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Forest products logistics was largely spared from the effects of Hurricane Sandy that hit the New Jersey coast one week ago. Within two to three days of the storm passing, most of the ports, trucking and railways with dedicated forest products breakbulk services were resuming services. This was largely due to the resiliency of the logistics infrastructure, but also to the luck that Sandy made landfall farther north.
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On October 29th, 2012, Hurricane Sandy – crowned “Superstorm Sandy” by the media – landed on the East Coast of the United States, disrupting businesses from North Carolina to Maine and west to Michigan and Wisconsin, with concentrated damage in the Northeast. According to The Wall Street Journal, initial estimates of the insurable losses exceeded $15 billion with total damages falling between $30 and $50 billion (“Sandy’s insured-loss tab: up to $20 billion”, 11/2/2012). In response to multiple questions from investors and reporters about the potential effects on timber stocks, I conducted a simple “event study” to see if, in the short-term, we observed statistically “abnormal” moves in timber REIT stocks immediately before or after Sandy. *** The estimated “Cumulative Abnormal Return” for the event window totaled -1.3%. For the five days following the event, the CAR totaled -0.8%. In sum, for this particular question and this particular timeframe, Sandy proved much ado about nothing. Delete the scoop?
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Lumber prices reached a 19-month high Wednesday as traders anticipated a spike in demand to repair the damaged homes situated in Hurricane Sandy’s path. ... Most Chicago Mercantile Exchange lumber futures hit the daily trading limit of $10 per thousand board feet and halted trading at those levels on Wednesday, with the benchmark January futures adding a little over 3.0% to end at $331.2. Lumber futures are trading relatively unchanged Thursday at $331.1. ... While ETF investors can’t directly gain exposure to lumber futures, investors can follow timber equities through the Guggenheim Timber ETF (NYSEArca:CUT) and the iShares S&P Global Timber & Forestry Index Fund (NYSEArca: WOOD). Delete the scoop?
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