All you need to know about the Opec+ decision to cut production and the potential knock-on effects
Graham Watson's insight:
I've put this here - in the International Economics section of the board - because apart from being a story about D&S, it's also about the wider implications of the OPEC+ decision for the global economy.
The crux of the decision is that it seems to reflect a view that with a global economic slowdown on the way, OPEC is readying itself for a tough year ahead, but in doing so this might help sustain inflation. something that most people don't want because of its implications for interest rates.
A top official says Russia may close its gas lines to Germany if the West halts oil imports.
Graham Watson's insight:
Is this the next stage in the sanctions package? And how will Russia respond? And what are the implications for the global economy?
It seems like there are some tough choices to be made, and a lot of unintended consequences, not least for climate change, with fossil fuel use likely to continue in the years ahead as the West weans itself of its dependence upon Russian oil. The only saving grace is that the power of OPEC to control global supply has weakened, but in the short-term expect higher energy prices for some time yet.
Countries are warned that they must cut oil purchases from the Middle Eastern country to zero.
Graham Watson's insight:
Another aspect of US trade policy is looked at in this BBC article that highlights the fact that the collapse of the Iran nuclear deal is going to see sanctions reimposed on Iran.
The US-led initiative is likely to see US allies stopping importing Iranian oil, which has driven up its price.
Alongside his invasion of Ukraine, Vladimir Putin has throttled gas supplies to Europe—but the world has seen energy used as a weapon before. What can the energy shock of 1973 tell us about today’s crisis?
Graham Watson's insight:
Another brilliant clip, this time the Economist looks at the impact of the war in the Ukraine on global energy markets seeking to draw parallels between this and the OPEC oil price shocks of 40 years ago.
It tries to suggest that we could learn a number of lessons - the fact that oil embargoes don't work, the implications of such supply-side shocks on global energy security, the consequence of an oil price shock for the development of alternative energy sources, and indeed this clip is very good at highlighting the similarities between the two situations.
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Oil prices recently hit 12-month lows. Opec wants to raise them, President Trump wants them lowered.
Graham Watson's insight:
I'll put this here because it has international implications - however, OPEC meet this week to set production quotas and thus influence oil global prices.
They are likely to try to restrict production and boost prices - although there are many, not least President Trump, who want oil prices to fall further. Whatever happens, it underlines the continued importance of oil prices to the global economy.
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I've put this here - in the International Economics section of the board - because apart from being a story about D&S, it's also about the wider implications of the OPEC+ decision for the global economy.
The crux of the decision is that it seems to reflect a view that with a global economic slowdown on the way, OPEC is readying itself for a tough year ahead, but in doing so this might help sustain inflation. something that most people don't want because of its implications for interest rates.