BHS AP_GOV
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BHS AP_GOV
2012 Presidential Election
Curated by Grace Roberts
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What's in the Obama budget

What's in the Obama budget | BHS AP_GOV | Scoop.it
President Obama will unveil his $3.77 trillion budget proposal for 2014. It would cut deficits by another $1.8 trillion over a decade, impose some new taxes aimed primarily at the wealthy, and make changes to Social Security and Medicare.
Grace Roberts's insight:

Obama’s budget proposal for this year is receiving criticism from both democrats and republicans. It essentially is going to bring some changes to Social Security and Medicare as well has a tax increase that will mainly affect people of the upper crust of society and big corporations (people with big bucks). The plan also will have a focus on social issues such as expenditures  on infrastructure, which includes spending on public transport, education, and “nondefense”. In addition, Obama spoke of even creating a National Infrastructure Bank which would “bring together public and private capital” for projects of great importance. The article also talks how Obama as made a switch to “chained CPI”. That is  new way to measure inflation that would reduce spending by slowing growth in federal benefits (includes social security benefits). I wonder if this correlates with the stabilizers that are used to help during recessions and times of inflations, including unemployment compensation and taxes on personal incomes etc. The “chained CPI” is also supposed to raise more revenue, which includes income tax brackets, standard deduction, and contribution limit. In estimation, it is to bring a little over 200 billion in a decade in revenue. Some of the key points in Obama’s plan includes raised taxation on tobacco products, raised tax rate on investment fund manager income, and imposing a new limit on tax-deferred retirement accounts. The president also hopes to reduce the deficit by more than a trillion dollars. This proposal, in fact, come s from an offer he made to John Boehner last year during their fiscal cliff negotiations. This would replace the automatic budget cuts that went into effect last month. It is doubtful that Obama’s propsal will be adopted all at once and accepted by everyone, but it will definitely be taking effect and bringing changes to our country. 

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Supreme Court OKs Texas' Redistricting Plan

Supreme Court OKs Texas' Redistricting Plan | BHS AP_GOV | Scoop.it

WASHINGTON -- The Supreme Court is allowing Texas to use congressional districts that were drawn by a lower federal court for the November election. Latino American political group, LULAC, was upset by some of the congressional disctricsts that were drawn the upcoming November election and requested to block use of those discticts saying that they were discriminatory against minorities (hispanics).

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Sept. 2: Split Verdict in Polls on Romney Convention Bounce

Sept. 2: Split Verdict in Polls on Romney Convention Bounce | BHS AP_GOV | Scoop.it

In this poll by 538 Political Calculus, the numbers don't look good for Romney; His convention "bounce" was just shy of 4 points, and with Obama in the electoral lead, this could prove to be a dire poitn for him.

So far, the Now-Cast shows Obama with 293.9 Votes and Romney with 244.1 votes, but the Nov. 6 forecast of the poll is even more unfortunate for Romney: Obama's 307.8 to Romney's 230.2.
These numbers seem grossly mismatched given the Popular Vote percentiles:
Now-Cast: Obama 50.0%, Romney 48.5%
Nov. 6 Forecast:  51.0% to 47.8%

And the fact that the State-by-State Probabilities gives Romney a giant amount of supposrt in the South and essentially most of Heartland U.S.


It seems, however, that despite this mistmatch, 538 took the numbers of various different polls and averaged them out; the article notes how some polls(Ipsos, Rasmussen Reports) show Romney having a 4-7 point bounce, while others (Gallup) show a decline in Romney's percentile points.

Looking purely at Electoral numbers, Romney's situation is dire. However, I feel of-put by the mismatch, and will be looking for more information on the Electoral statistics so far.

 


Via Aadil Pappa
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Growth of early voting transforms electoral strategy

Growth of early voting transforms electoral strategy | BHS AP_GOV | Scoop.it

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As many as 40 percent of ballots may be cast before Nov. 6, and campaigns are targeting these voters.

 

This article is talking about the importance of early voting in the upcoming election day. Some states like Virginia creat laws that require early voting for those affected by long commutes to work, preganancy, or some sort of physical disability. These early votes are expected to make up quite a majority of ballots in the battlegorund states like Florida, Nevada, and Colorado. Early voting has actually become increasingly popular over the past few elections. The early votes in the 2008 election helped account for 33% of the votes, which is over double the early votes in the previous 2004 election. Obama even accredited early voting as a great help in winning his election. Another reason early voting is helpful to election candidates is how it helps candidates focus their resources more on election day. 

 

I personally think and agree that early voting is helpful to presidential elections. Like the article said, I think that the early voting helps financially and helps the voting process be more efficient. It supposedly is even supposed to help in the winning of battleground states. 

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US Ambassador Killed in Consulate Attack in Libya

US Ambassador Killed in Consulate Attack in Libya | BHS AP_GOV | Scoop.it

First off, there were 4 Americans killed under the attack, including the US ambassador Christopher Stevens. 

What makes the offense even more insulting is that it was carried out on the anniversary of 9/11; a very sensative

day for Americans, especially concerning terrorist acts. The initial cause of the attack is attributed to a controversal

Youtube video that insulted and gave a bad image to the Islamic prophet Mohammad. Obamam investigator are also investigating to see if it was actually a planned attack on the anniversary of the 2001 attacks. 

 

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Romney's bounce from convention looks short-lived: Reuters/Ipsos poll

Romney's bounce from convention looks short-lived: Reuters/Ipsos poll | BHS AP_GOV | Scoop.it
(Reuters) - A modest bump in popularity for U.S. presidential hopeful Mitt Romney from this week's Republican Party convention looks to be short-lived, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll.

 

Democratic President Barack Obama regained a narrow lead on Saturday by 44 percent to 43 percent over his Republican challenger, former Massachusetts Governor Romney, in the latest daily installment of the four-day rolling poll.


Via Lynda Park
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