It is tempting to linearly extrapolate the past of networks into the future – be it for any individual network, or of networks collectively. This is a dangerous assumption, as it is not grounded in the actuality of network behaviour.
As one scientist puts it, Bayes' theorem, developed by a Presbyterian minister, isn't clouded by emotion, so it can be revelatory — and may be the best hope of finding Malaysian Airlines Flight 370. (RT @EllieAsksWhy: .@psnively You'll love this.
... that I (also) read in the plane to Montréal, even though I do not share the concern that we should pick between those two estimators (only or at all), since what matters is the posterior distribution and the use one makes of it.
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