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Rescooped by David Hain from The Great Transition

New Lens Scenarios - Shell Global

New Lens Scenarios - Shell Global | Positive futures | Scoop.it

"With the world’s population headed toward 9 billion at mid-century and millions of people climbing out of poverty, global energy demand could increase by as much as 80% by 2050. That’s according to Shell’s latest scenarios, which look at trends in the economy, politics and energy in considering developments over the next half a century."

Via Willy De Backer
Willy De Backer's curator insight, March 9, 2013 3:35 AM

In its latest New Lens scenarios, Shell recognises the existence of "ecological limits" to growth and confirms 2 degrees warming target is unreachable.

Rescooped by David Hain from Wild Resiliency

The World Bank's Shocking, Cautionary Tale on Climate Change

The World Bank's Shocking, Cautionary Tale on Climate Change | Positive futures | Scoop.it
Like the Ghost of Christmas Future, the World Bank has just provided us with a frightening glimpse into our world-to-be if, unlike Scrooge, we fail to change our ways.


The new World Bank report "Turn down the heat: why a 4°C warmer world must be avoided" stands in stark contrast to all fossil-fuel friendly policies of this and other international and national governance bodies. And the silence in the media about the coming Doha summit on climate change is deafening.

Via Willy De Backer, Larry Glover
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Rescooped by David Hain from Mapmakers

Stop Cataclysmic Climate Change: Take Action Now - Jim Kim

Stop Cataclysmic Climate Change: Take Action Now - Jim Kim | Positive futures | Scoop.it

   This week the World Bank released a new scientific report that paints a sobering picture of our future if we fail to “Turn Down the Heat” (http://bit.ly/UO5GNq) and put the brakes on climate change. With greenhouse gas emissions still rising, the world is barreling down a path to heat up by 4 degrees Celsius by the end of the century. That could trigger cataclysmic changes – extreme heat waves, crop-choking droughts, rising seas and floods affecting hundreds of millions of people.


   This isn’t a future any of us wants for our children. The World Bank commissioned the report by the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research to help us understand the science and the potential impact of a 4-degree world.

   One conclusion was that the poorest countries and the poorest people are expected to suffer the most. The report foresees inundated coastal cities, increasing risks to food production, water scarcity in many regions, more frequent tropical cyclones, and irreversible loss of biodiversity. Some of the most vulnerable cities are in Mozambique, Madagascar, Mexico, Venezuela, India, Bangladesh, Indonesia, the Philippines and Vietnam.


Via Peter Hoeve
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