The future of employment divides into three broad categories: long-term jobs – becoming rarer and rarer; medium-term gigs – where we work with others on a project basis; and short-term tasks – labour-on-demand, highly specific and constrained. Each of these employment styles requires their own sets of skills. Some of these skills extend across all three employment styles, others are determined by the duration of the contract. A long-term contract requires focus and depth within a particular range of qualifications, while short-term tasks best benefit from a breadth of relatively less complex capabilities.
These three employment styles precisely mirror the emerging forms of tertiary and continuing education – and that’s not an accident. Both have been forced to respond to hyperconnectivity. Once everyone is connected, it becomes possible to schedule and educate on demand. Education is no longer a stream separate from the rest of life (and never really was, for vocational education), but part of the package that comes with hyperconnectivity. The device that connects us becomes the platform that educates us.
Life-long learning has been a buzzword for a generation. We now have the capability to make it reality. This is the next frontier for educators: bringing yourself into a close, continuous relationship with your students, transforming yourselves into educational facilitators who bridge the gap between student and employer. These are already all things that you do. It’s not that you will stop doing them, but rather that they are becoming integrated and amplified. Hyperconnectivity leads to hypereducation.
hyperconnectivity leads to life-learning hypereducation. enter any body of knowledge and assimilate it in real time. the interface between us and knowledge will only continue to evolve, information will condense, into real time augmented reality learning.
once we reach the immersive hybridization of knowledge and user, that I call 'hybrid reality', with ingenious augmented reality layers, that teach us instanteneously, the world will have changed much more then Marc Pesce describes in his book. I love his book, it´s one of the best works on our cultural transition, but he is pragmatic, he does not go too deep in the future, and speaks in terms people will understand. The fact is, that as I´ve tried to hint in my little comments on the articles, that in the future everyone will know everything, apps will allow everyone to be universally capable, and 'hybrid reality' layers will guide anyone trough anything they would like to do, learning as they create.
I´ve written a short sci-fi novel about this, that also dives into genetic design, when we humans become 'mini-gods', artificial intelligence, evolving human condition, and possible future epochs of evolution. I sort of like it, and haven´t really published it anywhere, so if you like it, do share it with all other people who enjoy science / fiction, and if you want to chat I´m @bipedaljoe and email@example.com, I love almost everything, nature, beauty,exotropy, life, 'chemistry'/information as it becomes life,
I´ve scooped some popular memes on 'education', but I´ve yet to come across someone who describes the future accurately. it seems that most people enjoy memes that fit into their culturally conditioned reality. I wrote an article on bipedaljoe.blogspot.com, The Future of Education is Autonomous Education, that describes what is to come in somewhat conventiaonal terms. but now I´m tired of translating science to obsolete memes, we will (if we want to) be immersed in condensed information, easily assimilable patterns, condensed into ephemeralized media, everyone will be a genious, it´s not that complicated !
that is when the fun stuff begins and other species will adopt the mind-expanders of technology. it´s still nature, it´s still beauty, it´s still evolution, it´s still unfolding,
anyway, I really recomend The next billion seconds,
Just as language freed us to operate with unprecedented efficacy, the wireless-and-everywhere network brings us new powers, both as individuals and as a race. We are unprepared for this transition, even though everything in human history has led us directly to this moment. Everything seems chaotic and random. The specifics will always elude prediction, but the general outline of events-to-come has already revealed itself: We are connecting. We are sharing. We are learning. We are doing. In articulating the details of this outline, this book serves as a ‘field guide to the future’, providing the tools needed to make the most of the tumultuous, explosive and epochal next billion seconds. Whether you run a business, teach or learn, heal or require care, move the levers of power or seek to, this book will speak directly to you.
The next billion seconds will see more change than the previous sixty thousand years. We are the lucky few, witnessing the birth of that which follows language. Our ability to speak created the world as we know it today. This world is being remade as we utter new words, in a different, connected tongue. The world around us is hardly changing at all, but the universe beneath our skin has acquired a connected depth we never expected, nor even dreamed of. There is a space, within each of us, that encompasses all of us. This new universe of the connected self contains within it all of our knowledge, all of our strengths – and all of our ignorance and weaknesses. We are becoming more: not better, nor worse, but larger-than-life-as-we-have-known-it.
Hyperempowerment is not technological. Technology serves as a scaffolding for the emergence of a suite of new behaviors – hyperdistributed hypermimesis – and these behaviors persist even after the scaffolding is removed. What we now know about how to connect, share and learn has been facilitated by six billion mobile devices, but what we know that empowers us resides within us, not within the devices. Pulling the plug produces a moment of disorientation, followed by the immediate enactment of the hyperconnected behaviors of hyperempowerment by any means necessary, and through every medium at hand.
This threat to power has emerged so quickly – over the last half billion seconds – and so subtly that until quite recently it appeared as though the regimes of power which existed before the emergence of Homo Nexus would continue to maintain control. This is provably not the case – now that power has to contend with hyperempowerment – so power seeks any mechanism at hand to consolidate its control. Power seeks to disrupt hyperempowerment.
Power must disrupt relations in order to survive. All such attempts are doomed to fail.
Over the last half billion seconds we have witnessed a momentous transfer of knowledge: The insides of each of our heads vacuumed out, contents replicated and transferred to vast libraries, broad and deep, reflecting everything known to any one of us, on every conceivable subject. The topic could be quotidian or impossibly obscure – it makes no difference. As soon as someone shares what they know, it is available to every one of us. We all know what they know.
In those moments when we remember that we have nearly perfect knowledge to fall back upon, we become smarter. As that moment, continuously repeated, becomes automatic and instinctive, we acquire a second mind, outside our own, vast beyond comprehension, containing everything, sitting alongside our own, smarter and wiser and faster, continuously informing us of how to maximize every moment.
Now that everything known is shared broadly and freely, now that everyone who cares about any given body of knowledge maintains a constant relation to it and to everyone else who cares about that knowledge, the entire world is composed of a continuously multiplying set of knowledge amplifiers. Any of us can place ourselves within one – or fall in, almost accidentally – simply by engaging. By being present, connecting and sharing, we shed our ignorance and quickly acquire a degree of mastery. We can know nothing and crash headlong into one of these knowledge amplifiers, emerging on the other side changed and potent.
Cognitive scientist Benjamin K.Bergen’s Louder Than Words: The New Science of How the Mind Makes Meaning recounts that the parts of the brain engaged when throwing a baseball also fire up when visualizing the same action...
As the generation caught in the midst of this transition from unconnected to hyperconnected, our actions have a disproportionate influence on the generations following us. The things we do today shape the world to come. We are in the process of articulating a new language, and it falls to us to form the first words. These words make the world that all who follow us will inhabit, and though they will utter their own new words, they will inevitably draw from the language we passed down to them. They will build upon what we are now creating anew.
Thus far this has been an unconscious revolution. It has happened to us, but not with us. That is changing. We are becoming aware of ourselves, in our vast and potent billions. Every day we connect, share, and learn about ourselves, and all of this changes the scope of possibilities for doing. Some of this doing reflects back upon us; it is not only that we can do, but that we know we can do.
Just as everything opens up, we feel the walls of our cage. We want to knock down those walls – while we are kicking down so many others – only to learn that we are the walls. The billions of us – Homo Nexus – have come together in an unexpected form. Like infants struggling against our limits, we have a lot to learn about the bounds of the possible.
In this moment, at the center of the billion seconds of transition between Homo Sapiens and Homo Nexus, we discover that we can do, that doing follows from connecting, sharing and learning. We now realize this is ubiquitously the case, reaching every connected human, everywhere. Not only are we all in this together, what we are, together, is something utterly different. We do not know what we can do. We do not know the limits of the possible, or even if there are limits.
Fasten your seatbelts and prepare for a rapid descent into the Bellum omnia contra omnes, Thomas Hobbes’ “war of all against all.” A hyperconnected polity – whether composed of a hundred individuals or a hundred thousand – has resources at its disposal which exponentially amplify its capabilities. Hyperconnectivity begets hypermimesis begets hyperempowerment. After the arms race comes the war.
Naturally, governments will seek to control and mediate these emerging conflicts. This will only result in the guns being trained upon them. The power redistributions of the 21st century have dealt representative democracies out. Representative democracies are a poor fit to the challenges ahead, and ‘rebooting’ them is not enough. The future looks nothing like democracy, because democracy, which sought to empower the individual, is being obsolesced by a social order which hyperempowers him.
Anthropologist Margaret Mead famously pronounced that we should “Never underestimate the ability of a small group of committed individuals to change the world.” Mead spoke truthfully, and prophetically. We are all committed, we are all passionate. We merely lacked the lever to effectively translate the force of our commitment and passion into power. That lever has arrived, in my hand and yours.
And now, the world’s going to move – for all of us.
Just as we now see being verbal and being human as synonymous, hyperconnectivity is adding another layer of richness and depth to our experience. Where we can observe the sudden explosion of depth in the human record, eighty thousand years ago, so our children’s children’s children’s children will look upon this billion seconds as a second explosion, another sudden quickening, before which the ‘dumb’ and disconnected generations of humanity will seem incomprehensible and inhuman.
We are at a threshold. In fact, we are already more than half-way across it. We can look in either direction; behind us we can see the familiar shape of a species as we’ve known ourselves for eighty millennia; before us we see something quite different, a form not wholly realized, yet quite real. We still don’t have all of the language of hyperconnectivity. The chaos of the present moment is very much like the hollering of seven billion toddlers learning to stretch their voices across an entire planet. It’s growing quite loud, as everyone clamors to be heard. There’s a lot of sound, but not much sense.
That sense will come over the next billion seconds. When it does, the door to our recent past will be closed. We will have been these disconnected people, but we will not understand them, any more than we can understand our earliest ancestors. We will have lived two lives, before and after we all connected.
What happens after we’re all connected? When I asked that question, seven years ago, well over eighty percent of all Australians had their own mobile, and the bulk of the nation had signed up for broadband Internet access. The answer led me on a journey through the future of media, education, politics, and now, economics.
In July I started to set down the outcomes of my research in a book titled THE NEXT BILLION SECONDS. A billion seconds is just a bit over 30 years – a generation, if you will – and it’s my belief the billion seconds from 1995 to 2026 will be as important in the history of human affairs as the birth of language, seventy thousand years ago. Being connected means being something new.
We, here in this room tonight – along with everyone else on the planet – are in the middle of this transition, halfway between what we were, and what we will become. That’s always been true, but just now the transformation of our civilization has gone into overdrive, because all of the frictions which kept it chugging along at a lazy pace are evaporating.
We’re moving into a superconducting phase of development, with no resistance holding us back. Stripped of all baggage, we’re accelerating wildly, unpredictably, into a future which looks almost nothing like the recent past.
As capital migrates from friction-filled national and international finance markets into hypereconomic frameworks, institutions dependent upon those frictions will be threatened. Banks will not be able to collect interest. Governments will not be able to tax – customs duties and user fees look to be the only ways governments can generate revenue. Courts will not be able to seize assets. The peculiar arrangement of laws and regulations which keep our economic system stable will grow increasingly meaningless. Governments and courts will try to follow capital flows into hypereconomic zones, only to learn that their mechanisms of control and enforcement are poorly matched to such a fluid environment.
Years ago it was noted that modern warfare had begun to acquire an almost video game-like quality. Now everything is digital, screen-based, and shrouded in the comfortable psychic distance of simulation.
Bookchin's "post-scarcity anarchism" is an economic system based on social ecology, libertarian municipalism, and an abundance of fundamental resources. Bookchin argues that post-industrial societies are also post-scarcity societies, and can thus imagine "the fulfillment of the social and cultural potentialities latent in a technology of abundance". The self-administration of society is now made possible by technological advancement and, when technology is used in an ecologically sensitive manner, the revolutionary potential of society will be much changed.
Michel Bauwens GLOBAL OPEN SOURCE COLLABORATION One Community is a non-profit organization and think tank leading a global free-sharing and open source collaboration for the creation and building of a duplicable open source village...