Conflicts Analysis Theory
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Academics - Papers - References on Conflicts Analysis
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UK spies write 'how to catch a terrorist' guide

UK spies write 'how to catch a terrorist' guide | Conflicts Analysis Theory | Scoop.it
In an apparent effort to make the secret services more transparent, GCHQ communications agency has gone public with a guide on how to catch a
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Is the Oslo process really over? - Al-Monitor: the Pulse of the Middle East

Is the Oslo process really over? - Al-Monitor: the Pulse of the Middle East | Conflicts Analysis Theory | Scoop.it
The Palestinian Central Council announced the end of security cooperation with Israel, though many are skeptical that the decision will be implemented.
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Joachim Martillo sur Twitter

Joachim Martillo sur Twitter | Conflicts Analysis Theory | Scoop.it
@stevesalaita Use of terrorism accusation in past against Jews. pic.twitter.com/DQCeFXhE8E
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Jihad and Terrorism Threat Monitor (JTTM) Weekend Summary

Jihad and Terrorism Threat Monitor (JTTM) Weekend Summary | Conflicts Analysis Theory | Scoop.it
The following are some of this week's reports from the MEMRI Jihad and Terrorism Threat Monitor (JTTM) Project, which translates and analyzes content from sources monitored around the clock, among them the most important jihadi...
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Why liberals downplay terrorism

Why liberals downplay terrorism | Conflicts Analysis Theory | Scoop.it
After any terrorist attack, why is the first instinct of liberals to downplay it?
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Competitive Intelligence Sources: Stay Ahead of the Game

Competitive Intelligence Sources: Stay Ahead of the Game | Conflicts Analysis Theory | Scoop.it

A question that frequently comes up on different competitive intelligence forums is what are the best competitive intelligence sources. While this of course depends on your industry and your company goals, we have put together the following comprehensive list to help you stay ahead of the game..

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Develop and mine your own sources

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Why Peace Talks Fail In Africa | Foreign Affairs

Why Peace Talks Fail In Africa | Foreign Affairs | Conflicts Analysis Theory | Scoop.it
As a new wave of violent conflicts has ravaged Africa, borders and conventional peace processes have done little to contain them. A cold war between Ethiopia and Eritrea has spilled over into Somalia, where Eritrea has supported the jihadist group al Shabaab in its fight against the Ethiopian-backed government in Mogadishu.
Afrikasources's insight:

The world is still one in which the nation-state is the dominant actor, so peace processes often end up ignoring regional or subnational dynamics. 

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« Ça va péter ! » : la révolte qui s’annonce ne sera pas du théâtre

« Ça va péter ! » : la révolte qui s’annonce ne sera pas du théâtre | Conflicts Analysis Theory | Scoop.it

"L’enquête « Génération quoi ? » auprès des 18-34 ans menée par deux sociologues, Cécile Van de Velde et Camille Peugny, montre que cette jeunesse se considère comme une génération « perdue », persuadés qu’ils ne connaîtront rien d’autre que la crise, et que ce sera pire pour leurs enfants. Le discours de crise qui règne dans les médias et qui est tenu par une partie de la classe politique est tel qu’ils sont convaincus d’être des déclassés. Aidés par leurs parents, ils ne leur en veulent pas, mais ils sont sévères tout de même à l’encontre de la génération qui les a précédés et qui ne leur a pas assuré ce à quoi ils avaient droit. Comme le discours dominant est en partie mensonger à propos de la dette ou des retraites, ils en concluent que ce sont eux qui portent le poids de cette dette qu’ils n’ont pourtant pas créée, et qu’ils n’auront pas droit à une retraite : les idéologues qui, depuis quelques années seulement, ont mené un combat acharné pour inculquer au petit peuple qu’il devrait payer ont apparemment gagné sur ce point : une partie de la jeunesse a pris quasiment acte qu’elle n’aurait pas de retraite, ce qui évidemment est faux, mais cette croyance lui fera accepter tous les reculs sur les droits sociaux ambitionnés par les fauteurs de crise." (...)


Via L'Esprit Du Moment
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Museveni praised on Juba military intervention

Museveni praised on Juba military intervention | Conflicts Analysis Theory | Scoop.it
The Uganda People’s Defence Forces has praised President Yoweri Museveni’s strategic intervention in Juba arguing that “he got it right again on South Sudan.” (Museveni praised on Juba military intervention http://t.co/QhJv2Bfexh...
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Our fear of terrorism has made us loathe Islam

Our fear of terrorism has made us loathe Islam | Conflicts Analysis Theory | Scoop.it
Since the 9/11 attacks in 2001 some in the western world have drawn the conclusion that all terrorists are Muslims.
Afrikasources's insight:

Indeed. Making real an expected Clash of Civilizations and a new religion war.

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Why do some conflicts get more media coverage than others?

Why do some conflicts get more media coverage than others? | Conflicts Analysis Theory | Scoop.it
Nick Harvey considers the role – and the agenda – of the global media in making the news.
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The European Council on Foreign Relations | European Foreign Policy Scorecard 2010

The European Council on Foreign Relations | European Foreign Policy Scorecard 2010 | Conflicts Analysis Theory | Scoop.it
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IR Analysis: The Arab awakening has sparked a foreign policy shift in Turkey and Qatar | Politics in Spires

IR Analysis: The Arab awakening has sparked a foreign policy shift in Turkey and Qatar | Politics in Spires | Conflicts Analysis Theory | Scoop.it
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Former Israeli security commanders: Netanyahu speech will bring Iran closer to the bomb

Former Israeli security commanders: Netanyahu speech will bring Iran closer to the bomb | Conflicts Analysis Theory | Scoop.it
Commanders for Israel's Security group says Netanyahu is damaging strategic relations with the US; Likud says in response, "These are the same leftists who supported Oslo."
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Egypt closed 27,000 mosques to stop terrorism. When will other countries do the same?

Egypt took a good decision. Mosques have always been breeding grounds for terrorists. More mosques mean more terrorism. Other countries should learn from Egypt. Close all mosques. I can assure you ...
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Cyber attacks the greatest threat to national security?

Former President George W. Bush, President Obama Cyber Security advisor Howard Schmidt on intelligence officials warning cyber attacks pose the greatest risk to U.S. national security.
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More Small Wars

More Small Wars | Conflicts Analysis Theory | Scoop.it
Washington doesn’t have the luxury of simply avoiding insurgencies, so it needs to figure out how to fight them better. Drawn from more than a decade of war, here are ten lessons for doing so.
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Nouvelle étape de partenariat stratégique Inde-Vietnam axé notamment sur la construction navale et l'entrainement des sous-mariniers

Nouvelle étape de partenariat stratégique Inde-Vietnam axé notamment sur la construction navale et l'entrainement des sous-mariniers | Conflicts Analysis Theory | Scoop.it

India and Vietnam are aided by the fact that they had relied heavily on Russian military hardware in the past and have capabilities that can be shared, says a source.

Vietnam’s Prime Minister Nguyen Tan Dung and his delegation, on a two-day visit from Monday, will discuss placing orders for offshore patrol vehicles at Indian shipyards using the $100-million line of credit provided by India under a defence agreement.

The latest MoU will further solidify India’s assistance on vessel construction and submarine training to Vietnam’s forces as part of the Strategic Partnership signed between the two countries in 2007.

The agreements for the OVL to prospect in two more fields, along with another MoU for PetroVietnam to prospect for oil off the Indian coast in the Bay of Bengal, will have a geostrategic impact. In September 2011, China issued a demarche to India over Vietnam’s decision to allow the OVL to prospect in blocks number 127 and 128. At the time, India cited Vietnam’s sovereign claims over the blocks.

Asked on Friday about the possibility of China’s objections over agreements during the current visit, Ministry of External Affairs spokesperson Syed Akbaruddin said, “Vietnam has offered us some blocks in the South China Sea, we are examining it. If they are commercially viable for us, certainly we will take those into account and proceed further.”


Via Patrick H.
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Army running low on ammunition - The Times of India

Army running low on ammunition - The Times of India | Conflicts Analysis Theory | Scoop.it
The world’s second-largest standing Army is fast running out of ammunition. Tanks and air defence units, artillery batteries and infantry soldiers are all facing the crunch.
Afrikasources's insight:

"There is a glaring mismatch between operational and training requirements vis-a-vis budget allocations, imports and the inadequate production capacity of our 39 ordnance factories," said a senior officer.

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China's Military Expansion - A Chinese Perspective

China's Military Expansion - A Chinese Perspective | Conflicts Analysis Theory | Scoop.it
Many in the West view China's rapid military expansion as a growing threat to global and regional security. In fact, nothing could be further from the truth, or so writes Ai Zhong-Guo. Beijing has little time for global or regional domination, which it reminds everyone in its 2013 Defence White Paper.
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Le design des futures corvettes Damen SIGMA 9814 pour la Marine vietnamienne dévoilé

Le design des futures corvettes Damen SIGMA 9814 pour la Marine vietnamienne dévoilé | Conflicts Analysis Theory | Scoop.it

During Vietship 2014 Nava Exhibition in Vietnam, Dutch shipyard Damen unveiled for the first time the design of the Sigma 9814 Corvette ordered by Vietnam. It was announced in October 2011 that Damen shipyard in Vlissingen, Netherlands will build four Sigma corvettes for the Vietnamese Navy. The first two ships will be built in Vlissingen (Netherlands), and the last two (options) will be built in Vietnam, under Dutch supervision.

Based on previously published information and from what can be seen on the model shown at Vietship 2014 the new SIGMA 9814 class will be fitted with:
8x MBDA Exocet MM40 Block 3
12x MBDA MICA VL surface-to-air missiles (in VLS)
1x Oto Melara 76mm main gun
2x Oto Melara MARLIN-WS 30mm gun mounts
The corvette will acomodate one anti-submarine helicopters Ka-28. The corvettes are set to receive the latest generation of electronics and sensors from Thales including TACTICOS combat management system, SMART-S Mk 2 radar and STING EO Mk 2 electro-optical fire control system.

Design wise, the new Sigma 9814 differs quite a lot combared to existing Sigma designs (9813, 10513 or 10514) especially around the bridge area. Likewise, the bow appears to be more angled to possibly provide more stealth.


Via Patrick H.
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Information warfare 3.0: Weapons of mass effectiveness - The Nation

Information warfare 3.0: Weapons of mass effectiveness - The Nation | Conflicts Analysis Theory | Scoop.it
Information warfare 3.0: Weapons of mass effectiveness The Nation Throughout history, the control and use of information and intelligence has played a vital role in diplomatic relations as well as combat, primarily as a "first line of defence" in...

Via Daniel Ventre
Afrikasources's insight:

Or Weapons of mass awareness

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Massive Government Spying Is The Result Of A Public Obsessed With Eliminating Terrorism

Massive Government Spying Is The Result Of A Public Obsessed With Eliminating Terrorism | Conflicts Analysis Theory | Scoop.it
If the government can't miss any terrorists, how can it not have a massively overbroad surveillance infrastructure that snoops on all of us?
Afrikasources's insight:

The RISM Project is quite disturbung

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Joseph Nye on Soft Power

Joseph Nye on Soft Power | Conflicts Analysis Theory | Scoop.it
Nye argues that soft power is as important as hard power in international politics because it enables a change of behaviour in others without competition or conflict.
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COUNTER-TERRORISM: The Curse Of The Sinai - Strategy Page

COUNTER-TERRORISM: The Curse Of The Sinai - Strategy Page | Conflicts Analysis Theory | Scoop.it

COUNTER-TERRORISM: The Curse Of The SinaiStrategy PageJuly 2, 2012: In response to growing activity by Islamic terrorists in the Sinai Peninsula Egypt has sent several thousand troops into the area This force includes several hundred special counter-terrorism...

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