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Trends and Predictions by Futurist Thomas Frey » 2 Billion Jobs to Disappear by 2030

Trends and Predictions by Futurist Thomas Frey » 2 Billion Jobs to Disappear by 2030 | Metaperformance | Scoop.it

2 billion jobs disappearing (approx. 50% of the world's jobs) it was intended as a wakeup call about how quickly things are about to change.  Academia ~ the battle ahead will be taking place at YOUR doorstep.

 

A search for comments on The End of Work: The Decline of the Global Labor Force and the Dawn of the Post-Market Era, a non-fiction book by American economist Jeremy Rifkin reminded me of Bob Johansen, Futurist and also led me to another Futurist, Thomas Frey.

 

Here are excerpts from Frey's TEDx talk:

 

The article includes a brief overview of five (5) industries – where the jobs will be going away and the jobs that will likely replace at least some of them – over the coming decades.


1) Power Industry

 

Jobs Going Away

Power generation plants will begin to close down. Coal plants will begin to close down. Many railroad and transportation workers will no longer be needed. Even wind farms, natural gas, and bio-fuel generators will begin to close down. Ethanol plants will be phased out or repurposed. Utility company engineers, gone. Line repairmen, gone.

 

New Jobs Created

Manufacturing power generation units the size of ac units will go into full production. Installation crews will begin to work around the clock. The entire national grid will need to be taken down (a 20 year project). Much of it will be recycled and the recycling process alone will employ many thousands of people. Micro-grid operations will open in every community requiring a new breed of engineers, managers, and regulators.      

2) Automobile Transportation – Going Driverless

  

Over the next 10 years we will see the first wave of autonomous vehicles hit the roads, with some of the first inroads made by vehicles that deliver packages, groceries, and fast-mail envelopes.

    

3) Education

...courses are becoming a commodity. Teachers only need to teach once, record it, and then move on to another topic or something else. ...we are transitioning from a teaching model to a learning model. Why do we need to wait for a teacher to take the stage in the front of the room when we can learn whatever is of interest to us at any moment?

   

Teaching requires experts. Learning only requires coaches.

   

Jobs Going Away

Teachers. Trainers. Professors.

  

New Jobs Created

Coaches. Course designers. Learning camps     4) 3D Printers
Three-dimensional printing makes it as cheap to create single items as it is to produce thousands of items and thus undermines economies of scale. It may have as profound an impact on the world as the coming of the factory did during the Henry Ford era.

    5) Bots
We are moving quickly past the robotic vacuum cleaner stage to far more complex machines.

   
Read more, Thomas Frey - Futurist Speaker (http://s.tt/1imN0)

 

Enrich your perspective on change planning, facilitating, organizing, implementing or sustaining especially when dealing with demanding deadlines and short staffing.

 

Contact Deb Nystrom here for an initial consultation, without obligation.


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Victoria Morgia Jamolod-Umbo's comment, October 7, 2012 12:19 AM
The worst is yet to come. Hopefully,we will still survive with this prediction. Indeed, the inventions of human beings are not totally beneficial to human beings. It is amazing, but sad to consider....
Deb Nystrom, REVELN's comment, October 7, 2012 9:36 PM
@Victoria, we will adapt, but we will not ALL adapt. Hopefully education in some areas will catch up sooner, rather than later, to help us make the changes we need, learning the skills at the right time.
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Streamlining Business Processes for Growth

With every passing year we find ourselves facing new and interesting challenges when it comes to business. Good article for identifying many of the key processes you should have up and running effectively in your business.


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Collective Presencing: A New Human Capacity

Collective Presencing: A New Human Capacity | Metaperformance | Scoop.it

This is the first in a series of articles introducing the phenomenon and practice of Collective Presencing, a new capacity evolving in humanity at this time. Great thinkers have foreseen its coming—we recognise it in Aurobindo’s descent of the supramental and Teilhard de Chardin’s noosphere. But what exactly do those terms mean? Where these gifted individuals intuited and envisioned the birth of this new collective capacity at the dawn of the last century, we are now starting to be able to describe it from experience. While many might recognise the phenomenon from transpersonal group work and other such practices, so far as we are aware, this is the first attempt to articulate it as a path and a set of capacities that can be intentionally developed...

 

this is one of the best and finest descriptions I have read in a long time. Thanks Helen...AC


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Lena Kaufmann's curator insight, August 27, 2013 8:48 AM

The widening movement expands the individual’s embrace, going through the deepening practices of observing, honouring and living what is, described above, starting with my relationship to myself, and panning out to include my relationship with others, with the group, and with future potential. - See more at: http://www.kosmosjournal.org/articles/collective-presencing-a-new-human-capacity#sthash.sSTjSGfm.dpuf

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Creativity: products, processes and people

Creativity: products, processes and people | Metaperformance | Scoop.it

The study of creativity is sometimes classified as focusing on small c, everyday creativity; or as aiming to entangle the enigma of genius or big C creativity.


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Integral Transformation Processes and Theory U

Integral Transformation Processes and Theory U | Metaperformance | Scoop.it
- Praxis Paper | Futurable Planet: Answers from a Shifted Paradigm. Resistance and Immunity to Change patterns mapped out listing practical tools for choaches, leadership trainers, trim tabs , change agents.    What do you think?

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Leadership Challenges: Embrace paradoxes to move forward

Leadership Challenges: Embrace paradoxes to move forward | Metaperformance | Scoop.it

"This provocative post highlights current business paradoxes challenging leaders:  change or remain stable, complexity versus simplicity, growth and sustainability and more."

 

After seeing evidence of our increasingly VUCA world, one that is growing in its Volatile, Uncertain, Complex and Ambiguous characteristics, this useful list of paradoxes resonates.  Does it resonate to your experience?

 

___________________________

  

Leaders must find ways to deal with this complexity and embrace and manage it to achieve simplicity.

___________________________

   

 

Excerpted:

  

Paradox 1: growth versus sustainability

Growth as it is currently defined tends to result in an unquestioned and unchecked consumption of resources. Sustainability considerations are generally considered to put a major strain on growth ambitions.

 

The way forward is innovation, but another paradox present itself:

  

Paradox 2: innovating versus operating

Innovation is increasingly about service, process, business model and social innovation.

However, focusing on innovation does not mean ignoring operations. The trick is that what allows operations to thrive can seriously get in the way of innovation and vice versa.

  

Paradox 3:  change versus continuity

If you try to innovate too many things at once you will end up with chaos, if you do not change at all your organisation will decline. What is the right balance?

  

Paradox 4: collaboration versus competition

Business is inherently competitive yet today, collaboration is common, with most companies having collaborated with their suppliers and their customers. Leading companies are promoting collaboration through crowdsourcing or with competitors.

  

Paradox 5: complexity versus simplicity

Demands on leaders result in increasing levels of complexity, arising from the number of possible, unpredictable interactions between collaborate, compete; change, remain stable; innovation or operational excellence; growth or sustainability. Leaders must find ways to deal with this complexity and embrace and manage it to achieve simplicity.

  

Paradox 6: Heart versus mind

Decisions need to be made in the face of incomplete analysis, unpredictable outcomes and changing circumstances. The foundations for analysis and factual arguments differ from emotional and visionary engagement; people who excel at one are not necessarily particularly good at the other and yet both are needed.

  

Read the full article by Dr Bettina von Stamm here.


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Intuit's Scott Cook on Failed Global Expansion: 'We Should've Known Better' [VIDEO]

Intuit's Scott Cook on Failed Global Expansion: 'We Should've Known Better' [VIDEO] | Metaperformance | Scoop.it

Intuit founder Scott Cook and what went wrong the first time they rolled out the company's Quicken tax prep software worldwide.

 

It would see cultural due diligence was the lesson learned here.  

 

______________________________

   

We can launch,  ....but then the sales slowed way down.  

______________________________ 

   

Yes, it seems it was a ethnocentric blind spot.  Paraphrased:  ONLY in the US did we studying the customer & give them exactly what they wanted.  We didn't do that overseas.  

 

    

Excerpted:

   

We'd get meetings of our global teams together…  We could launch, could get the press, we could fill the channel, we'd get initial evidence.

   

But then the sales slowed way down.   

   

Visiting the Japanese:  150 people crammed into the biggest room we had.   Strategy, plan, dream.  He asked for questions.  In Japan, they don't ask questions of the big guy.  Silence.

   

One engineer, finally, cautiously raised his hand:  Why does our product for Japan look just like an American product?  It was built for Americans, not Japanese.   …And he was right.  Ultimately the root cause problem was too hard to overcome.

   

The root cause was baked into our early decision.   …We build them based on what we knew in the U.S.

   

See the full video here.


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With Social ROI Tool, Adobe Takes on Salesforce

With Social ROI Tool, Adobe Takes on Salesforce | Metaperformance | Scoop.it
Adobe officially launched a new suite of marketing tools on Thursday called Adobe Social.

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Strategic Planning: Laying the Foundation with a Solid Environmental Scan - Huffington Post

Strategic Planning: Laying the Foundation with a Solid Environmental Scan - Huffington Post | Metaperformance | Scoop.it

The risk is that executives approach the planning process as an arena in which to "lobby" for their individual agendas and goals or for their personal "visions" for the company. The problem with this mindset is that it risks setting a tone of "debate" right from the beginning when what's needed is a calm, fact-based, assessment of your company's operating reality.

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Integral Ecologist as Spiritual Guide

Integral Ecologist as Spiritual Guide | Metaperformance | Scoop.it
Thomas Berry began speaking of an “integral ecology” in the mid-1990s.  For the most part, his understanding of integral ecology was expressed in lectures and conversations, not published texts.  O...

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Cosmic Revolutionaries - Jason Silva

Edited by Agape Satori https://www.facebook.com/agape.insitori www.AgapeSatori.org Narrated by Jason Silva https://www.facebook.com/jasonlsilva http://www.yo...

 

contagiously optimistic 

 


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What shall we call the thing that comes after conferences?

What shall we call the thing that comes after conferences? | Metaperformance | Scoop.it

… We’re tired of attending conferences and being talked at, when just about anyone in the audience could themselves be a speaker.  .....There is a growing group of people, let's call them/us culture hackers, who are living the new protocols and practices that reboot our heads and our hearts, so that change actually manifests on the outside. They're all over the place, and they have working prototypes. They're showing how it's done.

I want to go to gatherings where I can experience that.

 

 

 

good thoughts, Venessa Miemis. 


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Demystifying the Pattern(s) of Change: A Common Archetype

Demystifying the Pattern(s) of Change: A Common Archetype | Metaperformance | Scoop.it
We are all familiar with it because we have ridden its wave many times in our lives.  Some of us have developed the wisdom to embrace it when it arises; others are still resisting it, stricken by a...

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New processes for cost-efficient solar cell production

New processes for cost-efficient solar cell production | Metaperformance | Scoop.it
Many people answer with a resounding 'yes!' when asked if they want environmentally-friendly solar cell-based power – though it should be inexpensive. For this reason, a veritable price war is raging among the makers of photovoltaic cells.

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Can Crowdsourcing Resurrect Unused Patents?

Can Crowdsourcing Resurrect Unused Patents? | Metaperformance | Scoop.it
Some crowdsourcing competitions, like the X-Prize, ask people to come up with technological solutions to a problem.

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It's got to be about Why, not How: How Great Leaders Inspire Action, Simon Sinek

"Why FIRST:  Communication and the Golden Circle:  Why, How, What?  Inspire where others do not.  Profit is JUST a result NOT a reason for existing."

 

Simon's examples include Apple (why so innovative?), Martin Luther King (lead major change, Civil Rights movement), and the Wright brothers (controlled powered manned flight that others did not achieve, tho' were working on.)

 

_________________________

   

"The goal is to do business with people who believe what YOU believe." ~ Simon Sinek

_________________________

   

 

Apple:  NOT, What we do, great computers.  Want to buy one?

RATHER:  Everything we do, we believe in challenging the status quo, we believe thinking differently. The way we challenge the status quo is making products that are beautifully designed, simple to use & user friendly.  We happen to make computers.  Want to buy one?

 

Counterpoint Tivo, which (until a recent court victory that tripled its stock price) appeared to be struggling.  

   

http://www.ted.com Simon Sinek presents a simple but powerful model for how leaders inspire action, starting with a golden circle and the question "Why?" 

 

Source here.


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Robin Martin's comment, May 11, 2013 12:39 PM
Thanks Deb!