How worried should we be about present tensions? "We have had a few episodes like this in the past, but luckily they have been few and far between. It's too early to talk of 'consequences'.
Praying our troops and citizens are out of harms way should something take place. From what I hear in reports it doesn't sound good for our military and makes me wonder why we even keep a military base in SK if we can't properly defend them in time.
If North Korea were to launch an attack, U.S. intelligence analysts tell WND the barrage of hundreds of thousands of artillery rounds and missiles would destroy not only South Korea’s capital, Seoul, but also most of the U.S. troops stationed primarily around the capital and near the Demilitarized Zone separating the two countries.
“The 28,500 guys on the border are a speed bump and a trigger for war,” a U.S. intelligence officer who is closely monitoring North Korean activities told WND in an exclusive interview. “They probably would die.”
He explained, “Every U.S. and South Korean (location) already has a pre-programmed target reference point by the North Koreans.”
The initial assessment by this and other U.S. intelligence analysts give a grim picture of the initial onslaught of an attack initiated by North Korea.
The intelligence source said that the MLCOA is that North Korea attacks along the border, hammers Seoul and pushes south to some extent with the hope that they can quickly commence negotiating for some significant political and/or economic concession and then move back to their side of the border.
“In either case,” he pointed out, “the ‘sea of fire’ scenario happens and Seoul is destroyed,” with the expectation that the North Koreans would use chemical and biological weapons in crossing the border.
For the U.S. troops who would be in harm’s way, however, there are no training programs on any of the installations or any basic training facility that uses live lethal agents, even though they are issued equipment to face chemical and biological weapons.
The intelligence source said that of the hundreds of thousands of rounds that would rain down on South Korea, many would include chemical and biological agents.
What is the likelihood that North Korea would launch an attack?
The intelligence officer said there are indications and warnings, or I&W, of troops moving around, but he said the situation is similar to developments leading up to the Russian invasion of the Republic of Georgia in 2008.
In that situation, the Russians had just completed their annual military exercises and still had most of their troops and armor in the region when hostilities began. Russian armor and troops had little problem moving in and occupying much of the country before a political solution was reached in the five-day war.
“The analysts that were looking at Georgia before the Russians invaded said in essence that the Russians had been rolling up to the border and back for years, so they likely wouldn’t attack Georgia,” he said. “I make fun of analysts about that to this day.”
In North Korea, the source said, most of the big mobile equipment as opposed to fixed sites is in hardened bunkers ready to respond on command.
How will that command be given and will U.S. intelligence be able to pick up on the launch of the impending attack, short of knowing after the first artillery rounds and missiles have hit South Korea?
“A commence order could be given by the north in a manner that cannot be detected by our intercept hardware,” the intelligence source said. “It could be as simple as a courier to a rocket corps commander, and the first thing we’d notice was thousands of artillery rounds inbound.”