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Scenario Planning & Strategy Playbook
All about Scenario Planning as a tool for strategy development
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Black Swans and Hurricanes: Taleb and Kahnemann Explain Why That In Crisis, "Any Map Won't Do"

Understanding our biases, the illusion of patterns, and the perception of risk and denial are central to making good decisions and improving governance and financial institutions.

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Black Swan theory by Taleb

Black Swan theory by Taleb | Scenario Planning & Strategy Playbook | Scoop.it

The disproportionate role of high-impact, hard-to-predict, and rare events that are beyond the realm of normal expectations in history, science, finance and technology

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10 Big Mistakes People Make in Thinking About the Future | Visions

10 Big Mistakes People Make in Thinking About the Future | Visions | Scenario Planning & Strategy Playbook | Scoop.it

In a time of huge change and uncertainty, we need to think about the future as flexibly as possible. Here is a list of the common enemies that scenario planning does battle against- and they are found inside all of us.

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The psychology behind predicting the future

The psychology behind predicting the future | Scenario Planning & Strategy Playbook | Scoop.it

The world is divided into two: foxes and hedgehogs. The fox knows many things whereas the hedgehog knows one big thing. Foxes beat hedgehogs when it comes to making predictions.

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