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The resilient society

The resilient society | Megatrends | Scoop.it
Nitin Bakshi has been studying how societies respond to disasters such as floods, terror strikes or economic slowdowns — and he’s now sharing some thoughts with a world looking for better ways to cope with such crises.
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Megatrends
A proactive look at the emerging global megatrends that will influence our future  
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Scooped by Kenneth Mikkelsen
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About Megatrends

About Megatrends | Megatrends | Scoop.it

The purpose of this site - Megatrends - is to highlight some of my favorite articles, videos, graphics and audio about megatrends influencing the future of business. 


Megatrends are our knowledge about the probable future.

 

Megatrends are the forces social, economic, political, environmental or technological change that define our present and future worlds.


As Yogi Berra was reported to have said, "The future ain't what it used to be."

 

                                                 ★★★★★


I believe that knowledge is everything. Knowledge is ideas. Knowledge is power. Knowledge is hope. 

But only if it is shared and applied.


That is why I created Megatrends on Scoop.it. My personal aim is to provide you with stories you can learn and grow from. The kind of stories that provokes personal reflection and constructive action. 

I'm co-founder of FutureShifts, a consultancy that helps visionary companies identify and tackle the big shifts in the world by cultivating the skills, mindsets, behaviors and organizational cultures needed to succeed in times of change.


You're welcome to connect via: 

 

LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/in/kennethmikkelsen

Google+: https://plus.google.com/+KennethMikkelsen

Twitter: www.twitter.com/LeadershipABC

 

I hope you'll be inspired.

 

Enjoy!

 

Kenneth

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The Machines Are Coming

The Machines Are Coming | Megatrends | Scoop.it

Low-wage jobs are no longer the only ones at risk.

Kenneth Mikkelsen's insight:

Machines aren’t used because they perform some tasks that much better than humans, but because, in many cases, they do a “good enough” job while also being cheaper, more predictable and easier to control than quirky, pesky humans. Technology in the workplace is as much about power and control as it is about productivity and efficiency.


I also encourage you to check out these related stories: 


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Gary Bamford's curator insight, April 20, 1:29 AM

Must start work on that ironing algorithm .....

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Why Automation Means We Need a New Economic Model

Why Automation Means We Need a New Economic Model | Megatrends | Scoop.it

The combination of advanced sensors, voice recognition, artificial intelligence, big data, text-mining, and pattern-recognition algorithms, is generating smart robots capable of quickly learning human actions, and even learning from one another.


If you think being a “professional” makes your job safe, think again.


Kenneth Mikkelsen's insight:

The economy toward which we’re hurtling — in which more and more is generated by fewer and fewer people who reap almost all the rewards, leaving the rest of us without enough purchasing power – can’t function.


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Miklos Szilagyi's curator insight, March 27, 3:23 AM

"...A future of almost unlimited production by a handful, for consumption by whoever can afford it, is a recipe for economic and social collapse.

Our underlying problem won’t be the number of jobs. It will be – it already is — the allocation of income and wealth.

What to do?

“Redistribution” has become a bad word.

But the economy toward which we’re hurtling — in which more and more is generated by fewer and fewer people who reap almost all the rewards, leaving the rest of us without enough purchasing power – can’t function..."

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How Design Fiction Imagines Future Technology

How Design Fiction Imagines Future Technology | Megatrends | Scoop.it

As technological choices become ever more complex, design fiction, not science, hints at the future we actually want.

Kenneth Mikkelsen's insight:

There are plenty of other examples of this effort to spur us to new thinking. In 2014, the Near Future Laboratory, a US-European design studio, published the TBD Catalog , an entire compendium of possible future products, from drone dog-walkers to environmentally sound seed-based feedstock for a 3D-printer. Other designers are committed to making actual objects or convincing mock-ups to think with. Either way, it is the detail that diverts. The 3D-printer cartridges, complete with model numbers and prices, look close enough to real adverts for things you’ve already bought to carry conviction. These finely textured depictions of the potential accoutrements of the future stimulate discussion in ways that earlier efforts to imagine technology often fail to do. They might even offer a more effective way to create futures we actually want.


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Ashley Jessica Beard's curator insight, March 26, 9:17 PM

How fictional designs impact the way that technology is designed and developed. 

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Future Value Generation Framework

The Future Value Framework explores how to use more efficiently the competitive advantage of time. Its goal: human and context centric value generation by integrating strategy, innovation and the future.


Kenneth Mikkelsen's insight:

Daniel Egger is doing some great work. He's the mastermind behind The Future Value Framework. Daniel will publish a book about the framework later in 2015. 


Meanwhile I encourage you to follow Daniel on Twitter here: @Daniel_Egger

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Reinventing Health Care: The Coevolution of Biology, Technology and Culture

We are living in a sci-fi world full of bionic limbs, wonder drugs, 3D-printed organs, lab-grown muscles, and brain-computer interfaces. 

The quality and longevity of life have never been more assured, as the field of health reaches a new zenith every day. 

Gene sequencing, brain mapping, and vitals tracking are quantifying and personalizing health faster than we can process it — and supercomputers are helping us make sense of it all, leading to new breakthroughs. 

Kenneth Mikkelsen's insight:

We are witnessing exponential growth in the field of health. We will all become citizen doctors, bionically enhanced and genetically hacked. 

This coevolution of technology and biology — accelerated by culture — will lead us to become the masters of our evolutionary destiny.


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Great Acceleration 2015

A decade ago, Nobel Prize-winning scientist Paul Crutzen first suggested we were living in the “Anthropocene,” a new geological epoch in which humans had altered the planet.


This Slideshare presentation highlights the trajectory of the Anthropocene and shows that the effects of the accelerating human changes are now clearly discernible at the Earth system level.



Kenneth Mikkelsen's insight:

Global change does not operate in isolation but rather interacts with an almost bewildering array of natural variability modes and also with other human-driven effects at many scales.


If you want to understand this topic more in depth I suggest you read my previous Scoop: Living in the Anthropocene: Toward a New Global Ethos.

 

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The Ethics of Autonomous Cars

The Ethics of Autonomous Cars | Megatrends | Scoop.it

Sometimes good judgment can compel us to act illegally. Should a self-driving vehicle get to make that same decision?

Kenneth Mikkelsen's insight:

Should we trust robotic cars to share our road, just because they are programmed to obey the law and avoid crashes? 


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“The Future of Everything”

“The Future of Everything” | Megatrends | Scoop.it

Read 50 experts discuss their visions for the future of everything from technology to the music industry.



Via David Hain
Kenneth Mikkelsen's insight:

In this collection, leading thinkers in fields from art to transportation offer their vision for what the decades ahead will look like.


  • Christopher Nolan, director of "Dark Knight" and "Inception," shares why he thinks movie theaters will survive
  • Lawrence Summers, former Treasury secretary, discusses the future challenges facing job creation
  • Alice Waters, renowned chef and author, outlines her vision for the future of food
  • Mark Zuckerberg, CEO and founder of Facebook, discusses bringing the internet to everyone globally
  • Linda Fried, Columbia dean and professor, shares her vision for the future of retirement in the U.S.
  • Taylor Swift, singer and songwriter, discusses the future of the music industry 


Download of the publication requires a WSJ+ membership from The Wall Street Journal


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The Trends You Need to Know to be Relevant

An A-Z glossary of the top must-know terms to be aware of to stay culturally relevant in 2015. 

Kenneth Mikkelsen's insight:

This A-to-Z-of-culture contains all the key words, concepts, and trends that will be topical in 2015 and can serve as a cultural crib sheet and conversation starter as you surf though 2015.


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Global Economic Outlook Q1 2015

Global Economic Outlook Q1 2015 | Megatrends | Scoop.it

A sharp drop in the price of oil; a shift in US monetary policy; and weaker growth along with low inflation in the Eurozone, Japan, and China are significantly influencing the global economy. 

Kenneth Mikkelsen's insight:

Read the report online or download the PDF.


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25 Disruptive Technology Trends 2015 - 2016

Brian Solis explores some of the biggest technology trends and possible twists on the horizon for 2015 and 2016. Topics include cyber security, mobile payments, wearables, Internet of Things and The Sharing Economy. 


Kenneth Mikkelsen's insight:

Read also this related post on Brian Solis' blog.

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How To Imagine The Future(s) Of Your Business

How To Imagine The Future(s) Of Your Business | Megatrends | Scoop.it

Can seeing the future - of the economy, your company, the science world - be a skill anyone can learn?


Kenneth Mikkelsen's insight:

It isn’t enough to simply imagine the future. The future should include people with emotional stories. That’s what gives it a real-world context. There are many levels of detail you might think about. Consider at least the following three:

  1. WORLD VIEW. This is where we explain what the world we have imagined would actually look like. These are usually broad generalizations about what the future world is about. Is it utopian? Is it dystopian? Is there peace or war? What is the overall setting and mood of this world?


  2. SYSTEM VIEW. Here, we go even deeper, describing how the future world plays out in terms of political, social, ethnic, religious, and economic systems. It is not enough to just imagine a future world; we need to have some idea, albeit imaginary, of how the world might work in those dimensions.


  3. INTERACTION VIEW. This is the most emotional and personal level. Once we have imagined the world and described how it works, we now need to place a person in that world and tell a story about him. What does that person care about, what objects does he interact with, what does it mean to have a daily routine? For a full effect, create artifacts, sounds, and videos of what it means for that person to live in that world.
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Miklos Szilagyi's curator insight, January 12, 6:10 AM

Miklos Szilagyi's insight:

Good points... e.g. now every training, every coaching session starts with the solicitation of the trainee/coachee to imagine how it will work in the future, what is the desired state, and i'ts - in its basic concepts - OK because "no wind is useful to a captain of a ship who does not know where he wants to go..." OK, we know well this tune... Why then still that it might be so hard to make it for not a few people especially in a business setting (beyond a very general statement that "yes, of course, everything will go well by then...") Then, the reaction of the trainers, coaches are sometimes incomprehension and they might see in this the "resistance" of the trainee/coachee in the process...

 

Well, let's face it, it happens more than once... this article tries to propose some practical elements how to turbo up the imegination in such a situation... Good...:-))

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The Disintegration of the World

The Disintegration of the World | Megatrends | Scoop.it

The postwar geopolitical system is breaking down, and what comes next could be highly volatile - especially for big corporations.

Kenneth Mikkelsen's insight:

As we grope our way toward a new domestic and international order, successful businesses will be the ones that recognize a truism that should have been obvious from the start: business and politics are in fact inseparable, and the latter makes ever greater economic integration less certain than business leaders might wish.


Companies not only need to account for this internationally—planning carefully for contingencies—they also need to show that they are invested in the greater good wherever they operate, and are not just working for their own narrow self-interest.


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The Great European Disaster Movie

The Great European Disaster Movie is an authored documentary by Italian director Annalisa Piras and former editor of The Economist Bill Emmott, which explores the crisis facing Europe.
Kenneth Mikkelsen's insight:
Through case-studies of citizens in different countries, the film explores a range of factors that have led to the present crisis, economic and identity challenges across Europe. High-level experts analyse how and why things are going so wrong.

The film includes fictional scenes, set in a post-EU future, which feature archaeologist Charles Granda, played by Angus Deayton, travelling on a flight through a menacing storm, explaining to a child passenger what the EU was.

Sombre, thought-provoking and witty, the film frames Europe through the eyes of those who have most at stake: the Europeans themselves.

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Kenneth Mikkelsen's curator insight, March 30, 7:35 PM

Through case-studies of citizens in different countries, the film explores a range of factors that have led to the present crisis, economic and identity challenges across Europe. High-level experts analyse how and why things are going so wrong.

The film includes fictional scenes, set in a post-EU future, which feature archaeologist Charles Granda, played by Angus Deayton, travelling on a flight through a menacing storm, explaining to a child passenger what the EU was.

Sombre, thought-provoking and witty, the film frames Europe through the eyes of those who have most at stake: the Europeans themselves.

Mamta Singh's curator insight, March 31, 5:29 AM

Manali has the twisty Beas River as its eminent centerpiece. http://www.mytourntrip.com/hill-stations-manali

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Deloitte Report: Tech Trends 2015

Deloitte Report: Tech Trends 2015 | Megatrends | Scoop.it

A fundamental transformation is happening in the way C-suite leaders and chief information officers collaborate to leverage disruptive change, chart business strategy, and pursue potentially transformative opportunities.



Kenneth Mikkelsen's insight:

Eight trends that could potentially disrupt the way businesses engage their customers, how work gets done, and how markets and industries evolve. 


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Tilo Sequeira's curator insight, March 26, 9:37 AM

"A fundamental transformation is happening in the way C-suite leaders and chief information officers collaborate to leverage disruptive change, chart business strategy, and pursue potentially transformative opportunities."

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Applying Resilience Thinking

Our planet is deeply marked and influenced by our presence. Scientists argue we have entered the Anthropocene, a geological epoch where there are now so many of us, using so many resources that we are disrupting the whole planet's nutrient and energy flows leaving almost all the planet's ecosystems with marks of our presence. The systems that are shaped by the interactions between people and ecosystems are the essence of what we call a social-ecological system.


Kenneth Mikkelsen's insight:


A resilience thinking approach investigates how these interacting systems of people and nature can best be managed in the face of disturbances, surprises and uncertainty. We define resilience as the capacity of a system, be it an individual, a forest, a city or an economy, to deal with change and continue to develop. But amid the enormous attention it has attracted, confusion exists. What does resilience actually means and how it should be applied?


When it comes to application, here are seven principles to help you along the way.


Read also two previous Scoops on the age of Anthropocene here: 




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Matthew Farmer's curator insight, March 17, 3:05 AM

When leading in a globalised era, understanding the interaction of the different elements within a system becomes very important.

 

Socio-ecological systems and human impact upon them are important to understand becuase we have a responsibility to manage them and our actions and decisions as a population/species affect them. 

 

However, studying socio-economic systems as the Resilience Institute does, will also provide insight into how effective systems work and we can apply this learning to understand the other systems that we work within and perform better.

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How to Seize the Opportunities When Megatrends Collide

How to Seize the Opportunities When Megatrends Collide | Megatrends | Scoop.it

Business operates today in a world of accelerating change. Preparing for the inevitable interactions between global forces can help you stay ahead of the competition.


Kenneth Mikkelsen's insight:

Five historical patterns active in the world today have left their mark on all aspects of the world’s economic and social fabric.


  1. Demographic and social change: the combination of greater life expectancy, declining birthrates in many parts of the world, and unprecedented rates of human migration, accompanied by a gradual increase in the status of women and greater ethnic and social diversity within most countries.
  2. Shifts in global economic power: in particular, the much-noted expansion of prosperity in emerging econo- mies at faster rates than in the industrialized world, leading to momentous changes in consumption patterns and a rebalancing of international relations.
  3. Rapid urbanization: the massive expansion of cit- ies around the world, through a combination of migra- tion and childbirth, with major implications for infra- structure, land use, traffic, employment, quality of life, and culture.
  4. Climate change and resource scarcity: the rapidly increasing demand for energy, food, and water, in a fi- nite world with limited natural resources and even more limited capacity for carbon dioxide and a wide variety of other effluents.
  5. Technological breakthroughs: the transforma- tion of business and everyday life through the develop- ment and use of new kinds of digitally enabled innova- tions in fields such as biotechnology, nanotechnology, fabrication (including 3D printing), cloud computing, and the Internet of Things. 
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Elías Manuel Sánchez Castañeda's curator insight, March 5, 2:44 PM
Kenneth Mikkelsen invites us to discover opportunities in the crisis: “Business operates today in a world of accelerating change. Preparing for the inevitable interactions between global forces can help you stay ahead of the competition.”
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Ray Kurzweil's Mind-Boggling Predictions for the Next 25 Years

Ray Kurzweil's Mind-Boggling Predictions for the Next 25 Years | Megatrends | Scoop.it

Ray Kurzweil is the principal inventor of many technologies ranging from the first CCD flatbed scanner to the first print-to-speech reading machine for the blind. He is also the chancellor and co-founder of Singularity University, and the guy tagged by Larry Page to direct artificial intelligence development at Google.


Kenneth Mikkelsen's insight:

Ray's predictions for the next 25 years: 


  • By the late 2010s, glasses will beam images directly onto the retina. Ten terabytes of computing power (roughly the same as the human brain) will cost about $1,000.
  • By the 2020s, most diseases will go away as nanobots become smarter than current medical technology. Normal human eating can be replaced by nanosystems. The Turing test begins to be passable. Self-driving cars begin to take over the roads, and people won’t be allowed to drive on highways.
  • By the 2030s, virtual reality will begin to feel 100% real. We will be able to upload our mind/consciousness by the end of the decade.
  • By the 2040s, non-biological intelligence will be a billion times more capable than biological intelligence (a.k.a. us). Nanotech foglets will be able to make food out of thin air and create any object in physical world at a whim.
  • By 2045, we will multiply our intelligence a billionfold by linking wirelessly from our neocortex to a synthetic neocortex in the cloud.
Watch also this excellent TED Talk with Ray Kurzweil. 
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Miklos Szilagyi's curator insight, February 24, 1:01 PM

Well, interesting... especially e.g. the computing capacity vs all human minds diagram...:-)))

Jerome Driessen's curator insight, March 26, 8:02 AM

An article about one of the world's most renowned and qualified futurists, Ray Kurzweil, and his predictions regarding the exponential growth of computing in the next 25 years.

"I want to make an important point.

It’s not about the predictions.

It’s about what the predictions represent."



 

Diamandis, P. (2015, January 2015). Ray Kurzweil’s Mind-Boggling Predictions for the Next 25 Years. Retrieved March 26, 2015, from http://singularityhub.com/2015/01/26/ray-kurzweils-mind-boggling-predictions-for-the-next-25-years/

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My seven species of robot

My seven species of robot | Megatrends | Scoop.it

Dennis Hong introduces seven award-winnning, all-terrain robots -- like the humanoid, soccer-playing DARwIn and the cliff-gripping CLIMBeR -- all built by his team at RoMeLa, Virginia Tech. Watch to the end to hear the five creative secrets to his lab's incredible technical success.

Kenneth Mikkelsen's insight:

These robots are training to play in the 2050 World Cup (and judging by their goal-keeping, they'd better not be skipping practice).


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RoboCorp

RoboCorp | Megatrends | Scoop.it

Get ready for companies that run themselves. But will the autonomous economy set us all free, or just make the rich richer?

Kenneth Mikkelsen's insight:

This is a highly relevant topic, which will be covered by The Global Peter Drucker Forum in November 2015. The theme of this year's conference is: "Technology-Enhanced Humanism."

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Asianliga.com's curator insight, February 2, 4:06 AM
Asianliga.com adalah sebuah situs Agen Bola Online dan juga melayani jasa pembuatan account betting seperti Sbobet,Ibcbet dan berbagai permainan judi online untuk anda Gabung dan daftar segera di asianliga.com
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Living in the Anthropocene: Toward a New Global Ethos

Living in the Anthropocene: Toward a New Global Ethos | Megatrends | Scoop.it
A decade ago, Nobel Prize-winning scientist Paul Crutzen first suggested we were living in the “Anthropocene,” a new geological epoch in which humans had altered the planet. Now, in an article for Yale Environment 360, Crutzen and a coauthor explain why adopting this term could help transform the perception of our role as stewards of the Earth.


Kenneth Mikkelsen's insight:

For millennia, humans have behaved as rebels against a superpower we call “Nature.” In the 20th century, however, new technologies, fossil fuels, and a fast-growing population resulted in a “Great Acceleration” of our own powers.


Albeit clumsily, we are taking control of Nature’s realm, from climate to DNA. We humans are becoming the dominant force for change on Earth. A long-held religious and philosophical idea — humans as the masters of planet Earth — has turned into a stark reality. What we do now already affects the planet of the year 3000 or even 50,000.


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How Uber's Autonomous Cars Will Destroy 10 Million Jobs and Reshape the Economy by 2025

How Uber's Autonomous Cars Will Destroy 10 Million Jobs and Reshape the Economy by 2025 | Megatrends | Scoop.it

Autonomous cars will be commonplace by 2025 and have a near monopoly by 2030, and the sweeping change they bring will eclipse every other innovation our society has experienced. They will cause unprecedented job loss and a fundamental restructuring of our economy, solve large portions of our environmental problems, prevent tens of thousands of deaths per year, save millions of hours with increased productivity, and create entire new industries that we cannot even imagine from our current vantage point.


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The Productivity Challenge of an Aging Global Workforce

The Productivity Challenge of an Aging Global Workforce | Megatrends | Scoop.it

The world is aging, and that matters for growth. In the past, an abundant and growing labor pool was a powerful engine of the world economy; today, the number of workers is starting to decline in many countries.

Kenneth Mikkelsen's insight:

Without an acceleration in productivity growth, the rate of global GDP growth is set to decline by 40% from 3.6% a year between 1964 and 2012 to only 2.1% over the next 50 years. It would take 80% faster productivity growth to fully compensate for the projected decline.


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wimi-teamwork.com's curator insight, January 25, 5:02 AM

A great reminder that despite the cloud productivity revolution, real challenges lie ahead!

DaciaSlotemaker's comment, January 25, 10:02 AM
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Are You Prepared to Wear a New Hat?

NEUROTiQ is brain animating fashion – a knitted, 3d printed, EEG brain sensor – that maps thoughts and exhibits brain states with color. 


Kenneth Mikkelsen's insight:

The rise of 3-D printing will make life as we know it today barely recognizable. Are you prepared to wear a new hat?


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Looking Ahead: The Best of 2015 Trends

Looking Ahead: The Best of 2015 Trends | Megatrends | Scoop.it

The only constant in the 21st century is change.


Geopolitical turbulence and technological advances will be just some of the factors shaping the year ahead. Creating a point of view about ongoing and future trends is increasingly important to thrive in an ever more complex and competitive world.


In 2011, when we typed Trends for 2011 into Google on January 1st 2011 it gave us around 46 million results. As we typed Trends for 2015 in January 1st 2015 it gave us 579 million results.


The number and diversity of opinions about what’s in store for the forthcoming year is exploding – making it harder to sift the important from the irrelevant, and to develop that critical point of view.


 


Via Global Trends Team
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