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Organizing the government-affairs function for impact | McKinsey & Company

Organizing the government-affairs function for impact | McKinsey & Company | Government Relations | Scoop.it
The value at stake from government and regulatory intervention is huge. Companies that approach external engagement in a disciplined way capture more of it. A McKinsey Quarterly article.
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Would you support a political party for cyclists?

Would you support a political party for cyclists? | Government Relations | Scoop.it
The challenges are many but the benefits of representation could be massive.
Benjamin Haslem's insight:

Single-issue political parties. If thre recent Federal Election wash-up is any indication, many Australians (or perhaps just the media) are annoyed that such outfits have been elected to the Senate with very small primary votes, courtesy of the preferential voting system - which with a degree in the dark arts can allow candidates with less than two per cent support secure a seat in Australia's upper house. They can even potentially hold the balance of power, granting them huge influence when few have voted for them. The Cyclists' Party is seeking election to the NSW and Victorian upper houses at State elections. The Victorian upper house has multi-member provinces (unlike the Australian Senate, which draws six Senators from each State and two from each Territory each half-Senate election), making it much harder for minor parties to win a seat in Parliament. NSW upper-house members are elected from across the State and minor parties have often (and currently do) win seats and hold the balance of power. Will the recent Senate experience deter people from supporting the cyclists? We will see. (disclosure: I am a commuter cyclist). 

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Antony Green's Election Blog: 2015 New South Wales Electoral Pendulum

Antony Green's Election Blog: 2015 New South Wales Electoral Pendulum | Government Relations | Scoop.it
With the new electoral boundaries in place, it's time to publish an electoral pendulum for the 2015 NSW Election.
Benjamin Haslem's insight:

Antony Green has published an updated NSW Electoral Pendulum based on the new electoral boundaries. It makes sobering reading for Labor, which would have lost a further two seats at the last election, had the new boundaries been in place. The safest seat is the outer-northern Sydney seat of Ku-ring-gai, held by Premier Barry O'Farrell with a margin of 36.9 per cent. The most marginal is the south-west Sydney seat of East Hills, held by Liberal Glenn Brookes with a margin of 0.2 per cent. The Greens have notionally picked up an extra seat, with Marrickville (held by deputy Opposition Leader, Carmel Tebbutt) being split at the 2015 election into Summer Hill and Newtown. The latter, based on 2011 polling, would be held by the Greens with a margin of 4.4 per cent. The only short-term hope for Labor is that polling suggest it may pick up the southern Sydney seat of Miranda at tomorrows' by-election, reducing the Coalition's majority to 43 seats in the 93-member lower house. 

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Kevin Rudd's final act could save Labor Party

Kevin Rudd's final act could save Labor Party | Government Relations | Scoop.it
A fortnight ago, two-thirds of voters thought Labor did not deserve re-election. A confidential report by Labor's pollster, UMR, explains why. UMR identified asylum-seeker policy, the impact of the carbon tax and a negative view of the government's economic management as reasons for vote-switching.
Benjamin Haslem's insight:
Interesting early analysis on why voters turned against Labor.
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Bob Hawke emails ALP supporters

Bob Hawke emails ALP supporters | Government Relations | Scoop.it
Benjamin Haslem's insight:

Australia's longest-serving Labor Prime Minister, Bob Hawke, has emailed ALP supporters this afternoon asking for their help. 

"This is an important week for our country and for this great party of ours. There is much at stake on Saturday.

We have a proud record of achievement in office. Kevin Rudd’s response to the Global Financial Crisis saved jobs. Now we are investing in the new jobs of the future and in social reforms like DisabilityCare.

This is what Labor governments do.

We do all these things because we are Labor. The conservative parties attack these reforms, they cut investment, they roll back progress. That’s what they do.

I am proud of our campaign, and the work all of you are doing. This is the fight of our lives – it is the fight for a stronger Australia. Let’s keep it up.

Bob"

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ChristineJackman.com

ChristineJackman.com | Government Relations | Scoop.it

Writer, talker, mother, woman on the verge of a nervous breakthrough.

Author of Inside Kevin07; heavily pregnant with another book.

Benjamin Haslem's insight:

Great blog by award-winning jouralist (and a former desk buddy of mine at The Australian) Christine Jackman on the Federal Election campaign. Christine provides a good snap-shot of the day's events and some insightful commentary and analysis. Recommended.

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The Preferences Game

This visualisation opens showing Australia’s relative political relationships this election – the closer two parties are in their preference deals, the closer they appear to each other – and vice versa.
Benjamin Haslem's insight:

Terrific tool for seeing where each party's preferences are flowing in the Senate. You can look at each state and territory.

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Overseas? Don't forget to vote!

If you're an Australian living overseas during this election, don't forget to vote!
Benjamin Haslem's insight:

You may have seen reports about the large advertising billboard in Hong Kong spruiking the Rudd-led ALP. Well Labor has also produced a YouTube video encouraging Aussies overseas to vote for the ALP. 

"Do you really want to return to an Abbott in Australia?" it asks.

Nic Christensen has more on this at Mumbrella. http://mumbrella.com.au/labor-targets-overseas-voters-in-hong-kong-174575    ;

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NSW Budget Slow & Steady

NSW Budget Slow & Steady | Government Relations | Scoop.it

Writing in the anniversary edition of our magazine, The Shell, Wells Haslem Special CounselJulie Sibraa exmaines how infrasturcture spending fared in the NSW State Budget. "... the 2013/14 budget has continued to make solid and innovative headway towards funding much needed infrastructure at the same time as keeping the budget within credit rating agency imposed caps," Julie writes. 

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Peter Beattie faces thrashing in Forde: exclusive poll

Peter Beattie faces thrashing in Forde: exclusive poll | Government Relations | Scoop.it
Labor’s shock decision to recruit Peter Beattie as its candidate for the federal Queensland electorate of Forde appears to have backfired spectacularly, with the Coalition on track to win the seat in a landslide.
Benjamin Haslem's insight:
Why when Campbell Newman's tough austerity measures threatened to handicap Tony Abbott in QLD did Labor choose Peter Beattie to stand in Forde? It just reminds voters why they got in the mess Newman is now trying to clean up.
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In The Air With Kevin Rudd - 15/08

In The Air With Kevin Rudd - 15/08 | Government Relations | Scoop.it
Sky News Political Reporter Laura Jayes speaks one-on-one with Prime Minister Kevin Rudd during a flight on the campaign trail.
Benjamin Haslem's insight:
What a great example of the genuine Kevin Rudd. Worth more than many staged media appearances out with the punters.
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Google launches Youtube channel for the Federal Election - mUmBRELLA

Google has launched its official Youtube channel for the Federal Election: Australia votes. The announcement: Today, Google is launching a hub for poli
Benjamin Haslem's insight:
HT Mumbrella
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noel pearson delivers extraordinary speech to whitlam institute 

noel pearson delivers extraordinary speech to whitlam institute  | Government Relations | Scoop.it
By John Wells A rather extraordinary event happened on Wednesday at the Parramatta River Side Theatre. One great Australian came to honour another great Australia; both men, one much older than...
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Go ahead, suspend me - The Spectator

Go ahead, suspend me - The Spectator | Government Relations | Scoop.it
The trouble with the Liberal party is that it doesn’t realise how deeply it is in trouble. Liberals have missed the point that winning by default over chaotic or corrupt…
Benjamin Haslem's insight:

Wells Haslem Special Counsel and former Liberal Party Federal MP and Senator, Michael Baume, warns the Libs need more reform if they are to do more than simply defeat dysfunctional Labor State and Federal Governments.

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Antony Green's Election Blog: How Bob Carr Resigning Would Create Two Senate Vacancies

Antony Green's Election Blog: How Bob Carr Resigning Would Create Two Senate Vacancies | Government Relations | Scoop.it
If Bob Carr were to resign from the Senate, he would create two vacancies, one for his current ter, and one for his next term starting on 1 July 2014.
Benjamin Haslem's insight:

Antony Green has found a curious constitutional question. One with some interesting historical precedents.

"If Senator Carr resigns before July 2014, he would be creating two Senate vacancies, one for his current term expiring on 30 June 2014, and a second for the new six-year term to which he was elected on 7 September, its start date being 1 July 2014."

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Julia Gillard: power, purpose and Labor’s future

Julia Gillard: power, purpose and Labor’s future | Government Relations | Scoop.it
Exclusive: Australia's former prime minister breaks her silence, writing exclusively for Guardian Australia on her legacy, her hopes for a new Labor leader … and the pain of losing power
Benjamin Haslem's insight:
Quotes: Labor comes to opposition having sent the Australian community a very cynical and shallow message about its sense of purpose. The decision by Labor caucus to change leaders in June this year was not done on the basis of embracing a new policy agenda; it was not done because caucus now believed Kevin Rudd had the greater talent for governing. Caucus's verdict of 2010 on that was not being revoked. It was only done - indeed expressly done - on the basis that Labor might do better at the election. Labor unambiguously sent a very clear message that it cared about nothing other than the prospects of survival of its members of parliament at the polls. No alternate purpose was articulated during the election campaign that made sense to the Australian people. Kevin clearly felt constrained in running on those policies where Labor had won the national conversation, because those policies were associated with me. Yet there was not one truly original new idea to substitute as the lifeblood of the campaign.
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Battleground Western Sydney

Battleground Western Sydney | Government Relations | Scoop.it

Less than 48 hours out from the Federal Election it is worth revisiting Wells Haslem's Special Counsel, Michael Baume's piece in our magazine The Shell, outlining an Australian Electoral Commission study that revealed Labor would have lost the 2010 Federal Election but for a large number of deliberate informal protest votes in western Sydney. The challenge for the ALP in 2013 is to win those disillusioned supporters back.

Benjamin Haslem's insight:

How will it play out on Saturday?

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Step Up for Labor: Five days to go.

Step Up for Labor: Five days to go. | Government Relations | Scoop.it
Benjamin Haslem's insight:

Kevin Rudd makes a pitch to Labor supporters to volunteer on election day. Many people make up their minds in those final few steps to the polling booth, Mr Rudd says.

If the opinon polls are an indication, it seems most people are decided and it's not good for Labor. 

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LNP brings NSW ALP corruption to the fore

The Abbott Coalition's new attack ad reminds voters (if they needed to be) about the links between Obeid, Carr, Macca, Thommo and, of course Rudd.
Benjamin Haslem's insight:
It's all about reinforcing the damage to the Labor brand in NSW. With such a wrecked brand, people are harder to sway.
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Clive Palmer & Kyle Twerking

Wanna be Prime Minister and Billionaire Clive Palmer takes a Miley Cyrus inspired twerking lesson from Kyle Sandilands.
Benjamin Haslem's insight:

Peter Costello had the Macerena with Kerri-Anne Kennerley. Now Clive Palmer has twerking with Kyle Sandilands. Not sure how this will play with Clive's constituents. Can't see first-time-voters being too interested in Clive's populist policies.

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Heir falls short of his mentors

Heir falls short of his mentors | Government Relations | Scoop.it

The reason Abbott cannot state a coherent and detailed philosophical approach to governing that links key policies, philosophy and values is because at the heart of his pitch for government is a contradiction between political rhetoric and policy reality.

This has been exposed in three key areas: the failure to rebut the claim of a hole in the Coalition's policy costings; the overly generous and poorly designed paid parental leave policy; and the folly of the direct action climate change policy.

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Benjamin Haslem's insight:

Troy Bramston highlights the three big weaknesses in the Coalition's pitch to voters. Given the state of the ALP, it probably won't matter in terms of electoral sense. But it raises serious questions about what Abbott will need to do if the L/NP win on 7 September

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Voters reject Rudd factor | smh.com.au

Voters reject Rudd factor | smh.com.au | Government Relations | Scoop.it
Federal Labor's hopes that the reinstatement of Kevin Rudd would put the party in a competitive position at the September 7 election are in retreat, as new polling commissioned by Fairfax Media in four hotly-contested Sydney seats shows ALP candidates lagging their Coalition rivals in three of them, with Tony Abbott trumping Mr Rudd as preferred Prime Minister.
Benjamin Haslem's insight:
The Sydney Morning Herald, Fin Review and The Weekend Australian have all reported dysfunction in the ALP Federal Election Campaign in the past 24 hours. Now polling suggests Labor faces a major rout in metro Sydney.
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GFC 'created perfect storm behind subsidy blowout' pay wall

THE global financial crisis caused a breakdown in government discipline that has led to an explosion in the number of subsidies to industries ranging from motor vehicles to wind farms and coastal shipping.
Benjamin Haslem's insight:
"The re-emergence of a 'rent-seeking society' poses a bigger threat to the future living standards of Australians than the ageing of our population or the vicissitudes of world markets," Professor Banks, who was formerly chairman of the Productivity Commission, said in a speech to the Economists Society in Melbourne last night. Is Tony Abbott's very generous paid maternity scheme just another example?
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ALP YouTube ad - What are you hiding Mr Abbott?

ALP YouTube ad - What are you hiding Mr Abbott? | Government Relations | Scoop.it
Benjamin Haslem's insight:
ALP scare ad that warns Tony Abbott will sack nurses and teachers. Only problem is the States hire nurses and teachers, not the Commonwealth ALP needs to be careful not to make claims that simply can't be true. Raise the issue about cuts in government spending by all means but ensure its spending that comes from Canberra and not the States. A 'scare' campaign must at least be rooted in reality.
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