Gold and Silver Markets
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Why Gold Prices Could Bottom “On or Close to”, After Fed’s Rate Hike

CommodityTradeMantra's insight:
The Fed rate hike could mark an intermediate bottom in gold prices. We could see a knee-jerk move lower on a Fed rate hike, followed by a sharp move higher marking a gold bottom on the CPI numbers. And in the background we have naturally rising interest rates, which, if they continue, will make servicing what is nearly a $20 trillion debt harder and harder.
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A Clear Picture of the Current Development in Silver Price Charts

A Clear Picture of the Current Development in Silver Price Charts | Gold and Silver Markets | Scoop.it
It’s always luck to find something when you need it. I didn’t update the monthly chart for silver from July as we need to give time for visible changes.
CommodityTradeMantra's insight:
Breakouts are usually followed by the pullbacks to the broken trendlines. Market participants book profits and think over their next steps. Today I would like to update the monthly chart for silver as it is always better to see once than to read/hear about it many times. Now we have a clear picture of the current price development in silver. Let’s see how it goes!
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Reasons for Silver Demand to Explode have never been Stronger

Reasons for Silver Demand to Explode have never been Stronger | Gold and Silver Markets | Scoop.it
The suppression of the dying monetary systems’ Achilles Heel, silver, must die & the revaluation process will likely be unprecedented in financial history.
CommodityTradeMantra's insight:
The reasons for silver demand to explode – amidst an environment of verified peak production, and historically low above-ground, available for sale inventories, have never, in my very strong view, been stronger. Which is why, I might add, the opportunity to make a year-end tax swap, at an historically high gold/silver ratio of 69, may make sense to many investors.
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Higher Debt Will Accelerate Central Bank Gold Demand

Higher Debt Will Accelerate Central Bank Gold Demand | Gold and Silver Markets | Scoop.it
Inflation is understood as destruction of a currency’s purchasing power. To combat this central banks have historically stored a portion of wealth in gold.
CommodityTradeMantra's insight:
The U.S. government is currently saddled with $19.9 trillion in public debt. The US dollar accounts for about 64 percent of central banks’ foreign exchange reserves. With the potential for higher U.S. budget deficits and debt risking dollar strength, central banks around the globe could be motivated to increase their gold holdings, says Credit Suisse.
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Never Been a Better Time to be Bullish in Silver and Gold

CommodityTradeMantra's insight:
There are more than enough reasons to suggest that the sell-off in silver and gold is overblown and that the recent dip in precious metal prices could actually be an interesting entry point. A death cross for silver and gold mining ETFs is not a death knell. With uncertainty all around, the fall in precious metals and silver and gold mining ETFs means it’s a great time to be bullish.
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Gold Treads Danger Zone – Yet Why Do Some Feel Optimistic?

Gold Treads Danger Zone – Yet Why Do Some Feel Optimistic? | Gold and Silver Markets | Scoop.it
Higher interest rates are bad for gold, as is a stronger USD. China's announcement of tightening gold imports to curb dollar outflows also suppress demand.
CommodityTradeMantra's insight:
The presence of considerable global economic, political, market risks and considering that the longer end of the yield curve and the sky-high USD have already tightened conditions, the Fed is likely to deliver a dovish hike later in December. This could mean the dollar & rates along the curve may slide lower & prompt technical traders to send gold back into $1,200-plus territory.
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Opportunistic Investors’ 9 Reasons for Having No Fear of Falling Silver Prices

CommodityTradeMantra's insight:
Precious metal mining stocks had been the shining stars of Wall Street in 2016. This recent swoon in silver prices isn’t a time to panic. Instead, it could be time to go shopping. There are, in fact, numerous fundamental and psychological reasons to believe that silver prices could soon find a floor and resume their bull market run.
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Gold Investment Amid Fears of Govt. Crackdown & Weakening Prices

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CommodityTradeMantra's insight:
Domestic gold prices are expected to remain range bound with a weaker bias in the next quarter because the dollar is strengthening against the Indian rupee. Local gold demand has come down drastically after demonetisation. Gold sales from wholesalers to retail jewellers have come down by around 90%. The situation is expected to remain like this till 31 December.
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India to Step up Measures to Control It’s Gigantic Physical Gold Demand

India to Step up Measures to Control It’s Gigantic Physical Gold Demand | Gold and Silver Markets | Scoop.it
The government wants to wean away people from physical gold and has already implemented liberal gold monetisation scheme and sovereign gold bond scheme.
CommodityTradeMantra's insight:
India’s physical gold hoard is estimated to be 20,000 tonnes and at current market price, this works out to be a massive Rs 60 lakh crore – 4 times the total value of the withdrawn Rs 500 & Rs 1,000 notes. The government’s focus will be on a permanent reduction in domestic gold demand & not just on import of gold. Be ready for more restrictive measures in coming days.
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Fearful Capital Turns to Gold and Silver – the Ultimate Financial Insurance

Fearful Capital Turns to Gold and Silver – the Ultimate Financial Insurance | Gold and Silver Markets | Scoop.it
Gold and silver bullion are the ultimate form of financial insurance & in these uncertain times all investors should allocate them a portion of their funds.
CommodityTradeMantra's insight:
One can easily foresee the financial and political turmoil looming large just ahead. And, there is lots of that coming our way. Now is the time to be proactive in case the situation escalates, which seems to be unavoidable. Gold and silver have been acquired for centuries as a form of wealth preservation, as a long-term store of value and as safe-haven assets in such times.
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Gold Prices & it’s Relationship with the Expansion of Fiat Money

CommodityTradeMantra's insight:
Not only is Fiat Money Quantity, continuing to grow above its long-term trend, but it appears to be accelerating. The inflationary implications are obvious. Gold is already under-priced to a substantial degree. Further expansion of FMQ will eventually lead to a complete reassessment of the price relationship between fiat dollars and physical gold, to gold’s benefit and the dollar’s detriment.
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Not 1, But 50 Amazing Proofs – The Secular Bull Market in Gold Will Continue

Not 1, But 50 Amazing Proofs – The Secular Bull Market in Gold Will Continue | Gold and Silver Markets | Scoop.it
Experiencing the downfall of markets and devaluation of currencies, it is expected that gold is still in a secular bull market.
CommodityTradeMantra's insight:
Gold’s bull market started in the year 2001, and after 4 years of correction from 2011 to 2015, the secular bull market is still intact. As the world is experiencing the burden of debt & sub mortgage crisis, which has the made the market illiquid & the bearish sentiment for gold is on extreme low. Gold on rise can be termed as the biggest surprise of 2016. Need Proof? Here are 50 of them.
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The Major Catalysts That Influence Gold Prices

CommodityTradeMantra's insight:
Physical gold had its best quarterly gain in 30 years during the first quarter, and year-to-date, even with its recent swoon, physical gold is higher by roughly $200 an ounce. Gold has firmly reestablished itself as being in a bull market. The factors that move gold prices are largely unknown or overlooked. Let’s have a look at the seven most common factors that influence physical gold prices.
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SILVER – Ridiculously Underpriced, but Most Rewarding Investment Vehicle

CommodityTradeMantra's insight:
A reminder of the factors that lead us to thinking about silver as a safe haven investment to begin with; as a protection against inflation, or an opportunity to make money & ‘profit’ over the short, intermediate, or long term. From whatever angle, just below a surface understanding, lies the recognition that it is nearly impossible to find any other investment vehicle so ridiculously underpriced.
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Gold Prices Preparing for ‘The Next Big Leap Higher’

Gold Prices Preparing for ‘The Next Big Leap Higher’ | Gold and Silver Markets | Scoop.it
We’ve all read about or witnessed heated arguments involving the yellow metal. There are two hardcore camps as far as gold is concerned.
CommodityTradeMantra's insight:
Where could gold be heading? Fundamentals and the macro picture strongly indicate that gold is in a long consolidation phase and coiling for the next big leg higher. The fact that the markets are currently fully pricing a Fed hike next week while also expecting a relatively hawkish tone, makes it a very good long entry point. Let’s see if the shiny metal can finally fly.
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Brutal Gold Futures Selling Seems to be Exhausting Itself

CommodityTradeMantra's insight:
Nearly 2/3rds of long-side gold futures buying fueling 2016’s gold bull has been reversed! Thankfully this extreme gold futures selling looks wildly overdone. This supply of paper gold is very finite. And once all the weak-handed traders susceptible to being scared into selling low have largely exited, this extreme futures selling will dry up. Odds are this gold futures selling is exhausting itself.
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Gold And Silver is What You Should Trust – Do Not Expect Much Difference With Trump

CommodityTradeMantra's insight:
Those concerned about the current price of gold and silver, instead of doing everything possible to have & accumulate physical possession of them, are playing a fool’s game. The high volume in November is an attempt to run as many longs out of the paper gold and silver market as possible while smart money is covering what they can in eliminating competition.
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Metals Zoom On Projected Massive Infrastructure Spending – How Long Before Silver Takes-Off?

CommodityTradeMantra's insight:
Metals are surging due to projected industrial expansion. To argue that a massive infrastructure spending program will be beneficial for lead, zinc & copper prices, but immaterial for silver prices, is as ridiculous as claiming that overvalued stock prices can continue to surge amidst the “gigantic pink elephant” that is surging global interest rates and plunging worldwide currencies.
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Time For Gold To Really Shine! Should You Dare Catch The Falling Knife?

CommodityTradeMantra's insight:
The bullish case for gold does not just rest on the direction of the dollar. Gold is also an, “investment in monetary policy failure,” or at least a hedge against it. Technicals & sentiment have again aligned to create a terrific opportunity to take advantage of what could be early stages of a major shift in long-term trend of outperformance by financial assets over real assets.
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Indian Investors Stampede into Gold and Silver Bullion

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CommodityTradeMantra's insight:
For the previous year or two the Indian government had been trying to encourage citizens to decrease their demand for physical gold and silver. Because of the ability to convert the notes at banks on a delayed basis, jewelry stores in India were quickly besieged since Nov. 8th, with customers seeking to spend the banned notes buying physical gold and silver.
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Physical Gold and Silver V/s Paper Gold and Silver

Physical Gold and Silver V/s Paper Gold and Silver | Gold and Silver Markets | Scoop.it
While each of the investment vehicles has advantages, only buying physical gold and silver provides you with direct access and ownership of the metals.
CommodityTradeMantra's insight:
When people decide to invest in precious metals, they have many options. They can chose gold and silver exchange traded funds (ETFs), precious metals mining shares, gold or silver futures contracts, unallocated gold and silver pools or derivatives. Or, they can buy the real thing – As only physical gold and silver provides you with direct access & ownership.
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Renewed Buying in Gold Futures & GLD Shares Fuelling Gold’s Next Upleg

Renewed Buying in Gold Futures & GLD Shares Fuelling Gold’s Next Upleg | Gold and Silver Markets | Scoop.it
Gold futures speculators control gold’s short-term behaviour while the investors buying & selling shares in GLD Shares have commanded it's longer-term moves
CommodityTradeMantra's insight:
With gold futures speculators’ collective bets no longer excessively bullish and holding back gold, that paves the way for major investment buying to resume. Meanwhile American stock investors have resumed heavy buying of GLD shares again, fueling this ETF’s big early-quarter holdings build equalling Q1’16’s massive jump that ignited gold’s young new bull.
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Is Gold and Silver Bull Market Intact or will US Dollar Strength Crush it?

Is Gold and Silver Bull Market Intact or will US Dollar Strength Crush it? | Gold and Silver Markets | Scoop.it
Gold and gold stocks have stabilized after forming a short-term low and even held up well while the US$ index pushed to an 8-month high.
CommodityTradeMantra's insight:
Conventional wisdom would tell us with the US$ index nearing a major breakout, gold and silver would be vulnerable to further losses. Ultimately, as long as Gold and silver’s fundamental driver – declining or negative real interest rates remain in place, then the fledgling bull market will remain on track. With inflation poised to rise, real rates are likely to decline further in 2017.
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It’s Time for Gold and Silver Equities to Rally Again

It’s Time for Gold and Silver Equities to Rally Again | Gold and Silver Markets | Scoop.it
The gold and silver miners predictably made the turn to the upside around the 11th of October when they began to miraculously outperform gold and silver.
CommodityTradeMantra's insight:
A move through $1,400 gold will once-and-for-all dispel any belief that 2016’s gold and silver rallies were nothing but “bear market rallies.” A weekly close above that level will not only set up a test of the 2011 peak north of $1,900, it will finally silence the fools calling for $850 gold. Meanwhile, the predictive power of the gold and silver miners has once again prevailed.
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Gold Jewelry Buying to be Exceptionally Strong in India this Diwali

Gold Jewelry Buying to be Exceptionally Strong in India this Diwali | Gold and Silver Markets | Scoop.it
Many analysts in India and around the world are anticipating the strongest gold & gold jewelry buying in four years during this year’s festival season.
CommodityTradeMantra's insight:
Plentiful monsoon rains in India tend to drive up demand for gold & gold jewelry among rural, income-flush farmers, who make up a third of the country’s consumption of the yellow metal. Gold jewelry sales in India are expected to surge as much as 60% over last year, during this year’s festival season thanks to the fortuitously timed sharp drop in gold prices.
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