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Jeremy Corbyn backs Remain. Almost. –

Jeremy Corbyn backs Remain. Almost. – | Press coverage | Scoop.it

The Labour leader has a history of Euroskepticism — and the party could still choose its own version of Brexit over Remain.

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Labour also fell behind in local elections in May, especially in Leave-voting northern areas. As polling expert John Curtice said at the time: “The problem with fudge is that it can be a bit too sickly and end up satisfying nobody."

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Jeremy Corbyn backs Remain. Almost. –

Jeremy Corbyn backs Remain. Almost. – | Press coverage | Scoop.it

The Labour leader has a history of Euroskepticism — and the party could still choose its own version of Brexit over Remain.

ukandeu's insight:

Labour also fell behind in local elections in May, especially in Leave-voting northern areas. As polling expert John Curtice said at the time: “The problem with fudge is that it can be a bit too sickly and end up satisfying nobody."

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How to bridge the divide | Prospect Magazine

How to bridge the divide | Prospect Magazine | Press coverage | Scoop.it
To rebalance Britain, look beyond Brexit and grapple with voters’ day-to-day concerns
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In the workshops we held with The UK in a Changing Europe, we detected a real sense of frustration from low-income voters with the dominance of London and the surrounding area in our economic and political life. This wasn’t a view expressed just in the north either; voters in Southampton and Hastings identified the same problem.

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The real meaning of Brexit | Prospect Magazine

The real meaning of Brexit | Prospect Magazine | Press coverage | Scoop.it
For a new report with the Joseph Rowntree Foundation, we listened to hard-pressed towns—their biggest frustration is that those in power do not
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Rory Stewart outlines 'alternative parliament' to stop no-deal Brexit | Politics | The Guardian

Rory Stewart outlines 'alternative parliament' to stop no-deal Brexit | Politics | The Guardian | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Tory MP says Betty Boothroyd could be enlisted as Speaker if Johnson prorogues parliament
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Stewart challenges the theory that politics has become so polarised by Brexit that his politics will gain no traction. He says: “The pollster John Curtice says that this this not just a issue of party members. It is question of the whole of British politics – that what was once a bell shape has turned into a U shape in which the extremes are popular.”

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Tory leadership candidates pledge to create free ports and stop backstop | News | The Times

Tory leadership candidates pledge to create free ports and stop backstop | News | The Times | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Boris Johnson has insisted that a bridge linking Scotland and Northern Ireland remains a credible option and that he would build “about six” free ports to boost trade after Brexit.The Tory leadership frontrunner said the creation of zones into which manufacturers can import parts and then export goo
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The think tank UK in a Changing Europe warned that such zones “provide a soil for misuse of competitive advantages, and attract money laundering and tax-avoidance activities. Since regulation is low, they may result in a reduction in workers’ rights and standards.”

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Brexit deadlock sees Remain voters turn in favour of Scottish independence - Daily Record

Brexit deadlock sees Remain voters turn in favour of Scottish independence - Daily Record | Press coverage | Scoop.it

An elections expert has said the impasse has caused a swing in favour in voters who are now in a majority in favour of independence.

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Professor Sir John Curtice said an overview of polls since last June show a marked swing in favour of independence solely among people who voted to remain in the EU referendum and those who did not vote in that ballot.

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Scots back second referendum as they lose faith in Union | Scotland | The Sunday Times

Scots back second referendum as they lose faith in Union | Scotland | The Sunday Times | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Opposition to a second Scottish independence referendum in the near future is melting away, according to a Panelbase poll for The Sunday Times. The number of Scots who think a break-up of the Union will never happen is also falling. The findings will be a boost to the SNP as it prepares to press ahe
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“It seems that the days when unionists could claim with confidence that Scots do not want another independence referendum any time soon may have come to an end,” said Professor Sir John Curtice of Strathclyde University.

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Boris Johnson Proposes 'Australian-Style' Visa System, Which Doesn't Mean Much

Boris Johnson Proposes 'Australian-Style' Visa System, Which Doesn't Mean Much | Press coverage | Scoop.it
The frontrunner for the leadership of the U.K. Conservative Party, Boris Johnson has said he would like to bring in an ‘Australian-style’ points-based visa system, which the U.K. already largely has. It further signals that immigration policy post-Brexit will keep business in mind.
ukandeu's insight:

The contents of Johnson's plan came as no surprise to Jonathan Portes, senior fellow at the leading Brexit thinktank UK in a Changing Europe: "There is absolutely nothing in what Boris said that is new or is any different from the proposals that are already in the government's white paper that was published in December."

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Brexit news: Professor delivers 'simple' solution to EU exit | UK | News

Brexit news: Professor delivers 'simple' solution to EU exit | UK | News | Press coverage | Scoop.it
PROFESSOR Anand Menon has revealed his “simple” solution to Brexit which is the “best” for the “political health” of the UK.
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Professor Anand Menon has delivered a “simple” message when asked what the “best” outcome would be with Brexit, for the “political health of the country”. The Director of UK in a Changing Europe insisted “the sooner something gets sorted and we move on, the better.” Speaking on Sky News, host Adam Boulton said: “Given we are where we are, not an argument about whether Brexit was a good idea or not, but we are where we are.

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An Australian points-based immigration system? It’s just more Boris Johnson bluster | Jonathan Portes | Opinion | The Guardian

An Australian points-based immigration system? It’s just more Boris Johnson bluster | Jonathan Portes | Opinion | The Guardian | Press coverage | Scoop.it
His ‘tough’ stance is pure posturing. He knows the UK must open its arms to migrants, says economics professor Jonathan Portes
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The frontrunner for No 10’s ‘tough’ stance is pure posturing. The truth is, he knows the UK must open its arms to migrants
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Brexit minister Kwasi Kwarteng: No-deal Brexit 'is not a world war' | Latest Brexit news and top stories

Brexit minister Kwasi Kwarteng: No-deal Brexit 'is not a world war' | Latest Brexit news and top stories | Press coverage | Scoop.it
A Brexit minister has sought to quell fears about Britain crashing out of the EU without a deal, saying it
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Kwasi Kwarteng told an academic event that a no-deal Brexit "won't have any long-term impact on growth" in the UK as, he insisted, neither of the 20th century's global conflicts had. Speaking at a UK in a Changing Europe event at King's College London, Kwarteng said that "no-deal can work" and that "I don't think there'll be a big economic shock".

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Boris Johnson news: Boris has 'no control' on Remain vote, says expert | UK | News

Boris Johnson news: Boris has 'no control' on Remain vote, says expert | UK | News | Press coverage | Scoop.it
POLLING expert John Curtice warned Tory leadership contender Boris Johnson would have “no control” over Remain voters in a general election, potentially falling behind the Labour or Liberal Democrat Party.
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Remain voters would present a “substantial challenge” to Boris Johnson in a general election, predicted a polling guru. John Curtice also claimed Boris’ leadership rival Jeremy Hunt could “not bring anything to the Conservative Party electorally” in the immediate future.

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UCL: New academic report evaluates impacts of Brexit to date

UCL: New academic report evaluates impacts of Brexit to date | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Brexit has had a negative impact to date on the UK’s economy, public finances, openness and control, according to a comprehensive new analysis involving UCL.
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"Brexit has had a negative impact to date on the UK’s economy, public finances, openness and control, according to a comprehensive new analysis involving UCL. The report, The Brexit Scorecard, published by UK in a Changing Europe, rates performance in four areas: the economy and public finances, fairness, openness and control."

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What is wrong with us?

What is wrong with us? | Press coverage | Scoop.it

What is wrong with us? The United Kingdom should be one of the most impressive democracies on Earth.

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But I failed to win any of these arguments, and within 24 hours I was knocked out of the contest. There have been explanations for my failure. One, made by the pollster John Curtice, is that public opinion simply makes a “centrist” position such as mine impossibly quixotic.

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Credibility the key as Conservative leadership contenders clash

Credibility the key as Conservative leadership contenders clash | Press coverage | Scoop.it
How the candidates come across may come down to the consistency of their views
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“We’re going to have a new prime minister with the same Parliament and there is no majority in parliament for no deal," Prof Anand Menon, director of UK in a Changing Europe, said recently.

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Brexit news: Polling guru Sir John Curtice warns Tory Party about election | UK | News

Brexit news: Polling guru Sir John Curtice warns Tory Party about election | UK | News | Press coverage | Scoop.it
POLLING GURU Sir John Curtice has issued a stark warning to the Conservative Party over what would likely happen in a general election.
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The EU has nominated new leaders – but there will be no Brexit breakthrough | Anand Menon | Opinion | The Guardian

The EU has nominated new leaders – but there will be no Brexit breakthrough | Anand Menon | Opinion | The Guardian | Press coverage | Scoop.it

Ursula von der Leyen and Charles Michel are the new faces – but the deadlock will remain, say Anand Menon and Matt Bevington

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Boris Johnson and Jeremy Hunt accused of duping the public with 'extraordinary' tax-and-spending pledges

Boris Johnson and Jeremy Hunt accused of duping the public with 'extraordinary' tax-and-spending pledges | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Boris Johnson and Jeremy Hunt have been accused of misleading the public with “extraordinary” tax-and-spending pledges, as leading economists and senior Tories unite in criticism. The two Tory leadership candidates came under fire after Mr Hunt unveiled a no-deal Brexit spending splurge worth almost £20bn – while a Johnson ally promised big public sector pay rises if the
ukandeu's insight:

Jonathan Portes, the professor of economics at King’s College London, told The Independent Mr Johnson and Mr Hunt were correct to plan higher spending to respond to a “severe economic shock”.

 
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Brexit news: Expert warns solution to end backstop debacle 10 years away | UK | News

Brexit news: Expert warns solution to end backstop debacle 10 years away | UK | News | Press coverage | Scoop.it
TECHNOLOGY needed to resolve the Irish backstop debacle and avoid a hard border on the island of Ireland could take up to 10 years to develop, EU Law expert Catherine Barnard has claimed.
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EU Law Professor Catherine Barnard suggested potential solutions to ensure Britain is no longer part of EU trading institutions while guaranteeing there is no border between Northern Ireland and the Republic may be "10 years away," suggesting the debacle could be years from being over. 

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The Union buster? Experts predict PM Johnson will boost support for indyref 2

The Union buster? Experts predict PM Johnson will boost support for indyref 2 | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Boris Johnson in Downing Street is likely to give support for Scottish independence a boost, according to experts.
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Leading polling expert Professor John Curtice, of Strathclyde University, said without the question of Johnson being Prime Minister, the survey would have shown support for the yes and no vote evenly balanced.

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Brexit plans: five key arguments factchecked

Brexit plans: five key arguments factchecked | Press coverage | Scoop.it
We round up five of the most commonly repeated points about how to get a Brexit deal over the line that we’ve covered before.
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The EU has said that “the UK would be expected to continue to honour all commitments made during EU membership” in the event of a no deal scenario. Experts at the UK in a Changing Europe told us earlier this year that while it’s not clearly set out in international law that the UK would have to pay anything once it left the EU, the EU would be within its rights to take the case to the International Court of Justice on the grounds of the UK’s repeated commitments to pay.

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Can Brexit crisis spur Britain’s electoral reform?

Can Brexit crisis spur Britain’s electoral reform? | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Electoral reform activists plan to turn hundreds of litter bins into mock ballot boxes next month to highlight their claim that most votes are wasted in British elections.
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“There is little doubt that Britain’s traditional two-party system is facing its biggest challenge yet in the wake of the Brexit impasse,” John Curtice, a political scientist at the University of Strathclyde, told a recent seminar.

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Three years on — still divided.

Three years on — still divided. | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Sir John Curtice’s exclusive new analysis on why polls still show Remain and Leave figures being almost identical three years on.
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Exclusive: Academics Do Not Believe UK Will Leave EU On October 31 With A Deal

Exclusive: Academics Do Not Believe UK Will Leave EU On October 31 With A Deal | Press coverage | Scoop.it

"Survey comes as International Trade Secretary Liam Fox rubbishes key plank of Boris Johnson's Brexit plan."

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"Just 9% of 100 academics thought Brexit would happen with a withdrawal agreement on October 31 with 74% saying it would not, the survey for the UK In A Changing Europe think-tank showed. More than two thirds (69%) thought Britain would request more time to delay Brexit beyond October 31 but less than half (49%) said the EU would accept. A quarter (25%) said Brussels would refuse."

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Leaving EU to bring 'more pain' to UK consumers

Leaving EU to bring 'more pain' to UK consumers | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Brexit has hurt the UK economy and, in the long term, more pain is on the cards, according to analysis by a government-funded academic think tank.
ukandeu's insight:

"The report by The UK In A Changing Europe, published yesterday, assesses Brexit's actual and future effects on inflation, productivity, public finances, and exports and imports.

"There is little doubt that the impact of the Brexit vote on the UK economy has been negative," the report, called The Brexit Scorecard, finds."

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