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1964-2014 - Prédictions d'Asimov

1964-2014 - Prédictions d'Asimov | Notebook | Scoop.it

 

Le 16 août 1964, Isaac Asimov (d’origine russe, mais naturalisé américain), l’un des plus grands auteurs de science-fiction de tous les temps, tentait de prédire le monde tel qu’il serait en 2014.

 

49 ans plus tard, ses pronostics ont été republiés par le New York Times.

 

Verdict : Asimov est tellement proche de la réalité que c’en est presque effrayant.

 

Voici quelques citations :

 

— En 2014, seuls des vaisseaux sans équipage humain auront atterri sur Mars, même si une expédition humaine sera en préparation et une colonie martienne déjà imaginée ;

 

— Les robots ne seront pas très communs ni très performants, mais ils seront bien là ;

 

— Pour de courtes distances, des « trottoirs roulants » feront leur apparition dans les centres-ville ;

 

— On se focalisera de plus en plus sur les moyens de transport qui ont le moins de contact avec le sol ;

 

— Des satellites synchronisés, en orbite, rendront possibles les appels directs partout sur la planète ;

 

— Les communications seront à la fois visuelles et auditives. Vous pourrez à la fois voir et entendre la personne à qui vous téléphonez. Les écrans serviront non seulement à communiquer, mais aussi à consulter des documents, lire des livres, regarder des photos ;

 

— En fait, en 2014, il est fort probable que lors des grandes expositions, des télévisions 3D à taille humaine diffuseront des ballets ;

 

— En 2014, il sera fort probable que la population mondiale atteigne les 6 milliards 500 millions. Celle des États-Unis sera probablement autour des 350 millions ;

 

— Des repas entiers, semi-préparés, pourront être stockés au frigo et prêts à être consommés. Les équipements de cuisine pourront préparer des « repas automatiques », chauffer l’eau et en faire du café ;

 

— Les appareils électriques n’auront plus besoin de fil électrique pour fonctionner, évidemment ;

 

— Beaucoup d’énergie aura été investie pour créer des véhicules avec des « robot-brains » (cerveaux mécanisés)…

 

Internet et autres prévisions :

Si Isaac Asimov n’a pas évoqué Internet en 1964, il l’a fait 25 ans plus tard, lors d’une interview télévisée. Et, une fois de plus, ses prédictions sont d’une incroyable précision. Même en connaissant le génie de l’auteur du Cycle des robots et du Cycle de Fondation, la précision de ces prédictions a de quoi surprendre.

 

Mais ce serait oublier qu’Isaac Asimov a quasiment inventé la robotique et les trois lois qui la régissent. Ce serait aussi oublier que les histoires de l’auteur, qui a connu un succès international, ont inspiré et influencé des scientifiques, des industriels et des artistes...

 

Pour les fans, c’est en tout cas très clair : Isaac Asimov était soit un membre de la Seconde fondation soit un historien du futur qui a trouvé un moyen de voyager dans le passé. Ça, ou alors le fait qu’il était d’une intelligence rare...

 

----------------- 

 

Les illustrations des citations reprises ci-dessus ont été rencontrées dans le texte écrit par Victor Garcia.  Pour en prendre connaissance, veuillez cliquer sur le titre de l’article. 

 

Duc

 


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Notebook
a personal notebook since summer 2013, a virtual scrapbook
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This notebook..

is a personal Notebook

For your information, I will be transfering scoops of the OKCC/C3O topic to my Notebook, in order to open a private space for the Biocluster of ICSU

Gilbert C FAURE's insight:

... designed to collect posts and informations I found and want to keep available but not relevant to the other topics I am curating on Scoop.it (on behalf of ASSIM):

 

the most sucessful being

Immunology, teaching and learning immunology

http://www.scoop.it/t/immunology

and

From flow cytometry to cytomics

http://www.scoop.it/t/from-flow-cytometry-to-cytomics

Immunology and Biotherapies, a page of resources for the DIU 

 http://www.scoop.it/t/immunology-and-biotherapies

 

followed by

Nancy, Lorraine

 http://www.scoop.it/t/nancy-lorraine

I am based at Université Lorraine in Nancy

 

Wuhan, Hubei,

 http://www.scoop.it/t/wuhan

because we have a long standing collaboration through a french speaking medical training program between Faculté de Médecine de Nancy and WuDA, Wuhan university medical school and Zhongnan Hospital

  

CME-CPD,

 http://www.scoop.it/t/cme-cpd

because I am at EACCME in Brussels, representative of the medical biopathology and laboratory medicine UEMS section

 

Mucosal Immunity,

 http://www.scoop.it/t/mucosal-immunity

because it was one of our main research interest some years ago 

 

It is a kind of electroinic scrapbook with many ideas shared by others. thanks to them

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Anne-Sophie Pic, France's three-Michelin-starred chef: 'opening in London is the ultimate challenge'

Anne-Sophie Pic, France's three-Michelin-starred chef: 'opening in London is the ultimate challenge' | Notebook | Scoop.it
Anne-Sophie Pic – dressed in chef’s whites, with her hair scraped back into a ballet-dancer bun – is leaning over the counter in her brand-new, all-white kitchen, preparing soft-boiled eggs with wild mushrooms and a ginger-and geranium-infused consommé.
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Who will keep predatory science journals at bay now that Jeffrey Beall's blog is gone?

Who will keep predatory science journals at bay now that Jeffrey Beall's blog is gone? | Notebook | Scoop.it
A leading website that monitored predatory open access journals has closed. This will make it harder to keep tabs on this corrosive force within science.
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This is what it looks like when society collapses

This is what it looks like when society collapses | Notebook | Scoop.it
Business Insider France est un site d’information sur l’économie, les technologies, les entrepreneurs, l’innovation, les découvertes et bien plus encore. En texte, en images, en vidéos et en graphiques, de l’actualité essentielle et percutante.
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The Benefits of Twitter for Scientists » American Scientist

The Benefits of Twitter for Scientists » American Scientist | Notebook | Scoop.it
The Benefits of Twitter for Scientists

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usage of twitter is indeed growing to circulate information, and why not teach and learn
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Archives numériques : Europeana lance une radio avec 200 000 musiques

Archives numériques : Europeana lance une radio avec 200 000 musiques | Notebook | Scoop.it
Europeana lance une radio contenant 200 000 contenus musicaux issus des archives audio européennes.  La bibliothèque numérique européenne n’a de cesse
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The brand new Webicina.com: Curating social media for patients and physicians

The brand new Webicina.com: Curating social media for patients and physicians | Notebook | Scoop.it

In 2008, I was a fifth year medical student and had a simple idea. I thought curated social media resources should be available to patients and physicians for free. My sister helped me launch a company and development of Webicina started right away. For six years, I treated it like a startup but eventually realized, making it free from advertisements and promotional content is the only way to make it purely educational.


In the last two years, I sat down with the best designers, developers and content strategists to redesignWebicina. I’m happy to announce that we’ve used your suggestions to transform Webicina into a constant feed of the best medical news and advice online, hand-picked by our experts.


We now help you solve all 3 of the major problems patients and physicians face when looking for answers to their health questions or browse medical news:

1) There’s too much information out there. People from cancer patients, patient influencers to leading researchers have told us that managing dozens of blogs, newsletters and social media grows old – fast. Webicina collects the latest news from the best, most reliable sources into one, easily manageable magazine. Start browsing your news feed! >>

2) It’s hard to tell facts from falsehoods. Google and other search engines can only gauge a site’s importance based on popularity – and have no way to decide about it’s medical factuality. It’s easy to mistake biased information or plain falsehoods for facts, and this can lead to severe consequences for your health or patients. That’s why our experts sift through thousands of news sites, blogs, podcasts and social media accounts, separating the ones with reliable information from the ones peddling false advice. Select the conditions or medical fields you’re interested in! >>

3) Saving or sharing useful medical information isn’t easy. Each of us want to stay healthy and live better. We all have communities, loved ones or patients we’d like to help do the same. But over time, this can get hectic, and it’s easy to lose important information among dozens of notes and bookmarks. Any information you find on Webicina can be saved, organized and shared with anyone with a click. Start by saving a useful blog post, news articles or tweet that made you think! >>

 

I cannot wait to hear what you think! You’d help greatly by telling me what you love and what we need to improve.



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A serendipitous demonstration of the power of social media in the classroom

A serendipitous demonstration of the power of social media in the classroom | Notebook | Scoop.it
“Social media is a waste of time”, “You should be writing grants”, “Spend more time at the bench and less time on Twitter” I don’t really want to wade into…

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ScienceOpen

ScienceOpen | Notebook | Scoop.it
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including collections... curated papers from their database, without the grey literature and the society
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Beall’s List of Predatory Publishers 2017

Beall’s List of Predatory Publishers 2017 | Notebook | Scoop.it
by Jeffrey Beall, January 3, 2017. Each year at this time I formally announce my updated list of predatory publishers. Because the publisher list is now very large, and because I now publish four, continuously-updated lists, the annual releases do not include the actual lists but instead include statistical and explanatory data about the lists…
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Discovering All 59 National Parks

"Conor Knighton is winding up his year-long journey through our National Parks. He's returned with a backpack full of picture postcards, along with some thoughts."


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Seth Dixon's curator insight, January 6, 8:30 AM

This last summer, my family went to five national parks on our cross-country journeys.  I love exploring the wonders and beauties in our National Parks, so this man's 2016 voyage to see all 59 National Parks makes me incredibly jealous.  My grandparents took me to Yellowstone and Yosemite when I was young.  These trips inspired in me a deep awe for the wonders of this Earth.  So go discover someplace new to you this year.  

 

Tags: place, tourismvideo, geo-inspiration.

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Infobesity: The enemy of good decisions - Bain Brief

Infobesity: The enemy of good decisions - Bain Brief | Notebook | Scoop.it
Companies have overindulged in information and are paying the price in poor performance. A decision-focused approach can stem the torrent of data and keep people focused on what matters most.
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New resource for research in healthcare social media – #hcsmR

New resource for research in healthcare social media – #hcsmR | Notebook | Scoop.it
For all you researchers out there, we've just launched a new project in collaboration with Stanford Medicine X to further research in healthcare social med
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Ötzi the Iceman Was Making Prosciutto Over 5,000 Years Ago

Ötzi the Iceman Was Making Prosciutto Over 5,000 Years Ago | Notebook | Scoop.it
He may have lived a very rough-and-tumble life – but at least he had access to delicious cured meats.
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Plotting the World By Airports

T7 billion people on our planet, and that number is increasing daily, different travel requirements, routes and landmarks are clearly represented on whatever
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Academic networks contest: ResearchGate vs. Academia vs. Mendeley

Academic networks contest: ResearchGate vs. Academia vs. Mendeley | Notebook | Scoop.it
As university professor, with great pressure to publish in academic journals, I find academic generalist networks essential, such as ResearchGate, Academia.edu or Mendeley, which help me to: Disseminate on the web my published articles to try to obtain citations and name among the scientific community in my field of expertise Find research papers quickly and easily…
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When to go to Rome: a month-by-month guide of when to visit – An American in Rome

When to go to Rome: a month-by-month guide of when to visit – An American in Rome | Notebook | Scoop.it
I am a bit biased, but I don’t think there is really a bad time to go to... Read More
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After Oso Landslide, Washington Offers Online Access to Topographical Maps

After Oso Landslide, Washington Offers Online Access to Topographical Maps | Notebook | Scoop.it
Washington's Department of Natural Resources is following through with a key safety recommendation that arose in the aftermath of the Oso mudslide, as it s
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Integrating digital literacy into medical education

Integrating digital literacy into medical education | Notebook | Scoop.it

Bertalan Mesko, MD, PhD, has cracked the code on convincing medical students that digital literacy skills are equally as important as clinical knowledge. Seats in his Social MEDia course fill up within 45 seconds of registration opening. Former students report a 100 percent satisfaction rate with the class, and 80 percent of those enrolling in the course heard about it from a classmate. How does Mesko do it? As it turns out: daily educational challenges promoted on Facebook, an arsenal of high-tech gadgets and lots of chocolate.

On Thursday at Stanford Medicine X|ED, Mesko shared his secrets with medical educators on how to develop a digital literacy curriculum that will engage millennial learners and keep pace with the ever-changing landscape.

A self-describe medical futurist, Mesko launched his class on social media in medicine in 2008 when Facebook and Twitter were still in their infancy. “I wanted to design the curriculum for students to prepare them for the future that is coming toward us,” he said. “My goal was to help them understand how to use these tools to be more productive and stay up to-date.”

Early on, the curriculum centered on his experience with social media tools, such as blogging, Twitter and Facebook. But as the field of digital media and medical devices has evolved, so has the class. These days, he’s constantly updating the coursework to the point where he never gives the same lecture twice. “Platforms come and go, but it’s the concepts and practices that really matter,” said Mesko, who teaches at Semmelweis University in Hungary. “Whenever I talk about these topics, I do everything live.”

Most students have been active on Facebook, Twitter, Instagram, Snapchat and other social media accounts, long before they enroll in Mesko’s class. However, he still believes it’s important to provide an introduction to social media; discuss search engines and the Google story; and provide instruction on medical blogging, crowdsourcing and mobile health.

“Students need some fundamental digital knowledge before diving into the topics of e-patients and how to empower patients,” said Mesko, author of the recently released book My Health: Upgraded . “Additionally, many students don’t fully understand the privacy polices of these services. I tell them to remember that there is no difference between offline or online conduct.”

There’s never a dull moment in Mesko’s class. He leverages his 51,000 Twitter followers to demonstrate how to crowdsource a medical problem. He publicly shares his genomic and microbiome test results. He lets students try on an EGG headset and then sets a drone free to roam the room. He gives students digital assignment during class and provides decision trees to let them guide the discussion. And, let’s not forget about the chocolates. Mesko gives two high-quality Swiss chocolates for each presentation, as well as other tasks. “It’s like a circus! They love it,” he exclaims.

As the conference master class came to a close, Mesko offered a simple roadmap to use in designing a digital literacy class for medical students. The first step is to determine what the curriculum should include. Next, identify what digital methods will be used. Then, decide how to evaluate the results. Finally, create a plan for how and when to measure students’ knowledge.

Those interested in expanding, or testing, their own digital literacy can take the Social MEDia Course online. Several thousands worldwide have completed the online version of the course. Sadly, the online curriculum lacks drones and chocolates. But you can earn virtual badges and, if you pass all the tests, you’ll be rewarded with the “ultimate expert” badge.

More news about the conference is available in the Medicine X category. Those unable to attend the event in person can watch via webcast; registration for the Global Access Program webcast is free. We’ll also be live tweeting the keynotes and other proceedings from the conference; you can follow our tweets on the @StanfordMed feed.

Photo by Stanford Medicine X

- See more at: http://scopeblog.stanford.edu/2015/09/25/integrating-digital-literacy-into-medical-education/#sthash.7yQcGahu.dpuf



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Ancient retroviruses emerged half a billion years ago

Ancient retroviruses emerged half a billion years ago | Notebook | Scoop.it
This group of viruses is hundreds of millions of years older than previously thought.
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Rescooped by Gilbert C FAURE from Viruses and Bioinformatics from Virology.uvic.ca
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Can we replace curation with information extraction software?

Can we use programs for automated or semi-automated information extraction from scientific texts as practical alternatives to professional curation? I show that error rates of current information extraction programs are too high to replace professional curation today. Furthermore, current IEP programs extract single narrow slivers of information, such as individual protein interactions; they cannot extract the large breadth of information extracted by professional curators for databases such as EcoCyc. They also cannot arbitrate among conflicting statements in the literature as curators can. Therefore, funding agencies should not hobble the curation efforts of existing databases on the assumption that a problem that has stymied Artificial Intelligence researchers for more than 60 years will be solved tomorrow. Semi-automated extraction techniques appear to have significantly more potential based on a review of recent tools that enhance curator productivity. But a full cost-benefit analysis for these tools is lacking. Without such analysis it is possible to expend significant effort developing information-extraction tools that automate small parts of the overall curation workflow without achieving a significant decrease in curation costs.

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curation is curation and curation?
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Using The Internet To Your Cancer Advantage | Anti-Cancer Club

Using The Internet To Your Cancer Advantage | Anti-Cancer Club | Notebook | Scoop.it
When it comes to cancer, the internet is your friend. That doesn’t mean that you should believe everything you see, or trust every site you visit. You still need to be discerning.  But let’s look at the ways that the web is revolutionizing the cancer experience for patients.  Information Sites such as the NI
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« Mieux partager l’IST » : Enquête nationale conjointe auprès des Universités, Organismes et Ecoles d’Ingénieurs sur le Partage et la Gestion des ressources d’IST

« Mieux partager l’IST » : Enquête nationale conjointe auprès des Universités, Organismes et Ecoles d’Ingénieurs sur le Partage et la Gestion des ressources d’IST | Notebook | Scoop.it
Dans un pré-rapport « Mieux partager l’IST », la Direction de l’information scientifique et technique du CNRS donne les résultats d’une enquête  nationale destinée à recueillir l’avis des universités, des Grandes Écoles et des EPST sur l’offre de services dans différents domaines d’activité en IST. Elle a permis : « De susciter et de partager des réponses à des … Continuer la lecture de « Mieux partager l’IST » : Enquête nationale conjointe auprès des Universités, Organismes et Ecoles d’Ingénieurs sur le Partage et la Gestion des ressources d’IST →
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Le plus grand relevé numérique du ciel mis à disposition du public

Le plus grand relevé numérique du ciel mis à disposition du public | Notebook | Scoop.it

L'Institut d'Astronomie de l'Université de Hawaï et le Space Telescope Science Institute (STScI) viennent de rendre publiques les données du relevé Pan-STARRS (Panoramic Survey Telescope & Rapid Response System), le plus grand relevé numérique du ciel à ce jour, contenant plus de 3 milliards d'objets, étoiles de la Voie Lactée ou autres galaxies, des données désormais accessibles à tous.


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The Evolving Role of the Teacher

The Evolving Role of the Teacher | Notebook | Scoop.it
Most educators in our schools and district offices have gone through their own education without the access and opportunities that exist today. To meet the needs of the learners in our classrooms today and align school with the world we live in, there is a need to embrace new mindsets about learning, along with new…
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