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Boris Johnson news: Boris has 'no control' on Remain vote, says expert | UK | News

Boris Johnson news: Boris has 'no control' on Remain vote, says expert | UK | News | Press coverage | Scoop.it
POLLING expert John Curtice warned Tory leadership contender Boris Johnson would have “no control” over Remain voters in a general election, potentially falling behind the Labour or Liberal Democrat Party.
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Remain voters would present a “substantial challenge” to Boris Johnson in a general election, predicted a polling guru. John Curtice also claimed Boris’ leadership rival Jeremy Hunt could “not bring anything to the Conservative Party electorally” in the immediate future.

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UCL: New academic report evaluates impacts of Brexit to date

UCL: New academic report evaluates impacts of Brexit to date | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Brexit has had a negative impact to date on the UK’s economy, public finances, openness and control, according to a comprehensive new analysis involving UCL.
ukandeu's insight:

"Brexit has had a negative impact to date on the UK’s economy, public finances, openness and control, according to a comprehensive new analysis involving UCL. The report, The Brexit Scorecard, published by UK in a Changing Europe, rates performance in four areas: the economy and public finances, fairness, openness and control."

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‘Just about any Brexit will damage UK economy’ | Public Finance

‘Just about any Brexit will damage UK economy’ | Public Finance | Press coverage | Scoop.it
A think-tank has warned most forms of Brexit will damage the UK economy - while the Office for National Statistics has predicted borrowing will increase this financial year.
ukandeu's insight:

"A report from the think-tank UK in a Changing Europe has said that “most forms of Brexit will worsen the government’s fiscal position, probably significantly” and added that this will impact on policy initiatives and the timing of the Spending Review."

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Brexit has heaped pain on UK economy and more damage highly likely, researchers warn

Brexit has heaped pain on UK economy and more damage highly likely, researchers warn | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Brexit has hurt the UK economy and, in the long term, more pain is on the cards, according to analysis by a government-funded academic think tank.   The report by The UK in a Changing Europe, published on Monday, assesses Brexit’s actual and future effects on inflation, productivity, public finances, and exports and imports. 
ukandeu's insight:

"The report by The UK in a Changing Europe, published on Monday, assesses Brexit’s actual and future effects on inflation, productivity, public finances, and exports and imports. There is little doubt that the impact of the Brexit vote on the UK economy has been negative,” the report, called The Brexit Scorecard, finds."

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Brexit News: Nigel Farage explains shock poll reveals ‘hardened’ feeling | UK | News

Brexit News: Nigel Farage explains shock poll reveals ‘hardened’ feeling | UK | News | Press coverage | Scoop.it
NIGEL FARAGE argued that the mood amongst Leave voters had “hardened” towards Brexit as they desperately seek a resolution to the issue that has been ongoing for over three years.
ukandeu's insight:

John Curtice's latest WhatUKThinks article said: “If we examine the current vote intentions of those who voted Remain in 2016 and those who backed leave, in both cases over 85 percent say they would vote exactly the same way they did n 2016."

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Poll finds Scots would vote for independence if Boris Johnson becomes PM | Daily

Poll finds Scots would vote for independence if Boris Johnson becomes PM | Daily | Press coverage | Scoop.it
SNP leader Nicola Sturgeon delivered a withering assessment of the would-be PM, saying he would 'damage the UK's reputation'.
ukandeu's insight:

Polling guru Professor John Curtice, who carried out the survey of Scots, said it underlined the dilemma for the Tories. 'The attraction to Conservative members south of the border of electing Boris Johnson as their leader is clear,' he wrote in the Sunday Times. 

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We set four tests for Brexit. Three years on, all of them are failing | Anand Menon and Jonathan Portes | Opinion | The Guardian

We set four tests for Brexit. Three years on, all of them are failing | Anand Menon and Jonathan Portes | Opinion | The Guardian | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Leaving the EU poses challenges politicians are still far from meeting, say Anand Menon and Jonathan Portes of UK in a Changing Europe
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Boris victory ‘will end Union’ | Scotland | The Sunday Times

Boris victory ‘will end Union’ | Scotland | The Sunday Times | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Boris Johnson could be the midwife of Scottish independence, according to an exclusive Sunday Times poll that suggests a majority of Scots would vote to leave the UK if he becomes prime minister.The Panelbase survey of 1,024 voters, conducted last week, confirms the worst fears of close allies of Sc
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"John Curtice, professor of politics at Strathclyde University, said: “The attraction to Conservative members south of the border of electing Boris Johnson as their leader is clear. Polling consistently suggests the figurehead of the ‘leave’ campaign is best placed to win back the many voters the Tories have lost to Nigel Farage’s Brexit Party in the wake of the failure to deliver Brexit."

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Globalization Is Moving Past the U.S. and Its Vision of World Order - The New York Times

Globalization Is Moving Past the U.S. and Its Vision of World Order - The New York Times | Press coverage | Scoop.it
As President Trump deploys tariffs as weapons in international disputes, he has ceded the American role as champion of global trade.
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Alice Roberts to deliver keynote speech on ‘Morals without religion’ at annual national non-religious Convention in Leicester

Alice Roberts to deliver keynote speech on ‘Morals without religion’ at annual national non-religious Convention in Leicester | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Scientist, author, and President of Humanists UK, Alice Roberts, will deliver a keynote speech on ‘Morals without religion’ at the annual national non-religious Convention to be held in Leicester this weekend.
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And then there were two - Politics Weekly podcast | Politics | The Guardian

And then there were two - Politics Weekly podcast | Politics | The Guardian | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Heather Stewart is joined by Anushka Asthana, Ryan Shorthouse and Anand Menon to discuss the latest in the Tory leadership contest, maternity rights for MPs and Labour’s Brexit position
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Brexit: Absent Johnson emerges unscathed from TV debate | UK News | Al Jazeera

Brexit: Absent Johnson emerges unscathed from TV debate | UK News | Al Jazeera | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Tory frontrunner fails to participate in the debate as PM contenders struggle to offer solution to Brexit conundrum.
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Simon Usherwood, reader in politics at the University of Surrey and deputy director of the UK in a Changing Europe think-tank, said the debate was not a "game changer" and that in spite of the fact Stewart "had some good lines, that's still going to have more of an impact with the public at large rather than MPs - who are not likely to have seen anything that is going to change their minds."

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Chuka Umunna: Don't ask why he joined the Lib Dems – ask how many will follow him

Chuka Umunna: Don't ask why he joined the Lib Dems – ask how many will follow him | Press coverage | Scoop.it
It was the attention to detail that did it. Most Photoshop efforts give themselves away pretty quickly. The lines are all jagged, the font’s not quite right, that sort of thing.
ukandeu's insight:

"Earlier this week, Rory Stewart said that the psephologist Sir John Curtice had told him that British voters no longer looked like a bell curve, but were now a U-bend. Everyone has rushed to the extremes, and started to claim to speak for the people."

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Leaving EU to bring 'more pain' to UK consumers

Leaving EU to bring 'more pain' to UK consumers | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Brexit has hurt the UK economy and, in the long term, more pain is on the cards, according to analysis by a government-funded academic think tank.
ukandeu's insight:

"The report by The UK In A Changing Europe, published yesterday, assesses Brexit's actual and future effects on inflation, productivity, public finances, and exports and imports.

"There is little doubt that the impact of the Brexit vote on the UK economy has been negative," the report, called The Brexit Scorecard, finds."

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Jeremy Corbyn faces a decision that could dictate Labour's fate at the next general election - Jason Beattie - Mirror Online

Jeremy Corbyn faces a decision that could dictate Labour's fate at the next general election - Jason Beattie - Mirror Online | Press coverage | Scoop.it

Labour is agonising over whether to become a purely Remain party. Whatever it decides it will come at a cost
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"Professor Anand Menon’s brilliant talk on Brexit and what we should do now . This is getting a lot of praise on social media and rightly so."

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Rules to make it easier for migrants to come to Wales than England to be considered - Wales Online

Rules to make it easier for migrants to come to Wales than England to be considered - Wales Online | Press coverage | Scoop.it

An expert panel is to consider whether skilled migrants seeking a five-year visa would need a lower salary to come to Wales than the £30k proposed for England

ukandeu's insight:

"The concerns that a £30,000 minimum salary would hit Wales harder than England were raised by economist Professor Jonathan Portes in a review commissioned by the Welsh Government. He called for the Welsh Government and businesses to press for a lower threshold, claiming £20,000 would "mitigate modestly" the potential impact."

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Monday briefing: Johnson must 'answer difficult questions' | World news | The Guardian

Monday briefing: Johnson must 'answer difficult questions' | World news | The Guardian | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Jeremy Hunt says PM rival must explain police call-out … NHS opens children’s gambling clinic … and the new armpit hair revolution
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The report by academics at the UK in a Changing Europe thinktank said: “Most forms of Brexit will worsen the government’s fiscal position, probably significantly, reducing the space for new policy initiatives.”

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Hunt vows to protect UK’s union better than Boris during action-packed visit to Scotland –

Hunt vows to protect UK’s union better than Boris during action-packed visit to Scotland – | Press coverage | Scoop.it
JEREMY Hunt has opened up a new flank of attack on Boris Johnson to declare he would protect the United Kingdom’s union better. The Foreign Secretary’s visited Scotland yesterday to cast doubt on h…
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Mr Johnson is unpopular in Scotland, where there are a large number of Tory party members. Elections expert Professor Sir John Curtice said: “Boris Johnson seems unlikely to bring the party much electoral dividend, while he could put at risk its hopes of keeping Scotland in the Union.

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UK finances forecast to suffer under most forms of Brexit | Politics | The Guardian

UK finances forecast to suffer under most forms of Brexit | Politics | The Guardian | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Cost of leaving EU will also impede new policy initiatives, thinktank’s report says
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Academics at the UK in a Changing Europe thinktank found a positive outcome depended on politicians being able to move on from the Brexit impasse and focus on longer-term challenges including productivity, regional imbalances and democratic reform.

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'Weak' Theresa May one of worst PM's ever: Widdecombe furious as she backs Boris on Brexit | Politics | News

'Weak' Theresa May one of worst PM's ever: Widdecombe furious as she backs Boris on Brexit | Politics | News | Press coverage | Scoop.it
BREXIT Party MEP Ann Widdecombe has branded Theresa May one of the worst Tory prime ministers, calling her “incredibly weak”.
ukandeu's insight:

Polling guru John Curtice shares the Brexit MEP’s uncertainty that Britain will leave the EU in four months time. He told Express.co.uk: “It is impossible to leave on the 31st October” and explained “there is not time to get the legislation through Parliament.”

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Brexit research group funding extended | News

Brexit research group funding extended | News | Press coverage | Scoop.it
King’s College-based research initiative UK in a Changing Europe has received additional funding of £3.19m from the Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC).
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King’s College-based research initiative UK in a Changing Europe has received additional funding of £3.19m from the Economic and Social Research Council

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The contest between Johnson and Hunt is about who can win a looming general election | Anand Menon and Alan Wager | Opinion | The Guardian

The contest between Johnson and Hunt is about who can win a looming general election | Anand Menon and Alan Wager | Opinion | The Guardian | Press coverage | Scoop.it
Neither has any hope of renegotiating May’s deal, or forcing through no deal. An election must come, say Anand Menon and Alan Wager
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The Brief, powered by ADF International – The Union not forever? – EURACTIV.com

The Brief, powered by ADF International – The Union not forever? – EURACTIV.com | Press coverage | Scoop.it
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Tory leadership news: Boris Johnson praised by academic as Stewart is eliminated | UK | News

Tory leadership news: Boris Johnson praised by academic as Stewart is eliminated | UK | News | Press coverage | Scoop.it
TORY leadership frontrunner Boris Johnson has been praised by a member of a political think tank for his campaign strategy which has seen him surge to the front in the leadership race.
ukandeu's insight:

"Mr Johnson has been the favourite to win the contest shortly after Theresa May announced her resignation and deputy director of think tank, The UK in a Changing Europe, Dr Simon Usherwood has praised his strategy. Dr Usherwood said: “He won the ground war, he has a good team and that’s all that matters."

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Don’t believe the lie that centrism is dead – it’s growing stronger by the day thanks to the scourge of Brexit

Don’t believe the lie that centrism is dead – it’s growing stronger by the day thanks to the scourge of Brexit | Press coverage | Scoop.it
As the disaster which is Brexit continues to unfold, it is clear something bigger is happening. The tectonic plates are shifting and the public is now more in favour of upending the two-party system than at any point in my lifetime. This provides a once in a generation opportunity to realign, change the system, fix our broken politics and resolve the problems which caused
ukandeu's insight:

John Curtice, polling guru and University of Strathclyde professor, puts it thus: “Rather than looking like a two-party system, [recent polls] suggest that British politics now resembles more of a four-party one.”

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