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Rescooped by Martin (Marty) Smith from AtDotCom Social media
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Is Viral Predictable? Twitter Wants To Know

Is Viral Predictable? Twitter Wants To Know | Social Marketing Revolution | Scoop.it
Being able to produce a “viral sensation” on social media may seem like magic, but Twitter hopes to uncover the secret sauce behind the world’s more viral tweets. The question is, can you really boil down “going viral” to an algorithm?


Predicting virality, however, is not as easy as looking at how many retweets a tweet is getting and assuming it will “go viral”. Just think about Gangnam Style… who could have ever predicted how far and wide this infectious pop phenomenon would travel? And plenty of marketing firms have spent top dollar on YouTube videos with all the elements of “virality” – like cute cats, memes and hipster-cool spokespeople – only to have them flop.


Plus, there are different degrees of online virality. Some videos, photos and other content seem to bubble to the collective surface of the internet – again, think Gangnam. I bet even your grandma would recognize the tune. But other forms of virality exist, and might be even more important. What’s hot among my peers or colleagues would probably hold my attention longer than a generic trend, and I’d consider it more valuable to be able to tap into what’s “going viral” in my own network.


Via Brian Yanish - MarketingHits.com, The Newsroom 3.0, RadeBigMan, Angie Mc, Ivo Nový, John van den Brink
Martin (Marty) Smith's insight:

Viral On Demand
The Holy Grail of content marketing is finding the "vial" formula. Viral is so context specific and context changes so fast even knowing the components guarantee nothing.

Can Twitter's experiments produce viral on demand? Doubtful because the variables, both known and unknown, conscious and subconscious are vast and their combination highly variable in TIME.

Can Twitter know what Tweets are most likely to blow up? This seems a more achievable goal, one the experimenter (Twitter) could certainly influence WHAT content could climb.

Ultimately we are all on this journey as we watch analytics and attempt to find the "magic formula" of converting content. Wish Twitter well in their secret search for viral on demand but, much like the Grail, think they will end up realizing you can't get there from here.

Angie Mc's curator insight, December 2, 2013 10:06 AM

Going viral personalized?

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MIT Algorithm Can Predict The Future - Knows Twitter Trending 5 Hours Ahead

MIT Algorithm Can Predict The Future  - Knows Twitter Trending 5 Hours Ahead | Social Marketing Revolution | Scoop.it
An MIT team has developed an algorithm that can predict trending topics on Twitter an average of an hour and a half before they appear
Martin (Marty) Smith's insight:

Soon all websites will run on a version of MIT's Twitter prediction algorithm. We will call it "predictive analytics" but it will do the same thing for ecommerce and B2B conversion.  


Remember you heard it here first :). 

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