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EU Parliament poll to churn UK politics some more - The Hindu BusinessLine

EU Parliament poll to churn UK politics some more - The Hindu BusinessLine | Press coverage | Scoop.it
After Brexit, this could fundamentally impact the political landscape again
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“The first and most obvious takeaway is that the Brexit Party will do pretty well in terms of seats but the ‘Remain’ parties may do well in terms of vote share,” says Anand Menon, Director of UK in a Changing Europe.

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Bloomberg - Brexit Targeted Foreign Workers. Now Robots Are Coming

Bloomberg - Brexit Targeted Foreign Workers. Now Robots Are Coming | Press coverage | Scoop.it

"The unfortunate irony for many who want to leave the EU is that more jobs might now be at risk of automation."

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In places like this, workers feel immigration is something that happens to them, rather than something they can be part of, said John Curtice, professor of politics at the University of Strathclyde. “They feel culturally isolated,” he said.

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Back to fears about a no-deal Brexit - FT

Back to fears about a no-deal Brexit - FT | Press coverage | Scoop.it

"Idea that Theresa May will encounter success after 3 galling failures has few takers at Westminster"

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Simon Hix's contribution to the UK in a Changing Europe's European Parliament elections report is mentioned in this Brexit Briefing from the FT.

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Brexit talks declared dead as Theresa May plans her departure

Brexit talks declared dead as Theresa May plans her departure | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Brexit talks between Theresa May's Conservative Party and Labour collapsed.
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“Britain is divided down the middle over Brexit: it was in 2016 and it is in 2019 – and that is one of the reasons why this issue is so difficult to resolve,” John Curtice, Britain’s top polling expert, told Reuters.

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Next week's European elections in the U.K. could be a $100M farce thanks to Brexit

Next week's European elections in the U.K. could be a $100M farce thanks to Brexit | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Next week’s European elections in the U.K. could be a $100M farce thanks to Brexit
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“Whatever excuses you come up with, the fact that a party that’s less than two months old is heading the polls in a national campaign is bloody remarkable,” said Anand Menon, professor of politics at King's College London.

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If Boris Johnson gets into No10 it will spell disaster for the Scottish Conservatives - and for all our sakes it must never happen

If Boris Johnson gets into No10 it will spell disaster for the Scottish Conservatives - and for all our sakes it must never happen | Press coverage | Scoop.it
TOP pollster Sir John Curtice reckons the SNP is on track to pick up 40 per cent of the vote in next week’s Euro elections, giving them up to four seats and leaving the Tories like “sorry losers”. …
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TOP pollster Sir John Curtice reckons the SNP is on track to pick up 40 per cent of the vote in next week’s Euro elections, giving them up to four seats and leaving the Tories like “sorry losers”.

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Brexit news: 'Tarnished' Tony Blair would not be welcome to join Change UK | UK | News

Brexit news: 'Tarnished' Tony Blair would not be welcome to join Change UK | UK | News | Press coverage | Scoop.it

REMAINER Heidi Allen claimed she would not allow Tony Blair to stand for her newly-formed party Change UK because of his 'tarnished' reputation over the Iraq war.

ukandeu's insight:

Speaking at a UK in a Changing Europe event, the interim leader of anti-Brexit party Change UK claimed she would politically liken herself to Tony Blair more than Margaret Thatcher. But asked whether she would allow the former Labour leader to run as an MP at the next general election, she responded with a prompt and straight "no".

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Why Theresa May faces defeat on her flagship Brexit bill - FT

Why Theresa May faces defeat on her flagship Brexit bill - FT | Press coverage | Scoop.it

"Legislation risks fuelling Eurosceptic opposition to PM’s withdrawal agreement"

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Analysis from Anand Menon and Catherine Barnard is featured in this piece in the FT.

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Anti-Brexit feeling expected to help SNP in European elections | Politics | The Guardian

Anti-Brexit feeling expected to help SNP in European elections | Politics | The Guardian | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Polls show Labour and Tories losing votes over Brexit in Scotland, election expert says
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"Latest polls show the SNP is the only one of the three major parties in Scotland which is not losing votes over Brexit, explained Prof Sir John Curtice, the elections expert at the University of Strathclyde."

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Sterling stays range-bound as Brexit talks hang by a thread : Canada

Sterling stays range-bound as Brexit talks hang by a thread : Canada | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Theresa May, U.K. prime minister, leaves a news conference following a European Union leaders summit in the Europa building in Brussels, Belgium,
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“The local elections increased the incentive for May and Corbyn to get a deal,” Anand Menon, director of the London-based think-tank UK in a Changing Europe, told CNBC Monday.

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Record number of EU nationals working in UK | Express & Star

Record number of EU nationals working in UK | Express & Star | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Around 2.38 million EU nationals were employed in the UK from January to March, 98,000 more than in the equivalent period of 2018.
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Jonathan Portes, professor of economics at King’s College London, said: “It is possible that recent developments have provided some assurance that, at least in the short term, little is likely to change for EU citizens resident in the UK."

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European elections: what is the point of voting?

European elections: what is the point of voting? | Press coverage | Scoop.it
23 May poll considered to be first real indication of the public reaction to the ongoing Brexit chaos
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"Interpretations of the results of these elections “are likely to rest on the degree to which the bubble of two-party politics – perhaps the key political fact of the 2017 general election – has burst”, says Anand Menon and Alan Wager, from the UK in a Changing Europe think tank.

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Sterling stays range-bound as Brexit talks hang by a thread

Sterling stays range-bound as Brexit talks hang by a thread | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Both the U.K.'s main political parties face poor performances in the upcoming European elections.
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“The local elections increased the incentive for May and Corbyn to get a deal,” Anand Menon, director of the London-based think-tank UK in a Changing Europe, told CNBC Monday.

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Premier Corbyn could pave way for indyref2 | Scotland | The Sunday Times

Premier Corbyn could pave way for indyref2 | Scotland | The Sunday Times | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Jeremy Corbyn, as leader of a minority Labour government, could strike a stability deal with the SNP that gives Nicola Sturgeon permission for a new independence referendum without antagonising many Labour supporters, according to a new poll.Nationalists hope that a hung parliament, with the SNP as
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"John Curtice, professor of politics at Strathclyde University, said: “The poll underlines why Theresa May is so firmly against a second independence referendum. Her stance chimes with the views of most Conservative voters south of the border."

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On Change UK’s inadequacies, political agreements and missing Scots - Bagehot’s week

On Change UK’s inadequacies, political agreements and missing Scots - Bagehot’s week | Press coverage | Scoop.it
I WAS much impressed by Heidi Allen’s first speech when she left the Conservative Party to join the Independent Group, now known as the Change UK Party. How could the Conservative high command have ignored such a prodigious talent?
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This Economist piece on Heidi Allen, interim leader of Change UK, touches on her appearance at the UK in a Changing Europe's Beer and Brexit event.

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Nigel Farage Is Winning the Brexit Cyber War - Bloomberg

Nigel Farage Is Winning the Brexit Cyber War - Bloomberg | Press coverage | Scoop.it
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“They’re throwing everything they’ve got at this opportunity,” said Simon Usherwood, deputy director of U.K. in a Changing Europe, an academic group that researches the relationship between Britain and the EU. 

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Scots Tories warm to Boris as defeats loom | Scotland | The Sunday Times

Scots Tories warm to Boris as defeats loom | Scotland | The Sunday Times | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Senior Scottish Tories previously hostile to a Boris Johnson premiership are softening their position, as a new poll puts the party on course to finish fourth in this week’s European elections and suggests it is heading for heavy losses at Holyrood and Westminster.Last year Scottish members of the p
ukandeu's insight:

"Sir John Curtice, professor of politics at Strathclyde University, forecast that at 18% (-4) the Tories would fall from 13 Scottish seats in the Commons to three."

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Brexit talks collapse as May's premiership crumbles - Reuters

Brexit talks collapse as May's premiership crumbles - Reuters | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Britain's tumultuous divorce from the European Union was again in disarray on Friday after the opposition Labour Party declared last-ditch talks dead due to Prime Minister Theresa May's crumbling government.
ukandeu's insight:

“Britain is divided down the middle over Brexit: it was in 2016 and it is in 2019 - and that is one of the reasons why this issue is so difficult to resolve,” John Curtice, Britain’s top polling expert, told Reuters.

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British Steel’s cry of Brexit pain - FT

British Steel’s cry of Brexit pain - FT | Press coverage | Scoop.it

"Over the past year, big groups have indicated how uncertainty is harming their operations"

ukandeu's insight:

"Opinion polls do show a shift towards Remain since the 2016 referendum. (In March, John Curtice put the average level of support for the two options at Remain 54 per cent, Leave 46 per cent)."

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2019 European elections opinion polls: How are the parties faring?

2019 European elections opinion polls: How are the parties faring? | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Brexit Party leads polls for the European elections, with the Tories on course for a historic low.
ukandeu's insight:

"Academics at The UK in a Changing Europe have suggested an interesting alternative approach. In a report they suggest that it would be useful to look at levels of turnout in different parts of the country."

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The Lib Dems are love-bombing them, Labour are scared by them – the Greens are on the rise

The Lib Dems are love-bombing them, Labour are scared by them – the Greens are on the rise | Press coverage | Scoop.it

"How do you solve a problem like the Green Party? Their surge in support is giving all the parties headaches of one kind or another. Vince Cable thinks he knows the answer: love-bombing."

ukandeu's insight:

"Where Labour did well, it did so in both Remain and Leave strongholds, while likewise underperforming in other regions across both sides of the referendum divide. These findings are supported by similar work by the respected psephologist John Curtice."

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Prof John Curtice: SNP heading for 'all-time record' in EU elections

Prof John Curtice: SNP heading for 'all-time record' in EU elections | Press coverage | Scoop.it
THE SNP is on course for an "all-time record performance" in next week's European vote, according to Scotland's leading election expert.
ukandeu's insight:

"Professor Sir John Curtice said the party was one track to win around 40 per cent of the vote, which would probably translate into three - possibly even four - of Scotland's six MEPs."

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The cost of Labour party’s Brexit muddle - FT

The cost of Labour party’s Brexit muddle - FT | Press coverage | Scoop.it

"Parties that clearly want second referendum are doing well in European election polls"

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Professor Anand Menon and Dr Alan Wager's analysis is mentioned in this FT piece.

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EU Parliament poll to churn UK politics some more - The Hindu BusinessLine

EU Parliament poll to churn UK politics some more - The Hindu BusinessLine | Press coverage | Scoop.it
After Brexit, this could fundamentally impact the political landscape again
ukandeu's insight:

“The first and most obvious takeaway is that the Brexit Party will do pretty well in terms of seats but the ‘Remain’ parties may do well in terms of vote share,” says Anand Menon, Director of UK in a Changing Europe.

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SNP could see all-time record result in EU election – Professor John Curtice - The Scotsman

SNP could see all-time record result in EU election – Professor John Curtice - The Scotsman | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Forces of unionism could emerge from EU election appearing divided in the face of a reinvigorated SNP, writes Professor Sir John Curtice.
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A piece in the Scotsman by Sir John Curtice: forces of unionism could emerge from EU election appearing divided in the face of a reinvigorated SNP. 

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The Londoner: The Brexit Party split over future | London

The Londoner: The Brexit Party split over future | London | Press coverage | Scoop.it
The Brexit Party insists it is in British politics for the long haul, despite polling today indicating that 63 per cent of the British public think the party led by Nigel Farage will “probably not  be a force in British politics in 10 years” — a view shared by some of its candidates. A spokesperson for the party emphasised this morning that it has “every intention of changing British politics for good” and will remain on the political scene beyond Brexit. 
ukandeu's insight:

Polling expert Professor John Curtice,  however, expects the party to have a short lifespan. “Is it surprising? Most people hope Brexit will be done and dusted in 10 years’ time” he says, dismissing the idea that the Brexit Party could “be part of government, given that the Ukip vote fell away when Brexit was won”.

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