Management of complex systems and projects

It is indeed needed to know and acknowledge the difference , because many mistakes are made to use tools like Lean 6sigma,balancedscorecard, for complex problems , while they should use for complicated.

The big difference is order and unorder, predictibility and risk.

La dimensión del aprendizaje es transversal e integrada en todas las otras... revisar en donde se refleja lo ambiental...

Self-Aware Agents

Busemeyer is helping to develop the theories needed to create “quantum agents” in future models. These would need to contain additional feedback loops, in which some agents’ actions are informed by the existence and output of other agent-based models.

This approach may be particularly suited to the world of high finance. As investors learn more about complexity theory, they become aware of their status as agents in predictive models, and they also run agent-based models to inform their own decision making—just like Busemeyer’s quantum agents.

Ultimately, though, none of these models will offer iron-clad predictions, because they have to make simplifying assumptions about human behavior. The true test will be whether those assumptions, and the resulting outputs of the models, convince policymakers to act on their advice.

“The way that our computational approach will eventually outrun conventional analytical and numerical methods in economics and finance is by having much more supple and succinct representations of human behavior,” says Axtell. But even then, “we don’t want policymakers to simply take the results of the model completely at face value without any use of their own judgment.”