POL300 Theory, Data and Statistics
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lying with statistics 101

lying with statistics 101 | POL300 Theory, Data and Statistics | Scoop.it
don't be fooled by those who try to mislead others with statistics
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How do you write survey questions that accurately measure public opinion?

How do you write survey questions that accurately measure public opinion? | POL300 Theory, Data and Statistics | Scoop.it
In the second video from our Methods 101 series, we’re tackling why question wording is so important in public opinion surveys.
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Why do fans riot after a win? The science behind Philadelphia's Super Bowl chaos.

Why do fans riot after a win? The science behind Philadelphia's Super Bowl chaos. | POL300 Theory, Data and Statistics | Scoop.it
American sports fans are unlike those in other countries in a lot of ways.
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Paradoxes of probability and other statistical strangeness

Paradoxes of probability and other statistical strangeness | POL300 Theory, Data and Statistics | Scoop.it
Sometimes statistics and probability can produce unexpected or counter-intuitive results. If we're hoping to use numbers to make good decisions, we should be wary of the traps.
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Analysis | The 2017 elections boosted confidence of exit pollsters — and their future competitors

Analysis | The 2017 elections boosted confidence of exit pollsters — and their future competitors | POL300 Theory, Data and Statistics | Scoop.it
Exit pollsters say rumors of their imminent demise have been exaggerated.
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A 2016 Review: Why Key State Polls Were Wrong About Trump

A 2016 Review: Why Key State Polls Were Wrong About Trump | POL300 Theory, Data and Statistics | Scoop.it
Pollsters are leaning toward optimistic explanations that their problems of last year can be fixed.
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Why We Can’t Be Sure If Violent Crime Is On The Rise

Why We Can’t Be Sure If Violent Crime Is On The Rise | POL300 Theory, Data and Statistics | Scoop.it
Crimes go unreported for all sorts of reasons, including fear of repercussions, lack of trust in the police, long waits for police to respond to a call, or simply disinterest in involving the police in a minor incident. The NCVS shows clearly that the rate at which aggravated assault, rape, robbery, burglary, theft and auto theft3 are reported to the police varies significantly by crime type. For example, nearly four out of every five auto thefts in 2016 were reported to the police, but less than a quarter of rapes and sexual assaults were.
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Five ways to fix statistics

Five ways to fix statistics | POL300 Theory, Data and Statistics | Scoop.it
As debate rumbles on about how and how much poor statistics is to blame for poor reproducibility, Nature asked influential statisticians to recommend one change to improve science. The common theme? The problem is not our maths, but ourselves.
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Laptops Are Great. But Not During a Lecture or a Meeting.

Laptops Are Great. But Not During a Lecture or a Meeting. | POL300 Theory, Data and Statistics | Scoop.it
A growing body of evidence shows that college students generally learn less when they use computers or tablets during lectures. That is probably true in workplace meetings, too.
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Not only an interesting article on how students learn, but also some good stuff on selection bias and experimental design.
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Analysis | Is democracy in a worldwide decline? Nope. Here’s our data.

Analysis | Is democracy in a worldwide decline? Nope. Here’s our data. | POL300 Theory, Data and Statistics | Scoop.it
Democracy keeps spreading.
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Shit Academics Say

Shit Academics Say | POL300 Theory, Data and Statistics | Scoop.it
Shit Academics Say. 515,777 likes · 107,873 talking about this. A social experiment.
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Happy Halloween!
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Gun Shows and Firearm Deaths and Injuries | Annals of Internal Medicine | American College of Physicians

Gun Shows and Firearm Deaths and Injuries | Annals of Internal Medicine | American College of Physicians | POL300 Theory, Data and Statistics | Scoop.it
Matthay
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Stricter Gun Laws Tied to Fewer Firearm Injuries After Gun Shows

Stricter Gun Laws Tied to Fewer Firearm Injuries After Gun Shows | POL300 Theory, Data and Statistics | Scoop.it
Gun shows in a state with weak gun restrictions increase the short-term risk for firearm-related injuries, a new analysis has found.
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It’s a Fact: Supreme Court Errors Aren’t Hard to Find — ProPublica

It’s a Fact: Supreme Court Errors Aren’t Hard to Find — ProPublica | POL300 Theory, Data and Statistics | Scoop.it
But a ProPublica review of several dozen cases from recent years uncovered a number of false or wholly unsupported factual claims.

The review found an error in a landmark ruling, Shelby County v. Holder, which struck down part of the Voting Rights Act. Chief Justice John Roberts used erroneous data to make claims about comparable rates of voter registration among blacks and whites in six southern states. In another case, Justice Anthony Kennedy falsely claimed that DNA analysis can be used to identify individual suspects in criminal cases with perfect accuracy.

In all, ProPublica found seven errors in a modest sampling of Supreme Court opinions written from 2011 through 2015. In some cases, the errors were introduced by individual justices apparently doing their own research. In others, the errors resulted from false or deeply flawed submissions made to the court by people or organizations seeking to persuade the justices to rule one way or the other.
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The Inside Story Of How An Ivy League Food Scientist Turned Shoddy Data Into Viral Studies

The Inside Story Of How An Ivy League Food Scientist Turned Shoddy Data Into Viral Studies | POL300 Theory, Data and Statistics | Scoop.it
Brian Wansink won fame, funding, and influence for his science-backed advice on healthy eating. Now, emails show how the Cornell professor and his colleagues have hacked and massaged low-quality data into headline-friendly studies to “go virally big time.”
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How juries are fooled by statistics

How juries are fooled by statistics | POL300 Theory, Data and Statistics | Scoop.it
Oxford mathematician Peter Donnelly reveals the common mistakes humans make in interpreting statistics -- and the devastating impact these errors can have on the outcome of criminal trials.
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Analysis | No, Trump’s approval among black Americans hasn’t doubled

Analysis | No, Trump’s approval among black Americans hasn’t doubled | POL300 Theory, Data and Statistics | Scoop.it
This is not how this works.
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Science Needs a Solution for the Temptation of Positive Results

Science Needs a Solution for the Temptation of Positive Results | POL300 Theory, Data and Statistics | Scoop.it
The push to achieve new and exciting findings is one reason researchers are having trouble confirming prior studies.
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Can tuna prices predict Japan’s GDP growth?

Can tuna prices predict Japan’s GDP growth? | POL300 Theory, Data and Statistics | Scoop.it
KIYOSHI KIMURA does not like to lose. For the past six years, he has outbid all comers for the first tuna of the year sold by Tokyo’s famed Tsukiji fish market. The crown does not come cheaply.
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Fractions: Where It All Goes Wrong

Fractions: Where It All Goes Wrong | POL300 Theory, Data and Statistics | Scoop.it
Why do Americans have such trouble with fractions—and what can be done?
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Our personalities are shaped by the climate we grew up in, new study says

Our personalities are shaped by the climate we grew up in, new study says | POL300 Theory, Data and Statistics | Scoop.it
All else being equal, the kid in San Diego is more likely to grow up to be friendlier, more outgoing and more willing to explore new things, the study suggests.
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When the Revolution Came for Amy Cuddy

When the Revolution Came for Amy Cuddy | POL300 Theory, Data and Statistics | Scoop.it
As a young social psychologist, she played by the rules and won big: an influential study, a viral TED talk, a prestigious job at Harvard. Then, suddenly, the rules changed.
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Analysis | Thinking the unthinkable: Could Roy Moore actually lose?

Analysis | Thinking the unthinkable: Could Roy Moore actually lose? | POL300 Theory, Data and Statistics | Scoop.it
Probably not, but Moore's going to make it closer than almost anyone else would.
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How Fiction Becomes Fact on Social Media

How Fiction Becomes Fact on Social Media | POL300 Theory, Data and Statistics | Scoop.it
Platforms like Facebook and Twitter offer up memes designed to feel real, if only for an instant — long enough for our minds to make a false connection.
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After Nevada hosts a gun show, California sees sharp rise in gun-related injuries and deaths

After Nevada hosts a gun show, California sees sharp rise in gun-related injuries and deaths | POL300 Theory, Data and Statistics | Scoop.it
In the two weeks after a gun show is held in Nevada, injuries and deaths involving firearms jump by 69% — in neighboring areas of California. However, when gun shows occur in California, the state does not experience an increase in firearm-related trauma over the next fortnight.
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Opinion | The Supreme Court Justices Need Fact-Checkers

Opinion | The Supreme Court Justices Need Fact-Checkers | POL300 Theory, Data and Statistics | Scoop.it
They rely on bad data in opinions — and they shouldn’t simply dismiss evidence they don’t understand as “gobbledygook.”
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