NBA Analysis: Plus/Minus Can be a Really Meaningless Statistic | The brain and illusions |

I recently wrote a post over on the Wages of Wins Journal about how I believe the book Thinking, Fast and Slow is chalk-full of descriptions of cognitive illusions that all basketball analysts (whether they are paid to do it or not) fall prey to. One of Kahneman’s more famous illusions is the illusion of validity; the fact that people have a huge amount of confidence in their own judgment, even in the face of clear evidence that their judgment is wrong.