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Made Different
About the 7 transformations by which industrial companies can become factories of the future
Curated by Johan Jacobs
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Rescooped by Johan Jacobs from Tracking the Future
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Mathematicians Predict the Future With Data From the Past

Mathematicians Predict the Future With Data From the Past | Made Different | Scoop.it

In Issac Asimov's classic science fiction saga Foundation, mathematics professor Hari Seldon predicts the future using what he calls psychohistory.

Drawing on mathematical models that describe what happened in the past, he anticipates what will happen next, including the fall of the Galactic Empire.

That may seem like fanciful stuff. But Peter Turchin is turning himself into a real-life Hari Seldon — and he’s not alone.

Turchin — a professor at the University of Connecticut — is the driving force behind a field called “cliodynamics,” where scientists and mathematicians analyze history in the hopes of finding patterns they can then use to predict the future. It’s named after Clio, the Greek muse of history.

These academics have the same goals as other historians — “We start with questions that historians have asked for all of history,” Turchin says. “For example: Why do civilizations collapse?” — but they seek to answer these questions quite differently. They use math rather than mere language, and according to Turchin, the prognosis isn’t that far removed from the empire-crushing predictions laid down by Hari Seldon in the Foundation saga. Unless something changes, he says, we’re due for a wave of widespread violence in about 2020, including riots and terrorism.


Via Wildcat2030, Szabolcs Kósa
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Christophe CESETTI's curator insight, April 11, 2013 5:34 AM

it's said...but not expected "Unless something changes, we’re due for a wave of widespread violence in about 2020, including riots and terrorism"

Rescooped by Johan Jacobs from Communication design
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The World as 100 People / Infographic

The World as 100 People / Infographic | Made Different | Scoop.it

A demographic portrait of humanity if the world were 100 people.

 

From data source, 100people.org:

The world population has now reached 7 billion people. This milestone inspired us to conduct research to update our statistics, and the changes over the past 5 years are remarkable. In 2006, only 1 person out of 100 would have had a college education-- today that number has jumped to 7 thanks in part to advances in higher education in Asia. The detailed research and source information can be found here and the statistics provided by Donella Meadows in 1990 that originally inspired our project can be viewed here.


Via Lauren Moss, Antonios Bouris
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Aurélia-Claire Jaeger's curator insight, March 29, 2013 6:03 AM

J'aime bien ce coup d'oeil sur notre monde ...

micheala mendoza's comment, April 1, 2013 11:21 PM
https://plus.google.com/communities/100538289384834788731