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Understanding the spatiotemporal patterns of emergence and circulation of new human seasonal influenza virus variants is a key scientific and public health challenge. The global circulation patterns of influenza A/H3N2 viruses are well characterized, but the patterns of A/H1N1 and B viruses have remained largely unexplored. Here we show that the global circulation patterns of A/H1N1 (up to 2009), B/Victoria, and B/Yamagata viruses differ substantially from those of A/H3N2 viruses, on the basis of analyses of 9,604 haemagglutinin sequences of human seasonal influenza viruses from 2000 to 2012. Whereas genetic variants of A/H3N2 viruses did not persist locally between epidemics and were reseeded from East and Southeast Asia, genetic variants of A/H1N1 and B viruses persisted across several seasons and exhibited complex global dynamics with East and Southeast Asia playing a limited role in disseminating new variants. The less frequent global movement of influenza A/H1N1 and B viruses coincided with slower rates of antigenic evolution, lower ages of infection, and smaller, less frequent epidemics compared to A/H3N2 viruses. Detailed epidemic models support differences in age of infection, combined with the less frequent travel of children, as probable drivers of the differences in the patterns of global circulation, suggesting a complex interaction between virus evolution, epidemiology, and human behaviour.
#11,986 Over the summer of 2014, HPAI H5N1 picked up several key mutations in Egypt (see Eurosurveillance: Emergence O
#11,974 Almost from the time it was first observed in a Sichaun poultry dealer in the spring of 2014, HPAI H5N6 - a reassortmen
#11,969 Similar to what we are seeing with H5N8 in Europe and the Middle East, HPAI H5N6 has aggressively taken win
#11,863 This time of year, when influenza activity is in steep decline in the Southern Hemisphere but not yet surgin
bioRxiv - the preprint server for biology, operated by Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory, a research and educational institution
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#11,994 Although seasonal influenza hasn't really taken off in North America yet, we are already seeing reports in Easter
#11,978 Although it is rarely remembered footnote today, between 2000 and 2003 we saw a brief introduction of a huma
#11,972 The same migratory flyway that is funneling avian H5N6 to South Korea, Japan, and points south also passes ove
#11,932 The remarkable global spread of the recently emerged HPAI H5 clade 2.3.4.4 ( includes H5N8 & H5N6 ) viruses
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