Megatrends
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Global megatrends influencing our future.
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Urbanization and the evolution of cities across 10,000 years

About 10,000 years ago, hunter-gatherers, aided by rudimentary agriculture, moved to semi-permanent villages and never looked back. With further developments came food surpluses, leading to commerce, specialization and, many years later with the Industrial Revolution, the modern city.


Vance Kite plots our urban past and how we can expect future cities to adapt to our growing populations.


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A World To Conquer

A World To Conquer | Megatrends | Scoop.it
Asian business is reforming. Its emerging multinationals will change the way we all live.


For Western firms, Asia’s shortcomings have been a relief. The iPhone shows why: although it is made by the hands of Chinese workers, it is the brains behind it, at Apple and at high-tech component-makers in the rich world, that take nearly all the profits. Now, however, the rules that have governed Asian capitalism for the past two decades are changing. Asian firms are having to become brainier, more nimble and more global.

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7 Predictions for Your Brain in 2050

What can we expect in terms of innovations based on their research in the next, say, 35 years? That was the topic of a discussion at New York City's Hunter College Thursday night as part of the World Science Festival. Host Robert Krulwich, a longtime reporter who's perhaps best known as one of the silvery voices behind the Radiolab podcast, asked a panel of researchers and neuroscientists how, based on current research and the trajectory of neuroscience, we might expect innovations in terms of the human brain to logically progress. These are their predictions.
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A Simple Tool for Making Better Forecasts

A Simple Tool for Making Better Forecasts | Megatrends | Scoop.it

One of the most basic keys to good decision-making is accurate forecasting of the future. In order to bring about the best outcomes, a company must correctly anticipate the most likely future states of the world. Yet despite its importance, companies not only routinely make basic forecasting mistakes, they also shoot themselves in the foot by applying procedures that make accurate predictions harder to achieve.


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Predicting Uncertain Events on a Global Scale

Predicting Uncertain Events on a Global Scale | Megatrends | Scoop.it

When it comes to predicting world events, some of the most influential decisions are fraught with a significant amount of uncertainty: Will this national economy stabilize or crash? Will that country follow through with their promises to halt production of WMDs? Will these public demonstrations lead to democratic change or violent revolt?


“Governments rely routinely and heavily on intuitive beliefs about high-stakes outcomes,” write psychology researchers Barbara Mellers, Philip Tetlock, Don Moore, and colleagues.


Despite this, training the people who make these intuitive judgments is difficult, because there is little scientific research available that can shed light on the issue.


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The New York Times Innovation Report

The New York Times Innovation Report | Megatrends | Scoop.it

It's an astonishing look inside the cultural change still needed in the shift to digital — even in one of the world's greatest newsrooms. Read it.


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Olivier Arnould's curator insight, May 20, 2014 2:13 AM

About change management and transformation...

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Crippled by Connectivity?

Crippled by Connectivity? | Megatrends | Scoop.it

Every time you install a new app, it gives you a list of 100 things it wants total authority to do for evermore. How can you possibly keep track of all those? There are far more windows and doors to check before you go out.


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Arslan Chaudhary's curator insight, May 10, 2014 12:05 PM

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Active Knowledge: A New Future Where Everyone Wins

Active Knowledge: A New Future Where Everyone Wins | Megatrends | Scoop.it

Could it be possible that the knowledge we need will find us? No longer would we have to stop, search and grasp to figure out what we need right now. When the right information comes to us we can be more productive, successful human beings.


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Jeremy Rifkin: The Zero Marginal Cost Society

In The Zero Marginal Cost Society, New York Times bestselling author Jeremy Rifkin describes how the emerging Internet of Things is speeding us to an era of nearly free goods and services, precipitating the meteoric rise of a global Collaborative Commons and the eclipse of capitalism.
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Leveraging the New “Natural Growth” – Megatrends, Accelerators and Risks

Leveraging the New “Natural Growth” – Megatrends, Accelerators and Risks | Megatrends | Scoop.it

It’s been seven long years since the start of the global financial crisis. While it’s important that we continue to apply the lessons learned from what went wrong, it’s also time to look forward and focus on what we can do right – and right now – to build a better working world for everyone.


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A Vision of the Future From Those Likely to Invent It

A Vision of the Future From Those Likely to Invent It | Megatrends | Scoop.it

From employment to leisure and transportation to education, tech is changing the world at a faster pace than ever before. Already, people wear computers on their faces, robots scurry through factories and battlefields and driverless cars dot the highway that cuts through Silicon Valley.


Almost two-thirds of Americans think technological change will lead to a better future, while about one-third think people’s lives will be worse as a result, according to a new survey from Pew Research Center. Regardless, expect more change.


In a series of interviews, which have been condensed and edited, seven people who are driving this transformation provided a glimpse into the not-too-distant future.


Via Pekka Puhakka
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Business Trends 2014

Business Trends 2014 | Megatrends | Scoop.it

Deloitte's "Business Trends 2014: Navigating the next wave of globalization” explores nine trends that are currently reshaping the business environment, driven by long-term, potentially irreversible, shifts in the global economy.


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Nina Lappalainen's curator insight, May 3, 2014 2:10 AM

Mielenkiintoista luettavaa. 

Miklos Szilagyi's curator insight, May 4, 2014 1:52 AM

Let's see a one year trend...:-)))

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On Crowdfunded Literature, And What It Means For The Future Of Publication

On Crowdfunded Literature, And What It Means For The Future Of Publication | Megatrends | Scoop.it

Big publishers are right that great editors and designers are critical — but they’re wrong that they are the only ones that can engineer this interaction.


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David Weinberger: The Future is a Platform

The future by nature is always changing. But now something more important is happening: the nature of the future is changing. For the past 10,000 years or so, we faced the future by anticipating our needs and doing now what we will need then: lashing a sharp rock to a stick, gathering and drying seeds for next season's crop, designing a database application to manage payroll as our company grows. Once we've built a tool, we increase its total value by holding on to it as long as we need can. We of course still do that. But we are also seeing a new type of future emerge out of the global connectedness of the Net.


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The Future of Reputation

The Future of Reputation magazine examines why Reputation Management is such a challenge in a world where transparency is mandatory, social engagement is required, corporate citizenship is highly expected and content is king.


 
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Peter Vander Auwera's curator insight, April 26, 2014 1:30 AM

Massive report on trust, reputation, respect with quite some examples from financial industry. Very well done.

Zara Prveez's curator insight, April 26, 2014 11:03 AM
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Christian Bartosik's curator insight, April 29, 2014 4:00 PM

"It takes 20 years to build a reputation and five minutes to ruin it. If you think about that. You'll do things differently."

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Trends Reshaping the Future of HR

Digital technology is changing the face of human resources. Top-performing HR organizations will likely respond by becoming smaller, less centralized and more project-oriented. Expertise in marketing and analytics will be highly valued. New ways to identify, attract and nurture talent could proliferate, with more emphasis given to workplace culture.

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Arnold Timmerman's curator insight, June 5, 2014 7:35 AM

Lead by project rather than position. Or will traditional leadership and vertical organisational structure bounce back even harder?


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5 shifts that will shape the future of IT

5 shifts that will shape the future of IT | Megatrends | Scoop.it

What’s the role of IT in business?


How can the entire business consume and manage IT in a safe and compliant way while still meeting the needs of today’s empower customers?


To answer this question we need insight into who will make the decisions on what IT will be used where and how it will be knitted together. We need some understanding of the drivers behind the current transition in how we consume IT in business.

Kenneth Mikkelsen's insight:
  • Driver 1: Enterprise IT is no longer an infrastructure problem, it’s not an asset we own
  • Driver 2: Consumer trends drive enterprise IT, rather than enterprise IT driving consumer trends
  • Driver 3: The old core IT skills are not as valuable as they used to be
  • Driver 4: How we define the value of IT has expanded (it’s a lot more than ROI now)
  • Driver 5: External obligations – such as financial reporting, anti money-laundering and counter terrorism financing – will trigger the transition to new operating models
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The Digitization Megatrend

The Digitization Megatrend | Megatrends | Scoop.it

By the year 2020, an entire generation, Generation C (for “connected”), will have grown up in a primarily digital world. Computers, the Internet, mobile phones, texting, social networking - all are second nature to members of this group. And their familiarity with technology, reliance on mobile communications, and desire to remain in contact with large networks of family members, friends, and business contacts will transform how we work and how we consume.


The phenomenon of digitization is reaching an inflection point. The effects of an increasingly digitized world are now reaching into every corner of our lives because three forces are powerfully reinforcing one another:


  • Consumer Pull: Consumers, and particularly Generation C, are already fully adapted to the digital environment. They naturally expect to be always connected, are willing to share personal data, and are more likely to trust referrals from their closest friends than well-known brands.
  • Technology Push: Digital technology continues to expand its influence. The infrastructure backbone of the digital world is bringing affordable broadband to billions of consumers. In parallel, low-cost connected devices are being deployed in every industry, and cloud computing, and the vast information-processing machinery it requires, is developing quickly.
  • Economic Benefits: The economic benefits to be captured through digitization are real. A wave of capital has poured into the new digitization technologies and companies, and the public markets reward early movers with unprecedented valuations


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All You Need To Know About Business In China

All You Need To Know About Business In China | Megatrends | Scoop.it

Six big trends are shaping China's future, as investor Jeffrey Towson and McKinsey’s Jonathan Woetzel explain in this excerpt from The One Hour China Book. 


Six trends shape most of the country’s industries and drive much of China’s impact on the Western world. They are like tectonic plates moving underneath the surface. If you can understand them, the chaotic flurry of activity on the surface becomes a lot more understandable — and even predictable. 

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Are Our Modern Lives Too Automated?

Are Our Modern Lives Too Automated? | Megatrends | Scoop.it

Are our modern lives too automated? So much of modern life involves us standing absolutely still, like lobotomised privates on parade, while technology goes to work. 


In our ever-increasingly electrified, automated world, Stuart Jeffries cries out for a more simplified existence.



Via Pekka Puhakka
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Cas Op de Beek's curator insight, April 11, 2014 5:35 AM

Its deep thinking and lot of true in it. Technology has taking a lot in ow her homes and social live. Maby is it smart to stop to trust that electricity is always there. And thinking watch if......

Ivo Kleber's curator insight, April 11, 2014 12:06 PM

Are our modern lives too automated? So much of modern life involves us standing absolutely still, like lobotomised privates on parade, while technology goes to work. 


In our ever-increasingly electrified, automated world, Stuart Jeffries cries out for a more simplified existence.

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The Best Way To Predict the Future

Peter Diamandis, Chairman and Co-Founder of Singularity University, discusses the best way to predict the future, and shares his personal philosophies on innovation and the commercial space industry.


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Marco Bertolini's curator insight, April 3, 2014 3:59 PM

Peter Diamandis explore les différentes façons de prévoir le futur...

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Unlocking the Internet of Things

Unlocking the Internet of Things | Megatrends | Scoop.it

Storms of new data are growing bigger by the day, flowing in from social media, new internal corporate processes, retail and market transactions, electronic sensors and other machines. Especially machines.


The masses of new data follow technology innovation and by 2020 industry analysts predict there will be up to 30 billion devices connected to the Internet with unique IP addresses. This compares with 2009, when were a ‘mere’ 2.5 billion connected devices.


But what are we meant to do with the Things of the Internet? The amounts of data being created are so large that they are measured in quintillions of bytes – 2.5 quintillion bytes of new data are created every day.


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Ivon Prefontaine, PhD's curator insight, March 27, 2014 1:17 PM

An article using Dr. Seuss as a reference is worthy of a read.

Jeff's curator insight, March 31, 2014 10:32 AM

Your company needs a mobile application from wwwiAffiliatesApps.com 

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162 Future Jobs: Preparing for Jobs that Don’t Yet Exist

162 Future Jobs: Preparing for Jobs that Don’t Yet Exist | Megatrends | Scoop.it

A recent article in The Economist quotes Bill Gates as saying at least a dozen job types will be taken over by robots and automation in the next two decades, and these jobs cover both high-paying and low-skilled workers. Some of the positions he mentioned were commercial pilots, legal work, technical writing, telemarketers, accountants, retail workers, and real estate sales agents.


Indeed, as I’ve predicted before, by 2030 over 2 billion jobs will disappear. Again, this is not a doom and gloom prediction, rather a wakeup call for the world.

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Takudzwa Kunaka's curator insight, April 2, 2014 7:42 AM
that is the decade of digital age
Cas Op de Beek's curator insight, April 11, 2014 5:50 AM

First there came the computer and brought us more jobs and now comes more jobs and more. Technology brings us a lot more than only freedom he brings us more jobs as well. One small step for men but a big step for the future. 

Jim Doyle's curator insight, May 9, 2014 9:55 PM

162 Future Jobs: Preparing for Jobs that Don’t Yet Exist

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The Future of Social Networks

Thomas Power delivers a talk on The Future of Social Networks.

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Jim Doyle's curator insight, May 9, 2014 9:56 PM

The Future of Social Networks

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20 Crucial Terms Every 21st Century Futurist Should Know

20 Crucial Terms Every 21st Century Futurist Should Know | Megatrends | Scoop.it

We live in an era of accelerating change, when scientific and technological advancements are arriving rapidly. As a result, we are developing a new language to describe our civilization as it evolves. Here are 20 terms and concepts that you'll need to navigate our future.


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Richard Platt's curator insight, May 19, 2014 3:10 AM

Very sci-fi kind of read - definitely interesting, Remember there have been a lot of ideas from sci-fi literature that have come to pass.  Albeit no transporter (referring to Star Trek) just yet. 

Curated by Kenneth Mikkelsen
Thinker ★ Speaker ★ Writer ★ Leadership Adviser ★ Learning Designer ★ Neo-Generalist

Kenneth Mikkelsen is co-founder of FutureShifts. We help visionary companies identify and tackle the big shifts in the world by cultivating the skills, mindsets, behaviors and organisational cultures needed to succeed in times of change.