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Stephen's Web ~ The Media Has A Probability Problem

Stephen's Web ~ The Media Has A Probability Problem | Education 2.0 & 3.0 | Scoop.it
From www.downes.ca - September 25, 2017 5:48 AM
This is an excellent article, and while Nate Silver talks about presidential elections, the article really has nothing to do with them. And, interestingly, it begins with hurricane forecasting. The article is an extended discussion of probability that should be required reading for any educator or journalist. The presentations of alternatives as simple on-off or right-wrong decisions is a misrepresentation of a complex world. "properly measuring the uncertainty is at least as important a part of the forecast as plotting the single most likely course." And "most experts — including most journalists — make overconfident forecasts."

Via Miloš Bajčetić
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Rescooped by Yashy Tohsaku from Business Brainpower with the Human Touch
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Culture Of Courage: Creating A Culture That Breeds Bravery

Culture Of Courage: Creating A Culture That Breeds Bravery | Education 2.0 & 3.0 | Scoop.it
From www.forbes.com - September 2, 2014 2:45 AM

 

People are innately wired to avoid risk. During times of times of change and uncertainty, our risk aversion is amplified. Yet the number one way to gaining competitive edge is by creating a culture where people feel safe and emboldened to innovate and challenge the status quo thinking. The first key to creating a 'culture of courage' is leading from possibility, not probability.

 

Winston Churchill once said that courage is the first of all virtues because it is the only one that guarantees all others. Courage is also what it takes to set a bold course for yourself and your organization, engage in a courageous conversation, forge new ground, and to be decisive in uncertainty.

 


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Don Cloud's curator insight, September 2, 2014 3:27 PM

Courage is the guardian of integrity, the foundation of culture, and the fuel to energize innovation and change. 

 

But it is not enough for a leader to have courage -- rather, it is the leader's responsibility to recruit, breed, and develop courage across the organization.  Here are 5 "must do" tasks that every leader needs to embrace, encourage from their people, and embed into the "DNA" of their institution.
Teresa Lucke's curator insight, September 4, 2014 6:14 PM

Courage and passion trump fear, go ahead,  step out of your comfort zone!
Bénédicte Berche's curator insight, September 14, 2014 12:26 PM

L'audace est une habitude à prendre... Voilà 5 clés pour un leadership audacieux !
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