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Boris Johnson lost Parliament but he could win a UK election

Boris Johnson lost Parliament but he could win a UK election | Press coverage | Scoop.it
LONDON (AP) - British Prime Minister Boris Johnson has lost Parliament. But he could still win a general election if enough voters approve of his determination to make Britain's departure from the European Union a reality.
The U.K. leader who took office in July failed spectacularly in his first encounter with Parliament, losing six important votes before suspending the legislature for an unexpected five weeks during a crucial period in Britain's political life. He was unable to convince enough lawmakers to back his call for an early national election, which he hoped would give him a more pliant group of lawmakers.
Despite his inability to get a general election set for mid-October - Parliament voted him down twice on that score - most observers think an early election is now inevitable, in part because Johnson's Conservative Party has lost its working majority in the House of Commons and no longer has enough votes to pass legislation.
Parliament is now suspended - or prorogued - until Oct. 14, but once its session resumes, most scenarios lead to a cross-party agreement to hold an early election that would test Johnson's popularity outside Parliament's Gothic halls in London. Right now the next British election is not scheduled until 2022.
Under a master plan hatched in part by top adviser Dominic Cummings, who played a key role directing pro-Brexit forces during the 2016 referendum campaign on EU membership, Johnson and his team would hope to cast the election as a "people versus Parliament" vote.
In this screenplay, the people - represented by Johnson and his Conservative Party candidates - are the good guys intent on implementing the results of the 2016 Brexit referendum that saw British voters, by a 4% margin, choose to leave the EU. Johnson's Conservative party has been to a large degree purge
ukandeu's insight:

"John Curtice, a polling expert with the University of Strathclyde, said Johnson could form a winning coalition with Farage if he is unable to wring concessions from the EU and decides to openly embrace a "no-deal" Brexit as his stated goal."

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Boris Johnson in Luxembourg for crunch Brexit talks with EU's Juncker

Boris Johnson in Luxembourg for crunch Brexit talks with EU's Juncker | Press coverage | Scoop.it
British Prime Minister Boris Johnson will meet with the European Union's top executive for a set of lunchtime talks that both critics and allies have described as political theater.
ukandeu's insight:

Boris Johnson meets Jean-Claude Juncker today.

 

Anand Menon, a director at the think tank The U.K. in a Changing Europe, also posited it was about “giving the impression of having tried once he’s failed,” as Johnson seeks to change key clauses in the existing Withdrawal Agreement that three times failed to win parliamentary approval back in London.

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Brexit expert predicts General Election will be held on November 28 - Daily Record

Brexit expert predicts General Election will be held on November 28 - Daily Record | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Anand Menon believes the date is now likely after Parliament refused to back an October poll over fears Boris Johnson would use it to engineer a No-Deal divorce.
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28th November is a likely date for a general election, says Anand Menon 

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Lies, Purging and Prorogation: Two Pivotal Weeks in Brexit - The New York Times

Lies, Purging and Prorogation: Two Pivotal Weeks in Brexit - The New York Times | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Britain seemed poised at times between a proud tradition and something new and menacing, a populist flouting of customs and institutions in the name of “the people.”
ukandeu's insight:

On the last two week's Brexit events, Anand Menon said: 

 

“Parliament is divided, clueless, and doesn’t know what it wants...Well, that’s also the British people. The political debate has changed beyond recognition because of Brexit.”

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'I am giving up on the Conservatives': Boris Johnson faces election gamble as voters desert him over Brexit

'I am giving up on the Conservatives': Boris Johnson faces election gamble as voters desert him over Brexit | Press coverage | Scoop.it
James Bowkett is one of a growing number of Brexit voters who is considering abandoning the Conservative Party in the next election. The 58-year-old businessman, speaking in Lincoln more than three years after the referendum result, says he is fed up of waiting for the UK to leave the EU. “I am giving up on the Conservatives,” he said. “There are too many people in that party
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"John Curtice, professor of politics at Strathclyde University, said a decisive factor in the election would be whether eurosceptic voters have more confidence in Johnson or Farage over Brexit.

 

“That could be the crucial debate on which any election might well turn,” he said."

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Subscribe to read

Subscribe to read | Press coverage | Scoop.it
ukandeu's insight:

On the government's No Deal preparations:

“No matter how much money is spent, there is a marked limit to what [ministers] can achieve because so much hinges on the adaptation of private actors’ behaviour,” said Anand Menon, director of the UK in a Changing Europe, an academic research project."

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A united Ireland could need four referendums, says expert

A united Ireland could need four referendums, says expert | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Academics to look at how unification might come about by democratic means
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BBC Question Time bias: Outrage as just ONE Brexit supporter on panel - ‘Remainerfest’ | Politics | News

BBC Question Time bias: Outrage as just ONE Brexit supporter on panel - ‘Remainerfest’ | Politics | News | Press coverage | Scoop.it
BBC Question Time returns this evening as host Fiona Bruce quizzes MPs live in Norwich after another tumultuous week in British politics but the panel is likely to spark anger as Brexiteers are outnumbered 5-1.
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Question Time, week 2 review: Fiona Bruce's 'bear pit' turns cuddly on a night of dull consensus

Question Time, week 2 review: Fiona Bruce's 'bear pit' turns cuddly on a night of dull consensus | Press coverage | Scoop.it
The Question Time “bear pit” proved rather tamer than billed as the BBC One panel show tackled a week of high drama in politics.
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BBC Question Time: Labour suffer humiliating audience attack as Brexit tensions erupt | UK | News

BBC Question Time: Labour suffer humiliating audience attack as Brexit tensions erupt | UK | News | Press coverage | Scoop.it
TENSIONS erupted as BBC Question Time returned on Thursday night in Norwich after a monumental week in Parliament, which saw Prime Minister Boris Johnson suspend the chambers in a dramatic, and controversial, move.
ukandeu's insight:

Catherine Barnard appeared on BBC Question Time on 12th September. 

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Who is on the BBC Question Time panel in Norwich tonight? | Latest Brexit news and top stories

Who is on the BBC Question Time panel in Norwich tonight? | Latest Brexit news and top stories | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Who is on Question Time tonight and where do they stand on Brexit? Here's you
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Catherine Barnard is appearing on Question Time tonight. 

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41% of Scots want to bring back death penalty | Scotland | The Times

41% of Scots want to bring back death penalty | Scotland | The Times | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Since the hangman tied his last noose 56 years ago Scotland has taken a more progressive approach to justice.But while liberal experts trumpet our politicians’ embrace of rehabilitation, it appears that many Scots harbour more old-fashioned attitudes to crime and punishment.A YouGov poll of 1,059 Sc
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How will Brexit impact Britain's most disadvantaged communities? | UK | Al Jazeera

How will Brexit impact Britain's most disadvantaged communities? | UK | Al Jazeera | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Homelessness is already rising and experts fear a hard Brexit could severely impact those who depend on social welfare.
ukandeu's insight:

Jonathan Portes comments on how Brexit will impact Britain's most disadvantaged communities: "Whether the poorest are worse hurt will, therefore, depend primarily on how the government responds. If it responds by increasing benefits and providing targeted support, the poor will be cushioned. If it responds by corporate tax cuts and income tax cuts for top earners while allowing public services to deteriorate the opposite will be the case."

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John Curtice: Revived Lib Dems must turn influx of support into seats | News | The Times

John Curtice: Revived Lib Dems must turn influx of support into seats | News | The Times | Press coverage | Scoop.it
The Liberal Democrats meet this week in Bournemouth in much better heart than at any time since they entered into coalition with the Conservatives in 2010.After nearly nine years in the electoral doldrums, the party is finally enjoying a revival. It stands at 18 per cent in the polls, more than twic
ukandeu's insight:

John Curtice on the Liberal Democrats challenges at the next election: "First, how can it best retain the gains it has made among Remain voters, and perhaps advance further? Second, how can it best turn its support into gains of seats in a general election?"

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Brexit Wreaks Havoc With Britain’s Political Traditions

Brexit Wreaks Havoc With Britain’s Political Traditions | Press coverage | Scoop.it
As the U.K.’s highest court wades in to settle a tussle between the prime minister and lawmakers, some are questioning whether some conventions need changing.
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BBC Question Time: Audience member rages at panel over ‘nightmare’ Brexit | UK | News

BBC Question Time: Audience member rages at panel over ‘nightmare’ Brexit | UK | News | Press coverage | Scoop.it
A FURIOUS audience member on last night’s BBC Question Time lashed out at members of the panel over the Government’s handling of the Brexit “nightmare”.
ukandeu's insight:

"Law expert Catherine Barnard claimed Mr Cameron’s successor Theresa May could be blamed for the issues with Brexit. The Trinity college tutor said there were no actions taken during the summer Ms May took over with the first mentions of Brexit being at the next party Conference."

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ANALYSIS - Dubbing Commons Prorogation As Coup Unhelpful, Johnson Faces Abuse Of Procedure At Worst

ANALYSIS - Dubbing Commons Prorogation As Coup Unhelpful, Johnson Faces Abuse Of Procedure At Worst | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Attempts by opposition to portray UK Prime Minister Boris Johnsons move to prorogue parliament as a coup are nothing but unhelpful and use inflammatory language, with the decision obviously representing the prime ministers attempt to take on his Brexit opponents as part of parliamentary games ..
ukandeu's insight:

On the prorogation of parliament, Simon Usherwood said: "This isn't a coup at all. At worst, it's an abuse of procedure, but one that can be addressed by the existing checks and balances of the UK system. That doesn't mean it isn't serious, but it does mean that we have to be careful to avoid inflammatory language," 

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Brexit frustrations make snap election a big gamble for Johnson - Reuters

Brexit frustrations make snap election a big gamble for Johnson - Reuters | Press coverage | Scoop.it
James Bowkett is a long-time Conservative Party supporter who voted in 2016 for Britain to leave the European Union.
ukandeu's insight:

"John Curtice, professor of politics at Strathclyde University, said a decisive factor in the election would be whether euroskeptic voters have more confidence in Johnson or Farage over Brexit."

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Question Time audience exasperated by the latest developments with Brexit | Latest Brexit news and top stories

Question Time audience exasperated by the latest developments with Brexit | Latest Brexit news and top stories | Press coverage | Scoop.it
The Question Time audience appeared to speak for much of the nation when they lined up to express exasperation at the latest developments with Brexit.
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BBC Question Time: Tory MP savaged by host after failure to answer question directly | UK | News

BBC Question Time: Tory MP savaged by host after failure to answer question directly | UK | News | Press coverage | Scoop.it
FIONA BRUCE savaged Conservative Security Minister Brandon Lewis after he refused to give an audience member a direct answer to a his question in last night’s episode of BBC Question Time.
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BBC Question Time: Who is on the Norwich panel and what time is it on? | What's on and things to do in Norfolk

BBC Question Time: Who is on the Norwich panel and what time is it on? | What's on and things to do in Norfolk | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Fiona Bruce will present Question Time from Norwich this evening.
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Bloomberg - Are you a robot?

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Jonathan Portes on Bloomberg's podcast, discussing the publication of #OperationYellowhammer papers and the politicisation of the courts. 

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Polling guru Curtice exposes Corbyn's Brexit strategy – keep 'Boris in box with no escape'

Polling guru Curtice exposes Corbyn's Brexit strategy – keep 'Boris in box with no escape' | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Boris Johnson has suffered a handful of colossal defeats in the Commons since coming to power, as Remainer MPs successfully passed a law that aims to block the UK leaving the EU without a Brexit deal on October 31. Speaking ahead of this vote at The UK in a Changing Europe’s no deal report launch …
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Britain's Political Crisis Sets Prime Minister against Parliament

Britain's Political Crisis Sets Prime Minister against Parliament | Press coverage | Scoop.it
British Prime Minister Boris Johnson battles with Parliament as the country readies for an election.
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Court says Boris Johnson's suspension of Parliament is unlawful — so what now for Brexit?

Court says Boris Johnson's suspension of Parliament is unlawful — so what now for Brexit? | Press coverage | Scoop.it
The court said Johnson's advice to Queen Elizabeth II was unlawful "because its purpose was to stymie parliamentary scrutiny" of the government.
ukandeu's insight:

Anand Menon comments on the announcement of Boris Johnson's prorogation as unlawful. 

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