The New Cold Wars. "Hotting Up" ?
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The New Cold Wars. "Hotting Up" ?
Where Nations Collude and Collide. Nuclear flashpoints and New Wars. #Crimea Iran Israel, Korea, China India, South China Sea amongst others. Curated by Vijai VIr Singh Nair
Curated by SASFOR
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How the West Encouraged Putin's Aggression

How the West Encouraged Putin's Aggression | The New Cold Wars. "Hotting Up" ? | Scoop.it

I ended my previous column in this newspaper with these words: "I am afraid that when we wake up tomorrow, we will find ourselves in different country. I even know the name of that country: the Soviet Union." But despite my pessimism, I never dreamed it would happen this quickly. The current pro-Kremlin rallies with their chants of "We believe Putin" are even more alarming than the Soviet-era slogan of "We support and approve of the Communist Party's policies."

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The weakness that the U.S. and other developed democracies have shown in standing up to Putin over the years has led in no small part to the rise of his agressive policies.

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Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov claims that Crimea is no less important for Russia than the Falklands are for Britain. However, he conveniently overlooks the fact that the Falkland Islands belonged to Britain before the Falkland war started, while Crimea had already been a part of Ukraine for 20 years before Russia made its first moves over the past three weeks to incorporate the peninsula into Russia. Putin's actions in Crimea signify the resurrection of Soviet leader Leonid Brezhnev's "limited sovereignty" doctrine.

When Russian leaders begin speaking of "protecting the rights of our countrymen" in other lands, it calls to mind not the Soviet government, but the most frightening totalitarian state of the 20th century. In the span of a few short weeks, Russia has managed to restore an "Iron Curtain" and launch a military confrontation reminiscent of the worst years of the Cold War.

SASFOR's insight:

A must read analysis by Alexander Golts. He is the deputy editor of the online newspaper Yezhednevny Zhurnal.

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Putin Recognizes Crimea Secession, Defying the West

Putin Recognizes Crimea Secession, Defying the West | The New Cold Wars. "Hotting Up" ? | Scoop.it
The Kremlin announced that President Vladimir V. Putin would address both houses of the Russian Parliament on Tuesday, when many expect him to endorse annexation.

 

President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia signed a decree on Monday formally recognizing Crimea as a “sovereign and independent state,” laying the groundwork for annexation and defying the United States and Europe just hours after they imposed their first financial sanctions against Moscow since the crisis in Ukraine began.

Mr. Putin issued his late-night decree after the region declared independence earlier in the day and asked Russia to annex it in keeping with the results of a referendum conducted Sunday under the watch of Russian troops. The Kremlin announced that Mr. Putin would address both houses of the Russian Parliament on Tuesday, when many expect him to endorse annexation.

Continue reading the main story

RELATED COVERAGE Lawmakers in Crimea Move Swiftly to Split From UkraineMARCH 17, 2014 Text: Obama’s Statement on New Sanctions Against RussiaMARCH 17, 2014 News Analysis: Global Crises Put Obama’s Strategy of Caution to the TestMARCH 16, 2014 Markets Worldwide Brush Off Crimea Vote MARCH 17, 2014 The Lede: Russia Could Still Turn U.S. ‘Into Radioactive Dust,’ News Anchor in Moscow Reminds ViewersMARCH 16, 2014

The moves indicated that Moscow remained undaunted by Western pressure in a clash of wills that has created the most profound rift in East-West relations since the end of the Cold War, and that threatens the redrawn borders established by the breakup of the Soviet Union in 1991. Every time the United States and Europe have tried to draw a line in recent weeks, Mr. Putin has vaulted past it. The White House indicated that it had held back going after some in Mr. Putin’s inner circle to have room for its next countermove.

SASFOR's insight:

It's going to be a Cold winter this year for most of Europe if Obama & Co persist on this path. 

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China's Military Expansion - A Chinese Perspective

China's Military Expansion - A Chinese Perspective | The New Cold Wars. "Hotting Up" ? | Scoop.it
Many in the West view China's rapid military expansion as a growing threat to global and regional security. In fact, nothing could be further from the truth, or so writes Ai Zhong-Guo. Beijing has little time for global or regional domination, which it reminds everyone in its 2013 Defence White Paper.

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Dennis J. Kucinich :Is NATO's Trojan Horse Riding Toward the - 12160

Dennis J. Kucinich :Is NATO's Trojan Horse Riding Toward the - 12160 | The New Cold Wars. "Hotting Up" ? | Scoop.it
But while the draft of the EU "Association Agreement" is being sold as an economic boon for Ukrainian citizens, in reality it appears to be NATO's Trojan Horse: a massive expansion of NATO's military position in the region.
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Berlin, The Cold War Years - A Hot War in reality. Part 1.

Berlin, The Cold War Years - A Hot War in reality. Part 1. | The New Cold Wars. "Hotting Up" ? | Scoop.it
Berlin, The Cold War Years - A Hot War in reality. Part 1. At the end of World War 2, what remained of pre-war Germany was divided into four zones of occupation. Each of the Allied powers; the Unit...
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A good read

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CJ-20 missile is PLA's new threat to US bases in Asia-Pacific

CJ-20 missile is PLA's new threat to US bases in Asia-Pacific | The New Cold Wars. "Hotting Up" ? | Scoop.it

After the People's Liberation Army introduced the CJ-10 cruise missile into service, China is planning to design the more advanced CJ-20 cruise missile which could be launched by H-6 strategic bombers against all US military bases in the Asia-Pacific, according to Duowei News, an outlet operated by overseas Chinese.

Hans Christensen from the Federation of American Scientists stated that CJ-10, which can be launched from land or from a ship with a range of 1,500 kilometers, is already a formidable weapon against US carrier battle groups. About 200 CJ-10 missiles have now been deployed with the Second Artillery Corps, China's strategic missile force. Russian analyst Vasiliy Kashin says the CJ-10 was developed based on pieces of US Tomahawk missiles recovered in Afghanistan and Pakistan.

SASFOR's insight:

To plan for a contingency in which Japan must retake the disputed Diaoyutai (Diaoyu or Senkaku) islands from a Chinese occupation force, the Japan Self-Defense Force is learning amphibious warfare from the US Marine Corps at Camp Pendleton.

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China to consolidate maritime security agencies under one body

China to consolidate maritime security agencies under one body | The New Cold Wars. "Hotting Up" ? | Scoop.it
Move will better safeguard China's rights in territorial disputes with neighbours, NPC told

Via Fernando Ibáñez
SASFOR's insight:

"There are currently 17 agencies, including the Foreign Ministry and the PLA, responsible for managing the sea."

 

"The restructuring follows months of angry exchanges between Beijing, Tokyo, Manila and other neighbours over overlapping land claims in the East and South China seas. The dispute with Japan in particular has stirred concerns about a possible military confrontation, as both nations are conducting rival boat patrols around the Diaoyu, or Senkaku, islands in the East China Sea and have even scrambled fighter jets."

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SASFOR's comment, March 14, 2013 12:14 AM
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China Wants Nuclear Reactors, and Lots of Them

China Wants Nuclear Reactors, and Lots of Them | The New Cold Wars. "Hotting Up" ? | Scoop.it
While the West holds back, China pursues big nuclear dreams

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Soon after the Fukushima Dai-Ichi nuclear meltdown in March 2011, Germany announced it would decommission all its nuclear plants. Switzerland and Italy rejected proposals to build more reactors. Japan shut down its reactors and has yet to restart them. China, on the other hand, plowed ahead with existing projects, even though it suspended new approvals so it could perform more safety checks.

 

Last November, the government lifted the moratorium and approved four projects. The number of reactors being built is now 29—the most of any country, and 40 percent of the world’s total. “China is now one of the most important countries, if not the most important country, in the global nuclear industry,” says Antony Froggatt, a senior research fellow at Chatham House, a British think tank.


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DOSID's curator insight, March 13, 2013 12:34 AM

China is likely to become the first country in which new reactor designs are built and tested at full size. Chief among them is the AP1000—AP stands for “advanced passive”—designed by Westinghouse Electric, the U.S. company now majority-owned by Japan’s Toshiba.

SASFOR's comment, March 13, 2013 11:31 PM
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Who's Been Hacked By China? Better Question Might Be: Who Hasn't? : NPR

Who's Been Hacked By China? Better Question Might Be: Who Hasn't? : NPR | The New Cold Wars. "Hotting Up" ? | Scoop.it
As news continues to come in about evidence of hack attacks from China, more companies and agencies are stepping forward to say they were targets of such snooping. Chinese authorities continue to say the state is not behind the attacks.

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South China Sea : Critical World Trade Route And Potential Source Of Hydrocarbons – Analysis

South China Sea : Critical World Trade Route And Potential Source Of Hydrocarbons – Analysis | The New Cold Wars. "Hotting Up" ? | Scoop.it

The South China Sea is a critical world trade route and a potential source of hydrocarbons, particularly natural gas, with competing claims of ownership over the sea and its resources.

 

Stretching from Singapore and the Strait of Malacca in the southwest to the Strait of Taiwan in the northeast, the South China Sea is one the most important trade routes in the world. The sea is rich in resources and holds significant strategic and political importance.

 

The area includes several hundred small islands, rocks, and reefs, with the majority located in the Paracel and Spratly Island chains. Many of these islands are partially submerged land masses unsuitable for habitation and are little more than shipping hazards. For example, the total land area of the Spratly Islands encompasses less than 3 square miles.


 

Several of the countries bordering the sea declare ownership of the islands to claim the surrounding sea and its resources. The Gulf of Thailand borders the South China Sea, and although technically not part of it, disputes surround ownership of that Gulf and its resources as well.

 

Asia’s robust economic growth boosts demand for energy in the region. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) projects total liquid fuels consumption in Asian countries outside the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) to rise at an annual growth rate of 2.6 percent, growing from around 20 percent of world consumption in 2008 to over 30 percent of world consumption by 2035. Similarly, non-OECD Asia natural gas consumption grows by 3.9 percent annually, from 10 percent of world gas consumption in 2008 to 19 percent by 2035. EIA expects China to account for 43 percent of that growth.

 

With Southeast Asian domestic oil production projected to stay flat or decline as consumption rises, the region’s countries will look to new sources of energy to meet domestic demand. China in particular promotes the use of natural gas as a preferred energy source and set an ambitious target of increasing the share of natural gas in its energy mix from 3 percent to 10 percent by 2020. The South China Sea offers the potential for significant natural gas discoveries, creating an incentive to secure larger parts of the area for domestic production.


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South China Sea Oil and Natural Gas

South China Sea Oil and Natural Gas | The New Cold Wars. "Hotting Up" ? | Scoop.it

The focus of most attention regarding the South China Sea resources has been on hydrocarbons in general, and oil in particular. Oil deposits have been found in most of the littoral (adjacent) countries of the South China Sea. The South China Sea region has proven oil reserves estimated at about 7.5 billion barrels, and oil production in the region is currently over 1.3 million barrels per day. Malaysian production accounts for about one-half of the region's total. Total South China Sea production has increased gradually over the past few years, primarily as additional production from China, Malaysia and Vietnam came online. Statoil's Lufeng Field in China (southeast of Hong Kong) came onstream in 1997, and oil was discovered in 1997 in Vietnam's Block 46 (southwest of Vietnam).

 

The fact that surrounding areas are rich in oil deposits has led to speculation that the Spratly Islands could be an untapped oil-bearing province located near some of the world's largest future energy consuming countries. Such speculation has given the Spratly Islands with great strategic value, and has fueled disputes over ownership. In fact, there is little evidence outside of Chinese claims to support the speculation that the region contains extensive oil resources. Because of a lack of exploratory drilling, there are no proven oil reserve estimates for the Spratly or Paracel Islands, and no commercial oil or gas has been discovered there.

 

Optimistic Chinese estimates of the South China Sea region's oil potential, however, have helped encourage interest in the area. The most optimistic estimate suggests that potential oil resources (not proved reserves) of the Spratly and Paracel Islands could be as high as 105 billion barrels of oil, and that the total for the South China Sea could be as high as 213 billion barrels. A common rule-of-thumb for such frontier areas as the Spratly Islands Sea is that perhaps 10% of the potential resources can be economically recovered. Even using this rule, Chinese estimates imply potential production levels for the Spratly Islands of 1.9 million barrels/day.

 

China's optimistic view of the South China Sea's hydrocarbon potential is not shared by most non-Chinese analysts. A 1993/1994 estimate by the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), for example, estimated the sum total of discovered reserves and undiscovered resources in the offshore basins of the South China Sea at 28 billion barrels. The most optimistic western estimates place total oil resources (not proved reserves) in the Spratly Islands at 1-2 billion barrels. If all of this were proven to be economically recoverable, this hypothetically could yield a peak oil production level for the Spratly Islands of 180,000 - 370,000 barrels per day - the same order of magnitude as current production levels in Brunei or Vietnam. However, the rule-of-thumb for frontier areas suggests that the total could be significantly less.

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India concerned by China role in Pakistan's Gwadar port

India concerned by China role in Pakistan's Gwadar port | The New Cold Wars. "Hotting Up" ? | Scoop.it

 China's role in operating a strategically important port in Pakistan is a matter of concern for India, Defence Minister A.K.

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Indian policy-makers have long been wary of a string of strategically located ports being built by Chinese companies in its neighbourhood, as India beefs up its military clout to compete with its Asian rival.

 

Management of Gwadar port, around 600 km (370 miles) from Karachi and close to Pakistan's border with Iran, was handed over to state-run Chinese Overseas Port Holdings last week after previously being managed by Singapore's PSA International.

 

"It is a matter of concern to us," Antony told reporters when asked about Chinese control of the port.

 

When complete, the port, which is close to the Strait of Hormuz, a key oil shipping lane, is seen opening up an energy and trade corridor from the Gulf, across Pakistan to western China, and could be used by the Chinese Navy, analysts say.

 

"It will enable (China) to deploy military capability in the region," said Jay Ranade, of the Centre for Air Power Studies and a former additional secretary in the government. "Having control of Gwadar, China is basically getting an entry into the Arabian Sea and the Gulf."

 

China has also funded ports in Hambantota, Sri Lanka, and Chittagong in Bangladesh, both India's neighbours.

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The infographic that explains Mali’s crisis

The infographic that explains Mali’s crisis | The New Cold Wars. "Hotting Up" ? | Scoop.it

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SASFOR's comment, January 21, 2013 9:57 AM
Thank you . At last an excellent Info-graphic. Any chance of updates ?
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These Political Cartoons Just Might Make You Rethink Ukraine:

A Social Media Story storified by The Moscow Times
SASFOR's insight:

"If there's one thing cartoonists agree on these days, it's that the situation in Ukraine lends itself to creative interpretation.

Depending on what your inclination is, these cartoons will either make you feel they've hit the nail on the head, or make you shake your head in disagreement. They'll all make you think, though, and some may even make you smile.

A round-up of political cartoons dealing with the current tensions around Crimea shows Russian President Vladimir Putin in many roles, ranging from a chess player to a gangster to a bear."

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Dispute And Suspicion Swirl About Iranian Water Reactor

Dispute And Suspicion Swirl About Iranian Water Reactor | The New Cold Wars. "Hotting Up" ? | Scoop.it
At issue in Iran nuclear talks is a heavy water reactor the country is building. Iran says it wants the reactor for medical research, but the West is worried that such reactors can produce plutonium.
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West to Punish Crimea for Fleeing Regime in Kiev | New Eastern Outlook

West to Punish Crimea for Fleeing Regime in Kiev | New Eastern Outlook | The New Cold Wars. "Hotting Up" ? | Scoop.it

Indicative of the West’s true stance on democracy, Reuters reported in its article, “Kerry warns U.S., Europe ready to act if Crimea referendum held,” that: 

The United States and the European Union will take serious steps against Russia if a referendum on Ukraine’s Crimea region goes ahead as planned on Sunday, U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry said on Thursday.

Bloomberg News would add that the US and EU planned to “exact an economic toll” if the referendum went ahead – in other words the emplacement of sanctions. The report would also claim:

With Ukraine accusing Russian forces of seizing Crimea in the run-up to the referendum, Western powers are trying to muster economic and diplomatic sanctions to force Putin to defuse the situation. Russia has held firm in the worst dispute between the two sides since the end of the Cold War.

Perplexing is the US’ sudden aversion to the democratic process – apparently because it stands poised to decide in favor of a future divergent from Western interests.


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the tap: Does Britain need 10,000 American military personnel ...

the tap: Does Britain need 10,000 American military personnel ... | The New Cold Wars. "Hotting Up" ? | Scoop.it
The rest of the world is breaking away from NATO and the USA, and attaching to the SCO, which includes the world's rising powers, the BRICS. The EU is in rapid decline. Britain is locked into the EU just as ...
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China to deploy new strategic missile class of submarines next year

China to deploy new strategic missile class of submarines next year | The New Cold Wars. "Hotting Up" ? | Scoop.it
China’s navy is expected to begin the first sea patrols next year of a new class of strategic missile submarines, highlighting a new and growing missile threat to the U.S. homeland, according to U.S. defense officials.
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MaddieWalrus's curator insight, November 7, 2013 6:20 PM

What does this meander the safety of our citizens. I know that the Chinese army has stengthed because the wealth of china goes to the army. This means that they must be planning this which means that they will be extremely prepared. I hope that this gives the U.S. Army a heads up to plan ahead in case that China's intentions are true. I know that America's army is well trained, but I am worried that they won't be enough to stop them. 

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InfoSec Institute Resources – China vs US, cyber superpowers compared

InfoSec Institute Resources – China vs US, cyber superpowers compared | The New Cold Wars. "Hotting Up" ? | Scoop.it

In the last months, the press agencies and government official bulletins have reported several news regarding continuous cyber-attacks having Chinese origin, most of them with cyber espionage purpose, but the risk for sabotage operations is concrete and not to underestimate.

The country that suffers the Chinese offensive most of all is the US. The official list of cyber-attacks that hit US is very long and it is considered just the tip of the iceberg, every sector is under pressure, military, technology sector, and also the media.

The Chinese attackers operate in a manner very similar, the techniques and the malicious code that has been adopted in different attacks are substantially the same, this observation and the ascertainment that the Chinese Government operates a strict control over the access to the Internet led security experts to think that the events are conducted by state-sponsored hackers.

SASFOR's insight:

For first time the Pentagon has detailed $30 million in spending on Air Force cyber-attack operations and new Army funding, public disclosure of the budget for cyber campaigns,

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Iran and Egypt Chart New Course in Relationship - Al-Monitor: the Pulse of the Middle East

Iran and Egypt Chart New Course in Relationship - Al-Monitor: the Pulse of the Middle East | The New Cold Wars. "Hotting Up" ? | Scoop.it
Stronger ties between Iran and Egypt will improve regional stability, Kayhan Barzegar writes.

Via Jack Hansen
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Will Our Energy Be Stamped "Made in China," Too?

Will Our Energy Be Stamped "Made in China," Too? | The New Cold Wars. "Hotting Up" ? | Scoop.it

Explination of Graphic Above:You see, China has its own untapped resource potential, as the country is believed to hold the world's third largest recoverable natural gas reserves. The problem is that most of these reserves are trapped in shale.

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"More of our future oil and gas production is being sold to the highest bidder. Increasingly, the companies doing the bidding are Chinese national oil companies."

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Recently, I've been wondering if oil and gas asset sales to national oil companies have the potential to jeopardize our dreams of energy independence. In the past couple of years, we've seen domestic energy producers such as Devon Energy (NYSE: DVN  ) and Chesapeake Energy (NYSE:CHK  ) rake in billions of dollars by selling a piece of future oil and gas production. It's becoming pretty clear that more deals are on the way. 

 

Probably feeling the pressure of competition following Chesapeake's $1.02 billion Mississippian Lime joint venture with rival Sinopec, China National Petroleum Company's chairman recently said that it's currently studying whether it, too, will join the fray. As that nation's largest oil company it has the financial firepower to pursue a big deal. Overall, Chinese explorers have an estimated $40 billion to spend on locking up production.

 

One of the issues is that these companies could be bidding for our production assets with an unfair competitive advantage, as they can use Chinese government loans to stake their claim. Most of the U.S. deals involve having these companies simply buying joint venture stakes in production assets, with Chesapeake's sale involving a 50% stake in 850,000 net acres. Devon also recently completed a transaction with Sinopec totaling $2.5 billion in which it sold a 33% interest in three emerging energy plays, including the Mississippian. The company uses these to minimize exploration costs by de-risking the acreage and increasing exploration activity. A larger looming issue will be when a Chinese national bids for control of a U.S. oil and gas producer.


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DOSID's curator insight, March 13, 2013 1:02 AM

"The question is, what are the Chinese and other foreign buyers after? It's not to lock up supply and ship it back to China, as instead the production will be sold in the states. The profits, on the other hand, will eventually make their way back to the mainland, which can then be used to purchase oil and gas on the open market. However, that's probably not the real reason behind these deals. Instead, it's more about the technology being used to unlock our vast shale resource."

SASFOR's comment, March 13, 2013 11:29 PM
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US grounds F-35 fighter jets over cracked engine blade

US grounds F-35 fighter jets over cracked engine blade | The New Cold Wars. "Hotting Up" ? | Scoop.it
Problem discovered at Edwards Air Force Base prompts critics to slam 'gigantically disappointing performance' of new plane

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The problem was discovered during what the Pentagon called a routine inspection at Edwards Air Force Base, California, of an F-35A, the Air Force version of the sleek new plane. The Navy and the Marine Corps are buying other versions of the F-35, which is intended to replace older fighters like the Air Force F-16 and the Navy F/A-18.

 

All versions a total of 51 planes were grounded Friday pending a more in-depth evaluation of the problem discovered at Edwards. None of the planes have been fielded for combat operations; all are undergoing testing.

 

In a brief written statement Friday, the Pentagon said it was too early to know the full impact of the newly discovered problem. A watchdog group, the Project on Government Oversight, said the grounding was not likely to mean a significant delay in the effort to field the aircraft.

SASFOR's insight:

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The F-35 is the Pentagon's most expensive weapons program at a total estimated cost of nearly $400bn. The Pentagon envisions buying more than 2,400 F-35s, but some members of Congress are not happy with the price tag.

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China-US Energy Geopolitics: The Battle for Oil in the South China Sea

China-US Energy Geopolitics: The Battle for Oil in the South China Sea | The New Cold Wars. "Hotting Up" ? | Scoop.it

This Scoop is slightly dated but is excellent reference material.

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NATO Builds Global 21st Century Special Operations Forces

NATO Builds Global 21st Century Special Operations Forces | The New Cold Wars. "Hotting Up" ? | Scoop.it

STOP NATO

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"“The purpose of the NSHQ mission is to make the employment of Special Operations Forces as effective, efficient, and coherent as possible, so as to deliver to the Alliance a highly agile Special Operations capability across the range of military operations,” explains Scott Morrison, Director of the Commander’s Action Group at NSHQ. “21st century NATO Special Operations brings much more to the table than the commando work most are familiar with,” he adds."

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NATO:
http://www.scoop.it/t/from-tahrir-square?q=NATO
http://www.scoop.it/t/revolutionary-news?q=NATO


Via Ben-Perrusi Martins
SASFOR's insight:

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Pentagon’s Global Expansion Plans for 2013

Pentagon’s Global Expansion Plans for 2013 | The New Cold Wars. "Hotting Up" ? | Scoop.it

Stop NATO, Voice of Russia  

Interview with Rick Rozoff

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


US ON MENA:
http://www.scoop.it/t/from-tahrir-square?q=US

NATO:
http://www.scoop.it/t/from-tahrir-square?q=NATO
http://www.scoop.it/t/revolutionary-news?q=NATO

 


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