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What the Future May Bring

What the Future May Bring | Megatrends | Scoop.it
In his latest book, sustainable development expert Jorgen Randers offers an analysis of what the world will be like in the year 2052. It’s not a pretty picture.
Kenneth Mikkelsen's insight:

This fresh interview from MIT Sloan Management Review relates to the book "2052: A Global Forecast for the Next Forty Years" by Jorgen Randers, which was published in July 2012. 

 

You can find other related interviews here:

 

1. http://transitionculture.org/2012/08/17/an-interview-with-jorgen-randers-its-the-story-of-humanity-not-rising-to-the-occasion/

 

2. http://www.utne.com/environment/2052-global-forecast-ze0z1208zsie.aspx

 

3. http://www.newscientist.com/blogs/culturelab/2012/05/what-will-the-world-look-like-in-2052.html

 

You can buy the book on Amazon here: http://www.amazon.com/Jørgen-Randers/e/B00884JUGK

 

 

 

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A Short Course in Superforecasting

A Short Course in Superforecasting | Megatrends | Scoop.it

Edge Master Class 2015. Philip Tetlock: A Short Course in Superforecasting.


This will take you to the first two parts of the masterclass arranged by Edge.org.


The last three parts will be online soon.


Tetlock and Gardner's book, Superforecasting, is out 29 September, 2015. 


Kenneth Mikkelsen's insight:

This should be your preferred reading/watching this week.


Vox published an article about the Masterclass 20 August, 2015. You can read it here: This study tried to improve our ability to predict major geopolitical events. It worked.


I can also recommend reading Tim Hartford's article in the Financial Times: How to see into the future.


Finally, check this blog post by David Brooks in The New York Times: Forecasting Fox.


 

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The 12 Disruptive Tech Trends You Need to Know

The 12 Disruptive Tech Trends You Need to Know | Megatrends | Scoop.it

Insight into which developments will have the greatest impact on the business world in the coming decades. 


Kenneth Mikkelsen's insight:

The 12 tech trends originates from the book: No Ordinary Disruption: The Four Global Forces Breaking All the Trends.


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Richard Platt's curator insight, August 26, 2:03 PM

1. Energy storage

2. Genomics

3. Advanced materials

4. Autonomous vehicles

5. Renewable energy

6. Advanced robotics

7. 3D printing

8. Mobile internet

9. Automation of knowledge work

10. Internet of Things (IoT)

11.  Cloud technology

12.  Advanced oil and gas exploration and recovery

Marc Kneepkens's curator insight, August 27, 1:18 PM

#Disruptive #Technology is changing our world rapidly. Check out all these amazing new trends.

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Why Aren't There More Women Futurists?

Why Aren't There More Women Futurists? | Megatrends | Scoop.it

A gender imbalance among prognosticators means the road ahead looks a whole lot like Tomorrowland—and not in a good way.


Kenneth Mikkelsen's insight:

Most of the big names in futurism are men. What does that mean for the direction we’re all headed?


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Marc Wachtfogel, PhD's curator insight, August 1, 8:17 AM

Most of the big names in futurism are men. What does that mean for the direction we’re all headed?

 

DKW Online's curator insight, August 2, 8:52 AM

Most of the big names in futurism are men. What does that mean for the direction we’re all headed?

 

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A 30-Year History of the Future

A 30-Year History of the Future | Megatrends | Scoop.it

MIT Media Lab founder Nicholas Negroponte takes you on a journey through the last 30 years of tech. The consummate predictor highlights interfaces and innovations he foresaw in the 1970s and 1980s that were scoffed at then but are ubiquitous today. And he leaves you with one last (absurd? brilliant?) prediction for the coming 30 years.


Kenneth Mikkelsen's insight:

Negroponte describes biotechnology as the next big innovation wave, similar to how digital was 30 years ago and how plastics were a generation before. His prediction about ingesting information through the bloodstream is steeped in the theory that you can marry biology and silicon in order to alter the brain from the inside. Technologies such as these are the future, he says, even if that future is still decades away.


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We Are Data: The Future of Machine Intelligence

We Are Data: The Future of Machine Intelligence | Megatrends | Scoop.it

Everyone, basically, wants access to and control over what you will become, both as a physical and metadata entity. We are also on our way to a world of concrete walls surrounding any number of niche beliefs. On our journey, we get to watch machine intelligence become profoundly more intelligent while, as a society, we get to watch one labour category after another be systematically burped out of the labour pool.

Kenneth Mikkelsen's insight:

Do we at least want to have free access to anything on the internet? Well yes, of course. But it’s important to remember that once a freedom is removed from your internet menu, it will never come back. The political system only deletes online options — it does not add them. The amount of internet freedom we have right now is the most we’re ever going to get.


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The Next Wave

The Next Wave | Megatrends | Scoop.it

This is an Edge.org conversation with John Markoff, a Pulitzer Prize-winning journalist who covers science and technology for The New York Times.


If you want to know more about the future direction of science and technology, I highly recommend that you read this article or watch the embedded video. 


John Markoff most recent book is the forthcoming Machines of Loving Grace: The Quest for Common Ground Between Humans and Robots. It will be published on August 25, 2015.  


Kenneth Mikkelsen's insight:

John Brockman's launched Edge.org in 1996. It is a treasure trove of insights and wise conversations. Every year John asks one big question and invites clever minds to think deeply about it.


The contributions are published in various books like: 


What Should We Be Worried About?

The Mind

This Explains Everything

Culture

This Idea Must Die

This Will Make You Smarter

Thinking

What Is Your Dangerous Idea?

What Are You Optimistic About?

Is the Internet Changing the Way You Think? 

What Have You Changed Your Mind About?


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The Hyperloop: The Train of the Future

The Hyperloop is a conceptual high-speed transportation system put forward by entrepreneur Elon Musk, incorporating reduced-pressure tubes in which pressurized capsules ride on an air cushion driven by linear induction motors and air compressors.


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The Internet Must Be Bigger Than Facebook

The Internet Must Be Bigger Than Facebook | Megatrends | Scoop.it

As corporations like Facebook gain control over more and more online activities, the web's core values are at stake.

Kenneth Mikkelsen's insight:

David Weinberger on the changing nature and values of the internet. All is not lost. But we have several tasks before us. 


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Technology Will Disrupt - Why, What and How?

Why, what and how? Understanding the future by looking at the building blocks of business, technology and people. “The future is only complex if you fail to understand it from the point of view of what is driving the change.

Kenneth Mikkelsen's insight:

A fine Slidedeck from Helge Tennø (@congbo on Twitter). 

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Captains of Spaceship Earth

Communication technologies can act as "empathy machines", opening up new intersubjective spaces where we can all become one.


These new tools give us new "spaces of possibility" to explore, and this video is a celebration of that new space of imagination, compassion, collaboration and inspiration.

Kenneth Mikkelsen's insight:

Powerful advances in technology can extend our connections to each other making us more compassionate and kind-hearted beings.


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Organizational Design in the 21st Century

Clay Jones' Slideshare deck on Pattern Language for Organizations. It sets the context for a bold hypothesis – that organizations are fundamentally broken – and a candidate set of performance criteria.

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Tony Brugman (Bright & Company)'s curator insight, May 28, 10:02 AM

Very nice slide deck on why organisations are broken and whether we can fix it (to bring organisations into the current century.)

 

"Should work be easy? Should it be fun? Should it be a happy place? Should it be perfect?"

 

Must-slide/swipe!

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7 Futurists On What To Expect In The Next Decade

7 Futurists On What To Expect In The Next Decade | Megatrends | Scoop.it

From smartphone apps that can do seemingly everything to driverless cars and eerily humanlike robots, the past decade has seen dramatic advances in science and technology. What amazing advances are we likely to see in the next 10 years?


Kenneth Mikkelsen's insight:

Here's a few predictions from the article: 


  • The Internet will evolve into a brain-net.
  • 3D printers will print clothing at very low cost.
  • Apps designed by medical professionals will provide efficient real-time feedback, tackle chronic conditions at a much earlier stage, and help to improve the lifestyles and life outcomes of communities in the developed and developing world.
  • Robo-surgeons will operate remotely on patients.
  • Self-driving cars will be ubiquitous, transportation itself will be automatic, clean, and cheap.



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Tony Brugman (Bright & Company)'s curator insight, May 28, 9:52 AM

Cool article by Huffington Post, interviewing 7 futurists on the world of tomorrow in science and technology.

 

Some of their interesting predictions are:
Self-driving cars, a brain-connected internet, 3D printed human organs and babies delivered by robot doctors

Gary Johnsen's curator insight, June 21, 9:20 AM

Interesting comments on trends

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CEOs on How Technology is Changing the World

A survey of 3,600 Director to C-Suite leaders across 18 countries asked how technology is changing the world and about the respondents’ level of preparedness for the future.

Kenneth Mikkelsen's insight:

According to the study by EMC, leaders agree that 5 key attributes are essential to strive in the next 5-10 years:


1) Predictively spot new opportunities - Deliberate, creative use of data to upend status quo thinking, react and adapt in real time, redefining strategic direction.


2) Demonstrate transparency and trust - Open, ethical conduct in both use of data and engagement with people that makes an unambiguous statement of corporate commitment to employees, customers and the larger community.


3) Innovate in an agile way - Nimble use of information and resources from inside and out to better inform the design of products and services that differentiate and distinguish, in a flash."


4) Deliver a unique, personalized experience - Adherence to a simple promise with every customer based on a data-driven understanding of the need and information- driven delivery of a custom solution.


5) Always on, operating in real time - 24 / 7 availability and relentless accountability that delights customers and leaves the competition in the dust.


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The Information Generation - Transforming the Future, Today

An outlook report from Institute for the Future that describes the current state of global business, identifies important directional shifts and anticipates the impact these will have on our world by 2025.
Kenneth Mikkelsen's insight:
The world is different and will never be the same again. The four mega-trends of big data, always-connected mobile devices, social networking and cloud computing are reshaping industries, redefining experiences and fortifying sustainable businesses.
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Global Economic Outlook Q2 2015

The economic situation is very different in each of the world’s leading markets: Europe is torn between two poles; the government of China is acting to thwart that country’s slowdown; Japan is recovering; India is strengthening; and Brazil and Russia continue to face serious challenges.


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Steven Harcourt's curator insight, April 29, 5:49 AM

While I'm not at all sure that it is possible to incorporate economic data, and economic forecasts in particular, into a Binary Options trading system, it's always worth keeping an eye on what is happening to the economy in general.  But, you can end up bombarded with data and, to be honest, mostly very dry commentary.  This publication from Deloitte is a useful summary of the main trend written from regional perspectives around general themes.  Useful. 

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The Disintegration of the World

The Disintegration of the World | Megatrends | Scoop.it

The postwar geopolitical system is breaking down, and what comes next could be highly volatile - especially for big corporations.

Kenneth Mikkelsen's insight:

As we grope our way toward a new domestic and international order, successful businesses will be the ones that recognize a truism that should have been obvious from the start: business and politics are in fact inseparable, and the latter makes ever greater economic integration less certain than business leaders might wish.


Companies not only need to account for this internationally—planning carefully for contingencies—they also need to show that they are invested in the greater good wherever they operate, and are not just working for their own narrow self-interest.


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The Machines Are Coming

The Machines Are Coming | Megatrends | Scoop.it

Low-wage jobs are no longer the only ones at risk.

Kenneth Mikkelsen's insight:

Machines aren’t used because they perform some tasks that much better than humans, but because, in many cases, they do a “good enough” job while also being cheaper, more predictable and easier to control than quirky, pesky humans. Technology in the workplace is as much about power and control as it is about productivity and efficiency.


I also encourage you to check out these related stories: 


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Gary Bamford's curator insight, April 20, 1:29 AM

Must start work on that ironing algorithm .....

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The Great European Disaster Movie

The Great European Disaster Movie is an authored documentary by Italian director Annalisa Piras and former editor of The Economist Bill Emmott, which explores the crisis facing Europe.
Kenneth Mikkelsen's insight:
Through case-studies of citizens in different countries, the film explores a range of factors that have led to the present crisis, economic and identity challenges across Europe. High-level experts analyse how and why things are going so wrong.

The film includes fictional scenes, set in a post-EU future, which feature archaeologist Charles Granda, played by Angus Deayton, travelling on a flight through a menacing storm, explaining to a child passenger what the EU was.

Sombre, thought-provoking and witty, the film frames Europe through the eyes of those who have most at stake: the Europeans themselves.

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Kenneth Mikkelsen's curator insight, March 30, 7:35 PM

Through case-studies of citizens in different countries, the film explores a range of factors that have led to the present crisis, economic and identity challenges across Europe. High-level experts analyse how and why things are going so wrong.

The film includes fictional scenes, set in a post-EU future, which feature archaeologist Charles Granda, played by Angus Deayton, travelling on a flight through a menacing storm, explaining to a child passenger what the EU was.

Sombre, thought-provoking and witty, the film frames Europe through the eyes of those who have most at stake: the Europeans themselves.

Mamta Singh's curator insight, March 31, 5:29 AM

Manali has the twisty Beas River as its eminent centerpiece. http://www.mytourntrip.com/hill-stations-manali

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Why Automation Means We Need a New Economic Model

Why Automation Means We Need a New Economic Model | Megatrends | Scoop.it

The combination of advanced sensors, voice recognition, artificial intelligence, big data, text-mining, and pattern-recognition algorithms, is generating smart robots capable of quickly learning human actions, and even learning from one another.


If you think being a “professional” makes your job safe, think again.


Kenneth Mikkelsen's insight:

The economy toward which we’re hurtling — in which more and more is generated by fewer and fewer people who reap almost all the rewards, leaving the rest of us without enough purchasing power – can’t function.


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Miklos Szilagyi's curator insight, March 27, 3:23 AM

"...A future of almost unlimited production by a handful, for consumption by whoever can afford it, is a recipe for economic and social collapse.

Our underlying problem won’t be the number of jobs. It will be – it already is — the allocation of income and wealth.

What to do?

“Redistribution” has become a bad word.

But the economy toward which we’re hurtling — in which more and more is generated by fewer and fewer people who reap almost all the rewards, leaving the rest of us without enough purchasing power – can’t function..."

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Deloitte Report: Tech Trends 2015

Deloitte Report: Tech Trends 2015 | Megatrends | Scoop.it

A fundamental transformation is happening in the way C-suite leaders and chief information officers collaborate to leverage disruptive change, chart business strategy, and pursue potentially transformative opportunities.



Kenneth Mikkelsen's insight:

Eight trends that could potentially disrupt the way businesses engage their customers, how work gets done, and how markets and industries evolve. 


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Tilo Sequeira's curator insight, March 26, 9:37 AM

"A fundamental transformation is happening in the way C-suite leaders and chief information officers collaborate to leverage disruptive change, chart business strategy, and pursue potentially transformative opportunities."

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How Design Fiction Imagines Future Technology

How Design Fiction Imagines Future Technology | Megatrends | Scoop.it

As technological choices become ever more complex, design fiction, not science, hints at the future we actually want.

Kenneth Mikkelsen's insight:

There are plenty of other examples of this effort to spur us to new thinking. In 2014, the Near Future Laboratory, a US-European design studio, published the TBD Catalog , an entire compendium of possible future products, from drone dog-walkers to environmentally sound seed-based feedstock for a 3D-printer. Other designers are committed to making actual objects or convincing mock-ups to think with. Either way, it is the detail that diverts. The 3D-printer cartridges, complete with model numbers and prices, look close enough to real adverts for things you’ve already bought to carry conviction. These finely textured depictions of the potential accoutrements of the future stimulate discussion in ways that earlier efforts to imagine technology often fail to do. They might even offer a more effective way to create futures we actually want.


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Ashley Jessica Beard's curator insight, March 26, 9:17 PM

How fictional designs impact the way that technology is designed and developed. 

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Applying Resilience Thinking

Our planet is deeply marked and influenced by our presence. Scientists argue we have entered the Anthropocene, a geological epoch where there are now so many of us, using so many resources that we are disrupting the whole planet's nutrient and energy flows leaving almost all the planet's ecosystems with marks of our presence. The systems that are shaped by the interactions between people and ecosystems are the essence of what we call a social-ecological system.


Kenneth Mikkelsen's insight:


A resilience thinking approach investigates how these interacting systems of people and nature can best be managed in the face of disturbances, surprises and uncertainty. We define resilience as the capacity of a system, be it an individual, a forest, a city or an economy, to deal with change and continue to develop. But amid the enormous attention it has attracted, confusion exists. What does resilience actually means and how it should be applied?


When it comes to application, here are seven principles to help you along the way.


Read also two previous Scoops on the age of Anthropocene here: 




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Matthew Farmer's curator insight, March 17, 3:05 AM

When leading in a globalised era, understanding the interaction of the different elements within a system becomes very important.

 

Socio-ecological systems and human impact upon them are important to understand becuase we have a responsibility to manage them and our actions and decisions as a population/species affect them. 

 

However, studying socio-economic systems as the Resilience Institute does, will also provide insight into how effective systems work and we can apply this learning to understand the other systems that we work within and perform better.

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Future Value Generation Framework

The Future Value Framework explores how to use more efficiently the competitive advantage of time. Its goal: human and context centric value generation by integrating strategy, innovation and the future.


Kenneth Mikkelsen's insight:

Daniel Egger is doing some great work. He's the mastermind behind The Future Value Framework. Daniel will publish a book about the framework later in 2015. 


Meanwhile I encourage you to follow Daniel on Twitter here: @Daniel_Egger

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How to Seize the Opportunities When Megatrends Collide

How to Seize the Opportunities When Megatrends Collide | Megatrends | Scoop.it

Business operates today in a world of accelerating change. Preparing for the inevitable interactions between global forces can help you stay ahead of the competition.


Kenneth Mikkelsen's insight:

Five historical patterns active in the world today have left their mark on all aspects of the world’s economic and social fabric.


  1. Demographic and social change: the combination of greater life expectancy, declining birthrates in many parts of the world, and unprecedented rates of human migration, accompanied by a gradual increase in the status of women and greater ethnic and social diversity within most countries.
  2. Shifts in global economic power: in particular, the much-noted expansion of prosperity in emerging econo- mies at faster rates than in the industrialized world, leading to momentous changes in consumption patterns and a rebalancing of international relations.
  3. Rapid urbanization: the massive expansion of cit- ies around the world, through a combination of migra- tion and childbirth, with major implications for infra- structure, land use, traffic, employment, quality of life, and culture.
  4. Climate change and resource scarcity: the rapidly increasing demand for energy, food, and water, in a fi- nite world with limited natural resources and even more limited capacity for carbon dioxide and a wide variety of other effluents.
  5. Technological breakthroughs: the transforma- tion of business and everyday life through the develop- ment and use of new kinds of digitally enabled innova- tions in fields such as biotechnology, nanotechnology, fabrication (including 3D printing), cloud computing, and the Internet of Things. 
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Elías Manuel Sánchez Castañeda's curator insight, March 5, 2:44 PM
Kenneth Mikkelsen invites us to discover opportunities in the crisis: “Business operates today in a world of accelerating change. Preparing for the inevitable interactions between global forces can help you stay ahead of the competition.”
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Reinventing Health Care: The Coevolution of Biology, Technology and Culture

We are living in a sci-fi world full of bionic limbs, wonder drugs, 3D-printed organs, lab-grown muscles, and brain-computer interfaces. 

The quality and longevity of life have never been more assured, as the field of health reaches a new zenith every day. 

Gene sequencing, brain mapping, and vitals tracking are quantifying and personalizing health faster than we can process it — and supercomputers are helping us make sense of it all, leading to new breakthroughs. 

Kenneth Mikkelsen's insight:

We are witnessing exponential growth in the field of health. We will all become citizen doctors, bionically enhanced and genetically hacked. 

This coevolution of technology and biology — accelerated by culture — will lead us to become the masters of our evolutionary destiny.


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Curated by Kenneth Mikkelsen
Thinker ★ Speaker ★ Writer ★ Leadership Advisor ★ Learning Designer ★ Connector of ideas+people ★ Loud Listener ★ Horizon Scanner ★ Polymath ★ Humanist

Kenneth Mikkelsen is co-founder of FutureShifts, a consultancy that helps visionary companies identify and tackle the big shifts in the world by cultivating the skills, mindsets, behaviors and organizational cultures needed to succeed in times of change.