scenario planning
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The Secret Of Successful Scenario Planning

The Secret Of Successful Scenario Planning | scenario planning | Scoop.it
You have to look at seemingly far-fetched possibilities too.

Via Don Dea
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Don Dea's curator insight, September 5, 2013 12:00 AM

. Start thinking about the four or five key assumptions you make in your forecasts. What will happen with your suppliers? Why? What will happen with your customers? With your competition? Why? Then apply a probability to each scenario, based on your impression of the likelihood of its occurring. Probabilities allow you to start to balance resource allocation to the most likely outcomes while not ignoring the possibility of others.

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4 dangerous pitfalls of scenario planning – and how to avoid them

4 dangerous pitfalls of scenario planning – and how to avoid them | scenario planning | Scoop.it

there is a great tool in the CI toolbox for this – scenario planning. Pioneered by Shell and others in the 1970s, today a broad range of companies, NGOs, governments etc. use scenario planning to plan for the long term. In this post I’m not going to focus on the basic steps of scenario planning (though I will provide a crash course in the next paragraph), but instead present a few of the most common pitfalls – and how to avoid them

 


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Rehearsing The Future With Scenario Planning

Rehearsing The Future With Scenario Planning | scenario planning | Scoop.it
But with the use of creative foresight and a technique known as 'scenario planning', businesses can spot opportunities and make good decisions to help manage future uncertainties. Scenario planning has become more ...
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