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Tracking the Future
Explore the most important technology and science trends! News, Analysis, Interviews, Presentations, Documentaries. All in one place at Tracking the future magazine
Curated by Szabolcs Kósa
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What will the future be like? – Future Dimensions – Aeon Film

What will the future be like? – Future Dimensions – Aeon Film | Tracking the Future | Scoop.it

The present is surreal and one thing is for sure, the future will be weirder still. Anders Sandberg of the Future of Humanity Institute in Oxford and other thinkers mull over whether humans might become the pets of intelligent machines; what threat does epidemic disease pose, and why we feel such a need to predict the future anyway.

Director Biography:
Ryan Harding is a photographer and film maker based in London.

Director: Ryan Harding
Producer: Marianna Petrilli

Running Time: 11 minutes
Language: English

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Predicting The Future

Predicting The Future | Tracking the Future | Scoop.it

Visions of the future don't just have to come from science fiction. There's very real technology today giving us clues about how our future lives might be transformed. So what might our future look like? And what does it take for an idea about the future to become a reality? In this hour, TED speakers make some bold predictions and explain how we might live in the future.

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Javier Pagès López's curator insight, September 16, 2013 10:39 AM

Un recopilatorio especial de conferencisa TED sobre las predicciones tecnológicas y su cumplimiento.

 

Áltamente recomendado.

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Vernor Vinge - Foresight and the Singularity - Interview

Interview with renowned author Vernor Vinge - about the Technological Singularity, ways to think about it, strategic forecasting, future studies and risk.

Vinge is an emeritus professor of mathematics at San Diego State University and considered one of the worlds greatest science fiction writers: a five-time winner of the Hugo Award, science fiction's most prestigious honor! Vinge's stories explore themes including deep space, the future, and the singularity, a term he famously coined for the future emergence of a greater-than-human intelligence brought about by the advance of technology.

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How Silicon Valley Envisions The Future Of Health Care

How Silicon Valley Envisions The Future Of Health Care | Tracking the Future | Scoop.it

Predicting the future of health care is a tricky business. At any point, there could be a big breakthrough in, say, cancer research, throwing the whole thing off. Or a new technology could come along in another sector, disrupting health care just as a side effect (much like the smartphone has already done). FutureMed, a weeklong program from Singularity University for doctors and others in the health care industry, looks at the ways that technology could change health care in the coming years. I spent a day at Singularity’s classroom (located at the NASA Research Park in Silicon Valley) to soak up some of the predictions. Here are some of the biggest takeaway

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110 Predictions For the Next 110 Years

110 Predictions For the Next 110 Years | Tracking the Future | Scoop.it
It's never easy to predict the future. But as PM's 110th anniversary celebration draws to a close, we've decided to try. Here are 110 ambitious ideas for the decades ahead.

Popular Mechanics
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Global Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds

Global Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds | Tracking the Future | Scoop.it
Global Trends 2030 is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over the next 15 years. As with the NIC’s previous Global Trends reports, we do not seek to predict the future—which would be an impossible feat—but instead provide a framework for thinking about possible futures and their implications.
In-depth research, detailed modeling and a variety of analytical tools drawn from public, private and academic sources were employed in the production of Global Trends 2030. NIC leadership engaged with experts in nearly 20 countries—from think tanks, banks, government offices and business groups—to solicit reviews of the report.
by The National Intelligence Council
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Roger Ellman's curator insight, December 12, 2012 6:49 AM

Looks like a must-see if economics, financial future, and progress + propserity are on your watch list.

It's one of those, have to see it, don't have to agree with it, reports. (Aren't they all!?)

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Walking backwards into the future

Futurist Thomas Frey shares some of his predictions for what may lie ahead for humankind.

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Seven future trends your business needs to be aware of

Seven future trends your business needs to be aware of | Tracking the Future | Scoop.it

Thomas Frey is a futurist. It’s his job to predict the future by identifying emerging global trends.
What Frey does might sound a little like fortune-telling but spotting new trends is an important way of ensuring your business is well positioned for the future.
Frey spoke to SmartCompany from the United States ahead of his upcoming visit to Australia for the Ci2012 conference.
Here are his seven predictions for the future.

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10 Body Hacks That Will Be Available By 2025

10 Body Hacks That Will Be Available By 2025 | Tracking the Future | Scoop.it

In the year 2000, conceiving of a device that worked simultaneously as a handheld computer, portable MP3 player, satellite radio, GPS, and phone seemed like science fiction against the then-current backdrop of shiny new, brick-like flip phones. As witnessed with today’s success of the iPhone, technology advances quickly and without much advance notice if driven by market demand and commercial backing.
The next wave of the future could go beyond the technology we’re holding in our hands and extend to what’s embedded inside our hands. There is experimentation with bio-technological hacks going on today both in the lab and in an unsanctioned underground of fanatics that could result in body implant “upgrades” being as ubiquitous in 2025 as smartphones are now.

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Back to the Future: Predicting 2012 in 1987

Back to the Future: Predicting 2012 in 1987 | Tracking the Future | Scoop.it

For millennia, philosophers from Nostradamus to the estimable Ms. Cleo have tried and failed to divine prophecy from the stars – yet the human impulse to foresee our future continues to endure. And who better to predict the unpredictable than those who spend their lives dreaming of tomorrow: science fiction writers?

That was the idea behind the Writers of the Future’s Time Capsule Predictions, anyway. In 1987, as part of L. Ron Hubbard’s Writers of the Future Contest, a dozen highly regarded science fiction authors were asked to envision what our world would be like in a quarter-century: 2012.

How did the predictions fare? Some better than others.

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The Individual in a Networked World: Two Scenarios

The Individual in a Networked World: Two Scenarios | Tracking the Future | Scoop.it
Collaborative agent bots? A walled world under constant surveillance? Two information technology experts parse the future of human–network interaction
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Why I Believe That This Will Be The Most Innovative Decade In History

Why I Believe That This Will Be The Most Innovative Decade In History | Tracking the Future | Scoop.it

Many people believe that we’ve run out of ideas and that the future will be one of bleak shortages of food, energy, and water. Billionaire Peter Thiel, for example, argues that despite spectacular advances in computer-related fields, technological progress has actually stalled because the internal combustion engine still rules our highways, the cancer death rate has barely changed since 1971, and the top speed at which people can travel has ceased to improve.
Thiel is right about engines, speed, and cancer death rates. But he and the pessimists are completely wrong about what lies ahead. I don’t believe that the future holds shortages and stagnation; it is more likely to be one in which we debate how we can distribute the abundance and prosperity that we’ve created.
Why am I so optimistic? Because of the wide assortment of technologies that are advancing at exponential rates and converging. They are enabling small teams to do what was once only possible for governments and large corporations. These exponential technologies will help us solve many of humanity’s grand challenges, including energy, education, water, food, and health.
Let me give you a taste of what lies ahead.

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Envisioning the future of technology

Envisioning the future of technology | Tracking the Future | Scoop.it
Speculating about emerging technologies.

Understanding where technology is heading is more than guesswork. Looking at emerging trends and research, one can predict and draw conclusions about how the technological sphere is developing, and which technologies should become mainstream in the coming years.
Envisioning technology is meant to facilitate these observations by taking a step back and seeing the wider context. By speculating about what lies beyond the horizon we can make better decisions of what to create today.

Envisioning technology is a work in progress by London-based technologist/designer Michell Zappa.

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The Future Is Not a Destination / Predictions for 2014 and Beyond—and Why They Might Not Come True

The Future Is Not a Destination / Predictions for 2014 and Beyond—and Why They Might Not Come True | Tracking the Future | Scoop.it
The Futurist magazine’s top 10 forecasts for 2014 and beyond.
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Say Keng Lee's curator insight, October 7, 2013 5:06 AM

Fascinating forecasts!

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Intelligent Machines to Space Colonies: 5 Sci-Fi Visions of the Future

Intelligent Machines to Space Colonies: 5 Sci-Fi Visions of the Future | Tracking the Future | Scoop.it

Humanity has reached a bottleneck this century: Technical developments could cause catastrophic damage to the planet, or they could save humanity from its man-made quandary.
The future of civilization could be a dystopia of ruined ecosystems and malevolent machines, or a paradise of eternal life and intergalactic culture. At a symposium on the longevity of human civilization, several leading scholars and futurists predicted what the coming centuries may bring.

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Mathematicians Predict the Future With Data From the Past

Mathematicians Predict the Future With Data From the Past | Tracking the Future | Scoop.it

In Issac Asimov's classic science fiction saga Foundation, mathematics professor Hari Seldon predicts the future using what he calls psychohistory.

Drawing on mathematical models that describe what happened in the past, he anticipates what will happen next, including the fall of the Galactic Empire.

That may seem like fanciful stuff. But Peter Turchin is turning himself into a real-life Hari Seldon — and he’s not alone.

Turchin — a professor at the University of Connecticut — is the driving force behind a field called “cliodynamics,” where scientists and mathematicians analyze history in the hopes of finding patterns they can then use to predict the future. It’s named after Clio, the Greek muse of history.

These academics have the same goals as other historians — “We start with questions that historians have asked for all of history,” Turchin says. “For example: Why do civilizations collapse?” — but they seek to answer these questions quite differently. They use math rather than mere language, and according to Turchin, the prognosis isn’t that far removed from the empire-crushing predictions laid down by Hari Seldon in the Foundation saga. Unless something changes, he says, we’re due for a wave of widespread violence in about 2020, including riots and terrorism.


Via Wildcat2030
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Christophe CESETTI's curator insight, April 11, 2013 5:34 AM

it's said...but not expected "Unless something changes, we’re due for a wave of widespread violence in about 2020, including riots and terrorism"

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The World in 2033: Big Thinkers And Futurists Share Their Thoughts

The World in 2033: Big Thinkers And Futurists Share Their Thoughts | Tracking the Future | Scoop.it

Put yourself back in 1993.  Could you have predicted the success of the web, tablets and smartphones, privatized space travel, the rise of terrorism, or the myriad of small changes that impact how you live today? To do that going forward and to predict our world in 2033, you need the voices of the smartest minds on the planet to spot trends in their areas of discipline and give us insight into where we are heading. 

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Stephane Bilodeau's curator insight, February 10, 2013 4:07 PM
Interviewed, and quoted directly for this piece are just such a group of visionaries, leaders, and big thinkers like:Ray Kurzweil on TechnologyRobert Kaplan on Global ConflictKhan Academy on EducationVirgin Galactic on Space TravelOliver Bussmann on The Global WorkforceJohn Allen on ReligionDr. Gene Robinson on Global Climate
Joe Stafura's curator insight, February 13, 2013 11:17 AM

These are interesting primarly because we often wind up doing what we set out to do, but the methods change along the way in a way that is hard to predict. Widespread communication systems, mobile computing and wireless systems were all accomplished, but not as expected.

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New framework: 2013 and beyond - What will appear and disappear in our lives

New framework: 2013 and beyond - What will appear and disappear in our lives | Tracking the Future | Scoop.it
Szabolcs Kósa's insight:

a nice future theme overview from Ross Dawson

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MEGATRENDS: The 6 'Gamechangers' That Will Impact The Planet For Decades

MEGATRENDS: The 6 'Gamechangers' That Will Impact The Planet For Decades | Tracking the Future | Scoop.it
The Office of the Director of National Intelligence is out with its annual forecast of what the world will look like in 2050.
The report focuses on six "gamechanging" trends and events that will shape the world in the coming years.
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7 Best-Case Scenarios for the Future of Humanity

7 Best-Case Scenarios for the Future of Humanity | Tracking the Future | Scoop.it

Most science fictional and futurist visions of the future tend towards the negative — and for good reason. Our environment is a mess, we have a nasty tendency to misuse technologies, and we're becoming increasingly capable of destroying ourselves. But civilizational demise is by no means guaranteed. Should we find a way to manage the risks and avoid dystopic outcomes, our far future looks astonishingly bright. Here are seven best-case scenarios for the future of humanity.

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9 Historical Figures Who May Have Predicted Our Future

9 Historical Figures Who May Have Predicted Our Future | Tracking the Future | Scoop.it

We like to think that many of our fantastic dreams of the future — from space colonization to artificial intelligence and human enhancement — are fairly recent conceptions. But nothing could be further from the truth. Futurist visionaries have been speculating about these possibilities for centuries. And now, as we head into an era of accelerating change, some of these longstanding predictions may actually come true. Here are nine futurists of the past 400 years whose predictions were ahead of their times.

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The 22nd Century at First Light: Envisioning Life in the Year 2100

The 22nd Century at First Light: Envisioning Life in the Year 2100 | Tracking the Future | Scoop.it

A special report by members and friends of the World Future Society

 

A child born today will only be 88 years old in the year 2100. It’s time to start thinking and caring about the twenty-second century now.

The next 88 years may see changes that come exponentially faster than the previous 88 years. What new inventions will come out of nowhere and change everything? What will our families look like? How will we govern ourselves? What new crimes or other threats loom ahead? Will we be happy? How?

THE FUTURIST invited WFS members and friends to submit forecasts, scenarios, wild cards, dreams, and nightmares about the earth, humanity, governance, commerce, science and technology, and more.

So, what do we see in this “first light” view over the next horizon? A fuzzy and inaccurate picture, no doubt, but also an earnest attempt to shake out our futuring instruments and begin improving them. To build a better future for the generations who are depending on us, we’ll need the best tools we can develop.

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Could Minority Report come true in your lifetime?

Could Minority Report come true in your lifetime? | Tracking the Future | Scoop.it

What if we could know about a crime before it happens? We could avoid huge amounts of suffering — but even though that goal fuels stories like Minority Report and Person of Interest, it seems to be far away from reality. Until now.

Experts say the field of "predictive policing" has advanced by leaps and bounds. And soon enough, the cops may have the ability to tell the future. Already, pilot projects have been able to predict the rise of a new drug market in Pittsburgh — and that's just the beginning. Here's what the experts told us.

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10 of the Weirdest Futurist Scenarios for the Evolution of Humanity

10 of the Weirdest Futurist Scenarios for the Evolution of Humanity | Tracking the Future | Scoop.it

When science fiction writers and futurists imagine humans of the far future, they never think our descendants are going to look exactly the same as we do now. After all, we'll have access to powerful tools to turn us into cyborgs and hack our DNA, so there's no limit to how we could reinvent ourselves.

But just how weird could our progeny become? Here are 10 of the absolute strangest visions of our post-human future.

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The Art of Being Wrong: Failed Predictions

The Art of Being Wrong: Failed Predictions | Tracking the Future | Scoop.it

Human history is rife with blunders. If life was a film, it would be full of bloopers and hilariously dramatic fictional statements said by men and women alike. With hindsight, we can look back and laugh at strange beliefs and outlandish predictions, but at the time, why would anyone have doubted what was said?

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