Global Warming
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Global warming leads to darker ice leads to more global warming - Grist

Global warming leads to darker ice leads to more global warming - Grist | Global Warming | Scoop.it
Global warming leads to darker ice leads to more global warming
Grist
That's bad news for a couple of reasons — first, because it's happening as a result of global warming, and second, because it will make global warming worse.
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Rescooped by Andreas Veryinis from @The Convergence of ICT & Distributed Renewable Energy
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Global warming: The folly of certainty | Guest Blog| Scientific American Blog Network

Global warming: The folly of certainty | Guest Blog| Scientific American Blog Network | Global Warming | Scoop.it

Larry Jones is driving the minivan across the Utah desert on Highway 163, with Sally in the passenger seat and the two kids dozing in the back. According to the map they are approaching the town of Pawoopsie. The radio is on, tuned to a Pawoopsie station that plays country music, but the reception isn’t very good. Suddenly the music cuts off and an announcer’s voice comes in: “static–one sixty-three–static–Pawoopsie–static–bridge collapsed–static–highway patrol says–static”, and then nothing but static.

 

Sally sits up. “Did he say that the highway bridge in Pawoopsie collapsed?”

 

Larry shrugs. “I don’t know.”

 

“It sounded like that’s what he was saying.”

 

“I don’t know; too much static.”

 

“Aren’t we getting close to Pawoopsie?”

 

“Yeah, should be a couple more miles.”

 

Larry, don’t you think you should slow down?”

 

“Why?”

 

“Well, if the bridge has collapsed . . .”

 

“Are you sure that the bridge has collapsed?”

 

“No, but . . .”

 

“Then why should I slow down?”

 

Here’s the thing about that story: it’s not at all hard to understand. You can tell it to 100 people, and 99 of them will realize that Larry Jones is being stupid. It doesn’t take a brilliant mind to figure out that when you’re hurtling toward possible catastrophe, only a fool would refuse to slow down and start paying attention.

 

Unfortunately, when it comes to the current debate about climate change, the scientific community has somehow worked itself into the position of implicitly assuming that the public are too stupid to understand that story. We have been treating the public as though they are a large mass of Larry Joneses. That’s a blunder, and one that has cost us big time.

 

The debate about climate change, as it is currently conducted, focuses mainly on this question: Are we certain that the Earth is going to warm to a dangerous degree in the near future? Climate scientists have been struggling very hard to convince us all that they are certain, or at least nearly certain, but haven’t succeeded all that well.

 

But that’s really not the right question at all. To think that is the right question is to behave like Larry Jones. The right question is: Are we confident that the Earth is *not* going to warm to a dangerous degree in the near future?

 

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Via Chuck Sherwood, Senior Associate, TeleDimensions, Inc
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Rhys Watkins's comment, August 5, 2013 10:36 PM
What does folly mean
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Will global warming lead to more war? It's not that simple. - Washington Post

Will global warming lead to more war? It's not that simple. - Washington Post | Global Warming | Scoop.it
National Geographic
Will global warming lead to more war? It's not that simple.
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Rhys Watkins's comment, August 5, 2013 10:34 PM
True dat
Simon Giordano's comment, August 5, 2013 10:36 PM
This is not for the picking on of children you two.
Andreas Veryinis's comment, August 5, 2013 10:37 PM
Nek minit. Aint nobody got time for this.