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No deal Brexit is most likely, so what was the point of austerity?

No deal Brexit is most likely, so what was the point of austerity? | Press coverage | Scoop.it
From recession to recession with nine years of Conservative government in between. If the UK is ready to destroy its economy with a no dea
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How the 'neithers' could decide Northern Ireland's political fate | Politics | The Guardian

How the 'neithers' could decide Northern Ireland's political fate | Politics | The Guardian | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Fifty years after the tribalism of the Troubles, the ‘non-aligned’ are likely to determine the outcome of any referendum on unification with the Republic of Ireland
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Dr Katy Hayward comments on how those who neither identify as nationalist or unionist could determine the political fate of Northern Ireland. 

 

'With Brexit and the recent electoral success of the Greens and the Alliance, a centre grouping in favour of devolution and EU membership seemed to be forming, she said. “Those from a unionist a background that are pro-remain are reconsidering themselves as no longer unionist with a capital U.”'

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EU workers in Britain at record high | News | The Times

EU workers in Britain at record high | News | The Times | Press coverage | Scoop.it
A record number of EU citizens are working in Britain despite predictions that many would be deterred by Brexit. In the past year the number rose by almost 88,000, driven by a big increase in people coming from eastern Europe.The number dropped immediately after the EU referendum in June 201
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The number of EU workers in Britain is at a record high.

 

Our senior fellow Jonathan Portes said “Although migration from the EU has fallen since the referendum, there is still no sign of a mass exodus of EU citizens from the UK. Meanwhile, the UK labour market continues to perform well despite the stagnant economy.”

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Whitehall ready for early election as holidays are cancelled

Whitehall ready for early election as holidays are cancelled | Press coverage | Scoop.it
BORIS Johnson’s chief of staff has cancelled all leave for government advisers, fuelling speculation that Tory leader is on the cusp of calling a…
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Our senior fellow John Curtice comments on the UK leaving the EU without a deal on the 31st October, as is now the government's default position. He says its now “too late for us to leave the European Union on October 31 with any kind of deal”.

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How Brexit Will Affect the UK Fintech Industry? Experts Answer

How Brexit Will Affect the UK Fintech Industry? Experts Answer | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Will Brexit attract more fintech business to the U.K. or force those that already settled in London to leave England? Experts in the fintech industry answer.
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Senior fellow Sarah Hall comments on the possible impact of Brexit on the fin-tech industry in the UK. 

 

“If fintech businesses in the U.K. can’t access international individuals working in areas such as machine learning, artificial intelligence and blockchain as easily after Brexit, this could cause a contraction in the sector because currently, up to a fifth of the skills used by the fintech sector in the U.K. have come from the EU. It will take time to develop the domestic skills pipelines to replace these individuals post-Brexit and some firms may leave the U.K. for the EU rather than wait.”

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Is Scotland finally set to bid farewell to the union? | Politics | The Guardian

Is Scotland finally set to bid farewell to the union? | Politics | The Guardian | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Boris Johnson’s do-or-die Brexit has pushed even reluctant Scots into the pro-independence camp, among the voters in one bellwether town.
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Our senior fellow Sir John Curtice discusses the polls regarding a Scottish independence referendum. He said "The figures reflect exactly what voters said they would do if Boris Johnson became prime minister and if the UK crashed out of Europe. One of those things has happened, and the other is coming into view.”

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Boris Johnson prepared to brush aside legal warnings over Brexit because date is 'set in stone', minister insists | London

Boris Johnson prepared to brush aside legal warnings over Brexit because date is 'set in stone', minister insists | London | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Prime Minister Boris Johnson is prepared to brush aside legal warnings and Parliament to crash Britain out of the EU because the October 31 exit date is “set in stone”, a minister signalled today. Business minister Kwasi Kwarteng intervened in the growing row over whether the Government would ignore Cabinet Secretary Sir Mark Sedwill if he received legal warnings that it should not push the country out of the EU in the middle of a general election.
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Sir John Curtice believes that, should there be a general election before the UK leaves the EU, the Conservatives would struggle to win. “What Brexit supporters are saying when they’re asked these hypothetical questions is, if we leave after October 31 … at least half of them say they’ll switch to the Tories. If on the other hand the Government tries to hold an election before October 31 and we haven’t left … they say they’ll stick with the Brexit Party.” 

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Will Brussels face a shock revolt? IDS reveals bombshell talks with furious EU members

Will Brussels face a shock revolt? IDS reveals bombshell talks with furious EU members | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Iain Duncan Smith claimed that the unified front displayed by the EU27 will falter as soon as Britain ditches the EU at the end of October. Speaking on the BBC’s HardTalk, the Tory MP, who managed Boris Johnson’s leadership campaign, said secret talks with EU member-states showed a growing frustration towards Brussels. He predicted a …
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"Anand Menon, of the UK in a Changing Europe initiative, recently suggested that the Republic of Ireland, the Netherlands, France, Belgium, and some parts of Scandinavia will be among the hardest hit in Europe from a no deal Brexit."

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No deal Brexit now inevitable claims polling guru John Curtice in major blow for Remainers | Politics | News

No deal Brexit now inevitable claims polling guru John Curtice in major blow for Remainers | Politics | News | Press coverage | Scoop.it
BRITAIN cannot leave the EU with a deal as time has run out to secure one, polling expert Sir John Curtice claimed tonight, securing a massive win for Leave supporters.
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Our senior fellow Sir John Curtice discusses how a no deal Brexit is now the default and what could happen if a general election were to be called ahead of the 31st October. 

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Voters want action on living standards over Brexit, study shows

Voters want action on living standards over Brexit, study shows | Press coverage | Scoop.it
A STUDY by the Joseph Rowntree Foundation (JRF) has revealed that low-income voters urgently wan
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"The JRF, with the think tank UK in a Changing Europe, brought together voters in parts of the country that have seen little economic progress in recent decades. They gathered voters into workshops which revealed that, though they felt that Britain was “a country divided”, low-income voters were united in frustration at the London-centred nature of politics and economic investment."

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Sinn Féin leader pours scorn on Fintan O'Toole's proposal for stopping Brexit

"MARY Lou McDonald has described an ambitious proposal to block Brexit by Sinn Féin MPs temporarily vacating their seats as "flawed mathematics and political wishful thinking""

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There’s a real thirst for live political debate in these anxious times, as I found on the road in Edinburgh | London

There’s a real thirst for live political debate in these anxious times, as I found on the road in Edinburgh | London | Press coverage | Scoop.it
I’ve been coming to the Edinburgh Festival Fringe for several years now but this is the first time I’ve performed. Unlike your new editor of The Londoner, Ayesha Hazarika, I’m no stand-up comedian, and as I’m told regularly by my friends and LBC listeners I’m not as funny as I think I am.  Instead, I’ve put on a series of 24 “In Conversation” interviews with a mix of politicians and media personalities, ranging from Nicola Sturgeon and John McDonnell to Christopher Biggins and Christiane Amanpour. 
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With Edinburgh Fringe currently taking place, we can see the increase in demand for live political debate. At the Fringe, "the event which has sold the most tickets features the political journalist Michael Crick and polling guru and academic Sir John Curtice. Last night they packed out our venue at the National Museum of Scotland."

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Can Johnson push through Brexit in the middle of a General Election?

Can Johnson push through Brexit in the middle of a General Election? | Press coverage | Scoop.it
WHAT'S THE STORY?
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Our senior fellow John Curtice comments on the likelihood of a general election, Boris Johnson pushing through a no-deal Brexit, and what this could mean for SNP. 

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EWAN GURR: Voters on lower incomes could hold the balance of power in elections

EWAN GURR: Voters on lower incomes could hold the balance of power in elections | Press coverage | Scoop.it
There is an emerging constituency of men and women living on restricted incomes who are becoming increasingly frustrated with politicians failing to act on their concerns.
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Our research with the Joseph Rowntree Foundation showed that low-income voters are turning out to vote in higher numbers than ever before and could hold the balance of power in future elections.

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Will a no-deal Brexit compel car makers to move overseas?

Will a no-deal Brexit compel car makers to move overseas? | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Part 1 in this daily three-part series looked at how a no-deal Brexit might affect the UK automotive supply chain.
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Our senior fellow David Bailey comments on the effects of a no-deal Brexit on the UK car industry. 

 

""Design plants such as Ford’s will remain unaffected in the short term, but what is the longer-term impact if they are affected by visa requirements or similar, limiting the ability to employ mobile and multi-national R&D teams?” he asks."

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Boris Johnson and Jeremy Corbyn ‘must play by the rulebook’ to avert constitutional crisis | News | The Times

Boris Johnson and Jeremy Corbyn ‘must play by the rulebook’ to avert constitutional crisis | News | The Times | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Britain is headed for the “deep trouble” of a constitutional crisis unless Boris Johnson and Jeremy Corbyn agree to behave like “good chaps” if the prime minister loses a confidence vote next month, the country’s leading constitutional historian has warned.Lord Hennessy of Nympsfield said that the o
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Our senior fellow Meg Russell comments on the role of the constitution as we approach a no-deal Brexit and what could be done to stop no-deal. 

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Boris Johnson could be the last PM of the United Kingdom as we know it - Analysis & Opinion - ABC News (Australian Broadcasting Corporation)

Boris Johnson could be the last PM of the United Kingdom as we know it - Analysis & Opinion - ABC News (Australian Broadcasting Corporation) | Press coverage | Scoop.it
As a little boy, Boris Johnson wanted to be world king, but he's at risk of going down in history as the man who won Brexit and lost Scotland, writes Philip Williams.
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Anand Menon discusses the Union in relation to a no-deal Brexit. He says "When it comes to Scotland, it's fascinating because on the one hand, Brexit has confirmed everything that people who believe in Scottish independence always thought: 'The English are bastards that are ripping us out of Europe. They're wrecking our economy. Look what they're doing to us. Can you not see we should be governing ourselves?'."

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Johnson’s drive towards no-deal Brexit is no bluff - GulfToday

Johnson’s drive towards no-deal Brexit is no bluff - GulfToday | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Normally, Downing Street is half-empty in August, due to the holiday season and parliament being in recess. This year, No 10 is buzzing with activity; this week, I was surprised to see every desk occupied.
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Our senior fellow and polling expert Sir John Curtice comments on the possible outcomes of a general election. 

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Recent no-deal threats show dangerous disregard for Northern Ireland and its fragile peace | Prospect Magazine

Recent no-deal threats show dangerous disregard for Northern Ireland and its fragile peace | Prospect Magazine | Press coverage | Scoop.it
The backstop is intended to protect hard-won peace; no deal would jeopardise it
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Dr Katy Hayward discusses the backstop and what no deal could mean for peace in Northern Ireland. "The backstop is a compromise to manage a uniquely complicated situation. It is awkward and inconvenient for both sides. This is why, right from exit day, there will be a specific EU-UK negotiating track focussed on avoiding its use."

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Brexit news: Polling Guru Sir John Curtice warns 'too late for UK to leave with ANY deal' | UK | News

Brexit news: Polling Guru Sir John Curtice warns 'too late for UK to leave with ANY deal' | UK | News | Press coverage | Scoop.it
POLLING Guru Sir John Curtice claimed it is now 'too late' for Boris Johnson to secure a deal with the European Union that would go through the Commons in time for an October 31 exit.
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Sir John Curtice says "It is now too late for us to leave the European Union on October 31 with any kind of deal...There isn’t time...Even if the Government were wanting to put Theresa May’s deal through, we’ve run out of time.”

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Brexit News: IDS reveals frustrated EU member states will force Brussels to do a deal | UK | News

Brexit News: IDS reveals frustrated EU member states will force Brussels to do a deal | UK | News | Press coverage | Scoop.it
LEADING Brexiteer MP Iain Duncan Smith has claimed EU unity will quickly crack on November 1, a day after Britain leaves without a deal.
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"Anand Menon, of the UK in a Changing Europe initiative, recently suggested that the Republic of Ireland, the Netherlands, France, Belgium, and some parts of Scandinavia will be among the hardest hit in Europe from a no deal Brexit."

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Brexit news: Polling guru explains two ways Remainers can stop no deal | UK | News

Brexit news: Polling guru explains two ways Remainers can stop no deal | UK | News | Press coverage | Scoop.it
POLLING Guru Sir John Curtice has explained the two ways in which Remainers can 'absolutely' block Britain from leaving the EU without a deal at the end of October this year.
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Our senior fellow John Curtice discusses his thoughts on what could be done to halt a no-deal Brexit on the 31st October, including staging a vote of no confidence in the government, and legislating to revoke Article 50. 

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What free ports can and can’t achieve - Free-for-all

What free ports can and can’t achieve - Free-for-all | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Boris Johnson wants ten new tariff-free zones to help post-Brexit trade. Will they work?
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Our senior fellow Dr Meredith Crowley writes for the Economist, discussing free ports and Brexit. 

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Labour's own MPs will STOP Jeremy Corbyn from becoming Prime Minister claims Chuka Umunna | Politics | News

Labour's own MPs will STOP Jeremy Corbyn from becoming Prime Minister claims Chuka Umunna | Politics | News | Press coverage | Scoop.it
JEREMY CORBYN will be blocked by his own Labour MPs if he attempts to drag power from Boris Johnson, according to party defector Chuka Umunna.
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John Curtice comments on what could happen if there were to be a general election in the coming months, saying "If we were to have an early election, we would end up with a record number of third party MPs inside the House of Commons.” 

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No deal Brexit is most likely, so what was the point of austerity?

No deal Brexit is most likely, so what was the point of austerity? | Press coverage | Scoop.it
From recession to recession with nine years of Conservative government in between. If the UK is ready to destroy its economy with a no dea
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Brexit news: EU countries that will feel biggest 'impact' from no deal | UK | News

Brexit news: EU countries that will feel biggest 'impact' from no deal | UK | News | Press coverage | Scoop.it
DIRECTOR of the UK in a Changing Europe initiative, Anand Menon, outlined the EU member states that will feel the greatest 'economic impact' from a no deal Brexit.
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Our director Professor Anand Menon discussed a no-deal Brexit and which EU member states will feel the most impact from the UK leaving without a deal. 

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