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Globalization Is Moving Past the U.S. and Its Vision of World Order - The New York Times

Globalization Is Moving Past the U.S. and Its Vision of World Order - The New York Times | Press coverage | Scoop.it
As President Trump deploys tariffs as weapons in international disputes, he has ceded the American role as champion of global trade.
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Alice Roberts to deliver keynote speech on ‘Morals without religion’ at annual national non-religious Convention in Leicester

Alice Roberts to deliver keynote speech on ‘Morals without religion’ at annual national non-religious Convention in Leicester | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Scientist, author, and President of Humanists UK, Alice Roberts, will deliver a keynote speech on ‘Morals without religion’ at the annual national non-religious Convention to be held in Leicester this weekend.
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And then there were two - Politics Weekly podcast | Politics | The Guardian

And then there were two - Politics Weekly podcast | Politics | The Guardian | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Heather Stewart is joined by Anushka Asthana, Ryan Shorthouse and Anand Menon to discuss the latest in the Tory leadership contest, maternity rights for MPs and Labour’s Brexit position
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Brexit: Absent Johnson emerges unscathed from TV debate | UK News | Al Jazeera

Brexit: Absent Johnson emerges unscathed from TV debate | UK News | Al Jazeera | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Tory frontrunner fails to participate in the debate as PM contenders struggle to offer solution to Brexit conundrum.
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Simon Usherwood, reader in politics at the University of Surrey and deputy director of the UK in a Changing Europe think-tank, said the debate was not a "game changer" and that in spite of the fact Stewart "had some good lines, that's still going to have more of an impact with the public at large rather than MPs - who are not likely to have seen anything that is going to change their minds."

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Chuka Umunna: Don't ask why he joined the Lib Dems – ask how many will follow him

Chuka Umunna: Don't ask why he joined the Lib Dems – ask how many will follow him | Press coverage | Scoop.it
It was the attention to detail that did it. Most Photoshop efforts give themselves away pretty quickly. The lines are all jagged, the font’s not quite right, that sort of thing.
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"Earlier this week, Rory Stewart said that the psephologist Sir John Curtice had told him that British voters no longer looked like a bell curve, but were now a U-bend. Everyone has rushed to the extremes, and started to claim to speak for the people."

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Tory leadership hopefuls: where they stand on Brexit

Tory leadership hopefuls: where they stand on Brexit | Press coverage | Scoop.it
How and when to leave the EU is becoming the defining issue in the race to succeed Theresa May
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“In effect, any PM who pushed for no-deal would see their government collapse in the autumn and risk a general election where there would be a significant chance that Labour would end up in government before the end of the year,” John Curtice, an election expert and professor of politics at Strathclyde University, said during a debate on Brexit by academics in London last month.

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Rory Stewart can’t help but tell the truth – that’s why he has no chance in the Tory leadership race

Rory Stewart can’t help but tell the truth – that’s why he has no chance in the Tory leadership race | Press coverage | Scoop.it
From the big tent home of London’s most famous comedy festival, Rory Stewart launched the only Tory leadership campaign that wasn’t a complete joke. For the first time, toward the end of two long days of madness, he was the first of his kind to stand behind a lectern with his name on, and refuse either to gild the truth, or to flat out lie. And right at the end, it was the
ukandeu's insight:

"All he was offering, he said, is compromise. That was how you won, 20 years ago. He quoted the Professor John Curtice, the nation’s leading psephologist, and the closest thing British politics has to a David Attenborough. No one agrees on everything, but almost everyone agrees that Curtice is always right."

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Drugs, tax and Brexit: Conservative Party race to replace Theresa May begins

Drugs, tax and Brexit: Conservative Party race to replace Theresa May begins | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Eleven Tories expected to throw their names in the hat today but the party will probably not decide on a ‘winner’ until the end of July.
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Polling guru John Curtice told the BBC that the result showed Britain was now in a “different political world”.

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High court quashes bid to prosecute Boris Johnson over false referendum claim about cost of EU - as it happened | Politics | The Guardian

High court quashes bid to prosecute Boris Johnson over false referendum claim about cost of EU - as it happened | Politics | The Guardian | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Labour’s Lisa Forbes secures narrow victory over Brexit party with margin of just 683 votes in byelection
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Curtice said that in the last general election in 2017 the two traditional main parties, Labour and the Conservatives, shared 95% of the vote in Peterborough, but got only 52.3% in the byelection. He told Today: "Brexit has become such an important issue that rather than our traditional system of two-party politics, at the moment at least, we’ve got a system of four party politics."

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Brexit news: Jacob Rees-Mogg calls for Tory and Brexit Party to UNITE | UK | News

Brexit news: Jacob Rees-Mogg calls for Tory and Brexit Party to UNITE | UK | News | Press coverage | Scoop.it
JACOB REES-MOGG expressed his disappointment over the Brexit Party and the Conservative Party being unable to come together for the by-election in Peterborough, a heavy Leave-backing constituency.
ukandeu's insight:

"Professor John Curtice earlier warned the vote had been “split evenly” between the Brexit Party and the Conservatives, similarly to that of the Remain vote being split between the Liberal Democrats and Change UK in the European elections."

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UK's May quits as party leader, starting succession race

UK's May quits as party leader, starting succession race | Press coverage | Scoop.it

"Prime Minister Theresa May stepped down as leader of Britain's governing Conservative Party on Friday, formally triggering the race for a successor who will try where she failed to deliver Brexit."

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"Polling guru John Curtice told the BBC that the result showed Britain was now in a "different political world"."

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Is Gove a good green or a ‘pure political calculator’?

Is Gove a good green or a ‘pure political calculator’? | Press coverage | Scoop.it
“It seems to me now, in this role, I have the opportunity to write a new chapter,” Michael Gove told a roomful of green advocates shortly after becoming environment secretary in summer 2017. That new chapter, he explained, presented a “once in a lifetime opportunity” to protect the environment and enhance the countryside.
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"Gove has not yet had to do the “really hard stuff” such as making sure policy gets implemented, said Professor Charlotte Burns, a fellow in politics at the University of York."

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Labour holds Brexit Party at bay in crucial by-election –

Labour holds Brexit Party at bay in crucial by-election – | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Nigel Farage left disappointed after his party comes in second in Peterborough.
ukandeu's insight:

Polling expert John Curtice noted that having secured just 31 percent of the ballots, Forbes had set a record for the lowest share of the vote captured by a winning candidate in a by-election, which he said was confirmation the U.K. is in a “different political world” where no one party can necessarily dominate any particular election. He added that the Brexit Party was still a “significantly disruptive force.”

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The contest between Johnson and Hunt is about who can win a looming general election | Anand Menon and Alan Wager | Opinion | The Guardian

The contest between Johnson and Hunt is about who can win a looming general election | Anand Menon and Alan Wager | Opinion | The Guardian | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Neither has any hope of renegotiating May’s deal, or forcing through no deal. An election must come, say Anand Menon and Alan Wager
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The Brief, powered by ADF International – The Union not forever? – EURACTIV.com

The Brief, powered by ADF International – The Union not forever? – EURACTIV.com | Press coverage | Scoop.it
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Tory leadership news: Boris Johnson praised by academic as Stewart is eliminated | UK | News

Tory leadership news: Boris Johnson praised by academic as Stewart is eliminated | UK | News | Press coverage | Scoop.it
TORY leadership frontrunner Boris Johnson has been praised by a member of a political think tank for his campaign strategy which has seen him surge to the front in the leadership race.
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"Mr Johnson has been the favourite to win the contest shortly after Theresa May announced her resignation and deputy director of think tank, The UK in a Changing Europe, Dr Simon Usherwood has praised his strategy. Dr Usherwood said: “He won the ground war, he has a good team and that’s all that matters."

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Don’t believe the lie that centrism is dead – it’s growing stronger by the day thanks to the scourge of Brexit

Don’t believe the lie that centrism is dead – it’s growing stronger by the day thanks to the scourge of Brexit | Press coverage | Scoop.it
As the disaster which is Brexit continues to unfold, it is clear something bigger is happening. The tectonic plates are shifting and the public is now more in favour of upending the two-party system than at any point in my lifetime. This provides a once in a generation opportunity to realign, change the system, fix our broken politics and resolve the problems which caused
ukandeu's insight:

John Curtice, polling guru and University of Strathclyde professor, puts it thus: “Rather than looking like a two-party system, [recent polls] suggest that British politics now resembles more of a four-party one.”

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Brexit: Does the UK owe the EU £39bn?

Brexit: Does the UK owe the EU £39bn? | Press coverage | Scoop.it
How much is the UK expected to pay the EU after Brexit?
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Catherine Barnard, professor of EU law at Cambridge University, says that because such a situation has never arisen before "no one is quite sure what might happen".

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Boris Johnson: Row over poll predicting landslide election win for Tory leadership hopeful

Boris Johnson: Row over poll predicting landslide election win for Tory leadership hopeful | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Predictions of a Margaret Thatcher-style landslide for the Tories under Boris Johnson has prompted a row among data experts. The new poll, conducted by ComRes for the Daily Telegraph, said Mr Johnson was the only leadership contender who could offer victory for the Tories in a general election, translating to a majority of 140 seats.
ukandeu's insight:

"Veteran pollster Professor John Curtice said hypothetical polls should be "treated with caution" but said the data was clear that Mr Johnson was coming out on top. He told The Independent: "It doesn't matter what criteria you use, Boris Johnson wins virtually every single time and in particular he clearly appeals to those who voted for the Brexit Party two weeks ago.

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British public thinks EU relationship important post-Brexit | News

British public thinks EU relationship important post-Brexit | News | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Three-quarters of the British public think a close relationship with the EU will be important after Brexit, while there has been a decline in the number of people who think the country should 'punch above its weight' on a world stage, according to research.
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Brexit news: Boris Johnson is ONLY candidate who can save Tories from collapse | UK | News

Brexit news: Boris Johnson is ONLY candidate who can save Tories from collapse | UK | News | Press coverage | Scoop.it
POLLING guru John Curtice claimed Boris Johnson could be the only Tory leadership candidate to convince Brexit Party supporters to come back to the Conservative Party at the next general election.
ukandeu's insight:

Mr Curtice argued a recent YouGov poll showed Boris Johnson as the only potential Tory leader that would cause Nigel Farage's Brexit Party support to collapse. He said: “He looks like the one person that might be able to persuade some of the Brexit Party supporters to come back to the Conservative Party."

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Peterborough by-election: Polling guru warns of 'CIVIL WAR' over vote | UK | News

Peterborough by-election: Polling guru warns of 'CIVIL WAR' over vote | UK | News | Press coverage | Scoop.it
“CIVIL war” between the Brexit Party and the Conservatives risks breaking out following the Peterborough by-election result, polling expert John Curtice has warned.
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"The Leave vote is split “virtually evenly” between the Brexit Party and the Conservatives,the political scientist claimed. Professor John Curtice warned of a “civil war” between the two parties in the coming weeks, similar to that of the Remain vote being split between the Liberal Democrats and Change UK in the European elections. He told BBC’s Politics Live: “The honest truth from the polling evidence is at the moment now for Westminster, as oppose to what happened two weeks ago, the Leave vote is divided virtually evenly between yourselves and the Conservative Party.”

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Our electoral system won't survive Brexit. Mark my words

Our electoral system won't survive Brexit. Mark my words | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Voters had taken “the advice of people they were used to following”, said Roy Jenkins, explaining the massive two-to-one Yes majority in the first Europe referendum of 1975.
ukandeu's insight:

"Labour is celebrating its Peterborough “triumph”, despite scraping home with 31 per cent of the vote, the lowest in any by-election victory. It shouldn’t. According to wizard psephologist John Curtice, this performance mirrors its position in national opinion polls, a princely 23 per cent – abysmal for a party nine years in opposition, confronting a government whose successes are, one might say, not immediately apparent."

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Peterborough by-election results: Sir John Curtice says 'we are in a different world' after Labour win with smallest ever vote shar

Peterborough by-election results: Sir John Curtice says 'we are in a different world' after Labour win with smallest ever vote shar | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Sir John Curtice, one of the UK's leading pollsters, has said the result of the Peterborough by-election in which Labour scraped its win against the Brexit Party  shows that "we are now in a different political world", where the power of the larger parties is being eroded.
ukandeu's insight:

"Sir John Curtice, one of the UK’s leading pollsters, has said the result of the Peterborough by-election in which Labour scraped its win against the Brexit Party  shows that “we are now in a different political world”, where the power of the larger parties is being eroded."

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Theresa May resigns: 5 blunders that led to her downfall as leader

Theresa May resigns: 5 blunders that led to her downfall as leader | Press coverage | Scoop.it
From calling a snap general election to her failure to sell her Brexit deal, MPs and experts explain Theresa May's biggest errors as prime minister.
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"In terms of the basics, she needed to get a Withdrawal Agreement through, and it wasn't going to happen with parliament as it was pre-election," said Anand Menon, Director of the UK In A Changing Europe thinktank. "So you could do with a bigger majority and you had those polls. Why not?"

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