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Alison E. Berman, Jason Dorrier, David J. Hill 05/04/16 : “We humans aren’t great predictors of the future. For most of history, our experience has been “local and linear.” Not much change occurred generation to generation : We used the same tools, ate the same meals, lived in the same general place. As a result, we’ve developed an intuitive outlook of the future akin to how we approach a staircase—having climbed a number of steps, our prediction of what’s to come is simply steps followed by more steps, with each day expected to be roughly like the last. But, as Ray Kurzweil describes, the rapid growth of technology is actually accelerating progress across a host of domains...
