Comment intervenir dans un système complexe
Les 12 leviers d'intervention dans un système complexe, d'après Donella Meadows
The Fall of Empires Explained in 10 Minutes
This is the presentation I gave to the meeting for the 50th anniversary of the Club of Rome on Oct 18th in Rome. The gist of the ide
Why Economists Can't Understand Complex Systems: Not Even the Nobel Prize, William Nordhaus
Nordhaus' approach to climate change mitigation highlights a general problem with how economists tend to tackle complex systems: their training makes them tend to see changes as smooth and gradual. But real-world systems, normally, do what they damn please, including crashing down in what we call...
Podcast: Cécile Wendling : l'art de la prospective (1h)

Interview très intéressante

Comment l'armée fait-elle face à l'incertitude ? (vidéo 33')

Une belle conférence qui donne un excellent résumé des enjeux et opportunités

Coupez une tête, il en repoussera deux ! De l'antifragilité opérationnelle
Comme une espèce vivante, une organisation militaire doit pour assurer sa survie et même son développement, être à la fois conservatrice et progressiste, combiner l’ordinaire (le Cheng de Sun Tzu) et l’extraordinaire (le Qi), le solide éprouvé et l’audacieux.
Einige nützliche Tipps und Hinweise für Politiker, Manager und solche, die es werden (oder sein) ...

Tolle Übersicht über Systemarchetypen

4 Tips for Navigating Ambiguity
Ambiguity makes people feel uncomfortable—it’s a fear amplifier. The pace of change is fast, disruption is coming from many directions, and what worked in the past just doesn’t work anymore.
Systemic risks: a new challenge for risk management

"The dual nature of risk as a part of technological progress and as a social threat demands a dual strategy for risk management"

What It Takes to Think Deeply About Complex Problems
The problems we’re facing often seem as complex as they do intractable. And as Albert Einstein is often quoted as saying, “We cannot solve our problems with the same level of thinking that created them.” So what does it take to increase the complexity of our thinking?
From the ‘crisis of perception’ to the ‘systems view of life’

Systems thinking applied to an very actual and existential question

Researchers find the tipping point between resilience and collapse in complex systems
Using statistical physics, network theorists have developed the first-ever tool to identify whether systems -- be they technological, ecological, or biological -- are in danger of failing.
COMPLEXITY, PROBLEM SOLVING, AND SUSTAINABLE SOCIETIES, by Joseph A. Tainter, 1996
Historical knowledge is essential to practical applications of ecological economics. Systems of problem solving develop greater complexity and higher costs over long periods. In time such systems either require increasing energy subsidies or they collapse. Diminishing returns to complexity in pro...
The Seneca Effect: why decline is faster than growth

Very understandable explanation by Ugo Bardi

Useful: Dave Snowden on resilience | More Beyond
While preparing a proposal for a series of leadership workshops on resilience, I came across this list of seven characteristics of resilience
Dave Snowden at TedX: A succinct overview of his groundbreaking work
I first met Dave in 2002 when we were both employed by IBM. I remember experiencing an immediate resonance with his work, especially the inherent integrity of
« L'humain n'a pas besoin de machine pour s'augmenter »

"Une crise c’est quelque chose qui nous place en déficit par rapport à nos capacités de compréhension. " Un très bel article sur les capacités humaines, le temps, la peur, l'émerveillement...

Complexity – What’s new?
The existence of complexity in human systems is not new; we have simply become more conscious of it. We now know that we can distinguish complex systems from ordered systems and engage purposefully and productively with complexity.
Theoretical Origin Of Systems Thinking
This two page essay will discuss the theoretical origin of systems thinking1 by following the development of
Holism2 and Reductionism3 in a chronological order. Broader explanations and additional information can be
found on Wikipedia in the following sections:
 Systems thinking
 Systems theory...
« La société tend à s’organiser comme un cerveau »
Plus qu’une troisième révolution industrielle ou qu’une crise écologique, l’époque que nous vivons es
Jazz et Leadership : Bricolez et improvisez !
Frank Barrett, l’auteur de Jazz et Leadership, est à la fois pianiste de jazz et professeur de management. Sa pratique du jazz à un niveau professionnel lui a permis de rencontrer de grands jazzmen, d’échanger avec eux et d’apprendre de leur jeu. Ce chemin d’apprentissage l’a conduit à établir de...
Planning In Fog
I work with people who run organizations. They need to make numerous decisions everyday. How can we learn and improve in a complex environment that is always changing? The Executive Directors of six…
Managing deep uncertainty: Exploratory modeling, adaptive plans and joint sense making
Community member post by Jan Kwakkel How can decision making on complex systems come to grips with irreducible, or deep, uncertainty? Such uncertainty has three sources: Intrinsic limits to predictability in complex systems. A variety of stakeholders with different perspectives on what the system...
Why Is ‘Systems Thinking’ So Rare?
https://vimeo.com/215819078 Center for Collective Dynamics of Complex Systems (CoCo) Seminar SeriesApril 27, 2017Mark Sellers (Systems Science, Binghamton University / Northrop Grumman Laser Systems)"Why Is 'Systems Thinking' So Rare?"Slides are available at http://bit.ly/2p51VEcSource: vimeo.com
Facing Complexity: Wicked Design Problems
In his seminal article ‘Wicked Problems in Design Thinking’, Richard Buchanan emphasized that designers often engage in conceiving and planning “what does not yet exist, and this occurs in the…
Systèmes complexes et perte de contrôle (vidéo 1h)

Une conférence passionnante, entre systèmes complexes et gouvernance sociale, par Hugues Bersini (vidéo 1h)

Comprendre les phénomènes d’effondrement de sociétés. Quel avenir pour la nôtre ? – Emmanuel Prad...
Emmanuel Prados, chercheur à l'INRIA, fait une synthèse claire et complète des connaissances sur le risque d'effondrement. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1dgjIeR5DBY&feature=youtu.be Avons nous à faire à une combinaison passagère de crises liée à une redistribution globale des cartes ou sommes n...
What Google Learned From Its Quest to Build the Perfect Team

A must read study. The main success factor is : "psychological safety"

Comment gérer l’humain dans un monde VUCA
« On entend beaucoup parler d’un monde ‘VUCA’ dans lequel nous évoluerions. Comment adapter nos activités et processus RH à ce mode de fonctionnement pour en t…
Pour en finir avec l’ «innovation disruptive»
Pas un jour sans tomber sur un article, un blog, un communiqué de presse qui, d’une manière ou d’une autre, se gargarise de la notion « d’innovation disruptive ». Non pas que l’innovation de rupture soit mauvaise en soi, mais plutôt sa quête effrénée, son adulation telle un nouveau Saint Graal. E...
Pourquoi il est difficile de changer
Il arrive que nous soyons tous d’accord sur ce qu’il faudrait changer sans que les choses évoluent pour autant. Pourquoi tant d’inertie ?
Gravir l'échelle de la conscience - Paul Chefurka

Un article intéressant sur le chemin extérieur et intérieur face à toute situation de blocage dans un système, ici en particulier face à la crise mondiale

« La disruption rend impossible toute visibilité sur l'avenir » - Entretien avec Bernard Stiegler

Un apport "politiquement incorrect" dans une société qui considère l'innovation disruptive telle un nouveau graal...

The Reality of Complexity

Very exciting statement: "this new science leads to a new theory of business that places people and relationships - how people interact with each other, the kinds of relationships they form - into dramatic relief."

Pourquoi, comment, quoi – Comment être Agile?

Bonne combinaison entre complexité, Cynefin et agilité

Mega-failures

... and how many public infrastructure projects still keep dreaming?

ICTAM: Bringing mental models to numerical models

Interesting approach, merging systems thinking and psychology (and keeping in mind that, according to Meadows , the mindset is the most effective leverage place in a system http://donellameadows.org/archives/leverage-points-places-to-intervene-in-a-system/)

Of jungles and zoos
A few days ago I posted a tweet that garnered a bigger response than I thought it would. It read: "It's hard to survive in the jungle if you were trained in a zoo"
Strategy under uncertainty | McKinsey & Company

Interesting Four levels of uncertainty

The pertinence of the systems approach to wicked problems faced by planners generally
In 10 slides I will explain above concept map which enables an integrated conceptualization of the logical relationships of the core characteristics of wicked problems with the basic requirements and workings of the systems approach.
Uncertainty by Jonathan Fields – Summary

A good summary of this very inspiring book that I recommand

Adapting Change to Fit Complexity

Excellent post, must read

The Six Systems Thinking Steps to Solve Complex Problems
Systems thinking helps us to explore problems as part of a large system. These six steps can help us achieve systems thinking.
Collapse des systèmes complexes
Pourquoi parler d’effondrement et de collapse de notre civilisation ? Parce que le faisceau d’informations factuelles est très convergent, parce que cela a à voir avec les systèmes complexes, et parce que la résilience, individuelle et collective, commence par l’acceptation de la réalité telle qu...
Industry in a Low Energy Future: turning to network theory for solutions
Circulate - the go-to location for circular economy related news and insight.
Pablo Servigne: penser l’effondrement de notre monde (vidéo 35')

Une vidéo / un livre indispensable pour qui se sent interpellé par les phénomènes socio-économiques actuels. Application concrète des sciences de la complexité et vision systémique

Highline & Leadership: Motivation und Training (3)
Und wie wird man fit, um hochleistungen zu erbringen? wie kann man sich motivieren, wie kann man trainieren? Letzter Teil des interviews von sam volery, weltmeister in highline.
8 Laws of Change by Stephan A Schwartz (video 12')

Very inspiring, thanks Stephan!

Estimating Complexity
Over the last few years, teaching people the Cynefin framework early on in engagements has really helped me have useful conversations with my clients about when different processes are appropriate. There's one phrase I use a lot, which is self-evident and gets around a lot of the arguments about ...
Highline & Leadership: Stürzen und Lernkultur (2)
Slackline ist nicht nur ein Sport, es ist auch eine Show. Die Zuschauer haben wahrscheinlich gemischte Gefühle: zwischen Bewunderung und Angst. Wenn man Entscheidungsträger in einer exponierten Funktion (Politik, CEO etc.) ist, dann steht man auch unter Beobachtung.
Du besoin de savoir penser
Dans son dernier ouvrage « La faillite de la pensée managériale » (1), François Dupuy s’attache à démonter le mécanisme par lequel la pensée managériale conduit les dirigeants, par le biais de
Edgar Morin Face aux périls totaux, «nous devons changer de pensée»

Une pensée complexe dans un monde complexe #philosophie #complexité

Ce que l'uberisation révèle des peurs françaises
Un spectre hante la France: le spectre de l'uberisation, transformation accélérée de secteurs entiers par la révolution technologique. La journée du 25 juin aura vu une profession entière, celle des taxis, prendre en otage un pays, et un gouvernement, terrifiée par la perspective proche de la fin...
Unpredictability and Complexity
Chaos Theory Applied to the Literary Arts
The Benefits of Getting Comfortable With Uncertainty
“Wanting and not wanting the same thing at the same time is a baseline condition of human consciousness.”
Les idées iconoclastes "d'Antifragile" le dernier livre de Nassim Taleb, l'homme qui avait prophé...
L'économiste Nassim Taleb poursuit son travail sur le risque des événements imprévus dans son nouveau livre.
Leadership in Uncertain Times
Leadership in Uncertain Times - Hudson
Visual Thinking about Systems Thinking
My sketchnotes from Thinking in Systems by Donella H Meadows
"The Cynefin Mini-Book" by Greg Brougham
We all recognise that world is inherently complex but what does this mean?
Systems Thinking - Seeing How Everything is Connected
We can't fix the ecological crisis until we change the fundamental mindset that got us into this mess. This is why we need Systems Thinking.
Vernetztes Denken ist (noch?) eine Illusion

Interessant und spannend!

Les fondements de l'agilité organisationnelle
How to Stop Overplanning (Even If You’re a Perfectionist)

The title is appealing enough...

Solving Complex Problems with the 11 Laws of Systems Thinking
Systems thinking is the key to solving complex problems and achieving simplicity. Furthermore, by applying systems thinking to different situations, we also start to recognize the existence of universal patterns of behavior in business and in life.
C’est QUOI être Agile?

Très bon article de Claude Emond qui réunit plusieurs concepts autour de la complexité

A call for new thinking in the new systems age
As human development practitioners, we have been talking a lot recently about how a changing world is demanding new approaches to development in the way we finance, implement our projects and measure the results of our work.
What does changing complex systems look like in practice?
I have different motivations for writing blogs. Often, it’s anger at the way the development business functions (or doesn’t.) Sometimes it’s to share something funny or interesting. Today, it’s bec...
The language of systems thinking

An easy overview

Holacracy
The traditional hierarchy is reaching its limits, but “flat management” alternatives lack the rigor needed to run a business effectively. Holacracy is a third-way: it brings structure and discipline to a peer-to-peer workplace.
Leadership in Complex Times
My life has got more complex. It was my own fault, there is no-one else to blame. I now work with a greater number of schools, they are more diverse in nature and there are many more connections ...
The Neuroscience Of Why Organizational Change Fails

Very interesting article for a better understanding and good tips about change

Sozialen Implikationen der nichtlokalen Wahrnehmung
Über Präkognition, globales Bewusstsein und politische Neurowissenschaft
What is Complexity Theory? - Kieran D. Kelly

Excellent and clear article, describing many of the concepts of complexity theory. Must read!

Systems Thinking and Complexity in Health: A Short Introduction (Video 5')
ST4C Health is pleased to present this 5 min video that visually represents key systems thinking ideas and their application to global health. Factors that influence our health are constantly chang...
Complexity Lab - YouTube
Foton Labs is an online resource dedicated to the area of complex systems providing a broad group of people with, information, research, learning and media c...
Analyse des réseaux sociaux appliquée à l’éthologie et l’écologie - Les Éditions Materiologiques ...
http://www.materiologiques.com/Analyse-des-reseaux-sociaux

En entendant les termes «  réseaux sociaux  », vous penserez probablement à Facebook ou Twitter. Dans ce livre, ce terme est évidemment à comprendre autrement. Les animaux interagissent et communiquent notamment au sujet de la nourritur...
The World Is More Complex than It Used to Be
It’s not you — the world has become more complex. Consider 1980. There was no such thing as a personal computer. The Internet and broadband connections to it were more than a decade away. You used film to take pictures, got them developed in a photo shop, and mailed copies to relatives if you wan...
Olivier Soudieux : “Laisser une grande place au chaos constitue la plus sûre façon d’aborder l’in...

Présenté ainsi, c'est beacuoup de bon sens, du vécu. Rares sont encore les organisations qui adhèrent et pratiquent cette vision organique, vivante de leur fonctionnement.

Networks and Regenerative Thinking
“Abstraction is the enemy wherever it is found.... Local life may be as much endangered by those who would 'save the planet' as by those who would 'conquer the world.' For 'saving the planet' calls...
Using complexity-inspired techniques to help resolve conflicts

Voilà un exemple de pensée élaborée pour aborder des problématiques complexes (par opposition à la pensée linéaire, mono-causale, superficielle, courante). "Using complexity-inspired techniques to help resolve conflicts"

The Cynefin Framework: Using the Most Appropriate Problem-Solving Process

Easy to understand and apply!

Study Reveals 4 Leadership Trends In Dealing With Complexity
No longer is it enough to rely upon the leadership and managerial principles instilled upon you after initially arriving at your position years ago. Technology has changed, which means how you go about communicating and inspiring others has changed, as well.
Is project management really rocket science?

I strongly disagree with Ralf's statement pretending that "Projects are not complex. (...) People and poor management of the project are what make project management complicated."

It's a kind of insult to me, could be read as "Projects are basically easy, the world is basically perfect, BUT we have bad luck having to deal with humans...". It's a denial of reality, seing problems and risks where there is creativity and life.

The Power of Not Knowing
When was the last time you said “I don’t know” in a business or organizational context, with the idea that your honesty would actually get you somewhere?
How Uncertainty Fuels Anxiety
People who are less able to tolerate uncertainty worry more.
If Greece Embraces Uncertainty, Innovation Will Follow
Countries that score high on uncertainty avoidance score low on innovation (as measured in the innovation union scoreboard of the European Commission) and high on bureaucracy (as measured on the easiness to do business ranking of the World Bank).
L'intelligence collective

Quelques-uns des résultats:

  • si une ou deux personnes mobilisent la parole dans un collectif, l’intelligence collective chute brutalement
  • La présence de femmes dans le groupe est corrélée avec l’intelligence collective
  • la cohésion, la motivation et la satisfaction seraient de médiocres contributeurs à l’intelligence collective
  • L’intégration affective est une variable qui inclut la confiance, le respect, l’appréciation affective de l’autre, la cohésion et la discussion ouverte. Lorsqu’elle est basse, le groupe a tendance se diviser, ce qui à son tour réduit l’intégration affective et ainsi de suite. Cette spirale descendante provoque de l’insatisfaction et de pauvres performances.
  • les équipes les plus performantes sont celles qui forment le moins de sous-groupes et ont une basse intégration cognitive: la créativité collective aurait besoin de controverse, des points de vues trop proches ou trop compréhensifs n’étant pas propices à la génération d’idées nouvelles.
  • l’auto-motivation intérieure tournée vers le « Nous » améliore sensiblement les performances collectives
Identifying and Acting on Early Warning Signs in Complex Projects

"Gut feelings" or Intuition: a valuable ressource under uncertainty

Managing with complexity: a pragmatic and ethical imperative
Indeed, only few leaders are willing to understand and embrace complexity
Du besoin de savoir penser

et vous, comment pensez-vous?

7 reasons you shouldn't touch systems thinking

I like it!

How do we deal with complexity?
Is today any more volatile, uncertain, complex or ambiguous (VUCA) than previous ages? That's up for debate, but nobody denies that volatility, uncertainty, complexity and ambiguity are major chall...
On the Incompleteness of Science
By now we know that empirical research can be more effective than scientific research when studying the social sciences, but what can we do when the problem we are trying to address is too large and complex, and how can we make sure that our assumptions always map to physical reality?In an earlie...
Understanding the Beer Game
The Beer Game illustrates how difficult it is to manage dynamic systems. It was originally developed in the late 1950 s by Jay Forrester at MIT to introduce the concepts of dynamical systems. This blog post investigates the effect of different playing strategies.
Planning for Complexity
“Planning is a challenge even in the best of times. Here are some suggestions to help initiate a process of active planning and plan-full actions.”
Complex environments push 'brain' evolution

Quote: ""This shows that a rich environment is a driving force towards developing both complexity and integration,"

Why KPIs are not the answer for complex systems (part 2)
RT @SLHBENNETT: New thinking about #KPIs, tradeoffs and change in organizations. http://t.co/9FLlfz77l6 via @smbounds #complexity http://t.…
The ethics of unintended consequences
In a complex adaptive system we have dispositionality not causality, so when we act we cannot know what will happen. That means we need to maintain the ability to respond quickly, something I brought in at the end when I talked about complexity approaches to project management.
Leverage Points: Places to Intervene in a System (Donella Meadows)

Must read for any systems thinker.

Texte similaire en français: http://vertcommeuneorange.blogspot.com/2011/12/effet-de-levier-ou-intervenir-dans-un.html

Using systems thinking to create more impactful social policy
'Systems thinking', is a wildly complex discipline and this piece of work aims to build greater systems literacy and familiarity as it explores the applicability of systems thinking to social policy issues.