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The countries most at risk for a coup in 2013

The countries most at risk for a coup in 2013 | aardrijkskunde | Scoop.it

"The map [above] sorts the countries of the world into three groups based on their relative coup risk for 2013: highest (red), moderate (orange), and lowest (beige)."


Via Seth Dixon
wereldvak's insight:

Factoren die meespelen zijn hieronder genoemd.

 

The algorithm for successful coups uses just four risk factors, one of which is really just an adjustment to the intercept.

Infant mortality rate (relative to annual global median, logged): higher risk in countries with higher rates.Degree of democracy (Polity score, quadratic): higher risk for countries in the mid-range of the 21-point scale.Recent coup activity (yes or no): higher risk if any activity in the past five years.Post-Cold War period: lower risk since 1989.

The algorithm for any coup attempts, successful or failed, uses the following ten risk factors, including all four of the ones used to forecast successful coups.

Infant mortality rate (relative to annual global median, logged): higher risk in countries with higher rates.Recent coup activity (count of past five years with any, plus one and logged): higher risk with more activity.Post-Cold War period: lower risk since 1989.Popular uprisings in region (count of countries with any, plus one and logged): higher risk with more of them.Insurgencies in region (count of countries with any, plus one and logged): higher risk with more of them.Economic growth (year-to-year change in GDP per capita): higher risk with slower growth.Regime durability (time since last abrupt change in Polity score, plus one and logged): lower risk with longer time.Ongoing insurgency (yes or no): higher risk if yes.Ongoing civil resistance campaign (yes or no): higher risk if yes.Signatory to 1st Optional Protocol of the UN’s International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights (yes or no): lower risk if yes.

from:http://dartthrowingchimp.wordpress.com/2012/01/30/assessing-coup-risk-in-2012/ ;
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Seth Dixon's curator insight, January 25, 2013 10:11 AM

While this is not predicting a coup in any of these places, this map is a visualization of data that was used to assess the factors that would make a coup likely (to see an alternate map, here is the Washington Post's review of the same data that mapped the 30 countries most likely to have a coup). 


Questions to Ponder: What factors do you think would be important in compilling data of this nature?  What makes a country susceptible to this type of governmental overthrow?  What creates governmental stability? 


Tags: political, conflict, unit 4 political, governance, Africa.

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Wereld: cultuur verspreiding vanaf 600v Chr, in 5 min

"This animation distils hundreds of years of culture into just five minutes. A team of historians and scientists wanted to map cultural mobility, so they tracked the births and deaths of notable individuals like David, King of Israel, and Leonardo da Vinci, from 600 BC to the present day. Using them as a proxy for skills and ideas, their map reveals intellectual hotspots and tracks how empires rise and crumble. The information comes from Freebase, a Google-owned database of well-known people and places, and other catalogues of notable individuals. The team is based at the University of Texas at Dallas."


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wereldvak's insight:

Geografische concepten als stedelijke ontwikkeling en diffusie patronen worden zichtbaar. Primate city en rank-size rule.....en demografische veranderingen in gebeiden.

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Hongsheng Li's curator insight, August 11, 3:47 AM

5分钟讲述文化历史

MsPerry's curator insight, August 12, 10:47 AM

APHG-U3

José Antonio Díaz Díaz's curator insight, August 19, 8:47 AM

"Animación que pretende mostrar la complejidad cultura cinco minutos, tomando como referencias sujetos como David, rey de Israel, y Leonardo da Vinci , de 600 C. hasta llegar a nuestros días. La Información proviene de Freebase, base de datos propiedad de Google.  Los desarrolladores pertenecen a la Universidad de Tejas en Dallas ".

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2e WO zorgde voor een cartografische revolutie

2e WO zorgde voor een cartografische revolutie | aardrijkskunde | Scoop.it

"More Americans came into contact with maps during World War II than in any previous moment in American history. From the elaborate and innovative inserts in the National Geographic to the schematic and tactical pictures in newspapers, maps were everywhere. On September 1, 1939, the Nazis invaded Poland, and by the end of the day a map of Europe could not be bought anywhere in the United States. In fact, Rand McNally reported selling more maps and atlases of the European theaters in the first two weeks of September than in all the years since the armistice of 1918. Two years later, the attack on Pearl Harbor again sparked a demand for maps."


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Pierre Mongin 's curator insight, July 20, 3:54 PM

Un exemple sur la manière dont les cartes peuvent changer votre vision du monde, le " mapping" a ce pouvoir là. 

Nancy Watson's curator insight, July 25, 10:04 AM

Global interaction and maps. WWII. 

MsPerry's curator insight, August 12, 6:59 PM

APHG-U1

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The Language of Maps Kids Should Know

The Language of Maps Kids Should Know | aardrijkskunde | Scoop.it
The vocabulary and concepts of maps kids should learn to enhance their map-skills & geography awareness. Concise definitions with clear illustrations.

 


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wereldvak's insight:

De taal van de kaart: welke  woordenschat hebben kinderen nodig om de kaart te kunnen lezen?

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Bookmarking Librarian's curator insight, June 29, 6:06 AM

Geography resources

Anita Vance's curator insight, June 30, 8:54 AM

This article helps give an early start to map skill implementation - even at the earliest levels.

DTLLS tutor's curator insight, July 1, 5:04 AM

Love this website. Not just this article, but the whole idea. Have a little browse around...

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Demografische veranderingen in de VS 2000-2010 in kaart

Demografische veranderingen in de VS 2000-2010 in kaart | aardrijkskunde | Scoop.it
"Maps Of U.S. Population Change, 2000-2010.
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Territoriale aanspraken in de wateren rond China: een overzicht

Territoriale aanspraken in de wateren rond  China: een overzicht | aardrijkskunde | Scoop.it
China has recently increased its pursuit of territorial claims in nearby seas, leading to tense exchanges with neighboring countries. A map of some of the most notable disputes.

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Seth Dixon's curator insight, May 12, 11:36 AM

Many of the geopolitical conflicts in the East Pacific have their roots in the territorial disputes over islands that at first glance seem as if they wouldn't be worth the trouble.  However, since the the UNCLOS agreement gives countries 200 nautical miles off their coasts to be an Exclusive Economic Zone, that greatly enhanced the strategic value of controlling these islands.  This interactive map briefly highlights some of the details behind the conflicts with links for further readings.  


Questions to Ponder: Why do countries care so much about some minor islands?  Why would other countries not want to accept China's territorial assertions?  Experts are saying that Chinese-Japanese relations are as bad as they've been since the end of World War II--Why all the commotion? 


Tags: borders, political, conflict, China, East Asia.

Jordan Schemmel's curator insight, May 21, 1:07 PM

Another key article regarding the ongoing disputes of the South China Sea - this article, when paired with our later discussion of the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea, will help us understand why this issue will be increasing in importance in the coming year.

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Geography in the News: Polder Salvation - National Geographic

Geography in the News: Polder Salvation - National Geographic | aardrijkskunde | Scoop.it
Geography in the News: Polder Salvation
National Geographic
The effects of global warming and accompanying sea level rise are threatening many of the world's lowland areas.
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Dam in de Nijl zorgt voor probleem tussen Egypte en Ethiopië

Dam in de Nijl zorgt voor probleem tussen Egypte en Ethiopië | aardrijkskunde | Scoop.it

83 miljoen mensen zijn afhankelijk van de Nijl. De grootse Afrikaanse dam wordt in Ethiopië gebouwd in dezelfde Nijl, maar Egypte wil vooral zekerheid hebben over voldoende water. Nu al is dat een probleem (groei van de bevolking is al fors) en de bouw van deze dam maakt het er zeker niet beter op. Ethiopië daarentegen wil energie opwekken voor de economische groei. Dat botst.


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Seth Dixon's curator insight, April 22, 4:16 PM

85% of the Nile's water comes from the Blue Nile that originates in the Ethiopian highlands--it is the Blue Nile that Ethiopia has been working on damming since 2011.  The Grand Ethiopia Renaissance Dam (GERD) will be located ocated near the border with Sudan (see in Google Maps).  As stated in this BBC article (with a nice 1-minute video clip), Egypt and Sudan currently get the majority of the Nile's waters because of outdated colonial-era treaties that ignored upstream riparian states.  This explains why Egypt is adamantly opposed to Ethiopia's plan and is actively lobbying the international community to stop construction on the dam, fearing their water supply with be threatened.  Oil might be the most economically valuable liquid resource in North Africa, but water is the most critical for human habitation.   


Tags: Ethiopia, Africa, development. environment, water, energy, borders, political.

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Wat het verlies van de Krim eigenlijk betekent voor Oekraïne..

Wat het verlies van de Krim eigenlijk betekent voor Oekraïne.. | aardrijkskunde | Scoop.it

"In symbolic terms, it's a huge loss. The Crimean Peninsula holds an important place in the region's history, and the inability to prevent the region from joining Russia is a serious test of leadership for the new Ukrainian government in Kiev.

In practical terms, however, what Crimea means for Ukraine is less clear. In an article last week, The Post's Will Englund noted that Crimea may end up costing Russia more than it might like. And what does Ukraine really lose?"


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Seth Dixon's curator insight, March 24, 12:35 PM

We often view global affairs through our own little prism, considering how it affects us.  So much of the discussion has revolved around Russia and the West in general (and the U.S. specifically), that Ukraine almost gets lost in the shuffle.  All this amid news that the acting Ukrainian Foreign Minister has said that the possibility of war "is growing."

Tag: Ukraine, political, conflict, devolution.

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Kanaal door Nicaragua....doen?

Kanaal door Nicaragua....doen? | aardrijkskunde | Scoop.it

Dwars door Nicaragua....van Atlantische naar de Pacifische Oceaan een kanaal aanleggen. Gekkenwerk? Slecht idee! Hier vind je redenen waarom je dat niet zou moeten doen. 


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Seth Dixon's curator insight, February 28, 9:56 AM

Today, the largest of the massive cargo ships are simply too big to get through the Panama Canal and have to travel down around the tip of South America; China is strategically working on strengthening their geopolitical position in the South China Sea and all international waters.  This is one reason why a Chinese firms are planning to construct a canal to rival Panama's.  This article highlights the reasons for concern (Maps 101 readers can read more about the geographic implications of Nicaragua's plans in this article co-authored by myself and Julie Dixon or you can sign up for a free trial subscription to see what else Maps 101 has to offer). 


Tags: transportation, Nicaragua, globalization, diffusion, industry, economic.

Joseph Thacker 's curator insight, February 28, 12:24 PM

This could be an economic boom for Nicaragua, one of the poorest countries in the Western Hemisphere. However, this construction could potentially cause serious problems. The proposed canal would pass through or near nature reserves and areas inhabited by indigenous groups. Also, it would pass through Lake Nicaragua, the largest fresh water lake in Central America. This lake holds fresh drinking water for the people and is home to rare fresh water species, such as the fresh water shark, which could be effected negatively by this construction.

Although this canal could turn Nicaragua’s economy around, it could also cause negative impacts on their environment. 

Jessica Rieman's curator insight, April 23, 6:28 PM

Although Nicaragua would benefit from this financially the whole country would be carved up because of the other nations total rule over the imports and exports in trading routes.

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Waarom Sochi?

Waarom Sochi? | aardrijkskunde | Scoop.it
Why would Vladimir Putin want to host the Olympics in an underdeveloped place where terrorists lurk nearby? The answer is not as complicated as it may seem.

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Jessica Rieman's curator insight, February 18, 1:46 PM

It comes at not shock that Russia has had it's share of bad rulers that exzibit totalitarianistic views. Russia has always been in a state of massacre or some time of bad war torn conflict happeening. Russia is also the type of place where you can drive in each way 45 minutes and be able to either swim in the black sea or ski on the snowy trails. I think this is one of the reasons why the winter olympics are hosted here.

Lauren Stahowiak's curator insight, February 18, 2:52 PM

There are many reasons as to why the Olympics this year are held in Sochi, Russia i. Although it is an underdeveloped, terrorist driven area, it holds much potential and Vladimir Putin has reasons to why it is the perfect place.

Nathan Chasse's curator insight, March 1, 12:59 AM

This article explains why Putin wanted the Winter Olympic games to be in Sochi. The Olympics have historically been used as a way for a nation to showcase progress or power, and the case is no different here. By hosting the games in Sochi, Putin was drawing attention to his successful crushing of the Chechen rebels and Russia's reinvestment into the area. Through the games, Putin is trying to make an international statement about the security and progress in this war-torn area. Still, there are a number of Chechen rebel cells and Circassian protesters in the area with a grudge against Russia.

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The Metropolitan Geography of Low-Wage Work

The Metropolitan Geography of Low-Wage Work | aardrijkskunde | Scoop.it

Waar zijn de lage lonen? In de VS is er het debat over het wel of niet verhogen van het minimum loon.Zeker in de grote steden is dit een belangrijke uitdaging. Zie kaart...

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Zuid-Soedan in 9 vragen en antwoorden...

Zuid-Soedan in 9 vragen en antwoorden... | aardrijkskunde | Scoop.it

De crisis in dit betrekkelijk  jonge - bestuurlijk gezien- gebied is ongeveer 2 weken aan de gang. Mogelijk dat het escaleert  en er een burgeroorlog ontstaat. Er zijn al honderden dodelijke slachtoffers en meer dan 100.000 vluchtelingen, naast aanvallen op en slachtoffers bij de VN troepen.
Wat er nu precies speelt en welke belangen er mee gemoeit zijn is soms onduidelijk. Deze 9 antwoorden geven hierop enig zicht, maar zijn niet dekkend ook al om dat het conflict steeds verder gaat in tijd en ruimte.


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Brien Shanahan's curator insight, January 5, 5:30 PM

Sad what's going in South Sudan but worth learning about it.

Cam E's curator insight, March 4, 11:50 AM

New countries rarely establish themselves without a trying conflict or struggle in their infancy. I always like this simplified articles which introduce the latest conflict to people who are unaware. Ethnic groups are fluid in their importance throughout the world. It wasn't long ago on the historical scale that Irish Americans and British Americans were at odds, despite us in the US rarely considering that today. Ethnic conflict never ceases completely, but shifts targets depending on the politics of the time.

Tracy Galvin's curator insight, May 5, 2:39 PM

Without the big bad north to be their common enemy, the two ethnic groups in South Sudan are now fighting each other. In places like these with such limited resources there will always be internal conflicts

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Launch of world's biggest 'ship'

Launch of world's biggest 'ship' | aardrijkskunde | Scoop.it

Groter dan het Empire State Building. Geen optie dus om door het Panamakanaal te gaan. Daarom gaat Venezuela een groter kanaal bouwen om schepen van deze omvang niet om te laten varen via de punt van Zuid- Amerika. Prachtig voorbeeld van de enorme schaalvergroting die plaatsvindt.


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Tony Aguilar's curator insight, December 8, 2013 3:52 AM

The Worlds biggest ship to be launched soon by Shell is an amazing feat, created by human ingenuity. It is incredible that it is longer than the Empire state building. it is difficult to imagine how an object so long even moves by itself. Nicaragua is attempting to make a canal Bigger than Panamas to support a ship thate size of the prelude that will operate off the coast of Australia for the next 25 years. The fact that it needs to be towed to its destination makes one question if its really a ship or not. Regardless Shell will share the cost of the Oil vessell once its finished being built

Julia Rose Turco's curator insight, December 11, 2013 8:02 PM

Wow, this is interesting! I can't believe its that long! I wonder how long it took them to build it? Also, where is it going?  Also, why would they need it to be so big? Why can't they just use a smaller ship and make more trips? But overall this is very cool.

Cam E's curator insight, February 4, 12:34 PM

I've got a weak spot for massive ships, plain and simple. I think there's even a future in ship-based cities which move around the world's oceans. Eventually ships can become so large and so advanced that the normal threats associated with the open ocean will do little to scratch them. For a comparison, the ship pictured is the Prelude FLNG, and it's almost twice the length of the Titanic.

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Outsourcing textielproductie: maar waar komt het vandaan? Interactive kaart.

Outsourcing textielproductie: maar waar komt het vandaan? Interactive kaart. | aardrijkskunde | Scoop.it
This dynamic map shows where major garment companies outsource manufacturing.
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Klimaat gegevens van Hawai'i : interactieve website

Klimaat gegevens van Hawai'i  : interactieve website | aardrijkskunde | Scoop.it
Phys.Org Geography Department launches websites providing data on Hawai'i's climate Phys.Org The Geography Department in the College of Social Sciences at the University of Hawai'i at Mānoa (UH Mānoa) has launched a new, interactive water resource...
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Mooie foto's van onze aarde

Mooie foto's van onze aarde | aardrijkskunde | Scoop.it
This daily dose of satellite photos helps you appreciate the beauty and intricacy of the things humans have constructed--as well as the devastating...

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Lola Ripollés's curator insight, June 15, 8:58 AM

Amazing.

Diane Johnson's curator insight, June 15, 11:19 AM

Great images for giving students a global perspective.

Courtney Barrowman's curator insight, June 17, 9:33 AM

unit 1

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Boko Haram aanvallen in kaart

Boko Haram aanvallen in kaart | aardrijkskunde | Scoop.it
Geography of #BokoHaram attacks in #Nigeria since 2009: country-wide reach in 2012; concentration in North in 2013-14 http://t.co/C4JE6zYNVA
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22 Internationale grenzen

22 Internationale grenzen | aardrijkskunde | Scoop.it

"Brazilië (boven) en Bolivia (beneden)."


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Jason Wilhelm's curator insight, May 22, 12:52 PM

The concept of a political boundary has been developed over many many years into an unbreakable line between two different sets of people with different ideologies, religions, and government styles. The boundary extends into the ground, into the air, and includes any resources within the boundary. These pictures show the different shapes and various lines between countries, and displays the intricacies of boundaries in the world.  

Kampe Kyle's curator insight, May 28, 10:21 PM

In AP Human Geo., this relates to the concept of land use patterns. As certain countries practice deforestation, slash-and-burn and other land use types, bordering countries may take a completely indifferent approach to the land and thus create a contrast.

Lauren Sellers's curator insight, May 29, 1:11 AM

Photographs show how different countries can be even by just the border. Number 3 really stuck out to me that Haiti doesnt have as many regulation reguarding deforestation as the Dominican Republic and its very noticable.

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Culturele diffusie en afstandsverval: kaart van de fans van honkbal in de VS.

Culturele diffusie en afstandsverval: kaart van de fans van honkbal in de VS. | aardrijkskunde | Scoop.it

Kaart van de New York Times gebaseerd op de Facebookgegevens waaruit de voorkeur voor een bepaald team blijkt. Big Data! Tot op zipcode niveau......


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Brian Altonen's curator insight, April 25, 7:51 PM

Anything can be mapped.  

 

This mapping did not fully account for hybridization--for example when a friend in Texas is a Boston Red Sox fan.

Courtney Barrowman's curator insight, April 28, 10:43 AM

unit 1 & 3

Greg Russak's curator insight, April 29, 12:53 PM

Maps and baseball - a good combination!

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Modderstromen en kappen van bomen.....relatie!

Modderstromen en kappen van bomen.....relatie! | aardrijkskunde | Scoop.it

Al jaren lang mocht er bos gekapt worden boven het gebied  in de staat Washington waar de  grond naar beneden kwam zetten. Risico ingecalculeerd of was er geen kennis?


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bye bye's comment, May 8, 8:38 PM
i agree with hi hi
hi hi's comment, May 8, 8:38 PM
who is the nob that cares about logging and mud slides
bye bye's comment, May 8, 8:40 PM
u need help guys
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NASA Animatie laat 60 jaar opwarming van de aarde zien in 15 seconden!

NASA Animatie laat 60 jaar opwarming van de aarde zien in 15 seconden! | aardrijkskunde | Scoop.it
RT @SemanticEarth: Geography: NASA Animation Shows Relentless Pace of 60 Years of Global Warming in 15 Seconds http://t.co/4cDSDmC5HQ http:…
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Rivieren van bovenaf...

Rivieren van bovenaf... | aardrijkskunde | Scoop.it

Mooie fotogalerij van rivieren....meanders


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Tracey M Benson's curator insight, February 24, 3:30 PM

Beautiful images that are a great reminder of the incredible diversity of landscapes and waterways on this fragile planet.

Woodstock School's curator insight, February 25, 5:01 AM

The Art of Geography

Mark Burgess's curator insight, February 26, 6:26 AM

Awesome rivers. i love a good river.

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Voedselbonnen in de VS waar vooral?

Voedselbonnen in de VS waar vooral? | aardrijkskunde | Scoop.it

Zoals de armoede de laatste jaren over de suburbs is uitgeschoven zo is ook de ruimtelijk spreiding van de uitgifte van voedselbonnen veranderd.

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Breuken in Xinjiang : mooi strike-slip voorbeeld

Breuken in Xinjiang : mooi strike-slip voorbeeld | aardrijkskunde | Scoop.it
Colliding continents and cracks in the Earth’s crust make for some remarkable scenery in western China.

 

Just south of the Tien Shan mountains, in northwestern Xinjiang province, a remarkable series of ridges dominate the landscape. The highest hills rise up to 1,200 meters (3,900 feet) above the adjacent basins, and they are decorated with distinctive red, green, and cream-colored sedimentary rock layers. The colors reflect rocks that formed at different times and in different environments.  When land masses collide, the pressure can create what geologists call “fold and thrust belts.” Slabs of sedimentary rock that were laid down horizontally can be squeezed into wavy anticlines and synclines. 

The ridge is noticeably offset by a strike-slip or “tear” fault in the image showing the Piqiang Fault, a northwest trending strike-slip fault that runs roughly perpendicular to the thrust faults for more than 70 kilometers (40 miles). The colored sedimentary rock layers are offset by about 3 kilometers (2 miles) in this area.


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Mathijs Booden's comment, February 8, 2:40 PM
Dit hoeft geen strike-slip te zijn. Het zijn hellende lagen, dus de breuk kan ook een op- of afschuiving zijn.
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Alle landen die bijdragen aan een pot Nutella chocolade: globalisering in een wikkel

Alle landen die bijdragen aan een pot Nutella chocolade: globalisering in een wikkel | aardrijkskunde | Scoop.it

Turkse hazelnoot, Nigeriaanse cacao, palmolie uit Maleisië, Braziliaanse suiker......het wordt niet alleen in 75 landen verkocht , maar heeft ook vele landen nodig om geproduceerd te kunnen worden. Globalisering in optima forma. 


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Marcelle Searles's curator insight, January 25, 4:35 AM

great for unit on globalisation and fair trade

Jessica Rieman's curator insight, January 28, 1:26 PM

Some things that we take for granted are and come from all over the world. As you said in last class just because something says that it is not made in China doesnt mean that their arent any resources that the company used to creat the item that didn't come from China or any other power house place. In this case the Palm Oil comesd from Malaysia, Hazelnut comes from Turkey, Cocoa from Nigeria, Vainilla from Brazil and, Vainilla and Sugar from France.

Mrs Parkinson's curator insight, February 12, 3:48 PM

GCSE Globalisation info - great case study