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The portion of the population that needs to get sick is not fixed. We can change it.
Via Ana Cristina Pratas
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Rescooped by Yashy Tohsaku from Digital Delights - Digital Tribes |
Scoop.it!
Via Ana Cristina Pratas
"He called this finding “the butterfly effect.” In a complex model, where each day’s weather influences the next day’s, a tweak in initial conditions can have wild downstream consequences. The butterfly effect became central to the emerging field of chaos theory, which has since been applied to economics, sociology, and many other subjects, in attempts to deconstruct complex phenomena. That field is now helping predict the future of the pandemic—in particular, how it ends.
Read: How the pandemic will end
Chaos theory applies neatly to the spread of the coronavirus, in that seemingly tiny decisions or differences in reaction speed can have inordinate consequences. Effects can seem random when, in fact, they trace to discrete decisions made long prior."