Scenario Planning & Strategy Playbook
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Scenario Planning & Strategy Playbook
All about Scenario Planning as a tool for strategy development
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Scenario Planning: Slippery When Wet

Scenario Planning: Slippery When Wet | Scenario Planning & Strategy Playbook | Scoop.it

In his blog post, Criticisms of scenario planning as undertaken by law departments, Rees Morrison Esq. has put forth  8 considerations regarding the effectiveness of scenario planning. See the comments to the criticism in this post.

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Imagine you are the pilot of a space plane…

Imagine you are the pilot of a space plane… | Scenario Planning & Strategy Playbook | Scoop.it

As you leave the Earth’s atmosphere, your plane accelerates in the frictionless and gravity-free environment.  Fast and getting faster, only your preparedness determines your survival.

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How NOT to do scenario planning: An acquittal by the devil's advocate

Exaggerated and beyond-the-limit worst-case scenario planning can distort policy discourse and undercut health-related ethics and bioethics.

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Why do growth strategies falter?

Why do growth strategies falter? | Scenario Planning & Strategy Playbook | Scoop.it

Culture eats strategy for breakfast. In a panic, changing an agenda is much easier than convincing other minds to follow the strategic avenue that you have chosen. Incorporating Blue Ocean and Porter's diamond into scenario planning makes for robust, resilient and agile strategy development.

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Video Intro to Scenario Planning

Because organizations are better at preparing than prediction, scenarios-through careful design- cannot prepare for specific events, but rather for the small number of effects that can be triggered. Ask: What can we do today?

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10 Big Mistakes People Make in Thinking About the Future | Visions

10 Big Mistakes People Make in Thinking About the Future | Visions | Scenario Planning & Strategy Playbook | Scoop.it

In a time of huge change and uncertainty, we need to think about the future as flexibly as possible. Here is a list of the common enemies that scenario planning does battle against- and they are found inside all of us.

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UK Manufacturing Plc outperforms FTSE 250

UK Manufacturing Plc outperforms FTSE 250 | Scenario Planning & Strategy Playbook | Scoop.it

From PwC: UK Manufacturing Plc share price index has trebled since 2009, performance driven by focus on core survival areas including scenario planning.

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Demographics: The clearest predicton indicator of the future

Demographics: The clearest predicton indicator of the future | Scenario Planning & Strategy Playbook | Scoop.it

Demographics provide the greatest insight into the future. Unmet family planning resources creates uncertain futures for both families and community sustainability.

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Scenario Planning over the Greek Euro Exit

Scenario Planning over the Greek Euro Exit | Scenario Planning & Strategy Playbook | Scoop.it

Amid fears that Greece may be on the verge of leaving the euro, a senior EU commissioner says that there are no preparations for an exit.

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The psychology behind predicting the future

The psychology behind predicting the future | Scenario Planning & Strategy Playbook | Scoop.it

The world is divided into two: foxes and hedgehogs. The fox knows many things whereas the hedgehog knows one big thing. Foxes beat hedgehogs when it comes to making predictions.

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Scenario Planning in Volatile Times

Understanding and monitoring a company's value drivers requires a rolling, nearly real-time approach to planning and forecasting, as opposed to an annual exercise.
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Denmark’s Decade 2020 | Consortium for Global Talent

Denmark’s Decade 2020 | Consortium for Global Talent | Scenario Planning & Strategy Playbook | Scoop.it

In order for Denmark to compete for the best talent on the planet, it must position itself as a place where bright futures are possible.

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Create Organizational Downtime to Focus on Scenario Planning

Create Organizational Downtime to Focus on Scenario Planning | Scenario Planning & Strategy Playbook | Scoop.it

Numerous analyses of the financial crisis showed executives overly focused on responding quickly to the competition, getting bogged down in the specifics of a deal, and failing to see beyond the immediate future. By giving managers the illusion of control, the rapid flow of information through new technologies threatens to rob them of real control. As demands pile up, managing can become more frenetic and superficial.

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McKinsey: Drop the pretense- your assumptions about the future are wrong

McKinsey: Drop the pretense- your assumptions about the future are wrong | Scenario Planning & Strategy Playbook | Scoop.it

Pervasive and ongoing uncertainty means that companies need to get their leadership teams working together in fundamentally different ways. Future-oriented scenarios belong at the heart of your strategic realignment.

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The end of spreadsheet strategy -FT

The end of spreadsheet strategy -FT | Scenario Planning & Strategy Playbook | Scoop.it

A new “age of volatility”is defying any system for modelling risk. The shock is that soft, social issues are suddenly becoming crucial to the developed world, and the complexity can be unnerving.

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The forces that mandate the stepping up of your scenario planning activities

The forces that mandate the stepping up of your scenario planning activities | Scenario Planning & Strategy Playbook | Scoop.it

How can you plan in this insane world? With the wheels of dramatic change in motion, there is a high probability that any strategy you pick will backfire. Here are the trends shaping the Malthusian scenario.

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2,000 Years of Economic History

2,000 Years of Economic History | Scenario Planning & Strategy Playbook | Scoop.it

Previous to 1800 is an approximation of population distribution whereas everything after 1800 is a demonstration of productivity divergences around the world. Mastering the means of manufacturing, production and supply chains by steam, electricity, and ultimately software that concentrated, first in the West, and then spread to Japan, Russia, China, India, and beyond.

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Back to the Source of Scenario Planning: Military Design in Practice | Small Wars Journal

Back to the Source of Scenario Planning: Military Design in Practice | Small Wars Journal | Scenario Planning & Strategy Playbook | Scoop.it

"...no complex system can be neatly solved; rather it is influenced by planners to transform into an emergent future state that holds advantageous positions for the organization."

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Nice slides on some alternate and pheripheral trends

Anne Lise Kjaer's presentation is fresh wind to stale dystopian and Malthusian futures.

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Wildcard list for Euro zone contingency planning

Wildcard list for Euro zone contingency planning | Scenario Planning & Strategy Playbook | Scoop.it

Scenario planning in the event that Greece or any other country exits the euro. Key uncertainties:  redenominated contracts and (planned) devaluation velocity.

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Black Swan theory by Taleb

Black Swan theory by Taleb | Scenario Planning & Strategy Playbook | Scoop.it

The disproportionate role of high-impact, hard-to-predict, and rare events that are beyond the realm of normal expectations in history, science, finance and technology

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Scenario Planning and Futures Studies

Scenario Planning and Futures Studies | Scenario Planning & Strategy Playbook | Scoop.it

An introduction to our history, research and methods

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