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High court quashes bid to prosecute Boris Johnson over false referendum claim about cost of EU - as it happened | Politics | The Guardian

High court quashes bid to prosecute Boris Johnson over false referendum claim about cost of EU - as it happened | Politics | The Guardian | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Labour’s Lisa Forbes secures narrow victory over Brexit party with margin of just 683 votes in byelection
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Curtice said that in the last general election in 2017 the two traditional main parties, Labour and the Conservatives, shared 95% of the vote in Peterborough, but got only 52.3% in the byelection. He told Today: "Brexit has become such an important issue that rather than our traditional system of two-party politics, at the moment at least, we’ve got a system of four party politics."

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Brexit News: Nigel Farage explains shock poll reveals ‘hardened’ feeling | UK | News

Brexit News: Nigel Farage explains shock poll reveals ‘hardened’ feeling | UK | News | Press coverage | Scoop.it
NIGEL FARAGE argued that the mood amongst Leave voters had “hardened” towards Brexit as they desperately seek a resolution to the issue that has been ongoing for over three years.
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John Curtice's latest WhatUKThinks article said: “If we examine the current vote intentions of those who voted Remain in 2016 and those who backed leave, in both cases over 85 percent say they would vote exactly the same way they did n 2016."

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Poll finds Scots would vote for independence if Boris Johnson becomes PM | Daily

Poll finds Scots would vote for independence if Boris Johnson becomes PM | Daily | Press coverage | Scoop.it
SNP leader Nicola Sturgeon delivered a withering assessment of the would-be PM, saying he would 'damage the UK's reputation'.
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Polling guru Professor John Curtice, who carried out the survey of Scots, said it underlined the dilemma for the Tories. 'The attraction to Conservative members south of the border of electing Boris Johnson as their leader is clear,' he wrote in the Sunday Times. 

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We set four tests for Brexit. Three years on, all of them are failing | Anand Menon and Jonathan Portes | Opinion | The Guardian

We set four tests for Brexit. Three years on, all of them are failing | Anand Menon and Jonathan Portes | Opinion | The Guardian | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Leaving the EU poses challenges politicians are still far from meeting, say Anand Menon and Jonathan Portes of UK in a Changing Europe
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Boris victory ‘will end Union’ | Scotland | The Sunday Times

Boris victory ‘will end Union’ | Scotland | The Sunday Times | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Boris Johnson could be the midwife of Scottish independence, according to an exclusive Sunday Times poll that suggests a majority of Scots would vote to leave the UK if he becomes prime minister.The Panelbase survey of 1,024 voters, conducted last week, confirms the worst fears of close allies of Sc
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"John Curtice, professor of politics at Strathclyde University, said: “The attraction to Conservative members south of the border of electing Boris Johnson as their leader is clear. Polling consistently suggests the figurehead of the ‘leave’ campaign is best placed to win back the many voters the Tories have lost to Nigel Farage’s Brexit Party in the wake of the failure to deliver Brexit."

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Globalization Is Moving Past the U.S. and Its Vision of World Order - The New York Times

Globalization Is Moving Past the U.S. and Its Vision of World Order - The New York Times | Press coverage | Scoop.it
As President Trump deploys tariffs as weapons in international disputes, he has ceded the American role as champion of global trade.
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Alice Roberts to deliver keynote speech on ‘Morals without religion’ at annual national non-religious Convention in Leicester

Alice Roberts to deliver keynote speech on ‘Morals without religion’ at annual national non-religious Convention in Leicester | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Scientist, author, and President of Humanists UK, Alice Roberts, will deliver a keynote speech on ‘Morals without religion’ at the annual national non-religious Convention to be held in Leicester this weekend.
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And then there were two - Politics Weekly podcast | Politics | The Guardian

And then there were two - Politics Weekly podcast | Politics | The Guardian | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Heather Stewart is joined by Anushka Asthana, Ryan Shorthouse and Anand Menon to discuss the latest in the Tory leadership contest, maternity rights for MPs and Labour’s Brexit position
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Brexit: Absent Johnson emerges unscathed from TV debate | UK News | Al Jazeera

Brexit: Absent Johnson emerges unscathed from TV debate | UK News | Al Jazeera | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Tory frontrunner fails to participate in the debate as PM contenders struggle to offer solution to Brexit conundrum.
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Simon Usherwood, reader in politics at the University of Surrey and deputy director of the UK in a Changing Europe think-tank, said the debate was not a "game changer" and that in spite of the fact Stewart "had some good lines, that's still going to have more of an impact with the public at large rather than MPs - who are not likely to have seen anything that is going to change their minds."

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Chuka Umunna: Don't ask why he joined the Lib Dems – ask how many will follow him

Chuka Umunna: Don't ask why he joined the Lib Dems – ask how many will follow him | Press coverage | Scoop.it
It was the attention to detail that did it. Most Photoshop efforts give themselves away pretty quickly. The lines are all jagged, the font’s not quite right, that sort of thing.
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"Earlier this week, Rory Stewart said that the psephologist Sir John Curtice had told him that British voters no longer looked like a bell curve, but were now a U-bend. Everyone has rushed to the extremes, and started to claim to speak for the people."

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Tory leadership hopefuls: where they stand on Brexit

Tory leadership hopefuls: where they stand on Brexit | Press coverage | Scoop.it
How and when to leave the EU is becoming the defining issue in the race to succeed Theresa May
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“In effect, any PM who pushed for no-deal would see their government collapse in the autumn and risk a general election where there would be a significant chance that Labour would end up in government before the end of the year,” John Curtice, an election expert and professor of politics at Strathclyde University, said during a debate on Brexit by academics in London last month.

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Rory Stewart can’t help but tell the truth – that’s why he has no chance in the Tory leadership race

Rory Stewart can’t help but tell the truth – that’s why he has no chance in the Tory leadership race | Press coverage | Scoop.it
From the big tent home of London’s most famous comedy festival, Rory Stewart launched the only Tory leadership campaign that wasn’t a complete joke. For the first time, toward the end of two long days of madness, he was the first of his kind to stand behind a lectern with his name on, and refuse either to gild the truth, or to flat out lie. And right at the end, it was the
ukandeu's insight:

"All he was offering, he said, is compromise. That was how you won, 20 years ago. He quoted the Professor John Curtice, the nation’s leading psephologist, and the closest thing British politics has to a David Attenborough. No one agrees on everything, but almost everyone agrees that Curtice is always right."

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Drugs, tax and Brexit: Conservative Party race to replace Theresa May begins

Drugs, tax and Brexit: Conservative Party race to replace Theresa May begins | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Eleven Tories expected to throw their names in the hat today but the party will probably not decide on a ‘winner’ until the end of July.
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Polling guru John Curtice told the BBC that the result showed Britain was now in a “different political world”.

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High court quashes bid to prosecute Boris Johnson over false referendum claim about cost of EU - as it happened | Politics | The Guardian

High court quashes bid to prosecute Boris Johnson over false referendum claim about cost of EU - as it happened | Politics | The Guardian | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Labour’s Lisa Forbes secures narrow victory over Brexit party with margin of just 683 votes in byelection
ukandeu's insight:

Curtice said that in the last general election in 2017 the two traditional main parties, Labour and the Conservatives, shared 95% of the vote in Peterborough, but got only 52.3% in the byelection. He told Today: "Brexit has become such an important issue that rather than our traditional system of two-party politics, at the moment at least, we’ve got a system of four party politics."

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Hunt vows to protect UK’s union better than Boris during action-packed visit to Scotland –

Hunt vows to protect UK’s union better than Boris during action-packed visit to Scotland – | Press coverage | Scoop.it
JEREMY Hunt has opened up a new flank of attack on Boris Johnson to declare he would protect the United Kingdom’s union better. The Foreign Secretary’s visited Scotland yesterday to cast doubt on h…
ukandeu's insight:

Mr Johnson is unpopular in Scotland, where there are a large number of Tory party members. Elections expert Professor Sir John Curtice said: “Boris Johnson seems unlikely to bring the party much electoral dividend, while he could put at risk its hopes of keeping Scotland in the Union.

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UK finances forecast to suffer under most forms of Brexit | Politics | The Guardian

UK finances forecast to suffer under most forms of Brexit | Politics | The Guardian | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Cost of leaving EU will also impede new policy initiatives, thinktank’s report says
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Academics at the UK in a Changing Europe thinktank found a positive outcome depended on politicians being able to move on from the Brexit impasse and focus on longer-term challenges including productivity, regional imbalances and democratic reform.

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'Weak' Theresa May one of worst PM's ever: Widdecombe furious as she backs Boris on Brexit | Politics | News

'Weak' Theresa May one of worst PM's ever: Widdecombe furious as she backs Boris on Brexit | Politics | News | Press coverage | Scoop.it
BREXIT Party MEP Ann Widdecombe has branded Theresa May one of the worst Tory prime ministers, calling her “incredibly weak”.
ukandeu's insight:

Polling guru John Curtice shares the Brexit MEP’s uncertainty that Britain will leave the EU in four months time. He told Express.co.uk: “It is impossible to leave on the 31st October” and explained “there is not time to get the legislation through Parliament.”

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Brexit research group funding extended | News

Brexit research group funding extended | News | Press coverage | Scoop.it
King’s College-based research initiative UK in a Changing Europe has received additional funding of £3.19m from the Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC).
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King’s College-based research initiative UK in a Changing Europe has received additional funding of £3.19m from the Economic and Social Research Council

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The contest between Johnson and Hunt is about who can win a looming general election | Anand Menon and Alan Wager | Opinion | The Guardian

The contest between Johnson and Hunt is about who can win a looming general election | Anand Menon and Alan Wager | Opinion | The Guardian | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Neither has any hope of renegotiating May’s deal, or forcing through no deal. An election must come, say Anand Menon and Alan Wager
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The Brief, powered by ADF International – The Union not forever? – EURACTIV.com

The Brief, powered by ADF International – The Union not forever? – EURACTIV.com | Press coverage | Scoop.it
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Tory leadership news: Boris Johnson praised by academic as Stewart is eliminated | UK | News

Tory leadership news: Boris Johnson praised by academic as Stewart is eliminated | UK | News | Press coverage | Scoop.it
TORY leadership frontrunner Boris Johnson has been praised by a member of a political think tank for his campaign strategy which has seen him surge to the front in the leadership race.
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"Mr Johnson has been the favourite to win the contest shortly after Theresa May announced her resignation and deputy director of think tank, The UK in a Changing Europe, Dr Simon Usherwood has praised his strategy. Dr Usherwood said: “He won the ground war, he has a good team and that’s all that matters."

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Don’t believe the lie that centrism is dead – it’s growing stronger by the day thanks to the scourge of Brexit

Don’t believe the lie that centrism is dead – it’s growing stronger by the day thanks to the scourge of Brexit | Press coverage | Scoop.it
As the disaster which is Brexit continues to unfold, it is clear something bigger is happening. The tectonic plates are shifting and the public is now more in favour of upending the two-party system than at any point in my lifetime. This provides a once in a generation opportunity to realign, change the system, fix our broken politics and resolve the problems which caused
ukandeu's insight:

John Curtice, polling guru and University of Strathclyde professor, puts it thus: “Rather than looking like a two-party system, [recent polls] suggest that British politics now resembles more of a four-party one.”

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Brexit: Does the UK owe the EU £39bn?

Brexit: Does the UK owe the EU £39bn? | Press coverage | Scoop.it
How much is the UK expected to pay the EU after Brexit?
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Catherine Barnard, professor of EU law at Cambridge University, says that because such a situation has never arisen before "no one is quite sure what might happen".

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Boris Johnson: Row over poll predicting landslide election win for Tory leadership hopeful

Boris Johnson: Row over poll predicting landslide election win for Tory leadership hopeful | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Predictions of a Margaret Thatcher-style landslide for the Tories under Boris Johnson has prompted a row among data experts. The new poll, conducted by ComRes for the Daily Telegraph, said Mr Johnson was the only leadership contender who could offer victory for the Tories in a general election, translating to a majority of 140 seats.
ukandeu's insight:

"Veteran pollster Professor John Curtice said hypothetical polls should be "treated with caution" but said the data was clear that Mr Johnson was coming out on top. He told The Independent: "It doesn't matter what criteria you use, Boris Johnson wins virtually every single time and in particular he clearly appeals to those who voted for the Brexit Party two weeks ago.

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British public thinks EU relationship important post-Brexit | News

British public thinks EU relationship important post-Brexit | News | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Three-quarters of the British public think a close relationship with the EU will be important after Brexit, while there has been a decline in the number of people who think the country should 'punch above its weight' on a world stage, according to research.
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Brexit news: Boris Johnson is ONLY candidate who can save Tories from collapse | UK | News

Brexit news: Boris Johnson is ONLY candidate who can save Tories from collapse | UK | News | Press coverage | Scoop.it
POLLING guru John Curtice claimed Boris Johnson could be the only Tory leadership candidate to convince Brexit Party supporters to come back to the Conservative Party at the next general election.
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Mr Curtice argued a recent YouGov poll showed Boris Johnson as the only potential Tory leader that would cause Nigel Farage's Brexit Party support to collapse. He said: “He looks like the one person that might be able to persuade some of the Brexit Party supporters to come back to the Conservative Party."

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