so we can evaluate coherence even in settings where outcomes are not observed or have not yet resolved. We find substantial evidence of incoherence in language model forecasts. Such incoherence increases when there are richer logical relationships between events, and irrelevant contextual details can increase incoherence by an order of magnitude. We conclude by discussing how alternative training strategies may improve probabilistic coherence.

Recent web agents use world models for test-time action selection by sampling candidate actions, predicting the resulting web states, and ranking them with a ranker model or a Process Reward Model (PRM). These world models are typically trained via supervised next-state prediction to generate fixed representations like HTML or AXTree snapshots. However, this objective is misaligned with the downstream ranker, which relies on predicted states being discriminative across candidates to accurately score them. To address this, we introduce predicted-state matching, a training objective where the predicted representation must distinguish the true resulting state from those reached by alternative actions. We train these models using a branching web-agent dataset derived from WebArena Go-Browse trajectories, where every decision point contains multiple alternative actions and their resulting states. Experiments on our held-out predicted-state matching benchmark show that our approach outperforms world models trained with supervised next-state prediction. We further show that our approach improves PRM-style action ranking on WebPRMBench compared with action-only PRMs and PRMs augmented with supervised-next-state world models. Finally, on WebArena-Lite, using our world model for test-time action selection improves end-to-end task success. Our project page is available at: https://dhruvpendharkar.github.io/dwm/.

Security companies are scrambling to build products that can monitor not just agents but also the tools and add-ons they use.

🛠️ DeepSeek V4 Pro 0813 is out, but just as big of a story may be the company’s open source evaluation harness.

DeepSeek Harness logs every tool call, system prompt, and subagent schedule. Developers can now reproduce performance instead of relying on closed testing environments. And they can eas…

Astra is the first OpenAI model to meet the Critical cybersecurity capability threshold under the Preparedness Framework, with stronger safeguards for release.

Holifya ha raccolto 2 milioni di euro per trattare l’obesità con l’IA. La fondatrice Alessandra Cestaro racconta a Forbes il modello della startup

AIR's platform can discover agents running at a company, continuously vets any skills and add-ons they use, and blocks any unwanted behavior.

The US tech bosses spoke virtually at a G20 meeting in Chapel Hill, North Carolina organized by the White House, which is dedicated to keeping the AI revolution largely free of government rules and scrutiny.

At Hot Chips 2026, Cerebras revealed the next two generations of its wafer-scale accelerator roadmap. It also discussed the benefits of its new Nexus rack design for the CS-4 rack-scale accelerator and the performance of the three WS-3T wafer-scale engines contained within.

Despite their strong multimodal understanding ability, multimodal large language models (MLLMs) incur substantial computational overhead when processing long visual token sequences. To reduce inference costs, recent studies have explored visual token pruning through vision-centric or text-guided strategies. However, these methods often overlook high-norm outlier tokens, i.e., tokens with abnormally large feature norms, leading to suboptimal pruning decisions. In this work, we show that such high-norm outlier tokens are highly redundant in both feature and spatial dimensions, yet are often mistakenly preserved as informative cues by existing methods.
Motivated by this observation, we propose SinkPruner, a training-free visual token pruning framework for efficient MLLM inference. SinkPruner follows a coarse-to-fine design with two key modules: a visual sanitizer that filters high-norm redundancies and alleviates attention sink and attention dispersion, and a text-guided pruner that further retains tokens semantically aligned with the text query.
Extensive experiments on twelve image-language and four video-language benchmarks demonstrate the effectiveness, efficiency, and generalizability of our framework. Notably, SinkPruner preserves 96.5% (91.8%) of the original performance of LLaVA-1.5 (Qwen2.5-VL) under an 89% token reduction. Experiments further indicate that our visual sanitizer exhibits promising transferability in enhancing the performance of existing pruning methods. Our code is available at https://github.com/LaVi-Lab/SinkPruner.

Reinforcement learning is a natural way to post-train LLM agents for long-horizon interactive tasks judged only by end-of-task verification, yet a shared belief holds that outcome-only RL soon hits a ceiling on small open models. Recent work therefore compensates around the training with denser rewards, SFT priors, skill libraries, curated memory, or multi-agent orchestration. We argue the ceiling is an artifact of two failures of common practice. Signal starvation: group-relative RL with sparse outcome-only rewards yields a gradient only when a task's rollout group mixes successes and failures, so under-scaled exploration silences exactly the hardest, most instructive tasks. Policy drift: squeezing many updates out of a small task pool degrades the policy itself, as an unanchored objective lets the sampling distribution collapse exactly when saturation has already made informative groups rare. We present CANOPY (Coverage-ANchored On-PolicY RL), a minimalist protocol attacking both directly: scale same-task exploration until the natural signal reappears, keep every update on-policy, KL-anchored, and confined to the agent's own action tokens, then cash in an enlarged interaction budget at test time. On AppWorld, a long-horizon interactive coding benchmark, a Qwen3-14B policy trained with CANOPY through environment interaction alone--without task-specific supervision, auxiliary credit signals, or elaborate agent scaffolding--topped the public leaderboard (Feb. 2026; Test-Normal TGC 86.9, Test-Challenge 67.6), and the same design principles lift Qwen3.5-9B on SWE-bench Verified by 16.6 points. Agentic RL alone thus internalizes long-horizon capability directly into a small open model; we plan to release the complete training stack at https://github.com/AlibabaResearch/SignalCoverageRL.

New research: Training a Misaligned Reward Seeker

What produces severe misalignment? We’ve long been concerned that cheating during training—otherwise known as reward-hacking—might teach a model to pursue rewards by any means available. To study this at scale, we trained an Opus-sized model on 80 …

Banger paper from ByteDance Seed.

If you are curious about self-evolving agent harnesses, this one is worth your time.

(bookmark it)

The proposes method, HarnessDev, stops scoring a model on the tasks it completes and scores it on the harness it builds.

The agent starts from a weak but runnable…

Training data attribution (TDA) aims to identify training examples that shape model behavior, but its intervention value depends on both which examples are selected and how they are modified. Influence functions (IF) estimate behavioral changes under infinitesimal reweighting, yet IF-selected examples often show limited advantages over random selection under conventional weight-based interventions. This raises the question of whether influential examples lack intervention value or whether reweighting fails to realize their behavioral leverage.We introduce influence-guided response rewriting, which uses IF to identify intervention targets and replaces their responses with behavior-aligned or behavior-opposed supervision while keeping instructions fixed. Across four open-weight LLMs, we compare rewriting and reweighting on the same influence-selected examples using epistemic abstention as our primary testbed. Response rewriting produces stronger, more persistent, and bidirectional behavioral shifts, while reweighting the same examples yields weak and inconsistent effects. Further analyses show that influence-selected examples provide greater rewriting leverage than alternative selectors, with changes remaining concentrated on target-relevant behaviors. The same qualitative contrast extends to safety refusal. These results distinguish the local reweighting effects captured by influence estimates from the broader intervention leverage of the examples they identify, motivating intervention-aware evaluation of TDA methods.

Competitive programming has become a key test of large language model reasoning, with international competitions such as IOI and ICPC representing its most challenging settings. We present an end-to-end specialization pipeline combining large-scale problem curation, synthetic reasoning traces, supervised fine-tuning (SFT), and reinforcement learning (RL). Using 22,000 curated problems, we train Nemotron-3-Nano-CC (30B-A3B) with SFT and RL and Nemotron-3-Ultra-CC (550B-A55B) with SFT alone. We further introduce GenCorrect, a feedback-driven test-time compute strategy that iteratively generates, evaluates, and refines diverse solutions. On IOI 2025, Nano-CC improves from 130 points to 291 after post-training and to 468 with GenCorrect, exceeding the gold threshold of 438.3 while Ultra-CC reaches 502. Guided by these results, we develop a competition-specific Ultra-CC system and evaluate it prospectively during IOI 2026. Under the same time, internet-access, and submission constraints as human contestants, it scores 535.4 out of 600, exceeding both the gold threshold of 361.12 and the top human score of 498.27. To our knowledge, this is the first AI system to outscore the highest-scoring human contestant on an IOI problem set.

Gemini 3.8 Flash and 3.8 Flash Cyber deliver next-generation intelligence for agentic workflows and cybersecurity.

«Abbiamo trovato in 40Factory un partner con solide competenze in ambito IoT e AI generativa», dichiara Marcello Perini, ad del Gruppo Gefran

Superagent is a Mac app that gives your coding agent a home: a real browser it drives, chats that survive restarts, your phone in the loop, and a place to watch it work. Claude Code and Codex today; Antigravity coming.

With Google Pics, Google is pushing deeper into the creative software market dominated by Canva and Adobe, but with a distinctly AI-first approach.

Qualcomm Technologies, Inc. and HUMAIN, a PIF company delivering full-stack artificial intelligence (AI) capabilities globally, today launched Horizon Ultra, its next-generation AI PC, at LEAP 2026, unveiling a new personal computing experience designed and powered by the Snapdragon X

Language models can ignore prompt evidence when it conflicts with memorized knowledge. Post-training can make models follow such evidence more reliably, but it is unclear whether these gains require new machinery or strengthen machinery already present. We compare nine post-training arms spanning GRPO, SFT, and DPO from one starting checkpoint, with key comparisons extended across scales and families. We estimate a grounding direction from that checkpoint before training. Across five tested GRPO variants, grounding gains are small. For the two variants replicated across seeds, equivalence tests bound their effects below the conflict-SFT gain even as the rewarded metric improves. Conflict-SFT improves grounding moderately, while DPO drives grounding near ceiling on its matched distribution. Conflict-SFT and DPO largely use the same causal attention-head set as the starting model. Subtracting the starting-model direction suppresses both gains, while adding it to the starting model recovers 35% of DPO's gain at a dose passing all stated side-effect checks. After a supervised warm start makes the context answer appear in more rollouts, the same GRPO recipe adds essentially no further grounding gain. In our setting, grounding gains largely depend on machinery already present in the starting model.

Retrieval over visually rich documents has a representation problem: important content often lives in tables, charts, figures, and layout relations that plain OCR linearizes, corrupts, or omits. ColPali-family visual retrievers address this with patch-level multi-vector indexes and late-interaction scoring, keeping image-derived retrieval on the query-time serving path. We introduce MIDR (Multimodal Indexing for Document Retrieval), a training-free framework for enrichment-augmented indexing that shifts multimodal reasoning to index time. During ingestion, a multimodal LLM converts rendered pages into verified textual fields that are indexed with BM25F and optionally fused with dense retrieval, enabling text-centric serving over multimodally grounded evidence. On ViDoRe V3, MIDR Hybrid achieves 0.6219 average nDCG across five English domains, a 23.0% relative gain over BM25, remaining competitive with ColQwen2.5. On two French-document domains, enrichment bridges English queries and French page text, lifting BM25 from 0.1532 to 0.5448 nDCG and outperforming ColQwen2.5. Across all seven domains, MIDR leads ColQwen2.5 on four while using approximately 9x smaller index memory and approximately 2x lower query latency. These results establish index-time multimodal reasoning as a compelling accuracy-deployment alternative to serving-time visual late interaction.

How to divide a fixed annotation budget between supervised fine-tuning (SFT) and reinforcement learning (RL) during LLM post-training remains an open problem. Existing work characterizes only broad trends (e.g., SFT dominates in low-data regimes), lacks a principled allocation framework, and does not examine whether the optimal ratio transfers across model sizes. We frame this problem in terms of near-optimality: rather than seeking a single optimal SFT-RL ratio, we characterize the near-optimal region, the set of allocations within a specified tolerance of peak performance. Empirically, this region is wide even for small tolerances (2-10%), widens with model scale, and transfers reliably from small proxy models to large target models. This yields a practical strategy: small proxy-model experiments suffice to identify a transferable near-optimal region, eliminating the need for exhaustive large-scale search. Our results hold consistently across tasks, model families, and both preference-based off-policy and reward-supervision on-policy RL methods. We further analyze how the asymmetry in annotation costs between SFT and RL data shifts the near-optimal region.