With 2015 winding down, the debate over the gig economy has moved from W-2 versus 1099 into a potent look at whether talent platforms will lead us to a flexible work utopia or a systematic transfer of risk from companies to freelancers. Looming behind this debate is a potentially bigger job disruption via robotics and automation.
As the world of world is set to continue to change, there has been speculation as to what will the workplace of the future look like in 2016 and beyond. BrightHR, Lynda Gratton – professor of management practice at London Business School, The Hotspots Movement and futurologist David Smith, have produced a vision of what the future of work will look like, and what trends are emerging so we can future-proof businesses.
2015 was a turning point year for machine learning. Check it out: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8BFzu9m52sc Based on Andrej Karpathy's "NeuralTalk2" code, as modified by Kyle McDonald: a Brooklyn-based artist who "works in code". Neuraltalk uses GPUs - another breakthrough for 2015, where my (and probably your!) laptop took a big leap in performance.
Get ready for companies that run themselves. But will the autonomous economy set us all free, or just make the rich richer?
Peter Thompson's insight:
Decentralised Autonomous Companies or DAC's are not too far away according to the Bitcoin proponents - how far could this distributed self-managing framework be integrated into our society - will government be made obsolete?
A new artificially intelligent computer system called 'Amelia' – that can read and understand text, follow processes, solve problems and learn from experience – could replace humans in a wide range of low-level jobs...
Can a Robot Be Your Boss? Knowledge@Wharton Widely used software is analyzing customer data for algorithms, which in turn is changing when and where workers are deployed. Connect the dots, and the image of an objective, all-knowing and fully ...
An urgent public dialogue is unfolding about the state of the US workforce and its prospects for the next decade as a result of changing labor dynamics, growth of on-demand workers, and erosion of middle class wages and access to benefits.
To support those conversations and to set an agenda for 2016 and beyond, IFTF's Workable Futures Initiative, has created a new report: 10 Strategies for a Workable Future.
om 40 years of research on the future of work and technology and builds on IFTF’s latest ethnography, workshops, and forecasts. The ten strategies were synthesized after a Workable Futures Initiative convening in October of over 70 well-known thought leaders, technologists, and social inventors.
Something-something 'robot overlords' .Data analysts Nomura Research Institute (NRI), led by researcher Yumi Wakao, figure that within the next 20 years, nearly half of all jobs in Japan could be accomplished by robots. Working with Professor Michael Osborne from Oxford University, who had previously investigated the same matterin both the US and UK, the NRI team examined more than 600 jobs and found that "up to 49 percent of jobs could be replaced by computer systems," according to Wakao..
The topic of job displacement has, throughout US history, ignited frustration over technological advances and their tendency to make traditional jobs obsolete; artisans protested textile mills in the early 19th century, for example. In recent years, start-ups and the high-tech industry have become the focus of this discussion. A recent Pew Research Center study found that technology experts are almost evenly split on whether robots and artificial intelligence will displace a significant number of jobs over the next decade, so there is plenty of room for debate. What follows is an edited transcript plus video clips of a conversation on this topic, moderated by McKinsey Global Institute partner Michael Chui and MGI director James Manyika. The participants were Martin Baily, senior fellow, economic studies, Brookings Institution; Richard Cooper, Maurits C. Boas Professor of International Economics, Harvard University; Curtis Carlson, former president and CEO, SRI International; Reid Hoffman, cofounder and executive chairman, LinkedIn; Tim O’Reilly, founder and CEO, O’Reilly Media; Matt Slaughter, associate dean of faculty, Tuck School of Business; Laura Tyson, professor of business administration and economics, Haas Business and Public Policy Group, University of California, Berkeley; and Vivek Wadhwa, fellow, Arthur & Toni Rembe Rock Center for Corporate Governance, Stanford University.
Via Denis Pennel
The top United Nations official in Geneva has urged bold action by diplomats at the start of the world body's first ever meeting on Lethal Autonomous Weapons (LAWS), better known as “killer robots,” telling them: “You have the opportunity to take pre-emptive action and ensure that the ultimate decision to end life remains firmly under human control.”
“Organizations have been trying to reduce their labor costs for decades, but something feels very different about the new Digital reality in which we operate.”
Via Marylene Delbourg-Delphis, Peter Thompson
Tremendous forces are radically reshaping the world of work as we know it. Disruptive innovations are creating new industries and business models and destroying old ones. New technologies, data analytics and social networks are having a huge impact on how we communicate, collaborate and work. Many of the roles and job titles of tomorrow will be ones we’ve not even thought of yet.
This PWC report takes you on a journey to 2022 and explores how the changing business landscape will impact your people management strategy. What path will you take?
This is big. A computer program has successfully managed to fool a bunch of researchers into thinking that it was a 13-year-old boy named Eugene Goostman. In doing so, it has become the first in the world to have successfully passed the Turing Test.
Peter Thompson's insight:
Are we now at the inflection point of computers taking on human persona? Gulp!
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