A new way of learning statistics with computers is presented.

For this purpose an interactive guide, comprising a web site and a SPSS statistics package emulator program, has been developed.

These have been prepared for the Biostatistics subject of the 1st year of the University of Granada BA in Biology, though they might be used by anyone who needs to get started in data managing with SPSS.

The web site includes different cases (based on exercises with SPSS) with a theoretical and practical introduction about them and an exercise solved with a SPSS program emulator.

Finally another exercise, to be solved by the student with the SPSS program itself, is proposed.

The program emulator aims a student's approach to the SPSS program, guiding him in the interactive execution of a specific exercise.

The emulator has enabled only the needed options in order to properly perform the guided practice, and monitors the user’s actions, always informing him with warning pop-up windows in case of wrong actions in particular or even with some hints to help the student to find out what his mistake was and to correct it.

In this project we present the Interactive SPSS Self-learning Guide version 1.3 which comprises five different practices:

*the first one is an introduction to the program and Data Editor;

*the second one is about Descriptive Statistics;

*the third one is about Regression Analysis;

*the fourth one, about Probability Calculation;

*and the fifth one focuses on Confidence Intervals.

Project MOSAIC is sponsoring work on an R package to facilitate teaching modeling, statistics, and calculus using R The mosaic package is available on CRAN (the comprehensive R archive network) and via github....

Cross-validation is a process by which a method that works for one sample of a population is checked for validity by applying the method to another sample from the same population. See also ◕

Surprisingly, many statisticians see cross-validation as something data miners do, but not a core statistical technique.

...It might be helpful to summarize the role of cross-validation in statistics...

Cross-validation is primarily a way of measuring the predictive performance of a statistical model.

Every statistician knows that the model fit statistics are not a good guide to how well a model will predict: high R2 does not necessarily mean a good model.

It is easy to over-fit the data by including too many degrees of freedom and so inflate R2 and other fit statistics. For example, in a simple polynomial regression I can just keep adding higher order terms and so get better and better fits to the data. But the predictions from the model on new data will usually get worse as higher order terms are added...

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Cross validation is a model evaluation method that is better than residuals. The problem with residual evaluations is that they do not give an indication of how well the learner will do when it is asked to make new predictions for data it has not already seen.

One way to overcome this problem is to not use the entire data set when training a learner. Some of the data is removed before training begins. Then when training is done, the data that was removed can be used to test the performance of the learned model on ``new'' data. This is the basic idea for a whole class of model evaluation methods called cross validation.

╔ The holdout method is the simplest kind of cross validation. The data set is separated into two sets, called the training set and the testing set.

The function approximator fits a function using the training set only. Then the function approximator is asked to predict the output values for the data in the testing set (it has never seen these output values before).

The errors it makes are accumulated as before to give the mean absolute test set error, which is used to evaluate the model. The advantage of this method is that it is usually preferable to the residual method and takes no longer to compute. However, its evaluation can have a high variance.

The evaluation may depend heavily on which data points end up in the training set and which end up in the test set, and thus the evaluation may be significantly different depending on how the division is made. ◑

╚ K-fold cross validation is one way to improve over the holdout method. The data set is divided into k subsets, and the holdout method is repeated k times.

Each time, one of the k subsets is used as the test set and the other k-1 subsets are put together to form a training set. Then the average error across all k trials is computed.

The advantage of this method is that it matters less how the data gets divided. Every data point gets to be in a test set exactly once, and gets to be in a training set k-1 times.

The variance of the resulting estimate is reduced as k is increased. The disadvantage of this method is that the training algorithm has to be rerun from scratch k times, which means it takes k times as much computation to make an evaluation.

A variant of this method is to randomly divide the data into a test and training set k different times. The advantage of doing this is that you can independently choose how large each test set is and how many trials you average over. ◑

╝Leave-one-out cross validation is K-fold cross validation taken to its logical extreme, with K equal to N, the number of data points in the set. That means that N separate times, the function approximator is trained on all the data except for one point and a prediction is made for that point. As before the average error is computed and used to evaluate the model.

The evaluation given by leave-one-out cross validation error (LOO-XVE) is good, but at first pass it seems very expensive to compute.

Fortunately, locally weighted learners can make LOO predictions just as easily as they make regular predictions. That means computing the LOO-XVE takes no more time than computing the residual error and it is a much better way to evaluate models. We will see shortly that Vizier relies heavily on LOO-XVE to choose its metacodes. ◑

╬ Improve Your Model Performance using Cross Validation (in Python and R) ◔

Expressing yourself in R" -Hadley Wickham, Rice University.

This seminar series features dynamic professionals sharing their industry experience and cutting edge research within the human-computer interaction (HCI) field.

Each week, a unique collection of technologists, artists, designers, and activists will discuss a wide range of current and evolving topics pertaining to HCI...

The degrees of freedom (DF) are the amount of information your data provide that you can "spend" to estimate the values of unknown population parameters, and calculate the variability of these estimates.

This value is determined by the number of observations in your sample and the number of parameters in your model.

Increasing your sample size provides more information about the population, and thus increases the degrees of freedom in your data.

Note that adding parameters to your model (by increasing the number of terms in a regression equation, for example) "spends" information from your data, and lowers the degrees of freedom available to estimate the variability of the parameter estimates.

In data structures, data organizations that are separately identifiable but also part of a larger data organization are said to be nested within the larger organization. A table within a table is a nested table. A list within a list is a nested list Ω

In research design, Nested designs, also known as hierarchical designs. Nested designs are used when there are samples within samples.

In other words, the nested is a design in which levels of one factor (say, Factor B ) are hierarchically subsumed under (or nested within) levels of another factor (say, Factor A ). As a result, assessing the complete combination of A and B levels is not possible in a nested design. Ω

⌘Cross vs Nested Factors

Two factors are crossedwhen every category of one factor co-occurs in the design with every category of the other factor. In other words, there is at least one observation in every combination of categories for the two factors.

A factor is nestedwithin another factor when each category of the first factor co-occurs with only one category of the other.

If you’re not sure whether two factors in your design are crossed or nested, the easiest way to tell is to run a cross tabulation of those factors. Ω

In a nested design, each subject receives one, and only one, treatment condition.

The major distinguishing feature of nested designs is that each subject has a single score. The effect, if any, occurs between groups of subjects and thus the name BETWEEN SUBJECTS is given to these designs.

The relative advantages and disadvantages of nested designs are opposite those of crossed designs.

First, carry over effects are not a problem, as individuals are measured only once.

Second, the number of subjects needed to discover effects is greater than with crossed designs. Ω

In a crossed design each subject sees each level of the treatment conditions. In a very simple experiment, such as one that studies the effects of caffeine on alertness, each subject would be exposed to both a caffeine condition and a no caffeine condition.

The distinguishing feature of crossed designs is that each individual will have more than one score. The effect occurs within each subject, thus these designs are sometimes referred to as WITHIN SUBJECTS designs.

Crossed designs have two advantages.

One, they generally require fewer subjects, because each subject is used a number of times in the experiment.

Two, they are more likely to result in a significant effect, given the effects are real. Ω

⌘Nested vs non-Nested

Nested means here that all terms of a smaller model occur in a larger model. This is a necessary condition for using most model comparison tests like likelihood ratio tests.

In the context of multilevel models I think it's better to speak of nested and non-nested factors. The difference is in how the different factors are related to one another. In a nested design, the levels of one factor only make sense within the levels of another factor.

Non-nested factors is a combination of two factors that are not related.Ω

Examples

1- In horticulture, for example, an investigator might want to compare the transpiration rates of five hybrids of a certain species of plant. For each hybrid, six plants are grown in three pots, two plants per pot. At the end of the growth period, transpiration is measured on four leaves of each plant. Thus, leaves are nested within plants which are nested within pots that is nested within hybrids. Ω

>> Important Note >>

Random effects are random variables, while fixed effects are constant parameters. Being random variables, random effects have a probability distribution (with mean, standard deviation, and shape). In this respect, random effects are much like additional error terms, like the residual, e.

2- The effect of landscape complexity on aphids and on their natural enemies was analysed using mixed-effects models, in which we included landscape sector and field (nested within landscape sector) as random factors to account for the non-independent errors in our hierarchically nested designs... Ω

✎ Nested ANOVA:Use nested ANOVA when you have one measurement variable and more than one nominal variable, and the nominal variables are nested (form subgroups within groups). It tests whether there is significant variation in means among groups, among subgroups within groups, etc. Ω

Visualization of orthogonal (disjoint) or overlapping datasets is a common task in bioinformatics.

Few tools exist to automate the generation of extensively-customizable, high-resolution Venn and Euler diagrams in the R statistical environment.

To fill this gap the authors of this paper introduce VennDiagram, an R package that enables the automated generation of highly-customizable, high-resolution Venn diagrams with up to four sets and Euler diagrams with up to three sets.

A Venn diagram is an illustration of the relationships between and among sets, groups of objects that share something in common. Usually, Venn diagrams are used to depict set intersections (denoted by an upside-down letter U).

This type of diagram is used in scientific and engineering presentations, in theoretical mathematics, in computer applications, and in statistics.

RExcel is an addin for Microsoft Excel. It allows access to the statistics package R from within Excel...

The Excel addin RExcel.xla allows to use R from within Excel. The package additionally contains some Excel workbooks demonstrating different techniques for using R in Excel.

Learn statistics in a practical, experimental way, through statistical programming with R, using examples from the health sciences. We will take you on a journey from basic concepts of statistics to examples from the health science research frontier.

Audit this course for free and have complete access to all of the course material, tests, and the online discussion forum. You decide what and how much you want to do...

Do you want to learn how to harvest health science data from the internet? Do you want to understand the world through data analysis? Start by exploring statistics with R!

In this course you will learn the basics of R, a powerful open source statistical programming language. Why has R become the tool of choice in bioinformatics, the health sciences and many other fields?

One reason is surely that it’s powerful and that you can download it for free right now. But more importantly, it’s supported by an active user community.

In this course you will learn how to use peer reviewed packages for solving problems at the frontline of health science research.

Commercial actors just can’t keep up implementing the latest algorithms and methods.

When algorithms are first published, they are already implemented in R. Join us in a gold digging expedition. Explore statistics with R.

"... the general linear model assumes that the ~errors~ are normally distributed, or equivalently that the response variable is normally distributed ~conditional~ on the linear combination of explanatory variables.

If you look at textbooks or articles on the generalized linear model, the authors will almost certainly talk about the distinction in terms of the link function and error distribution. E.g., OLS linear regression is a generalized linear model with an identity link function and normally distributed errors. Binary logistic regression, on the other hand, is a generalized linear model with a logit link function and a binomial error distribution (because the outcome variable has only two possible values)."

By Bruce Weaver · Lakehead University Thunder Bay Campus

In statistics, the generalized linear model(GLM) is a flexible generalization of ordinary linear regression that allows for response variables that have error distribution models other than a normal distribution.

In statistics, the generalized linear model (GLM) is a flexible generalization of ordinary linear regression that allows for response variables that have error distribution models other than a normal distribution.

Make sure that you discern between the above mentioned GLM and GZLM and the following:

1- General linear methods (GLMs)

GLMs are a large class of numerical methods used to obtain numerical solutions to differential equations. This large class of methods in numerical analysis encompass multistage Runge–Kutta methods that use intermediate collocation points, as well as linear multistep methods that save a finite time history of the solution.

Linear regression is an approach for modeling the relationship between a scalar dependent variable y and one or more explanatory variables (or independent variable) denoted X. The case of one explanatory variable is called simple linear regression.

For more than one explanatory variable, the process is called multiple linear regression.This term should be distinguished from multivariate linear regression, where multiple correlated dependent variables are predicted, rather than a single scalar variable.)

Learn how to program in R and how to use R for effective data analysis. This is the second course in the Johns Hopkins Data Science Specialization.

In this course you will learn how to program in R and how to use R for effective data analysis.

You will learn how to install and configure software necessary for a statistical programming environment and describe generic programming language concepts as they are implemented in a high-level statistical language.

The course covers practical issues in statistical computing which includes programming in R, reading data into R, accessing R packages, writing R functions, debugging, profiling R code, and organizing and commenting R code.

Topics in statistical data analysis will provide working examples.

Misconception: In a very large data set, strong correlations supplant the need for causality; decisions made using Big Data analytics are quick, inexpensive and accurate.

Truth: Data analytics does not equate the right decisions nor does Big Data imply big ideas; a healthy dose of human intuition, experience and skepticism is needed to turn data into answers.

What have Rumpelstiltskin and Pygmalion Done With the Data?

Many years ago when I was pursuing an advanced degree in computational mathematics (arguably computer science at its geekiest), a professor offered two insights on mathematical modeling that turned out to be astonishingly prescient in these days of Big Data.

Here is my paraphrasing of his advice in the context of Big Data and my coinage of the terms Rumpelstiltskin Fallacy and Pygmalion Effect:

Just because you have Big Data that represents your problem, it doesn’t mean you have the solution to the problem.

Don’t fall in love with your Big Data, and definitely don’t marry it.

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The Big Data Promise...

Data: More the Merrier?...

Substituting Causation with Correlation...

Big Data Does Not Equate Big Ideas...

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Let’s face it, making decisions based on analytics alone is like driving a car blindfolded while taking directions from someone looking out the rear window.

To stay ahead of the competition, executives need to create a management culture that breeds natural skepticism towards conformity, foments instinctive scrutiny against Big Data results, and encourages decision-making using a mixture of metrics, experience and intuition.

If statements can be very useful in R, as they are in any programming language,. Often, you want to make choices and take action dependent on a certain value.

Defining a choice in your code is pretty simple: If this condition is true, then carry out a certain task. Many programming languages let you do that with exactly those words: if . . . then. R makes it even easier:

You can drop the word then and specify your choice in an if statement.

Sometimes one has the problem to make two samples comparable, i.e. to compare measured values of a sample with respect to their (relative) position in the distribution. An often used aid is the z-transform which converts the values of a sample into z-scores:

with

zi ... z-transformed sample observations xi ... original values of the sample ... sample mean s ... standard deviation of the sample

The z-transform is also called standardization or auto-scaling. z-Scores become comparable by measuring the observations in multiples of the standard deviation of that sample. The mean of a z-transformed sample is always zero. If the original distribution is a normal one, the z-transformed data belong to a standard normal distribution (μ=0, s=1).

RSeek is a custom search engine that can help you find information on the official website, the CRAN, the archives of the mailing lists, the documentation of R and even selected websites. It is more effective than a simple Google search. ◌

It is a way of identifying patterns in data, and expressing the data in such a way as to highlight their similarities and differences.

Since patterns in data can be hard to find in data of high dimension, where the luxury of graphical representation is not available, PCA is a powerful tool for analysing data.

The other main advantage of PCA is that once you have found these patterns in the data, and you compress the data, ie. by reducing the number of dimensions, without much loss of information.

This technique used in image compression, as we will see in a later section. General Tutorial

Factor analysis is similar to principal component analysis, in that factor analysis also involves linear combinations of variables. Different from PCA, factor analysis is a correlation-focused approach seeking to reproduce the inter-correlations among variables, in which the factors “represent the common variance of variables, excluding unique variance.

Network component analysis (NCA) takes advantage of partial network connectivity knowledge and is able to reconstruct regulatory signals and the weighted connectivity strength. In contrast, traditional methods such as PCA and ICA depend on statistical assumptions and cannot reconstruct regulatory signals or connectivity strength. Source

K-means clustering is a commonly used data clustering for unsupervised learning tasks. Principal components are the continuous solutions to the discrete cluster membership indicators for K-means clustering.

An obvious application of PCA is to explore high-dimensional data sets, as outlined above. Most often, three-dimensional visualizations are used for such explorations, and samples are either projected onto the components, as in the examples here, or plotted according to their correlation with the components.

As much information will typically be lost in two- or three-dimensional visualizations, it is important to systematically try different combinations of components when visualizing a data set.

As the principal components are uncorrelated, they may represent different aspects of the samples. This suggests that PCA can serve as a useful first step before clustering or classification of samples.

This calculator is free to use and is designed for biologists, ecologists, teachers, and students needing to quickly calculate the biodiversity indexes of an ecosystem.

First, enter the number of species, and then enter the name you wish to give the species, if available, and the given populations for each of the species—in any given order.

The script will return the Simpson and Shannon-Wiener values (among almost two dozen others) for the given data...

A measure that accounts for both richness and proportion (percent) of each species is the Simpson's diversity index. It has been a useful tool to terrestrial and aquatic ecologists for many years and will help us understand the profile of biofilm organisms and their colonization pattern in the Inner Harbor.

The index, first developed by Simpson in 1949, has been defined three different ways in published ecological research. The first step for all three is to calculate Pi, which is the number of a given species divided by the total number of organisms observed.

This diversity measure came from information theory and measures the order (or disorder) observed within a particular system. In ecological studies, this order is characterized by the number of individuals observed for each species in the sample plot (e.g., biofilm on a acrylic disc).

It has also been called the Shannon index and the Shannon-Weaver index. Similar to the Simpson index, the first step is to calculate Pi for each category (e.g., species). You then multiply this number by the log of the number. While you may use any base, the natural log is commonly used (ln). The index is computed from the negative sum of these numbers.

Biological diversity, or biodiversity, is a term that is becoming more and more heard, yet few people really know what it is. There are many definitions for it, but there are two that will be given here.

The first is from the Convention on Biological Diversity, also known as the Rio Summit: "'Biological diversity' means the variability among living organisms from all sources including, inter alia, terrestrial, marine and other aquatic ecosystems and the ecological complexes of which they are part; this includes diversity within species, between species and of ecosystems."

The Canadian Biodiversity Strategy defines it as "…the variety of species and ecosystems on Earth and the ecological processes of which they are a part". It is often simply used as a catch-all term for nature. No definition is perfect; as with life itself, it's a bit nebulous and there are always exceptions.

A Biodiversity Index gives scientists a concrete, uniform way to talk about and compare the biodiversity of different areas. Learn how to calculate this number yourself.

Evenness is, the relative abundance of species. It refers to the evenness of distribution of individuals among species in a community. In other words, species evenness refers to how close in numbers each species in an environment are.

Predictive analytics makes predictions about unknown future using data mining, predictive modeling. Process,Software and industry applications of predictive analytics.

Predictive analytics encompasses a variety of statistical techniques from modeling, machine learning, and data mining that analyze current and historical facts to make predictions about future, or otherwise unknown, events.

In business, predictive models exploit patterns found in historical and transactional data to identify risks and opportunities.

Models capture relationships among many factors to allow assessment of risk or potential associated with a particular set of conditions, guiding decision making for candidate transactions.

Predictive analytics is used in actuarial science, marketing, financial services, insurance, telecommunications, retail, travel, healthcare, pharmaceuticals and other fields.

>> Bonus: "It's hard to make predictions, especially when they are about the future" is a quote usually attributed to American baseball-legend" Yogi Berra

>> Not a good start when discussing predictive analytics...

There's a small but growing number of women who are single mothers by choice—and the narrative of single motherhood isn't complete without them...

Yet again, single mothers are in the news. The most recent Shriver Report has a list of statistics that make the plight of single motherhood seem quite daunting—numbers that say they are more likely to live with regret and at the height of poverty, struggling so much more than those with partners by their sides...

◐But the research doesn’t always tell you the full story ◑

Postgraduate students from non-statistical disciplines often have trouble designing their first experiment, survey or observational study, particularly if their supervisor does not have a statistical background.

Such students often present their results to a statistical consultant hoping that a suitable analysis will rescue a poorly designed study.

Unfortunately, it is often too late by that stage.

A statistical consultant is best able to help a student who has some grasp of statistics.

It is appropriate to use the Web to deliver training when required and that is the mechanism used in this project to encourage postgraduate students to develop statistical thinking in their research.

Statistical Thinking is taught in terms of the PPDSA cycle and students are encouraged to use other Web resources and books to expand their knowledge of statistical concepts and techniques...

STATS Indiana focuses on data for actionable use by Hoosier government, business, education, nonprofits, health organizations and anyone needing to understand “how many, how much, how high or low” for their community.

With nearly 1 million page views and more than 300,000 visits each year, STATS Indiana has won multiple awards from national organizations.

Because of its unique state government/public university partnership and its wide-ranging data and tools, it is frequently cited as a “data jewel in Indiana’s crown.”

STATS Indiana has become Indiana’s information utility and the heart of the Information for Indiana data dissemination channel.

It provides convenient access to data for geographic areas in Indiana and across the nation because we think context and the ability to compare areas on all measures is crucial.

The original catalyst for a statewide, digitally accessible database began with the Indiana Business Research Center at Indiana University's Kelley School of Business, but has received major support from the State of Indiana since the 1980s, becoming an outstanding example of the creative partnership that can occur between state agencies and state-funded research institutions.

>> About the Data

The data on STATS Indiana are provided by more than 100 federal and state agencies, along with commercial or private data sources.

The STATS Indiana database powers also powers Hoosiers by the Numbers, the Stats House and dozens of local and regional websites throughout Indiana.

We add value to these data in the form of calculations, graphs, comparisons of time or geography, time series and maps.

At STATS Indiana, timeliness and accuracy are both critical:

We work daily to ensure the data on STATS Indiana are updated as they are released from the source agencies — we don’t let new data sit in a queue waiting for a “scheduled” quarterly update. To help users know what to expect and when, we maintain a release calendar.

We use both automated and personal quality control checks to insure the data coming into the database are accurate. Over the years, we have established relationships with source providers that attest to our keen-eyed work, alerting agencies (such as BLS and BEA) when there is a problem with their data.

Each topic has a landing page that provides the data as well as metadata. These "About the Data" pages provide the essentials users need, including info on frequency, the specific source agency, geographic coverage, years of availability and any caveats related to the data.

GRASS GIS, commonly referred to as GRASS (Geographic Resources Analysis Support System), is a free and open source Geographic Information System (GIS) software suite used for geospatial data management and analysis, image processing, graphics and maps production, spatial modeling, and visualization.

GRASS GIS is currently used in academic and commercial settings around the world, as well as by many governmental agencies and environmental consulting companies.

It is a founding member of the Open Source Geospatial Foundation (OSGeo).

Sharing your scoops to your social media accounts is a must to distribute your curated content. Not only will it drive traffic and leads through your content, but it will help show your expertise with your followers.

How to integrate my topics' content to my website?

Integrating your curated content to your website or blog will allow you to increase your website visitors’ engagement, boost SEO and acquire new visitors. By redirecting your social media traffic to your website, Scoop.it will also help you generate more qualified traffic and leads from your curation work.

Distributing your curated content through a newsletter is a great way to nurture and engage your email subscribers will developing your traffic and visibility.
Creating engaging newsletters with your curated content is really easy.

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You can enter several keywords and you can refine them whenever you want. Our suggestion engine uses more signals but entering a few keywords here will rapidly give you great content to curate.